# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Crypto

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Crypto", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

2025 Tether Financial Analysis: An Additional $45 Billion in Reserves Needed to Maintain Stability

The article analyzes Tether's financial stability in 2025, arguing it functions as an unregulated bank rather than a simple payment operator. It applies a banking regulatory framework (Basel Capital Framework) to assess if Tether holds sufficient capital (its ~$6.8B in excess reserves) to cover potential losses from its asset portfolio. The core issue is whether Tether's total capital is adequate for its risk-weighted assets (RWAs). Its $181.2B in assets are largely in low-risk instruments (~77%), but ~13% is in volatile commodities like gold and Bitcoin. The analysis estimates Tether's RWAs between $62.3B and $175.3B, depending on the conservative treatment of its Bitcoin holdings. Under a baseline scenario, Tether's capital ratio is near minimum regulatory requirements. However, compared to well-capitalized banks, it may need an additional ~$4.5B in capital to support its current $USDT issuance. A more punitive treatment of Bitcoin could imply a deficit of $12.5B-$25B. Tether's counter-argument points to substantial group-level profits and equity (~$20B+), but these are not legally committed to the token entity and are invested in illiquid ventures like mining and AI. The article concludes that the sufficiency of Tether's capital is a complex, structural question without a definitive answer, dependent on asset risk weightings and the firm's willingness to mobilize group resources in a crisis.

marsbit12/08 07:31

2025 Tether Financial Analysis: An Additional $45 Billion in Reserves Needed to Maintain Stability

marsbit12/08 07:31

Macro Outlook This Week: The Decisive Battle Over the Fed's "Hawkish Rate Cut," A Crucial Test for the AI Narrative

This week (Dec 9-15) is dominated by two major themes: the Federal Reserve's final rate decision of the year and key developments in AI. The Fed is widely expected to cut rates by 25 basis points. The real focus, however, is on whether the move is accompanied by a "hawkish" tone. The central bank may signal a more cautious path for future cuts in 2025 to manage internal dissent and inflation concerns. The market's reaction is uncertain: it could either heed this warning (pressuring tech stocks and crypto) or ignore it, choosing instead to focus on anticipated aggressive easing under the incoming Trump administration—a scenario known as the "Hassett Trade." Concurrently, the AI narrative faces critical tests. Rumors suggest OpenAI may surprise-launch its GPT-5.2 model early, which could significantly boost sentiment across tech and crypto AI tokens. Furthermore, earnings reports from key AI infrastructure firms Broadcom and Oracle will serve as a crucial barometer for the strength of AI-related capital expenditure. Investors are warned of extreme volatility, particularly due to reduced liquidity from early market closures on Wednesday and a full U.S. market holiday on Thursday. The core events are the FOMC decision, updated economic projections (dot plot), and Chair Powell's press conference at 03:00 GMT on Thursday, followed by Broadcom's earnings. The advice is to reduce leverage ahead of this high-stakes volatility.

marsbit12/08 06:59

Macro Outlook This Week: The Decisive Battle Over the Fed's "Hawkish Rate Cut," A Crucial Test for the AI Narrative

marsbit12/08 06:59

Underground Argentina: Jewish Money Houses, Chinese Supermarkets, Slacking Youth, and the Impoverished Middle Class

Argentina is experiencing a state of hyperinflation and economic collapse, where the official currency, the peso, has become nearly unusable. The black market exchange rate has reached 1 USD to 1,400 pesos, yet prices for basic goods remain shockingly high, even for those holding foreign currency. A significant portion of the population, especially the youth, has adopted a "live for the moment" mentality, spending their wages immediately as savings become worthless. Poverty rates are high, and real wages have plummeted. The country’s real financial system operates underground, dominated by two key players: a network of over 13,000 Chinese-owned supermarkets that act as cash collection points, and Jewish-owned informal exchange houses (cuevas) that manage black market dollar transactions. This shadow economy allows businesses and individuals to bypass strict currency controls, high taxes, and a collapsing official banking system. Cryptocurrency, particularly USDT, is used not as a technological innovation but as a practical tool for wealth preservation and tax avoidance, especially among freelancers and the upper middle class. However, those who remain in the formal economy—the “rule-followers”—suffer the most, as their peso-denominated incomes collapse in value while living costs soar. President Milei’s radical reforms have brought some fiscal stability and reduced inflation, but at a great social cost. Yet, much of the public still supports the changes, hoping to break Argentina’s cycle of economic crises. Through it all, the informal systems—cash transactions, black market exchanges, and a general distrust of the state—continue to sustain daily life.

深潮12/08 06:16

Underground Argentina: Jewish Money Houses, Chinese Supermarkets, Slacking Youth, and the Impoverished Middle Class

深潮12/08 06:16

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