These Key Bitcoin On-Chain Metrics Suggest BTC Has Not Yet Reached Its Bottom
Based on key on-chain metrics, Bitcoin (BTC) has likely not yet hit its cycle bottom despite ongoing price declines. Analysis from Alphractal highlights that the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric, while declining, remains in positive territory, indicating that most holders are in profit rather than loss. Historically, a true bottom occurs only when NUPL turns negative, signaling full capitulation. Additionally, the Delta Growth Rate has turned negative, suggesting the end of speculative activity and the beginning of an accumulation phase.
Following a recent pullback below $90,000, bearish sentiment has intensified. Swissblock notes that losing the $89,200 support level has increased market risk, though bulls are defending the $84,500 level. A break below this could lead to a deeper correction toward $74,000. However, if support holds, a liquidity sweep and potential long entry opportunity may occur. Current data indicates excess supply and uncertainty, meaning more time or data validation is needed to confirm a market bottom.
bitcoinist01/27 18:32