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Why Bitcoin Is Struggling Under Trump’s New Regime: Analyst

Despite initial expectations, Bitcoin's performance under President Trump's second term has been mixed. While reaching a new all-time high after his January inauguration, the market has largely consolidated with a bearish undertone. Analysis from XWIN Research Japan highlights key differences from the post-2016 election rally. Unlike 2016’s low-inflation, low-rate environment that fueled a sustained bull run, 2025 began with high interest rates and tighter financial conditions. Bitcoin’s larger market size and broader investor base have also reduced the immediate impact of political events on price. The Bitcoin SOPR Ratio (LTH-SOPR/STH-SOPR) further indicates caution: long-term holders are taking limited profits, while short-term holders are selling at a loss. This typically signals an extended period of supply-demand adjustment. Although downside may be limited if long-term holder dominance continues, significant upside appears constrained. A recovery would require steady ETF inflows and reduced selling by long-term holders. Until then, Bitcoin may remain stagnant or decline further. Currently, BTC is trading around $87,623.

bitcoinist12/28 16:02

Why Bitcoin Is Struggling Under Trump’s New Regime: Analyst

bitcoinist12/28 16:02

Uniswap’s $591mln burn sparks a deflation loop – UNI at $7.2 ONLY IF…

Uniswap's community overwhelmingly approved a proposal to burn 100 million UNI tokens, worth approximately $591 million, from its treasury. This deflationary measure will use future protocol fees to conduct ongoing token burns, creating a deflationary loop aimed at reducing supply and potentially increasing the token's value. Following the burn, UNI's price surged 5.2% to $6.3, with trading volume rising 52% to $297 million. Key indicators, including moving averages and momentum, turned bullish. If buying pressure continues, UNI could target $7.2; however, a loss of momentum might lead to a retracement to $5.7.

ambcrypto12/28 16:02

Uniswap’s $591mln burn sparks a deflation loop – UNI at $7.2 ONLY IF…

ambcrypto12/28 16:02

Crypto hacks surge to $3.4B! OKX CEO flags THIS as a key threat

Crypto hacks surged to $3.4 billion in 2025, with North Korean hackers responsible for over $2 billion of the losses. Recent victims include DeBot, which lost $255,000, and Trust Wallet, which lost $7 million. OKX CEO Star Xu identified DEX bots and custodial wallets as major new risk factors, noting that many require users to store private keys in the cloud. He emphasized that security and usability can coexist through institutional-grade controls and local authentication like passkeys. The report highlights a significant rise in personal wallet compromises and social engineering attacks, urging users to exercise increased vigilance and adopt stronger security practices.

ambcrypto12/28 15:02

Crypto hacks surge to $3.4B! OKX CEO flags THIS as a key threat

ambcrypto12/28 15:02

Bitcoin's Post-Halving Supply Change Is Permanently Locked by Mathematical Rules

The fourth Bitcoin halving occurred on April 20, 2024, at block height 840,000, reducing the block reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. This event, programmed into Bitcoin’s protocol and triggered automatically every 210,000 blocks, reinforces its deterministic and transparent monetary policy. Post-halving, daily Bitcoin issuance dropped by approximately 50%, from about 900 BTC to 450 BTC, with annualized issuance falling to around 164,250 BTC. This reduced Bitcoin’s annual supply inflation rate to roughly 0.83%, lower than gold's estimated 1–2% growth and contrasting sharply with central bank-controlled fiat systems. By the end of 2024, approximately 19.7 million BTC were in circulation, leaving fewer than 1.3 million left to be mined. Over 93.8% of the total supply has already been issued. The halving also shifted miner economics, significantly increasing the proportion of transaction fees in their total revenue. This aligns with Bitcoin’s long-term design, where security gradually transitions from block subsidies to fee-based incentives. Unlike traditional monetary systems, Bitcoin’s supply schedule is fixed, irreversible, and independent of market conditions. The next halving, expected around 2028, will further reduce the block reward to 1.5625 BTC. With the latest halving complete, Bitcoin’s low issuance rate is no longer a short-term event but a permanent baseline feature—verifiable, predictable, and enforced by code and consensus.

marsbit12/28 14:49

Bitcoin's Post-Halving Supply Change Is Permanently Locked by Mathematical Rules

marsbit12/28 14:49

Bitcoin Retail Demand Crashes Below $400M — What Does This Mean For Price?

Bitcoin's Q4 2025 performance has been marked by significant corrections, with prices dropping as low as $80,000. Recent on-chain data indicates fading retail participation, particularly in the $0–$10,000 transaction range, signaling a lack of new retail inflows since mid-December. Retail transfer volume has fallen to the $375–400 million range, reflecting apathy rather than panic selling. This suggests reduced upward momentum but limited downward pressure. Analysts expect Bitcoin to remain in a consolidation phase between $85,000 and $90,000 unless a major catalyst emerges. Some remain optimistic about 2026 due to potential rate cuts and capital rotation, while others warn corrections may extend into Q1. Bitcoin currently trades around $87,401.

bitcoinist12/28 14:02

Bitcoin Retail Demand Crashes Below $400M — What Does This Mean For Price?

bitcoinist12/28 14:02

Overcoming the Psychological Barrier: What Will Happen to Bitcoin This Week

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $88,000, failing to break the key psychological barrier of $90,000. Analysts note it is moving within a wide range of $80,600 to $94,600, with significant resistance near $90,660 and support around $83,600. Despite a positive long-term outlook supported by favorable US regulatory policies and strong industry growth, short-term risks remain high. Weak institutional demand via ETFs, negative on-chain metrics, and pressure on large holders are creating headwinds. A correction to the $70,000–$75,000 zone is possible if buyers fail to push the price above $94,600. The upcoming holiday week may see lower trading activity but increased volatility due to key economic data, including Fed minutes and labor market reports. The market is currently in a state of uncertainty, with the Fear and Greed Index at 28 (fear). Ethereum (ETH) is expected to move in line with the broader market, lacking independent momentum. Overall, sideways movement between $84,000 and $93,000 is the most likely scenario for Bitcoin in the coming week.

RBK-crypto12/28 13:09

Overcoming the Psychological Barrier: What Will Happen to Bitcoin This Week

RBK-crypto12/28 13:09

Here’s why DASH buyers must be wary despite strong weekend gains

DASH surged over 10% to $44.44 amid Bitcoin's stagnant performance, potentially driven by strength in the privacy coin sector. Technical analysis indicates a bullish structure shift, with key resistance levels identified at $50, $52, and a high-volume node at $48. While a move toward $53 is possible due to liquidity concentrations, a breakout appears unlikely without stronger demand. Traders are advised to take profits on long positions cautiously, as sustained upward momentum remains uncertain.

ambcrypto12/28 13:04

Here’s why DASH buyers must be wary despite strong weekend gains

ambcrypto12/28 13:04

Metrics Ventures Market Observation: Chaotic Consolidation Continues

Metrics Ventures Market Observation: Continued Chaotic Consolidation As 2025 concludes, the crypto market has experienced a cold year, with crypto assets ranking at the bottom in USD-denominated annual returns, largely due to a Q4 downturn. The past month's market activity has been stagnant, characterized by a lack of vitality, shrinking volumes on both CEXs and the NYSE, and converging volatility. This period of narrow-range trading is nearing its end, with sudden "flash crashes" expected to be a recurring theme, making it a challenging environment for high-frequency traders. The report suggests this is a time for rest and systematic reflection rather than active trading. The recent market spotlight has shifted to precious metals, notably silver, rather than crypto. Silver futures volume on the Shanghai exchange alone has exceeded RMB 75 trillion monthly, with COMEX option open interest multiples of actual inventory, reminiscent of the 2020-2021 crypto frenzy. In contrast, Bitcoin's performance remains weak. The relative strength of gold versus Bitcoin has broken out of its long-term downward trend since the 2020 easing cycle, highlighting a significant capital rotation into metals. Despite the gloom, positive signals include MSTR maintaining its Nasdaq-100 index status, clearer guidance from the Fed Chair, and potential risks in the AI bubble that could benefit crypto in 2026. The current market is viewed as a continuation of the consolidation that began in late 2024, with wide price fluctuations expected to eventually subside. The advice is to conserve energy for the future. The report ends with wishes for a happy holiday season and a look ahead to 2026.

marsbit12/28 13:00

Metrics Ventures Market Observation: Chaotic Consolidation Continues

marsbit12/28 13:00

Weekly Preview | EU, UK, Hong Kong and Other Regions Implement New Digital Asset Regulations; Hyperliquid (HYPE) Unlocks Approximately $256 Million Worth of Tokens

Weekly Preview: Key crypto regulatory changes take effect in the EU, UK, and Hong Kong. Hyperliquid (HYPE) to unlock tokens worth approximately $256 million. Major updates include the EU's DAC8 tax transparency rules for crypto sector starting Jan 1, requiring service providers to collect and report user transaction data. The UK HMRC mandates crypto exchanges to collect and share client transaction records from Jan 1, 2026. Hong Kong’s central bank will implement Basel capital rules for crypto assets on Jan 1, 2026. Hyperliquid (HYPE) unlocks ~9.2 million tokens (2.87% of circulation) on Dec 29, valued at ~$256M. Other token unlocks: Sui (SUI) on Jan 1 (~$63.4M), Kamino (KMNO) on Dec 30 (~$11.8M), and Optimism (OP) on Dec 31 (~$8.6M). Exchange notices: Binance delists multiple FDUSD trading pairs on Dec 30. Upbit halts services for maintenance and audit on Jan 1. Binance Live platform shuts down on Dec 31. Project updates: Web3 game studio ChronoForge closes on Dec 30 due to funding issues. Hats Finance discontinues its centralized frontend on Dec 31.

marsbit12/28 13:00

Weekly Preview | EU, UK, Hong Kong and Other Regions Implement New Digital Asset Regulations; Hyperliquid (HYPE) Unlocks Approximately $256 Million Worth of Tokens

marsbit12/28 13:00

Analysis of LIT (Lighter): Ethereum's First Verifiable Zero-Knowledge Rollup Perpetual Contract Exchange

Lighter is the first verifiable zk-Rollup perpetual contract exchange on Ethereum, combining centralized exchange-level performance (millisecond latency, 10k+ TPS) with on-chain transparency. It uses a custom ZK circuit for verifiable order book matching and清算, and operates on a zero-fee model for retail traders while charging institutions via API. The LIT token enables governance, fee discounts, and liquidity incentives. The protocol addresses the scalability-security-decentralization trade-off in decentralized derivatives by leveraging an application-specific zk-Rollup. Its core innovations include an Order Book Tree for efficient matching (Θ(log2N) complexity), a fully verifiable清算 engine, and an Exit Hatch mechanism for user fund safety reliant only on Ethereum. With $80M in total funding and a $1.5B valuation (led by Founders Fund and Ribbit Capital), Lighter competes with established players like Aster and Hyperliquid. The LIT distribution includes 41.4% for ecosystem incentives, with initial circulating supply at 10.8% at TGE (Q1 2026). Key risks include technical complexity, regulatory uncertainty, and competitive pressure. Lighter aims to expand to spot, options, and cross-chain markets by 2027.

深潮12/28 12:24

Analysis of LIT (Lighter): Ethereum's First Verifiable Zero-Knowledge Rollup Perpetual Contract Exchange

深潮12/28 12:24

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