2026-04-21 Вторник

Новостной центр - Страница 916

Получайте криптоновости и тенденции рынка в режиме реального времени с помощью Новостного центра HTX.

2026, Survive: A Manual for Crypto Enthusiasts on Bear Market Survival and Counterattack

Surviving 2026: A Crypto Bear Market Survival and Counterattack Guide As the crypto market remains stagnant around $85,000-$90,000, this guide offers strategies for navigating the prolonged bear market. Key recommendations include: 1. **Diversify into Stocks (Stocks + Crypto Strategy):** With liquidity flowing into the rising U.S. stock market and AI bubble, investors are advised to engage in "stock-token co-cultivation." Utilize traditional brokerages or tokenized stock platforms (e.g., MSX.com, xStocks) to apply crypto trading experience (e.g., news trading) to equities, especially crypto-concept stocks, for arbitrage opportunities. 2. **Invest in Commodities:** Given ongoing global geopolitical tensions, traditional safe-haven assets like gold, silver, and strategic metals (copper, lithium) are expected to continue rising. Investors can gain exposure through tokenized assets or direct investment. 3. **Adopt Defensive Yield Strategies:** For capital preservation, a three-pronged approach is recommended: * **Staking:** Earn yields on mainstream coins (ETH, SOL) via exchanges or vetted DeFi protocols, being cautious of platform risks. * **Lending:** Use established lending protocols like Aave (Ethereum) and Kamino (Solana) for stable returns. * **Fixed Investment & CEX Promotions:** Regularly invest (DCA) into major cryptocurrencies and actively participate in high-yield deposit/earn campaigns on centralized exchanges (e.g., Binance, OKX), which offer substantial subsidies during market lulls. 4. **Explore Prediction Markets:** Prediction markets (e.g., Polymarket, Kalshi) are poised for significant growth, potentially reaching $100B in monthly volume, driven by events like the World Cup and U.S. mid-term elections. Strategies include "buying early" on high-probability outcomes or following successful bettors, while avoiding risky "sweeping the tail" bets. The guide concludes by highlighting the growing convergence of AI and crypto, specifically the x402 protocol on Solana, which is advancing AI-powered payments and stablecoins. The core message is to build resilient, diversified income streams to survive the bear market and be prepared for the next bull run.

marsbit12/28 04:25

2026, Survive: A Manual for Crypto Enthusiasts on Bear Market Survival and Counterattack

marsbit12/28 04:25

2026, Survive: A Manual for Crypto Enthusiasts on Bear Market Survival and Counterattack

"Surviving 2026: A Bear Market Survival and Counterattack Guide for Crypto Participants" This article provides strategic advice for navigating the prolonged crypto bear market of late 2025, characterized by stagnation between $85k-$90k for Bitcoin and declining retail activity. The author, a seasoned participant, outlines a multi-faceted approach. Key strategies include: * **Crypto-Stock Dual Strategy:** With liquidity drawn to rising AI-inflated stock markets, engaging with both asset classes is now essential. Investors should leverage their crypto-honed news trading skills in traditional markets via brokers or tokenized stock platforms (e.g., MSX.com, xStocks). * **Commodities as a Hedge:** Amidst tense global macro-political tensions, precious metals (gold, silver) and strategic resources (copper, lithium) are predicted to continue rising, serving as reliable hard assets. These can be accessed via tokenized assets. * **Defensive Yield Strategies:** For capital preservation, a combination of staking (on exchanges or within ETH/SOL ecosystems), lending on robust DeFi protocols (e.g., Aave, Kamino), and participating in high-yield CEX deposit/earn programs is recommended to build "anti-fragile" income streams. * **Betting on Prediction Markets:** With major events like the World Cup and US mid-term elections, prediction markets (e.g., Polymarket's upcoming token launch) are poised for significant growth. Strategies involve "buying early" on probable outcomes or following successful bettors, while avoiding risky "sweeping the tail" bets. The conclusion highlights the growing convergence of AI and crypto, specifically pointing to Solana's prioritization of the x402 protocol for AI-powered payments as a key trend for 2026. The overarching message is to diversify strategies, preserve capital, and stay agile to survive the downturn and capitalize on the next bull market.

Odaily星球日报12/28 04:24

2026, Survive: A Manual for Crypto Enthusiasts on Bear Market Survival and Counterattack

Odaily星球日报12/28 04:24

Advancing MM 1: Market Maker Inventory Quoting System

"Attack of the MM 1: Market Maker Inventory Quoting System" by Dave explores why altcoin prices often move against retail traders immediately after their purchases, debunking the myth of intentional manipulation by "market manipulators." The article explains that this phenomenon is not due to malicious intent but is a result of automated market maker (MM) systems using the Avellaneda-Stoikov model for inventory-based pricing and protection against toxic order flow. When retail traders execute large buy orders, MMs sell, leading to a short inventory exposure. To mitigate risk, MMs adjust their strategies in two ways: 1. **Quote Skew**: They lower prices to attract sellers and discourage further buys, aiming to replenish inventory and protect their short position. 2. **Spread Widening**: They widen bid-ask spreads to reduce transaction probability and earn more spread profit to offset potential losses. The core mechanism involves the "Reservation Price," calculated as Mid Price − γ⋅q (where q is inventory and γ is risk aversion). Large retail orders disrupt inventory balance, causing MMs to adjust prices dynamically. Retail traders often face this due to their concentrated, unconcealed, and unhedged orders, especially in low-liquidity altcoins where their trades significantly impact pricing. The article concludes with a practical tip: instead of executing large orders at once, retail traders can break them into smaller, staggered orders to exploit MM pricing adjustments, achieving better average entry prices. A follow-up will discuss toxic order flow and order book dynamics.

深潮12/28 04:12

Advancing MM 1: Market Maker Inventory Quoting System

深潮12/28 04:12

The Advancing MM 3: Statistical Edge and Signal Design

Title: The Attack of MM 3: Statistical Edge and Signal Design Author: Dave This article, the third in the "Attack of MM" series, explores how market makers (MMs) actively gain a "micro alpha" advantage through statistical edges and signal design, rather than just passively adjusting quotes. Micro alpha refers to a conditional probability shift in predicting short-term price movements (within ~100ms to ~10s), such as the direction of the next price change, mid-price drift, or trade asymmetry. It is not about forecasting trends but detecting probabilistic biases that allow MMs to act preemptively—buying before likely price increases, withdrawing bids before declines, or reducing exposure during risky periods. Key signals discussed include: - **Order Book Imbalance (OBI)**: Measures the normalized volume difference between buy and sell orders near current prices. - **Order Flow Imbalance (OFI)**: Tracks aggressive taker orders that drive price changes. - **Queue Dynamics**: Analyzes order queue behavior, including hidden orders (icebergs) and spoofing (fake large orders to manipulate perception). - **Cancel Ratio (CR)**: Indicates liquidity withdrawal rates, signaling market instability. The article emphasizes that speed is MMs' absolute advantage. Lower latency enables faster reaction to market events, facilitating latency arbitrage by executing orders before competitors. In crypto exchanges, some players even get priority execution rights, highlighting the importance of speed and access. Finally, the author notes the complexity of real-world MM strategies and hints at future topics like dynamic hedging and options.

深潮12/28 04:11

The Advancing MM 3: Statistical Edge and Signal Design

深潮12/28 04:11

活动图片