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Bitcoin’s Most Reactive Investors Are Still Selling At A Loss – Details

Bitcoin is holding above $90,000 after testing resistance near $94,000, but momentum remains fragile. Analysts are monitoring the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH SOPR), particularly its 30-day moving average, to gauge market direction. Currently, STH SOPR is recovering from a cycle low near 0.982 and approaching the neutral threshold of 1.0, where short-term holders break even. This suggests selling pressure may be easing. However, if the indicator fails to hold above 1.0, it could signal continued uncertainty and potential downside. Historically, sustained bullish trends require short-term holders to return to profitability, reducing panic selling and supporting upward momentum. Until then, the market remains in a fragile balance.

bitcoinist01/08 04:07

Bitcoin’s Most Reactive Investors Are Still Selling At A Loss – Details

bitcoinist01/08 04:07

JasmyCoin surges 12%, breaks its range – Can this rise continue?

JasmyCoin (JASMY) broke out of a prolonged descending channel in early 2026, surging 35.14% from $0.0074 to a two-month high of $0.01, before retracing slightly to $0.0091. The rally was fueled by bullish momentum and significant investor interest, particularly in the futures market, where volume soared 1134% and open interest reached a four-month high. However, profit-taking intensified, leading to aggressive spot selling and a negative buy-sell delta. Technical indicators, including a bearish crossover in the Stochastic RSI, suggest potential weakness and a high risk of pullback. The future price movement hinges on whether bulls sustain demand or profit-takers drive the price down toward $0.0086.

ambcrypto01/08 04:03

JasmyCoin surges 12%, breaks its range – Can this rise continue?

ambcrypto01/08 04:03

Who Defines the "Facts"? The Truth About Power and the Potential for Malpractice in Polymarket's Adjudication Mechanism

Polymarket faces renewed criticism over fairness after intervening in a prediction market regarding a potential U.S. invasion of Venezuela. On January 4, Polymarket clarified that a U.S. operation to capture Venezuela’s president did not qualify as an “invasion,” causing YES shares (betting on invasion by January 31) to plummet and affecting user profits. This is not the first such incident. The platform relies on UMA’s oracle protocol for resolution. Each prediction market has predefined rules, but Polymarket may issue additional clarifications for unexpected events. Users can request clarifications via Discord. The resolution process requires a whitelisted address to propose an outcome with a security deposit (usually 750 USDC). If unchallenged within a window, it is accepted. If disputed, a debate and UMA token holder vote occur, with unbalanced incentives favoring challengers to ensure accuracy. However, ambiguities persist: rules may be incomplete or interpretable differently, platform neutrality is questionable (especially in geopolitics), and UMA’s governance—with only $100M FDV supporting Polymarket’s billions—is vulnerable to manipulation, as seen in past cases. Ultimately, users bet not on real-world outcomes, but on how rules are interpreted.

marsbit01/08 04:02

Who Defines the "Facts"? The Truth About Power and the Potential for Malpractice in Polymarket's Adjudication Mechanism

marsbit01/08 04:02

Ranger Public Offering Introduces New Features, Can a Grassroots Team Win Market Trust?

On January 6th, Ranger Finance, a DEX aggregator on Solana, launched its ICO for the RNGR token via the MetaDAO platform to raise funds and accelerate development. The project aims to address fragmented liquidity and poor execution quality in the derivatives market by using an intelligent order routing system that scans multiple venues for optimal trade execution. It also offers a unified interface for managing diverse trading positions and plans to introduce cross-margin support. The public sale, running until January 10th, has a minimum fundraising target of $6 million. If exceeded, Ranger will initiate a buyback plan to repurchase and burn tokens at the difference between the ICO and listing price. The total token supply is 25,625,000, with 10 million allocated to the ICO. Team tokens (29.6% of supply) are subject to performance-based vesting, unlocking at multiples of the ICO price (2x to 32x). Ranger raised $1.9 million in December 2024 from investors like RockawayX and Asymmetric. The team, including co-founders with backgrounds at SolanaFM and mtnCapital, is partially anonymous, which may pose trust issues despite alignment incentives. Currently, the ICO has raised $2.9 million from nearly 1,800 investors, with market predictions suggesting a high probability of exceeding $30 million.

marsbit01/08 03:56

Ranger Public Offering Introduces New Features, Can a Grassroots Team Win Market Trust?

marsbit01/08 03:56

Who Defines the "Facts"? The Truth About Power and the Potential for Malice in Polymarket's Resolution Mechanism

Polymarket, a prediction market platform, faces renewed criticism over fairness following its intervention in a market regarding a potential U.S. invasion of Venezuela. On January 4, Polymarket issued a clarification stating that the U.S. operation to capture Venezuelan President Maduro did not qualify as an "invasion," causing a sharp drop in the value of "YES" shares for the event occurring by January 31 and impacting user profits. This is not the first such incident. The article explains Polymarket’s resolution mechanism, which relies on the oracle protocol UMA. Each prediction market has predefined rules, but Polymarket can issue additional clarifications for unforeseen events, as in this case. The resolution process requires a whitelisted address to propose an outcome with a security deposit. If unchallenged, it is accepted. If disputed, a debate and UMA token holder vote occur, with unbalanced incentives favoring the challenger to ensure proposal quality. The core issues are ambiguity in rule interpretation and the centralization of power. Rules are inherently interpretable, and platform neutrality is complicated by its U.S. base and geopolitical biases. Furthermore, the UMA voting mechanism, though economically incentivized, remains vulnerable to manipulation by large token holders, as seen in a past incident where a $7 million market was inaccurately resolved. Ultimately, users are not betting on real-world outcomes but on how rules will be interpreted and enforced.

Odaily星球日报01/08 03:55

Who Defines the "Facts"? The Truth About Power and the Potential for Malice in Polymarket's Resolution Mechanism

Odaily星球日报01/08 03:55

Blockchain Security Science Popularization: Five Identification Techniques to Stay Away from Virtual Currency Pyramid Schemes

Blockchain Security Guide: 5 Tips to Identify and Avoid Virtual Currency Pyramid Schemes As blockchain technology gains popularity, virtual currencies have become a target for criminals who use them as tools for online pyramid schemes. These scams, often disguised as "blockchain innovations" or "virtual asset growth opportunities," lure victims with promises of "guaranteed returns,""overnight wealth," and "always rising values." Unlike traditional pyramid schemes, these operations leverage the decentralized and anonymous nature of cryptocurrencies, using high returns to encourage recruiting downlines. They are more hidden, spread faster, and cause greater harm. Common scam models include: 1. Fake contract exchanges that use pyramid-style commissions. 2. Staking mining schemes that lock funds and require recruiting others. 3. Wallet-based理财 (financial management) apps that use fake arbitrage earnings. 4. DeFi smart contracts that drain funds once deposited. 5. Quant trading bots that show fake profits and steal assets. Key risks: - Irreversible financial losses due to offshore fund transfers. - Legal liability for participants who recruit others. - Disruption of financial order and potential money laundering. - Damage to legitimate blockchain industry development. Regulatory red flags: China bans illegal virtual currency issuance and trading, with strict penalties for pyramid schemes under criminal law. To identify these scams, check if the virtual currency is used as an entry fee, a reward calculation tool, or a recruitment incentive. If profits depend on recruiting others rather than market fluctuations, it is likely a pyramid scheme. Conclusion: The core of these scams remains "recruiting members, multi-level rewards, and fund theft." Remember: high returns come with high risks; guaranteed profits are scams. Stay cautious, avoid greed, and verify projects through professional security services.

marsbit01/08 03:36

Blockchain Security Science Popularization: Five Identification Techniques to Stay Away from Virtual Currency Pyramid Schemes

marsbit01/08 03:36

Trump's Shopping Cart: Greenland, the Canal, and Canada

On April 4, 1949, the U.S. and Denmark were among the 12 founding members of NATO. Seventy-six years later, the U.S. threatened military action against Danish territory—Greenland—citing national security. Greenland, an autonomous region of Denmark with a population of 56,000, overwhelmingly opposes joining the U.S. This is not an isolated case. Former U.S. President Trump also targeted the Panama Canal, claiming China controlled it and that the U.S. should “take it back.” Although Chinese firm Hutchison Ports sold its stake, the canal remains under Panamanian control. Additionally, Trump suggested Canada become the “51st state” and join a missile defense system or face high tariffs. His approach mirrors real estate tactics: pressure, threaten, and act if refused—as seen in Venezuela. This transactional logic extends to crypto. Trump’s family launched World Liberty Financial, retaining 75% of token profits. Investments from figures like Justin Sun and Abu Dhabi’s sovereign fund coincided with regulatory relief and a pardon for Binance’s Changpeng Zhao. The article warns that undermining international rules—like NATO—threatens the very system that enables such power. If the U.S. dismantles the order it built, its influence may crumble.

marsbit01/08 03:21

Trump's Shopping Cart: Greenland, the Canal, and Canada

marsbit01/08 03:21

2026 Potential Airdrop Projects Mega List and Tutorial (Part 1)

An overview of 18 potential airdrop projects for 2026, with practical interaction guides. Projects include Abstract (an L2 for on-chain culture), PiP World (a gamified trading platform), Katana (a DeFi-focused blockchain by Polygon Labs and GSR), and Base (Coinbase’s L2 exploring a token). Others featured are oshi (fan engagement), Melee (prediction markets), Backpack (exchange/wallet), Exponent (Solana DeFi), PrismaX (robotics coordination), Fairblock (privacy protocol), Euphoria (derivatives trading), Extended (Perp DEX), Myriad (prediction markets), ETHGas (Gas fee solution), Glider (AI DeFi tool), Perena (DeFi yield), KAST (crypto payment card), and Ethos (on-chain reputation). Each entry includes a brief introduction, funding details, and step-by-step interaction methods such as earning XP, depositing funds, completing tasks, or joining waitlists. The guide emphasizes actionable strategies to qualify for potential airdrops.

Odaily星球日报01/08 03:12

2026 Potential Airdrop Projects Mega List and Tutorial (Part 1)

Odaily星球日报01/08 03:12

Barclays Backs Crypto Company Ubyx Amid Growing Stablecoin Clearing Race

Barclays has made its first direct investment in the stablecoin sector by acquiring an equity stake in Ubyx, a startup that provides a clearing and settlement layer for stablecoins. This move reflects a broader trend of traditional banks exploring digital currency infrastructure within regulatory boundaries. Ubyx aims to reduce market fragmentation by enabling standardized redemption and settlement of stablecoins across different issuers and blockchains. The investment aligns with Barclays' ongoing initiatives in digital money, including participation in a consortium exploring a G7-backed stablecoin and tokenized deposit pilots. While stablecoins like Tether dominate crypto liquidity, regulators remain cautious about systemic risks. Barclays' backing signals growing institutional interest in compliant stablecoin infrastructure.

bitcoinist01/08 03:11

Barclays Backs Crypto Company Ubyx Amid Growing Stablecoin Clearing Race

bitcoinist01/08 03:11

SUI rallies 36%, trading volume explodes 240% – But the market isn’t taking note

Sui Network (SUI) has experienced a significant but under-the-radar rally, with its price surging 36% in a week and reclaiming the $1.90–$2.00 price zone. Trading volume exploded by nearly 245%, driven by activity across DEXs, aggregators, and derivatives. Despite these strong performance metrics, social sentiment and market attention remain low, as louder assets like memecoins dominate discussions. Technical indicators such as RSI above 70 and a strengthening MACD suggest bullish momentum, with capital flow indicators confirming real money entering the market. While the token may be slightly overheated short-term, the rally appears sustainable and may reward patient investors, especially if broader altcoin momentum continues to build.

ambcrypto01/08 03:02

SUI rallies 36%, trading volume explodes 240% – But the market isn’t taking note

ambcrypto01/08 03:02

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