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Tokens, Models, and Bubbles: The Crypto × AI Game in the Primary Market

Based on a two-year retrospective, this article analyzes the convergence of Crypto and AI from a primary market perspective. Initially, the crypto space heavily promoted "Crypto Helps AI" through three main narratives: computation power tokenization, data tokenization, and model tokenization. However, these efforts largely resulted in what the author calls a "tokenization illusion"—projects that issued tokens but lacked real product-market fit or sustainable business models. The piece critiques these approaches: decentralized compute networks often fail to meet enterprise reliability standards; tokenized data struggles with supply-demand alignment due to low user motivation and high professional requirements; and model tokenization is fundamentally flawed since AI models are non-scarce, easily replicable, and depreciate quickly. Additionally, projects focusing on verifiable inference (like ZKML or OPML) are solutions in search of a problem, as real-world AI failures are rarely due to malicious tampering but rather design errors or misconfigurations. The author references Vitalik Buterin’s updated views, which now present a more balanced perspective compared to two years ago. Buterin outlines four quadrants of Crypto × AI integration: two where crypto (especially Ethereum) provides trustless, economic layers for AI agents and private interactions, and two where AI enhances crypto—through local LLMs acting as user shields for security and AI improving market efficiency and DAO governance. The conclusion emphasizes that meaningful progress lies at the intersection of both fields, beyond mere tokenization or speculative narratives, and expresses hope for more substantive developments in the future.

比推02/12 06:16

Tokens, Models, and Bubbles: The Crypto × AI Game in the Primary Market

比推02/12 06:16

After Mainland China's Document No. 42 Sets the Tone, What is the Best RWA Token Standard?

China's "Document No. 42" (Yin Fa [2026] No. 42), issued by the People's Bank of China and eight other departments, formally recognizes and regulates Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization, defining it as the use of encryption and distributed ledger technology to convert asset ownership or rights into tokens. The document establishes a compliance pathway, requiring domestic entities to file with the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) and separating RWA from unregulated virtual currencies. Globally, the RWA market has grown significantly, reaching $23.7 billion. The article analyzes various token standards and their evolution. Early standards like ERC-3525 and ERC-3475, designed for bonds and contracts, saw limited adoption due to complexity. In contrast, successful application-first models like Aave's aToken (using a scaled balance mechanism for automatic interest accrual) and Lido's stETH (using a daily rebase model) thrive by prioritizing user experience and compatibility. For equity tokenization, platforms like Ondo and xStock on Solana use a "chain shares + multiplier" rebase model within the Token-2022 standard, adjusting display values for corporate actions like stock splits. Major exchanges and wallets (Jupiter, Binance, MetaMask) are increasingly supporting these tokenized assets. The author concludes that while China's regulatory clarity is positive, true success depends on leveraging blockchain's advantages—24/7 liquidity, fractionalization, transparency, and automation—to create practical value, rather than just defining perfect standards. The evolution should focus on user-centric solutions that address real market gaps.

marsbit02/12 06:10

After Mainland China's Document No. 42 Sets the Tone, What is the Best RWA Token Standard?

marsbit02/12 06:10

Ads During the American Super Bowl Look Like Scams

The 2026 Super Bowl, often called the "American Super Bowl," was a spectacle of sports, entertainment, and high-stakes marketing. This year’s event featured three notable incidents that highlight the intersection of prediction markets, insider information, and viral marketing. First, a newly created account on the prediction market Polymarket placed nearly $80,000 in bets—with 17 out of 19 wagers correctly predicting details of the halftime show, including appearances by Lady Gaga and the absence of Travis Scott. The account’s near-perfect accuracy led to suspicions of insider trading, possibly linked to the event’s production team. Second, a trader named Alex Gonzalez ran onto the field during the game with promotional messages painted on his body. Reports indicate he had previously bet on such a field invasion occurring, after accounting for legal fees and bail, netted around $70,000. His actions blurred the line between predicting and creating events for profit. Finally, a viral “leaked” video showed influencer Logan Paul apparently betting $1 million on Polymarket during the game. It was later revealed to be a marketing stunt orchestrated by Polymarket itself, in which Paul has investment ties. Together, these events illustrate how prediction markets can be manipulated through insider knowledge, performative acts, and staged publicity—raising questions about authenticity in high-profile events.

marsbit02/12 05:55

Ads During the American Super Bowl Look Like Scams

marsbit02/12 05:55

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