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Trading Moment: Silver Plunges After Hitting New High, Institutions Warn of Precious Metals Correction Risk, Bitcoin Shows 'Dead Cat Bounce'?

Silver prices hit a record high above $84/oz before sharply retreating to around $78 amid profit-taking, dragging gold and other precious metals lower. While factors like Fed rate cut expectations and central bank buying persist, new supply concerns emerged as China plans export controls on silver from 2026. Institutions are divided: Goldman Sachs sees gold potentially surpassing $4,900, but UBS and Capital Economics warn of a correction, with silver possibly falling to $42 by end-2026. Bitcoin briefly reclaimed $90k but faces cautious sentiment, with analysts debating if it’s a "dead cat bounce" or a setup for a rally toward $112k. ETF outflows and low trading volume signal fragility, though some expect rotation from metals to crypto. Ethereum hovered near $3k, with key support at $2,775; a break could trigger a drop toward $1,800. Key data: BTC at $89,989, ETH at $3,033, fear index at 24. Over $151M liquidated in 24h. ETF flows: Bitcoin ETFs saw $782M outflows last week, Ethereum ETFs $102M. Notable events: Lighter TGE expected Dec 29, Flow hacked for $3.9M, and several tokens facing unlocks worth hundreds of millions.

marsbit12/29 07:14

Trading Moment: Silver Plunges After Hitting New High, Institutions Warn of Precious Metals Correction Risk, Bitcoin Shows 'Dead Cat Bounce'?

marsbit12/29 07:14

TPS is Just the Entry Ticket, Ordering Decides Success or Failure: On-Chain Transactions Enter a New Era of 'Application-Awareness'

The competition between blockchains has shifted from TPS (transactions per second) to transaction ordering, which critically impacts market maker behavior, liquidity depth, and pricing. Transaction ordering refers to how transactions in the mempool are sequenced and included in blocks. This process affects transaction cost, MEV (Maximal Extractable Value), success rate, and fairness. For market makers, the ability to cancel orders quickly during volatility is essential—failure leads to risks like sniping, where high-Gas transactions exploit pending orders, forcing wider spreads and reduced liquidity. Innovations are moving from generic, Gas-based ordering to "application-aware sequencing," where transaction intent and fairness rules take priority. Examples include: - Hyperliquid, which prioritizes cancellations and post-only orders at the consensus layer. - Solana’s Application Controlled Execution (ACE) and BAM nodes, allowing DEXs to set custom ordering rules (e.g., market-maker priority). - Chainlink’s SVR, which uses MEV auctions to redistribute value from liquidations triggered by oracle updates. These developments suggest that tailored transaction sequencing is becoming essential—not just an improvement—for on-chain trading, potentially enabling DEXs to surpass CEXs in efficiency and fairness.

marsbit12/29 07:11

TPS is Just the Entry Ticket, Ordering Decides Success or Failure: On-Chain Transactions Enter a New Era of 'Application-Awareness'

marsbit12/29 07:11

Deciphering Messari's 100,000-Word Annual Report (Part 2): ETH Underperforms BTC—Marginalization or Pricing Dilemma?

Analysis of Messari's 2025 Annual Report: Why ETH Underperformed BTC ETH's underperformance against BTC in 2025 is not a sign of its marginalization but rather a reflection of its complex and evolving pricing logic. While BTC thrives on a singular narrative as a macro hedge and institutional asset, ETH serves multiple roles: a decentralized settlement layer, DeFi infrastructure, and a production network with ongoing upgrades. Key data shows Ethereum's usage grew significantly in stablecoins, RWA, and institutional settlements, often occurring on L2s rather than L1. This shift reduced direct fee revenue for ETH, weakening its value capture despite increased network utility. Competition from chains like Solana and Hyperliquid further pressured L1 fee income, but Ethereum remained the dominant settlement layer for high-value, institutional-grade activity. ETH's asset narrative remains tied to BTC's macro momentum. While ETH ETF flows eventually improved, its monetary premium is still derivative of BTC's consensus. The core issue is structural: Ethereum is becoming essential global financial infrastructure, but ETH's value relies more on abstract security premiums and macro risk sentiment than direct cash flows. In conclusion, ETH is not being replaced. It operates as the financial operating system built atop BTC's monetary anchor—critically important, yet not yet independently priced.

marsbit12/29 07:02

Deciphering Messari's 100,000-Word Annual Report (Part 2): ETH Underperforms BTC—Marginalization or Pricing Dilemma?

marsbit12/29 07:02

BTC Price Jumps Near Year-End, 2026 Likely to Build on it

Bitcoin's price has surged near the end of the year, breaking the $90,000 mark and reaching $90,023.28 in the last 24 hours—a 2.74% increase. This upward movement comes after a period of struggle between $87,000 and $88,000, with market cap rising to over $1.79 trillion. Despite generally bearish sentiment and a low Fear & Greed Index, BTC is expected to maintain this bullish momentum into 2026. Predictions indicate a 3.55% rise in one month and nearly 17% in three months, potentially reaching around $103,282. By the end of 2026, Bitcoin is forecasted to reclaim its all-time high of $126,198.07, last seen in October 2025, and possibly aim for $150,000 depending on macroeconomic conditions. Michael Saylor’s recent comments have fueled speculation, though thorough research is advised before investing.

TheNewsCrypto12/29 07:00

BTC Price Jumps Near Year-End, 2026 Likely to Build on it

TheNewsCrypto12/29 07:00

2025 Crypto ETF Annual Review: Wall Street Bids Farewell to Wait-and-See, Regulatory Green Light Opens Multi-Asset Era

2025 Crypto ETF Year in Review: Wall Street Embraces Digital Assets as Regulatory Green Light Unlocks Multi-Asset Era The U.S. SEC's new regulatory approach in 2025 opened the door for a wave of cryptocurrency ETFs on Wall Street. Following the approval of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which saw massive net inflows of $57.7 billion and $12.6 billion respectively, the focus shifted to a broader range of assets. A pivotal change was the SEC's September approval of a universal listing standard for commodity-based trust shares. This new framework, which requires assets to trade on regulated markets with a six-month futures history, cleared the path for dozens of new crypto ETFs without needing individual asset approvals. Subsequently, the first spot XRP and Solana ETFs launched, attracting significant investor interest with net inflows of $883 million and $92 million. These products, some offering staking rewards, demonstrated strong demand for assets beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum. Looking ahead, the market is poised for a shift from retail to institutional adoption. Major firms like Vanguard and Bank of America are beginning to offer crypto ETF access to clients. Analysts predict that multi-asset crypto index ETFs will gain prominence, allowing professional investors to gain diversified exposure without deep knowledge of individual tokens. This institutional involvement is expected to reduce volatility and enhance the long-term sustainability of the crypto market.

marsbit12/29 06:26

2025 Crypto ETF Annual Review: Wall Street Bids Farewell to Wait-and-See, Regulatory Green Light Opens Multi-Asset Era

marsbit12/29 06:26

Rally Charging Ahead or Hitting a Wall? BNB Bulls Face a Key Test

Amid a broader crypto market surge of 2.52%, BNB has gained over 3.21%, rising from a low of $841.03 to a high of $869.40. Currently trading around $868, its market cap stands at $119.23 billion, with a 36.87% increase in daily trading volume reaching $2.1 billion. The key resistance level is near $870.91; a breakout could push prices toward $872.65, while a reversal might test support at $866.33. Technical analysis shows bullish signals: the MACD is above the signal line, the CMF indicates positive money flow, and the RSI at 70.29 suggests strong momentum—though it may be overbought. Bullish dominance is reinforced by a Bull Bear Power reading of 30.46.

TheNewsCrypto12/29 06:19

Rally Charging Ahead or Hitting a Wall? BNB Bulls Face a Key Test

TheNewsCrypto12/29 06:19

Santa Didn’t Come For Bitcoin ETFs: $782 Million Walks Out The Door

Spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced significant outflows of approximately $782 million during the Christmas week, reducing total net assets to around $113.5 billion. The outflows were led by major funds including BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC. Despite the withdrawals, Bitcoin price remained near $87,000. Market analysts attribute part of the decline to seasonal factors and reduced liquidity during the holidays, but data shows a broader trend of institutional outflows since early November. Meanwhile, gold and silver rallied, drawing some investment away from crypto. The divergence suggests a potential shift in institutional risk allocation, though flows may recover in early 2026 if monetary easing expectations strengthen and market conditions normalize.

bitcoinist12/29 06:13

Santa Didn’t Come For Bitcoin ETFs: $782 Million Walks Out The Door

bitcoinist12/29 06:13

The Man Who Struck a Chord with America's Social Sentiment Has Launched a Token

A man named Nick Shirley has become a viral sensation in the U.S. after releasing investigative videos exposing alleged fraud and corruption in Minnesota's daycare system. His footage, viewed hundreds of millions of times, showed a seemingly non-operational daycare that received $1.9 million in tax-free funding despite misspelling "learning" as "learing." The story attracted attention from high-profile figures like Vice President Vance and Elon Musk. Capitalizing on the momentum, Shirley launched his own creator token, $thenickshirley, on Base via Zora, earning over $41,000 in royalties. The incident also sparked meme token activity, including a token based on the misspelling "learing." Shirley has since openly shared his Venmo and crypto addresses for donations. This event is seen as a real-world experiment in creator monetization via blockchain—demonstrating how public influence can be directly converted into value through decentralized platforms, potentially signaling a new model for media and content economy.

Odaily星球日报12/29 06:08

The Man Who Struck a Chord with America's Social Sentiment Has Launched a Token

Odaily星球日报12/29 06:08

2025 Crypto Wallet Undercover Battle: Is Competing to Integrate Hyperliquid a Good Business?

In 2025, the crypto wallet sector is witnessing a quiet battle as major players like MetaMask, Phantom, and Bitget rush to integrate Hyperliquid's perpetual trading capabilities. This trend is driven by Hyperliquid's innovative Builder Fee and Referral mechanism, which allows third-party platforms to earn commissions by routing user trades. However, the integration is complex, with varying approaches: some wallets use Hyperliquid's open API for quick setup, while others deploy read-only nodes for better performance but higher costs. Despite initial hype and significant referral payouts (e.g., Phantom earned substantially more than MetaMask), the long-term viability is questionable. Hyperliquid's user base is highly concentrated, with a small number of whales generating most trading volume, making it challenging for integrated wallets to attract and retain meaningful users. Additionally, technical hurdles like rate limiting, data consistency issues, and high infrastructure costs further dampen prospects. While integration offers short-term ecosystem expansion, it may not be a profitable strategy long-term. Many wallets might eventually pivot to developing their own perpetual trading solutions or aggregating multiple protocols to capture real value beyond mere commission splits.

marsbit12/29 06:06

2025 Crypto Wallet Undercover Battle: Is Competing to Integrate Hyperliquid a Good Business?

marsbit12/29 06:06

If Quitting Smoking Could Earn You Coins: Vape-to-Earn is Testing a New Health Economy

This article introduces Whiffin, a Web3 project exploring "Vape-to-Earn" (V2E), a new model that incentivizes reduced nicotine use instead of promoting consumption. Unlike traditional e-cigarette companies that optimize for user addiction, Whiffin uses hardware sensors to track usage patterns—such as inhalation frequency and duration—and rewards users with on-chain tokens when they reduce consumption. The system employs AI to analyze behavioral data, predict usage triggers, and offer personalized reduction plans. Anonymized, aggregated user data also holds value for public health research, policy-making, and medical studies. By aligning economic incentives with health outcomes, Whiffin aims to pioneer "HealthFi," a potential trillion-dollar niche that uses blockchain to reward real-world behavioral improvement.

深潮12/29 06:02

If Quitting Smoking Could Earn You Coins: Vape-to-Earn is Testing a New Health Economy

深潮12/29 06:02

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