This Analyst Predicted The Dogecoin Price Crash, But There’s More To The Forecast

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-03-02Last updated on 2026-03-02

Abstract

An analyst who previously predicted Dogecoin's price crash warns that its recent recovery may be short-lived and could actually precede further declines. Despite being the leading meme coin, Dogecoin failed to reach new highs in the 2024-2025 rally and has shown significant structural weakness. It remains under a descending resistance trendline and is trapped within a supply zone, indicating continued selling pressure. The analyst notes a plateau in buying volume, suggesting large holders are distributing their coins during price spikes. Key support levels are identified at $0.09 and $0.08030 if the downtrend continues. A sustained bullish reversal would only occur if DOGE breaks above $0.10875 with strong momentum.

Despite maintaining its position as the leading meme coin in the market, Dogecoin has suffered immensely in the market decline. It failed to reach a new all-time high in the 2024-2025 market run-up and has crashed tremendously as selling ramped up. Even now, the bleed seems not to have stopped, with crypto analyst MyCryptoParadise warning investors that the recent recovery could be a crash.

Why The Dogecoin Pullback Could Be Temporary

The analysis focuses on Dogecoin’s recovery and its failure to break above any important levels. Instead, the crypto analyst explains that the meme coin is actually still respecting the descending resistance trendline. This failure to break shows that DOGE is still experiencing significant structural weakness.

Another important thing to note is that the price is still holding inside the 1-Hour supply zone, as well as the order block and Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. This means that the likelihood of the Dogecoin price moving downward is still higher than the possibility of a sustained recovery.

This also spreads into the volume spread, where there has been a plateau in buying action. This trend, the crypto analyst points out, shows that there is distribution happening for DOGE. Thus, it seems the big players are using these spikes to actually sell their holdings. This means that the recovery is unlikely to last long as the price just pumps into more dumping.

Source: TradingView

Mapping Out The DOGE Price Weakness

In addition to the points above, MyCryptoParadise also outlines a key weakness confirmation that has popped up on the Dogecoin chart. This was the fact that the meme coin was still under the upper trigger line of the buying climax. In a case like this, it points to supply being way too strong that demand cannot absorb it completely.

If this weakness continues, then the recovery could be stopped dead in its tracks. The first support of the downward move would be at $0.09, where buyers would have a chance to make their stance. However, a break below this level would trigger a move toward $0.08030.

Nevertheless, there is still a chance that the bulls could take over, and the analyst says that this can only happen if the Dogecoin price can break above the resistance at $0.10875. To completely invalidate the bearish scenario, this break would have to be done with strong momentum, and that would trigger a bullish continuation.

DOGE continues to push upward | Source: DOGEUSD on Tradingview.com

Related Questions

QWhat is the analyst MyCryptoParadise's main warning about the recent Dogecoin price recovery?

AThe analyst warns that the recent recovery could be a fakeout and might actually be a setup for a further crash, as it has failed to break above key resistance levels.

QAccording to the analysis, what are the technical indicators showing Dogecoin's structural weakness?

AThe indicators include the price respecting a descending resistance trendline, holding inside the 1-Hour supply zone, order block, and Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone, and a plateau in buying volume indicating distribution.

QWhat price level is identified as the first critical support if Dogecoin's weakness continues?

AThe first critical support level is at $0.09, where buyers might attempt to defend the price.

QWhat would need to happen for the bearish scenario to be completely invalidated?

AThe bearish scenario would be invalidated if the Dogecoin price breaks above the resistance at $0.10875 with strong momentum, triggering a bullish continuation.

QWhat does the analysis suggest about the actions of 'big players' or large holders during the price spikes?

AThe analysis suggests that big players are using these price spikes to distribute their holdings, meaning they are selling into the rallies, which contributes to the downward pressure.

Related Reads

WeChat Agent Issues a 'Heroic Summons,' Half of the Internet Responds

WeChat AI Agent is on the horizon. The WeChat Open Platform has issued a guide for developers, offering them ways to integrate into the WeChat AI ecosystem. This will enable mini-programs to be discovered and invoked by the AI. Meituan has already announced its integration, allowing users to access services like food delivery through WeChat AI. Other platforms like Ctrip and Tongcheng have followed suit. Furthermore, WeChat is collaborating with major smartphone manufacturers to enable their native AI assistants to perform actions within WeChat, such as initiating calls or sending messages, through a controlled protocol called Agent-to-Agent (A2A). Reports indicate the WeChat AI Agent will be accessible by swiping right on the main interface. It aims to understand user intent within the rich context of chats, groups, and past interactions, then automatically call upon relevant mini-programs to complete tasks like ordering coffee or booking restaurants. This positions it as a potential "super app" with direct access to WeChat's vast ecosystem of services, social connections, and payment systems. Technically, this is a complex endeavor. It requires advanced natural language understanding, a "world model" to predict interactions within mini-programs (UI-Oceanus), multi-model orchestration for cost efficiency, and careful coordination with millions of third-party service providers. Tencent's development follows a "Co-Design" approach, where product teams and the Hunyuan model team collaborate closely, allowing capabilities honed in other AI products (like Yuanbao for chat, ima for search, WorkBuddy for office tasks) to be transferred to the WeChat Agent. Tencent is strategically opting for the A2A protocol over GUI-based automation (which it has blocked in the past), maintaining control over its ecosystem. To manage the immense scale and cost of serving 1.4 billion monthly active users, Tencent is deepening its ties with DeepSeek, known for its cost-effective training, to secure a low-cost inference backbone. The ultimate goal is to solve practical, everyday problems for users within the WeChat ecosystem, moving beyond technical benchmarks to deliver real utility, which Tencent sees as the key to winning in the long-term AI game.

marsbit33m ago

WeChat Agent Issues a 'Heroic Summons,' Half of the Internet Responds

marsbit33m ago

Humanity Loses $31 Million in Attack, Token Price Plummets 90% Due to a Single Private Key

On June 9th, the digital identity project Humanity Protocol suffered a major security breach resulting in over $31 million in losses. According to on-chain analyst Specter, hundreds of wallets holding the project's H token were drained. The attack was confirmed by founder Terence Kwok to be caused by the compromise of a foundation member's private key. As a precaution, users are advised to avoid interacting with Humanity's cross-chain bridge or liquidity pools. The incident caused the H token price to crash over 90%, from around $0.70 to a low of $0.052, wiping its market cap from $2 billion to approximately $35.7 million. The attacker allegedly minted 100 million new H tokens and is selling them for BNB. This breach adds to existing controversies surrounding Humanity Protocol. Founded in 2024, it aimed to verify human users via palm-print biometrics and zero-knowledge proofs. However, a leaked conversation in 2025 revealed that only about 1 million of its 9 million claimed Human IDs had completed biometric verification, suggesting 88% might be bots. Furthermore, the project has faced allegations of being a repackaged product from a Chinese access control vendor, raising privacy and authenticity concerns. Founder Terence Kwok's previous venture, Tink Labs, a hotel smartphone startup that raised $170 million, failed and entered bankruptcy in 2020 after burning through its funding. The current attack highlights the persistent critical issue of private key management in crypto. Unlike smart contract exploits, a private key compromise bypasses all on-chain security mechanisms. With no user compensation plan announced yet, this $31 million breach may be a final blow to the project's credibility, already weakened by previous controversies and a heavily depreciated token.

marsbit1h ago

Humanity Loses $31 Million in Attack, Token Price Plummets 90% Due to a Single Private Key

marsbit1h ago

MicroStrategy Will Not Die in This Downturn: Reflexivity, STRC Anchoring Back to Par, and the Self-Rescue Logic of "Sell Stock, Not Bitcoin"

This article analyzes the recent sharp decline in Bitcoin and MicroStrategy (MSTR), framing it as a targeted "reflexivity" attack. The trigger was MSTR using its cash reserves to buy back convertible notes, raising market concerns about a liquidity crisis. The playbook follows George Soros's principle: market expectations can shape reality. Fears that MSTR might be forced to sell BTC caused panic selling, lowering BTC's price and worsening MSTR's financial ratios, thus reinforcing the negative narrative. The author argues that MSTR's Structured Convertible (STRC), while falling in price, is a floating-rate security that will eventually return to par value (100). The price drop reflects the market demanding a higher yield due to perceived risk, but as a floating-rate instrument, its coupon can adjust, naturally pulling the price back to par over time. This is crucial for MSTR's continued ability to raise funds. The core thesis is that MSTR's best move to counter the attack is to **issue new equity (sell shares)**, not sell its Bitcoin holdings. While selling BTC would solve the immediate cash crunch, it would destroy the company's core investment thesis and premium. It would dilute the BTC per share, likely erase the market premium over its net asset value (mNAV > 1), and worsen its debt-to-asset ratio. Issuing shares while mNAV is high (e.g., 1.25x) allows MSTR to raise cash for reserves without harming shareholder value or the "perpetual accumulation" narrative. It improves the debt ratio and reassures STRC holders, breaking the negative reflexivity cycle. In conclusion, while MSTR could survive this episode even by selling BTC, doing so would fundamentally alter its investment proposition and weaken it for future cycles. The optimal, value-preserving strategy is to sell equity to rebuild reserves and maintain the long-term growth flywheel.

marsbit1h ago

MicroStrategy Will Not Die in This Downturn: Reflexivity, STRC Anchoring Back to Par, and the Self-Rescue Logic of "Sell Stock, Not Bitcoin"

marsbit1h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of S (S) are presented below.

活动图片