# Strait of Hormuz Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Strait of Hormuz", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

From Threat to Ceasefire: How Did the U.S. Lose Its Dominance?

From escalating threats to a sudden ceasefire, the US appears to have lost its dominant position in the confrontation with Iran. The conflict has entered a more complex phase where ceasefire and strategic maneuvering coexist. A key shift lies in the reversal of the diplomatic structure: rather than forcing Iranian concessions through military action, the US has been drawn into a negotiation framework based on Tehran’s "Ten-Point Plan." Although Washington has not formally accepted all terms, its de facto recognition of Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz marks a significant strategic retreat. This has allowed Iran to regain diplomatic and economic leverage. The outcome is counterintuitive: the conflict has not weakened Iran but instead restored its deterrence capability. Meanwhile, the failure of US military means has undermined the credibility of American threats, forcing any future negotiations to be based on genuine compromise. However, the ceasefire remains fragile, with localized clashes continuing and Israel’s actions adding further uncertainty. The situation remains on the brink of escalation, highly dependent on external variables. More profoundly, a conflict originally intended to pressure or even topple the Iranian regime may instead consolidate its internal power structure. The US has shifted from a dominant party to a negotiator, while Iran has moved from a pressured state to an active player. The confrontation has thus entered a longer-term and more complicated stage.

marsbit04/09 17:03

From Threat to Ceasefire: How Did the U.S. Lose Its Dominance?

marsbit04/09 17:03

Iran’s $1 toll could cost ships 281 Bitcoin each through Strait of Hormuz

Iran is reinforcing Bitcoin's role as a censorship-resistant asset by proposing BTC payments for tolls on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Following a ceasefire, Iran announced a $1 per barrel of oil charge, meaning a fully loaded ship could owe roughly 281 BTC (equivalent to $2 million). A spokesperson stated vessels would have seconds to pay via Bitcoin network to avoid traceability and sanctions. While the Chinese Yuan was previously accepted, the addition of BTC is notable for bypassing Western financial systems. The news sparked reactions, with some, like Jack Mallers, hailing it as a step toward BTC becoming a global reserve currency, while others, like Arthur Hayes, remain skeptical without on-chain proof. Iran has a significant history of using digital assets to circumvent sanctions, with its crypto activity previously surging to nearly $8 billion.

ambcrypto04/09 08:37

Iran’s $1 toll could cost ships 281 Bitcoin each through Strait of Hormuz

ambcrypto04/09 08:37

A 20% Oil Shortage: Why It Could Trigger Systemic Collapse?

A 20% global oil shortage is not a simple supply gap but a trigger for systemic risk through three behavioral chains: hoarding, speculation, and capital waiting for rivals to collapse. While strategic reserves and workarounds mask the physical deficit temporarily, market psychology amplifies the crisis. Once confidence erodes—signaled by depleting reserves or confirmed supply gaps—a rapid repricing occurs, akin to a bank run. Current market calm, despite real-world disruptions like factory shutdowns and fuel rationing, reflects fragile consensus. The critical period is mid-to-late April, when buffer exhaustion may be confirmed. The crisis hinges not on absolute scarcity but on widespread belief in its possibility, potentially leading to economic contraction, stagflation, and social unrest. Historical parallels include the 1973 oil crisis and 2008 financial collapse.

marsbit04/08 09:07

A 20% Oil Shortage: Why It Could Trigger Systemic Collapse?

marsbit04/08 09:07

Iran greenlights crypto for Strait of Hormuz tolls – Is BTC ultimate war hedge?

Iran now accepts cryptocurrency payments for tolls from ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, highlighting crypto's emerging role as a hedge during geopolitical turmoil and inflation. While Bitcoin saw a recent 4.06% price increase, it continues to underperform gold and struggles to break out against the U.S. dollar. Market data indicates Bitcoin is in a stabilization, not recovery, phase, remaining weaker compared to traditional assets like gold—which leads in market cap rankings—while Bitcoin ranks 12th. Despite this, Bitcoin dominance stands at 59.02%, and influential figures like Michael Saylor express strong confidence in its long-term value. Analysts suggest crypto markets will retain a geopolitical risk premium until there is clarity on conflict resolution.

ambcrypto04/07 00:02

Iran greenlights crypto for Strait of Hormuz tolls – Is BTC ultimate war hedge?

ambcrypto04/07 00:02

Trump Says US Leaving Iran Soon — What This Means For Bitcoin And Oil

President Trump announced the U.S. may withdraw military forces from Iran within two to three weeks, conditional on achieving its military objectives. This news prompted immediate market reaction, with oil prices cooling and stocks rising as fears of a Strait of Hormuz blockade eased. However, ongoing strikes indicate potential continued volatility. Bitcoin, trading around $68,500, is highly sensitive to these developments. A swift U.S. exit could trigger a relief rally in risk assets like Bitcoin, while prolonged conflict could cause investors to flee to traditional hedges. The situation remains uncertain as the U.S. aims to degrade Iran's capabilities before departing.

bitcoinist04/01 21:32

Trump Says US Leaving Iran Soon — What This Means For Bitcoin And Oil

bitcoinist04/01 21:32

Soaring Oil Prices No Longer Drive Up Interest Rates, What Is the Market Afraid Of?

Oil prices surged nearly 60% in March 2026—the steepest monthly rise since Brent crude's inception in 1988—after the Strait of Hormuz closed, cutting off 17.8 million barrels per day of oil flow. Historically, such spikes pushed inflation expectations and bond yields higher, but this time, the 10-year Treasury yield fell sharply from 4.44% to 3.92% in late March, signaling a decoupling. This divergence reflects a market shift: growth risks now outweigh inflation concerns. Bond markets are betting on recession rather than persistent inflation. Historical oil shocks—like those in 1973, 1979, 1990, and 2008—often preceded economic downturns. The sole exception was the 2022 spike, which triggered severe inflation instead. Market expectations pivoted rapidly. Earlier, traders anticipated rate cuts, but by late March, weak consumer confidence and manufacturing data drove bets toward Fed dovishness. Chair Powell emphasized monitoring whether the supply shock is temporary, but the bond market has already priced in recession risks. If stagflation emerges—as during 1973–1982—real assets like gold and commodities may outperform, while stocks and bonds could suffer. The 60/40 portfolio would be particularly vulnerable. Analysts project Brent could average $115–125 in April, with a peak of $150 possible if the Strait remains closed. The bond market’s verdict is clear: fear of recession dominates.

marsbit03/31 03:05

Soaring Oil Prices No Longer Drive Up Interest Rates, What Is the Market Afraid Of?

marsbit03/31 03:05

Predicting 'When Will Trump End the War'? Here Are the Five Key Points

Based on a Barclays Capital analysis, the article outlines five key factors that will determine the end of the Iran war and its critical impact on global energy markets. Since the conflict began on February 26, 2026, oil prices have surged, with Brent crude up 44%. The war's duration will dictate if oil prices return to a base case of $85/barrel or surpass $110. The five catalysts are: 1. **Military Objectives:** The US aims to destroy Iran's missile capabilities and secure the Strait of Hormuz. The timeline remains uncertain as Iran retains some offensive capacity. 2. **Congressional Funding:** The War Powers Act sets a hard deadline of May 31, 2026, for ending hostilities without congressional authorization, which is unlikely to be granted. 3. **US Casualties:** Rising casualties could further erode the war's already fragile public support, currently at a 41% approval rating. 4. **Gasoline Prices:** The key political threshold is the national average of $5/gallon, a peak seen under President Biden. Exceeding it would increase pressure to end the war. 5. **Trump's Personal Decision:** The President could unilaterally declare victory and end the conflict, but this timing is highly unpredictable. Barclays concludes that the risk to oil prices is skewed to the upside, as current market reactions are less panicked than in previous crises, and the situation reflects a genuine physical supply disruption.

marsbit03/27 07:45

Predicting 'When Will Trump End the War'? Here Are the Five Key Points

marsbit03/27 07:45

What Comes After the Smoke Clears? 5 Possible Outcomes of the Middle East War

Some are calling this the most severe oil crisis since the 1970s. Gas stations in Thailand and Vietnam have run out of fuel, forcing people to work from home. Chip factories in South Korea are worried about helium shortages. Japan has begun negotiating oil purchases from Alaska. Food aid agencies in Africa are concerned about where to find grain if the war continues for another three months. These events highlight the widespread and chaotic global impact of the ongoing Middle East conflict. Since the war began, the Strait of Hormuz has effectively shut down, suspending nearly 20% of the world's crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) supply. Oil prices surged 40% from pre-war levels, exceeding $110 per barrel, with Iran publicly aiming to push it to $200. Additionally, an attack on Qatar’s Ras Laffan LNG facility—which accounts for 20% of global LNG trade—could take years to restore to full capacity.

marsbit03/25 12:02

What Comes After the Smoke Clears? 5 Possible Outcomes of the Middle East War

marsbit03/25 12:02

US-Iran Negotiations Countdown: What Cards Does Trump Hold?

Summary: On March 23, Trump announced a 5-day suspension of planned strikes on Iran’s energy infrastructure, citing "productive dialogue" and "major consensus." However, Iran’s parliament speaker denied any direct talks. This marks the 7th time since 2018 that Trump has threatened Iran but only fully followed through twice—withdrawing from the JCPOA in 2018 and launching "Epic Fury" in February 2026. Brent crude fell 10.92% to around $100 after the delay announcement, reflecting market skepticism. Three scenarios post-deadline are possible: a temporary freeze agreement (oil at $80–90), extended talks (oil at $95–110), or resumed strikes with Hormuz blockade (oil up to $150+). Trump’s demands go far beyond the 2015 nuclear deal, including zero uranium enrichment and halting missile development. Current indirect mediation via Turkey, Egypt, and Pakistan lacks the structure of past multilateral talks. If talks fail, Trump’s options include strikes on power plants or Kharg Island (handling 90% of Iran’s exports), tariffs on nations trading with Iran, and cyber operations. Iran can counter by blocking the Strait of Hormuz (20% of global oil transit) for months and using its remaining missiles. Both sides face a credibility trap—military escalation risks oil price spikes, while repeated delays weaken threat credibility. The 5-day window is part of an ongoing high-stakes cycle.

比推03/24 12:49

US-Iran Negotiations Countdown: What Cards Does Trump Hold?

比推03/24 12:49

Trump’s 48-Hour Iran Warning Triggers Market Volatility Across Stocks, Oil and Crypto

President Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran, demanding the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and threatening to destroy key power facilities if not complied with. Iran responded by warning it could fully close the strait and attack energy and water infrastructure in the Gulf. Financial markets reacted strongly, with U.S. stock futures declining, oil prices rising, and gold initially dropping. Cryptocurrencies followed equities downward as investors grew cautious. Analysts warn oil could surge above $150 per barrel if the situation escalates, potentially causing broader market declines and energy supply disruptions. The situation remains tense with no active diplomatic talks, and global markets are closely monitoring developments.

TheNewsCrypto03/23 07:15