# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Cycle

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Cycle", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Bitcoin Mining Companies Flee for the Nth Time

Since late last year, major publicly traded Bitcoin mining companies have initiated a significant wave of Bitcoin (BTC) sell-offs. Cango sold about 60% of its holdings (4,451 BTC) in February, Bitdeer liquidated its entire Bitcoin inventory in January, Riot Platforms sold 3,778 BTC in the first quarter, and Core Scientific planned to sell approximately 2,500 BTC. Notably, Marathon Digital (MARA) sold 15,133 BTC in just three weeks in March, cashing out over $1 billion, while also cutting 15% of its workforce as part of a strategic shift toward becoming an energy and digital infrastructure company. This collective divestment is driven by three primary motives. First, mining has become unprofitable for many; the average cash cost to mine one BTC is approximately $79,995, while BTC trades around $68,000–70,000, resulting in an average loss of about $19,000 per coin. Second, AI data centers offer a more stable and lucrative alternative, with tech giants like Google, Microsoft, and financial institutions like Morgan Stanley providing substantial backing and contracts. Mining companies are repurposing their existing infrastructure—cheap power contracts, data centers, and cooling systems—toward AI, which promises higher, predictable margins. Third, some firms are using BTC sales to optimize their balance sheets, such as repurchasing convertible debt at a discount to reduce liabilities and avoid equity dilution. The industry is diverging into three paths: some, like CleanSpark and HIVE, are坚守 (holding fast) to mining, betting on a cyclical recovery; others, like MARA and Riot, are pursuing a dual strategy of maintaining BTC holdings while expanding into AI; and a third group, including Core Scientific and TeraWulf, is undergoing a full pivot to AI, where mining may become a secondary operation. The future of these companies heavily depends on Bitcoin’s price trajectory. If BTC surpasses $100,000 by late 2026, mining profitability could recover. If it remains below $80,000, high-cost miners may continue to exit. If it breaks all-time highs, the industry could see another expansion cycle. Ultimately, this shift raises a broader question about Bitcoin’s security budget, as miners redirect resources to AI, the long-term cost of securing the Bitcoin network may become a growing concern. However, historically, the network has emerged stronger after each mining shake-out, though this time the transition is structural and could have lasting implications.

marsbit04/03 09:09

Bitcoin Mining Companies Flee for the Nth Time

marsbit04/03 09:09

Dialogue with Pantera Founder: Bitcoin Has Reached Escape Velocity, Leaving Traditional Assets Behind

Dialogue with Pantera Capital founder Dan Morehead on Bitcoin's trajectory and the shifting financial landscape. Morehead, who first bought Bitcoin at $65, remains confident it is the "most asymmetric trade" in history due to its vast upside potential versus minimal downside risk for global portfolios, as most institutional allocations remain near zero. He observes that Bitcoin market continues to follow predictable four-year cycles. The recent 50% drawdown from its peak is seen as a normal correction within this cycle—less severe than previous crashes—and likely near a bottoming zone, with a potential 6-8 month consolidation period. Morehead argues that Bitcoin’s role as a 24/7 globally-traded asset makes it the first to be sold during geopolitical stress, creating short-term correlation spikes, though its long-term correlation with traditional assets like the S&P 500 remains low (~0.1-0.2). He reframes the narrative around gold’s rise: it’s not that gold is hitting new highs, but that fiat currencies are hitting historic lows due to persistent devaluation. He highlights a generational shift: younger populations, priced out of traditional assets like housing, are turning to crypto as a rational alternative. Geopolitical fragmentation is accelerating the "separation of money and state," increasing demand for neutral, non-sovereign stores of value. Notably, he points out that this may be the first major trade where "smart money" is late: retail and tech-savvy users lead, while large institutional portfolios remain largely unallocated. Regulatory attitudes in the U.S. have also shifted from hostile to supportive, particularly concerning stablecoins, which he believes could capture half of the bank deposit market in a decade due to superior usability. Morehead is also bullish on Solana for its high-throughput capabilities, positioning it as a potential "digital highway" for applications beyond Bitcoin’s store-of-value function. He views current crypto valuations as deeply oversold and disconnected from equities, which are expensive relative to bonds and trendlines. Having weathered multiple cycles, Morehead believes Bitcoin has achieved "escape velocity." Major risks like exchange failures, hacks, or regulatory crackdowns have been overcome. He concludes that a global, smartphone-native monetary system is an inevitable evolution, with profound implications for financial inclusion.

marsbit04/02 14:56

Dialogue with Pantera Founder: Bitcoin Has Reached Escape Velocity, Leaving Traditional Assets Behind

marsbit04/02 14:56

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