# CFTC Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "CFTC", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Will January 15 end crypto’s regulatory gray zone in the U.S.?

The U.S. Senate Banking Committee has scheduled a critical markup session for January 15 on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY), which aims to resolve the regulatory "turf war" between the SEC and CFTC and provide legal clarity for crypto. Despite bipartisan House support, the bill faces three major hurdles: DeFi regulation, token classification, and stablecoin rewards. It requires 60 votes to advance, making bipartisan agreement essential. Prediction markets show increased optimism, with a 69% chance of passage by May. However, the approaching 2026 midterm elections threaten to delay the bill into 2027 if not resolved by spring. The outcome will determine whether crypto exits its regulatory gray zone or remains in limbo.

ambcrypto01/01 14:02

Will January 15 end crypto’s regulatory gray zone in the U.S.?

ambcrypto01/01 14:02

Why Did It Take Prediction Markets Nearly 40 Years to Explode?

This article explores the explosive growth of prediction markets in 2025, which saw an estimated 400% increase in trading volume, reaching $40 billion, and a user base growing to 15 million. It examines why, despite existing since the 1980s (e.g., Iowa Electronic Markets), prediction markets only recently surged in popularity. Key factors for the 2025 boom include major regulatory progress. The CFTC approved platforms like Polymarket as designated contract markets, allowing them to operate legally in the US. This compliance enabled wider distribution, integration into major apps like Robinhood, and attracted institutional investment, with both Polymarket and Kalshi securing over $1 billion in new funding. Regulatory clarity also allowed for a diversification of event types, including sports and crypto, which now dominate trading volume. The article contrasts prediction markets with traditional gambling, noting the US government distinguishes them based on their "positive externalities." Unlike sportsbooks that set odds, prediction markets facilitate peer-to-peer betting, aggregating collective knowledge to improve information efficiency and decision-making, which regulators view as socially beneficial despite gambling-like elements. A provocative section discusses insider trading. Some argue that insiders using non-public information on anonymous, decentralized platforms like Polymarket can enhance market accuracy and serve as a form of information discovery. However, this may harm retail trader trust and long-term liquidity. In conclusion, the convergence of regulatory approval, product improvement, and AI-driven tools created a perfect environment for prediction markets to thrive in 2025, though questions about fairness, competition, and global adoption remain open.

marsbit12/31 03:49

Why Did It Take Prediction Markets Nearly 40 Years to Explode?

marsbit12/31 03:49

Times Square Goes Crypto: XRP “589” Catches Ex-CFTC Chair’s Eye

Times Square's New Year's Eve display for 2026, consisting of the numerals "2026," was constructed using 589 LED bulbs. This specific number sparked significant reactions within the XRP community, as "589" is a recurring motif in its online circles. The coincidence led to widespread sharing of content and speculation on social media platforms. Former CFTC Acting Chair Caroline Pham, now at MoonPay, added to the buzz by reacting to the footage with rocket emojis. However, no official endorsement or connection between the event organizers and XRP exists. Mainstream news outlets reported on the display's logistics without mentioning crypto, and analysts caution against interpreting the coincidence as meaningful financial guidance. The event is largely seen as an example of how online communities rapidly identify and spread patterns.

bitcoinist12/30 04:01

Times Square Goes Crypto: XRP “589” Catches Ex-CFTC Chair’s Eye

bitcoinist12/30 04:01

Countdown to the Midterm Elections: Can the U.S. Crypto Bill Pass?

The next year is critical for U.S. cryptocurrency legislation, with advocates estimating a 50-60% chance of a comprehensive digital asset regulatory bill becoming law by 2026. Bipartisan discussions are ongoing, but several contentious issues remain. Key challenges include regulatory jurisdiction between the SEC and CFTC, the treatment of interest-bearing stablecoins (a point of tension between banks and crypto firms), DeFi regulation, and concerns over anti-money laundering protocols. Additionally, former President Donald Trump’s financial interests in crypto have raised ethical questions. The CFTC also faces significant commissioner vacancies, complicating its expanded role. Legislative progress is under pressure due to the upcoming midterm elections. The Senate Banking and Agriculture Committees are working to merge competing bills, which must then align with the House’s recently passed legislation. If the Senate fails to advance the bill by January, prospects dim as election priorities take over. Despite obstacles, regulatory clarity is seen as essential for broader crypto adoption and institutional involvement.

marsbit12/25 10:47

Countdown to the Midterm Elections: Can the U.S. Crypto Bill Pass?

marsbit12/25 10:47

Tiger Research: One Year into the Trump Administration, the Transformation of the U.S. Crypto Industry

Under the Trump administration's second term, the U.S. has aggressively shifted toward pro-cryptocurrency policies, aiming to integrate the industry into the existing financial regulatory framework rather than suppress it. Over the past year, key agencies including the SEC, CFTC, and OCC have implemented significant changes: the SEC moved from enforcement-heavy approaches to creating clearer rules for token classification; the CFTC recognized Bitcoin and Ethereum as commodities and allowed their use as collateral; the OCC granted national trust bank charters to major crypto firms like Circle and Ripple, enabling federal-level operations. Congress passed the GENIUS Act, establishing strict reserve requirements for stablecoins. Despite internal tensions—such as debates over privacy tools like Tornado Cash—the U.S. is advancing a cohesive strategy to absorb crypto into traditional finance, reducing uncertainty while supporting innovation and aiming to position itself as the global center for the industry.

marsbit12/25 02:16

Tiger Research: One Year into the Trump Administration, the Transformation of the U.S. Crypto Industry

marsbit12/25 02:16

Can the U.S. Crypto Bill Pass Before the Midterm Elections?

This article examines the prospects of the U.S. Congress passing a comprehensive crypto regulatory bill before the midterm elections in 2026. Industry advocates estimate a 50-60% chance of success, citing ongoing bipartisan discussions. Key legislative efforts include market structure bills from the Senate Banking and Agriculture Committees, which aim to clarify regulatory jurisdiction between the SEC and CFTC and create a new category for certain digital assets. Major sticking points include the regulation of interest-bearing stablecoins, with banks warning of market distortions while crypto advocates emphasize fair practices. Other challenges involve DeFi oversight, anti-money laundering rules, and concerns over the SEC's dominant role in classifying tokens. Additionally, former President Trump’s financial interests in crypto ventures and ethics concerns have drawn legislative scrutiny. The CFTC’s current vacancies and potential government shutdowns further complicate the timeline. Experts stress that progress must be made by early 2026 to avoid election-related delays. Failure to pass a bill could hinder institutional adoption, though advocates remain hopeful for renewed efforts if the legislation stalls.

比推12/24 21:22

Can the U.S. Crypto Bill Pass Before the Midterm Elections?

比推12/24 21:22

From 'Infrastructure on the Blockchain' to 'Tax-Free Payments': Understanding the 'Panorama' of the U.S. Crypto Strategy

The U.S. is advancing a comprehensive crypto strategy aimed at integrating digital assets into the mainstream financial system through regulatory, infrastructural, and tax reforms. Recent developments include the appointment of Michael Selig as CFTC Chairman, who is committed to advance crypto market structure legislation, and a bipartisan proposal to exempt certain stablecoin payments from capital gains tax and defer staking income recognition for five years. These moves, combined with the DTCC’s blockchain integration for settlement, signal a coordinated effort to reduce regulatory uncertainty, clarify jurisdictional boundaries between the SEC and CFTC, and lower transactional and tax friction. The overall direction indicates a shift toward a more compliant, low-friction environment conducive to the broader adoption of crypto assets.

marsbit12/24 02:09

From 'Infrastructure on the Blockchain' to 'Tax-Free Payments': Understanding the 'Panorama' of the U.S. Crypto Strategy

marsbit12/24 02:09

US crypto legislation and policies to watch out for in 2026

The US crypto regulatory landscape is expected to undergo significant changes in 2026 following policy shifts under the Trump administration. Key legislation includes the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, which aims to establish clear regulatory guidelines and could grant the CFTC more authority over digital assets. The GENIUS Act, signed into law in 2025, will establish a federal regulatory framework for payment stablecoins, with implementation expected in 2026. This is anticipated to encourage greater participation from banks and financial institutions, potentially transforming payments and settlements. Additionally, Texas, Arizona, and New Hampshire have passed laws allowing state-level crypto reserves, with Texas already investing in Bitcoin. Leadership of the CFTC remains understaffed, with nominations pending as of late 2025.

cointelegraph12/23 18:01

US crypto legislation and policies to watch out for in 2026

cointelegraph12/23 18:01

Crypto.com says market maker boosts liquidity, denies trading edge on customers

Crypto.com is establishing an internal market-making team to support its expansion into prediction markets, a move it states is fully compliant with regulations and designed to boost liquidity. The company denies its internal team has any unfair advantage, asserting it does not get a "first look" at customer orders or proprietary data. It emphasized that all market makers operate under the same rules to ensure fairness and that proprietary trading is not a revenue source. The practice is common among competitors like Kalshi and Polymarket, which also use market makers to provide liquidity.

cointelegraph12/23 16:38

Crypto.com says market maker boosts liquidity, denies trading edge on customers

cointelegraph12/23 16:38

CFTC Welcomes New Leadership, Accelerating Legislation on Cryptocurrency Market Structure

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has appointed Michael Selig Sworn as its new chairman, following his confirmation by the Senate on December 18, 2025. Nominated by President Trump, Selig previously served as chief legal counsel for the SEC’s Crypto Assets Task Force and played a key role in shaping regulatory frameworks for digital assets. Selig’s appointment signals a shift toward clearer, innovation-friendly regulation of crypto markets. He has emphasized reducing unnecessary enforcement actions and compliance burdens on businesses, while supporting Congressional efforts to pass digital asset market structure legislation. His background is expected to help improve coordination between the CFTC and SEC. Challenges ahead include resource constraints at the understaffed CFTC and the current unusual situation of Selig being the only commissioner. His leadership is likely to advance the agency’s focus on balancing market integrity with support for financial innovation, in line with the Trump administration’s goal to strengthen U.S. leadership in digital finance.

比推12/23 12:18

CFTC Welcomes New Leadership, Accelerating Legislation on Cryptocurrency Market Structure