# CFTC Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "CFTC", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Kalshi Teams Up with Coinbase, Robinhood, and Others to Form Prediction Market Alliance, Aiming to End the 'Casino' Argument

Kalshi, a leading prediction market platform, has formed the Coalition for Prediction Markets (CPM) alongside major platforms including Coinbase, Robinhood, Crypto.com, and Underdog. This move is a strategic response to increasing regulatory pressure and opposition from traditional gambling lobbyists, particularly following legal challenges in states like Connecticut and Nevada. The coalition aims to advocate for the prediction market industry, counter misinformation, and push for federal-level regulation, arguing that prediction markets are distinct from gambling. They emphasize that prediction markets generate valuable public information, outperform traditional polls by approximately 30%, and are used by nearly half of Americans under 45. With the industry valued at $28 billion as of October and platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket each exceeding $10 billion in valuation, the sector is expanding rapidly. Kalshi’s CEO, Tarek Mansour, asserts that attacks from gambling interests are motivated by profit protection rather than consumer safety. The CPM will focus on promoting transparency, market integrity, and customer protection while leveraging federal jurisdiction to overcome state-level regulatory obstacles. This development signals the maturation of prediction markets as a significant new internet-driven sector, potentially surpassing traditional gambling in relevance and utility.

Odaily星球日报12/12 10:42

Kalshi Teams Up with Coinbase, Robinhood, and Others to Form Prediction Market Alliance, Aiming to End the 'Casino' Argument

Odaily星球日报12/12 10:42

The 20% Threshold Audit: Which of the Top 20 Cryptocurrencies Will Perish Under the CLARITY Act?

**Audit of the Top 20: Which Cryptocurrencies Will the CLARITY Act Kill?** Scheduled for a final push in December 2025, the U.S. CLARITY Act introduces a critical 20% threshold. If any single entity or affiliated party controls more than 20% of a network's token supply or validation power, the asset is classified as a "digital security" under the SEC's strict jurisdiction. If it remains below, it is a "digital commodity" under the more lenient CFTC. An audit of the top 20 cryptocurrencies reveals a stark divide: **The Safe Haven (Digital Commodities):** * **Bitcoin (BTC):** 0% control. The gold standard of decentralization. * **Ethereum (ETH):** <1% control. Highly dispersed validators and foundation holdings. * **Dogecoin (DOGE) & Litecoin (LTC):** Near 0% control. Their simple, early PoW issuance is now a major compliance advantage. **The Red Zone (At High Risk):** * **XRP:** High risk. Ripple's massive escrowed holdings could be deemed "entity-controlled." * **BNB:** High risk. Strong association with Binance exchange and its controlled burn mechanism. * **TON:** High risk. Historically concentrated supply from early mining. * **Sui & Aptos:** Extreme risk. Classic "VC coins" with teams, investors, and foundations holding over 50%. * **Layer 2 Tokens (e.g., ARB, OP):** Medium-High risk. Their DAO treasuries often hold 30-40+% of supply, which could be viewed as a single entity. **The Grey Zone:** * **Solana (SOL):** Its status is unclear. FTX's collapse dispersed supply, but the foundation and VC holdings remain a focus for regulators. The 360-day grace period will trigger a market reckoning. Projects may desperately airdrop or burn tokens to dilute control, accept a security" label and face liquidity death on major exchanges, or be preemptively delisted. The outcome will be a "gentrification" of crypto, splitting the market into compliant, institutional "digital commodities" and a shadowy world of illiquid "digital securities." Investors must now scrutinize token distribution or risk being locked out of liquidity.

marsbit12/12 09:40

The 20% Threshold Audit: Which of the Top 20 Cryptocurrencies Will Perish Under the CLARITY Act?

marsbit12/12 09:40

Decade-Long Tug-of-War Concludes: "Crypto Market Structure Bill" Races Toward Senate

After a decade of regulatory uncertainty, the U.S. is advancing the "Cryptocurrency Market Structure Act" (CLARITY Act), which is expected to move into the Senate for revision and voting next week. The bill, which passed the House with overwhelming support in July, aims to end the long-standing debate over whether digital assets are securities or commodities by introducing a clear classification framework. The core of the legislation distinguishes between "digital commodities" and "digital securities." Most tokens issued on decentralized blockchains will be classified as digital commodities under CFTC jurisdiction, while only those meeting the Howey test will remain regulated as securities by the SEC. The bill also establishes a "mature blockchain" exemption, allowing highly decentralized networks like Bitcoin and Ethereum to avoid SEC registration. Additionally, digital commodity trading platforms must register with the CFTC, with a 360-day interim registration period to ensure a smooth transition. The act mandates coordination between the CFTC and SEC through a joint advisory committee to prevent regulatory gaps. It also protects decentralized finance (DeFi) participants by exempting non-custodial, non-profit roles from broker-dealer regulations. This legislative push aligns with broader regulatory shifts under the Trump administration, which has appointed crypto-friendly leaders to key agencies like the SEC, CFTC, and FDIC. These changes, along with recent CFTC initiatives to allow spot crypto trading on regulated platforms, signal a structural shift toward embracing digital assets. The bill is poised to complement earlier stablecoin legislation, positioning the U.S. as a potential global leader in crypto regulation and attracting institutional investment, though challenges in DeFi oversight and international coordination remain.

marsbit12/12 09:14

Decade-Long Tug-of-War Concludes: "Crypto Market Structure Bill" Races Toward Senate

marsbit12/12 09:14

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