# Stocks Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Stocks", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Someone Predicts South Korean Stock Market with Hyperliquid, Achieving 74% Accuracy?

A study analyzed whether weekend price movements of four Korean stock perpetual futures contracts (Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor, and EWY) on Hyperliquid could predict their Monday opening directions on their respective primary exchanges (KRX, NYSE). Over 62 weekend observations across the four assets, Hyperliquid correctly predicted the Monday opening direction 45 times (73.8% accuracy). However, performance varied significantly. Samsung Electronics showed the strongest and statistically significant signal, with Hyperliquid's weekend close correctly predicting its KRX Monday open in 15 out of 16 cases (94% accuracy, p-value < 0.001). This signal remained strong (75% accuracy) even when using Saturday's close instead of Sunday's, suggesting genuine price discovery beyond last-minute convergence. Hyundai Motor also showed high accuracy (81%, 13/16 correct), but this was not statistically significant after accounting for a baseline downward bias in its Monday opens. SK Hynix performed marginally better than a coin flip (63%, 10/16). EWY performed the worst (54%, 7/13), underperforming a simple strategy of always predicting a Monday rise. The stark difference between Samsung and EWY is largely attributed to market timing. KRX opens shortly after Hyperliquid's Sunday close, while NYSE opens ~14 hours later, allowing new information to flow in. The results suggest that for assets like Samsung Electronics, where weekend trading on Hyperliquid precedes the primary market open by only minutes, the platform can provide a valuable predictive signal worth monitoring before the Monday auction, despite the currently small weekend trading volumes.

Foresight News11h ago

Someone Predicts South Korean Stock Market with Hyperliquid, Achieving 74% Accuracy?

Foresight News11h ago

Trading Time: Bitcoin Remains Under Pressure, Gold Price Falls Below Key Moving Average, Market Focus on Tonight's CPI

**Market Overview: Risk Assets Under Pressure Ahead of Key US CPI Data** Major risk assets faced selling pressure on Tuesday, with heightened geopolitical tensions and caution ahead of pivotal US inflation data weighing on sentiment. The Nasdaq fell 0.97%, led lower by a sharp sell-off in major tech stocks like Apple. Oil prices (WTI) plunged over 3% to around $88.50. **Key Assets in Focus:** * **Gold:** Spot gold tumbled to the $4,200 level, breaking below its 200-day moving average. Analysts cited ETF outflows and higher real yields, with support now eyed near $4,100. * **Bitcoin:** Continued its decline, with ETFs seeing net outflows. Analysts warn a break below $60,000 could trigger a move toward $50,000. * **Stocks:** Tech and semiconductor stocks were hit hard. Super Micro Computer sank on dilution fears, while a bearish research report triggered a crash in optical communication stocks like AAOI and Coherent. **Tonight's Macro Catalyst: US CPI** All eyes are on the US May CPI report. Headline inflation is forecast to rise to multi-year highs (~4.3%), driven by energy, while core CPI is expected to show moderation. **Asia-Pacific Markets Tumble** Asian markets followed US tech losses. South Korea's KOSPI index crashed 6.46%, briefly triggering a trading halt, and Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 2.49%. Semiconductor stocks like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix led declines. **Crypto Market Notes:** Ethereum shows weakness with declining open interest. Two tokens, SAHARA and Humanity (H), suffered extreme volatility due to a misreported "sell-off" and a hack involving massive token minting, respectively. Key upcoming events include potential SpaceX stock listing and token unlocks for Magic Eden and HOME.

marsbit13h ago

Trading Time: Bitcoin Remains Under Pressure, Gold Price Falls Below Key Moving Average, Market Focus on Tonight's CPI

marsbit13h ago

Internet-Famous Institution Battles White-Haired Stock God: What Does the Report That Crashed CPO Stocks Actually Recommend?

The recent sell-off in optical stocks is not about CPO's validity but a reassessment of its *timeline*. A report by SemiAnalysis suggested NVIDIA's CPO mass production could be delayed to 2028-2029, challenging market expectations for rapid 2027-2028 volume ramp-up, causing corrections in stocks like AAOI and LITE. This sparked a debate. SemiAnalysis argues CPO's complexity and reliability challenges, particularly for large-scale data centers, could slow its adoption, benefiting intermediate solutions like NPO (near-packaged optics) and traditional pluggable modules. In response, analyst Serenity counters that NVIDIA's strong supply chain influence could accelerate the CPO adoption cycle. She cites signals like Lumentum's significant CPO orders for H1 2027 and NVIDIA's own announcements of CPO switches entering production. The core debate is the *slope* of CPO's rollout. The disagreement won't be settled by reports but by production data in 2026-2028—actual order volumes, yield rates, and field reliability will determine the timeline. While cautious on the near-term CPO ramp, SemiAnalysis highlights five alternative investment areas: Copper/AEC/ACC, Pluggable Optics/DSP, CPO Test Equipment, Power/UPS, and Board-level Power components. The market is now pricing not if CPO will happen, but how quickly.

marsbit16h ago

Internet-Famous Institution Battles White-Haired Stock God: What Does the Report That Crashed CPO Stocks Actually Recommend?

marsbit16h ago

Dialogue with Macro Analyst: AI Dries Up All Liquidity in US Stocks, $40K Bitcoin is the Bottom

**Summary of Interview with Macro Strategist Luke Groman** Macro strategist Luke Groman, founder of FFT LC, analyzes market liquidity, AI dominance, and geopolitical tensions to present a bearish view for Bitcoin. * **Key Theses:** * The stock market rally is narrow, driven primarily by a handful of AI stocks, which are sucking liquidity from other assets, including Bitcoin, which he sees as a liquidity "smoke alarm" now signaling trouble. * Despite strong stock performance in dollar terms, he expects stocks to decline significantly when measured in gold or Bitcoin. The US economy faces structural challenges, with sovereign debt having a 100% historical failure rate at current levels. * Geopolitics are key: the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz is a major US strategic failure, creating stagflationary pressures. China's control of rare earths processing and a move towards a "no ticky, no washy" proof-of-work settlement system (involving physical gold and possibly Bitcoin) are reshaping global trade. * AI's growth is fueled by aggressive accounting that front-loads revenue, masking cash burn. The paradox is that if AI is as transformative as valuations suggest, it will destroy jobs, but admitting this is politically untenable. * **Outlook for Bitcoin:** * Groman sold most of his Bitcoin holdings near the top and has not re-entered the market in size. * He believes technical analysis points to a potential bottom for Bitcoin in the $40,000 - $50,000 range in Q3/Q4.

marsbit17h ago

Dialogue with Macro Analyst: AI Dries Up All Liquidity in US Stocks, $40K Bitcoin is the Bottom

marsbit17h ago

Taiwanese Nodes on the AI Industry Chain: 9 Taiwanese Stock Picks Favored by 'New Stock God' Serenity

Investment analyst Serenity has spotlighted 9 Taiwanese stocks positioned within three key themes of the AI hardware supply chain: CPO (Co-packaged Optics), ASIC (Application-Specific Integrated Circuits), and Compound Semiconductors. For the CPO theme, anchored by TSMC's COUPE platform expected to mass produce in 2026, Serenity highlighted five stocks: FOCI (fiber array unit supplier), Shunsin Technology (optical packaging & testing), Xintec (wafer-level packaging & testing), MSSCorps (inspection/measurement tools), and Nextronics (connectors & thermal modules). Regarding the ASIC theme, driven by hyperscalers' custom chips, three companies were named: Alchip (design services for AWS), Unimicron (ABF substrates for Google TPU/AWS), and MediaTek (potential collaboration on Google TPU). A singular, strong conviction pick is Win Semiconductor, a compound semiconductor foundry and leader in InP/GaAs, seen as a beneficiary in areas like laser sources for silicon photonics and LEO satellite communications. Serenity argues that current valuations are not in a bubble, geopolitical risks are overstated, and the real systemic risk lies not in cross-strait tensions but in potential future cuts to hyperscaler (Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta, Oracle) capital expenditure—the primary driver of the current AI infrastructure boom.

marsbitYesterday 09:10

Taiwanese Nodes on the AI Industry Chain: 9 Taiwanese Stock Picks Favored by 'New Stock God' Serenity

marsbitYesterday 09:10

The AI Bear Market Lasting Two Days Is Over; Why Did Funds Buy Back Storage Stocks First?

After a severe two-day selloff in early June that erased over $1 trillion from U.S. chip stock market value, capital is flowing back first to the memory sector. The correction was not driven by a collapse in AI demand but rather a market reassessment of high expectations. Stocks like Broadcom faced selling pressure despite strong AI revenue guidance, signaling a shift in focus from who has an "AI story" to who can most rapidly translate AI demand into verifiable profits and earnings per share (EPS). Memory companies, such as Micron and SK Hynix, are leading the recovery because their EPS growth is more immediately verifiable. The AI server boom directly increases demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and high-capacity server DRAM, tightening supply and driving up contract prices for conventional DRAM and NAND Flash. This price increase, coupled with a shift to higher-margin products, flows directly into near-term revenue and profitability, as evidenced in recent earnings reports. In contrast, other AI semiconductor segments like GPUs, ASICs, and optical modules, while central to the long-term AI infrastructure story, face longer and less certain paths to EPS validation. Their growth depends more on future product cycles, customer adoption timelines, and capital expenditure plans. The rebound in memory stocks highlights a market preference for assets with shorter, more transparent EPS conversion cycles following the recent de-risking phase. However, this does not negate the potential of other AI hardware segments should they provide clearer near-term order visibility. The episode has raised the validation bar for all AI-related investments.

marsbitYesterday 07:57

The AI Bear Market Lasting Two Days Is Over; Why Did Funds Buy Back Storage Stocks First?

marsbitYesterday 07:57

US Stocks Too Expensive? This Top CIO Scoured the Globe and Found 5 Stocks More Attractive Than NVIDIA

Summary: Main Street Research CIO James Demmert maintains his bullish 8,100 target for the S&P 500 but argues that greater opportunities now lie overseas. He identifies five international stocks with superior valuations poised to benefit from the AI revolution, suggesting international markets will outperform the US for years. Key Recommendations: 1. **ASML (Netherlands):** A foundational chip manufacturing technology provider, offering crucial AI exposure and geographic diversification. Demmert's top long-term pick. 2. **HSBC (UK/Asia):** A global bank with a 9x P/E ratio, better growth prospects than US peers like JPMorgan, and strong Asian presence. 3. **Siemens Energy (Germany):** A direct play on global power grid expansion driven by AI, crypto, and EV electricity demand. 4. **BHP Group (Australia):** A "hidden AI play" and "second derivative" of the trend due to massive copper demand for data centers. Trades at a 16x P/E. 5. **AstraZeneca (UK):** An undervalued healthcare stock with a strong pipeline (18x P/E, >20% growth), expected to benefit from AI's impact on medicine. Core Thesis: International outperformance is driven by both attractive valuations and a major policy shift. While the US tightens fiscal policy, Europe and Japan are launching unprecedented stimulus, reigniting growth. Demmert recommends allocating 45% of a portfolio internationally, citing excessive US investor conservatism as a key mistake.

marsbitYesterday 02:11

US Stocks Too Expensive? This Top CIO Scoured the Globe and Found 5 Stocks More Attractive Than NVIDIA

marsbitYesterday 02:11

Nasdaq Plunges 4.2% in a Single Day: Does "Black Friday" Burst the U.S. Stock Market Bubble?

The Nasdaq plunged 4.18% on June 5, 2026, its worst single-day drop in over a year, as a much stronger-than-expected US jobs report triggered fears of economic overheating and delayed Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. The selloff, centered on high-valuation tech and AI stocks like Nvidia and Broadcom, spread across major indices. The article examines whether this signals a market top. The strong May non-farm payrolls data, nearly double expectations, pushed bond yields higher, directly hurting rate-sensitive tech stocks. This exposed vulnerabilities in the crowded AI trade, where valuations had soared on narratives of infinite growth, despite emerging signs of slowing order momentum and corporate AI monetization challenges. Prior to the drop, market indicators flashed warning signs: historically high valuations (e.g., Shiller CAPE ratio near 39.5), extreme bullish sentiment, and high levels of leverage. Technical charts showed key support levels being breached. Wall Street is divided on the outlook. Bears, citing risks of "stagflation" and AI bubble comparisons to the dot-com era, warn of a potential significant correction. Bulls view the drop as a healthy correction within a bull market, underpinned by a strong economy and expected corporate earnings growth of around 7% in 2026. The immediate future hinges on upcoming key events: the May CPI inflation data and the mid-June FOMC meeting. Their outcomes will critically shape market expectations for the Fed's rate path. The article concludes that conditions for a major market top are aligning, marking a fragile transition from narrative-driven gains to a phase demanding validation from macroeconomic data and corporate fundamentals. Caution is advised.

marsbit2 days ago 10:41

Nasdaq Plunges 4.2% in a Single Day: Does "Black Friday" Burst the U.S. Stock Market Bubble?

marsbit2 days ago 10:41

BofA's Hartnett: Brace for the 'June Storm', US CPI to 'Burst the Bubble'

Bank of America strategist Hartnett warns of a potential "June storm" for markets, with an unexpectedly high US CPI print set to be the key catalyst. Historical data shows that when CPI surpasses 4%, the S&P 500 has historically fallen by an average of 4% over the next 3 months and 7% over 6 months. A confluence of risks threatens to puncture the tech asset bubble. Global central banks, notably the Fed under Chair Warsh, are tilting hawkish to combat inflation, risking a sharp rise in long-term bond yields. Market sentiment is at an extreme, with BofA's internal indicators flashing a strong "sell signal." Further pressure comes from record liquidity drainage due to mega IPOs like SpaceX, alongside key non-economic events. Hartnett concludes that risk assets are in an extremely fragile position, facing a severe test from macro events, policy shifts, and tightening liquidity in June.

marsbit2 days ago 03:03

BofA's Hartnett: Brace for the 'June Storm', US CPI to 'Burst the Bubble'

marsbit2 days ago 03:03

TechFlow Intelligence Bureau: Chip Stocks Lose Trillions in a Single Day, Bitcoin Falls Below $60,000, US-Iran Conflict Escalates

**Daily Tech & Markets Roundup: AI Advances, Market Turmoil, and Geopolitical Tensions** **AI / LLMs**: Anthropic's internal report on AI self-improvement sparked serious discussions about Recursive Self-Improvement (RSI). Meanwhile, debate continues on AI coding tools after Claude was accused of introducing bugs into the rsync codebase. In positive news, DeepSeek V4 Flash impressed in local deployment tests, and GitHub Copilot now supports custom endpoints for local models. A surprising research turn suggests removing chain-of-thought prompting can sometimes improve LLM performance. **Crypto / Web3**: Bitcoin plunged below $60,000, with its RSI hitting levels last seen during the COVID-19 crash, driven by strong U.S. jobs data reviving interest rate hike fears. Discussions highlight Ethereum DeFi's continued lack of a smooth consumer payment layer. **Chips / Hardware**: Chip stocks suffered a massive sell-off, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index posting its worst single-day drop in six years, erasing over a trillion dollars in value. Marvell, Micron, AMD, and Intel were among the biggest losers. **Tech Companies**: A leaked Microsoft document revealing goals to make Copilot "addictive" drew criticism. LinkedIn founder Reid Hoffman left Microsoft's board to focus full-time on his AI agent startup, Manus. Google was revealed to be paying SpaceX $920 million monthly for AI training compute. **Markets & Macro**: A blowout U.S. jobs report (172k vs. 80k expected) crushed hopes for near-term rate cuts, sending Treasury yields soaring and triggering a broad market sell-off. CEOs from Kraft, McDonald's, and Whirlpool simultaneously warned U.S. consumers are exhausting their savings. **Geopolitics**: U.S.-Iran tensions escalated with missile/drone interceptions and U.S. strikes on Iranian radar sites, keeping the critical Strait of Hormuz largely closed since late February and posing ongoing oil supply risks. **The Bottom Line**: The strong jobs data acted as a single trigger for correlated sell-offs across equities, crypto, and chips. Underlying the volatility is a stark contradiction between robust employment data and warnings of consumer weakness, alongside geopolitical risks that could reignite inflation, leaving markets to price in a fraught macro outlook with no clear "soft landing" path.

marsbit06/06 11:02

TechFlow Intelligence Bureau: Chip Stocks Lose Trillions in a Single Day, Bitcoin Falls Below $60,000, US-Iran Conflict Escalates