【大行情酝酿中】比特币即将迎来下一波爆发？信号已出现！

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-06-23Last updated on 2025-06-23

Abstract

目前的情况是永久持有者的需求和交易所销售减少的强大组合。

  • 交易所流动性下降表明卖方压力有限
  • 过去两个月，永久持有 BTC 的需求一直在增长

比特币[BTC]短期内失去了上涨势头，并在6月份形成了新的区间波动。截至发稿时，6月份突破11.05万美元的尝试已告失败，但过去几天也守住了10.48万美元的支撑位。

12小时图显示，在10.48万美元处出现了一个看涨突破块（白色方框），该块构成了支撑位。基于从10.03万美元到11.05万美元的冲击性反弹，我们还绘制了一组斐波那契回撤位。

10.42 万美元和 10.25 万美元的水平值得关注。与此同时，6 月份的月度开盘价和高点分别为 10.46 万美元和 11.02 万美元，是上述短期区间水平。跌破 10.48 万美元的看涨突破点位，意味着价格可能重新回到 10 万美元。

尽管短期价格走势呈现区间波动，且动能不确定且波动，但长期持有者仍保持看涨信念。这种现象被称为“筑底”，即价格走势进入区间形态，并随着长期投资者增持而盘整。

比特币在下一轮上涨之前处于盘整阶段

加密货币分析师Axel Adler Jr在 X 的一篇文章中指出，有强有力的证据表明，基础建设确实正在进行。例如，这位分析师观察到 USDT 和 USDC 平均每日流入中心化交易所的情况。

12月份，这些资金流入达到了1310亿美元的高点。6月份，这一数字下降到相对微薄的700亿美元。这一数字比365天移动平均线低了50亿美元。

稳定币流入量的下降反映了过度看涨势头的降温。价格在 10 万美元上方区间波动，表明持有者可能愿意观望并限制抛售。

最后，分析平台CryptoQuant观察到累积地址需求的 30 天移动平均值稳步增长。分析师Julio Moreno表示，这些地址主要由积累 BTC 且“从不进行支出交易”的参与者组成。

当前形势是：永久持有者的需求、交易所抛售的减少，以及比特币在10万美元心理关口上方盘整，这些因素共同构成了强有力的组合。所有这些因素似乎都发出了一个强烈的信号，表明持有者应该为未来几周价格大幅上涨做好准备。

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459 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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