AI Agent 代币是 DeepSeek 革命中的真正输家

marsbitPublished on 2025-01-26Last updated on 2025-02-04

人工智能(AI)代币的市场市值达数十亿美元,资本池的规模让许多初创公司都感到羡慕。然而,它们却被一个精简高效的团队击败。

要点:

  • 中国的 DeepSeek 因其极其高效的模式而颠覆了人工智能(AI)领域。这个模式与 OpenAI 竞争,但其建造成本仅为 OpenAI 的一小部分。
  • 许多 AI 代币因此下跌,整体表现比 CoinDesk 20 指数的跌幅还要大,整个行业的亏损更为严重。
  • 这在某种程度上类似于加密游戏项目,虽然它们的市值曾达到数十亿美元,但却未能开发出能吸引玩家兴趣的游戏。

在周一的亚洲早盘交易时段,AI 代币普遍下跌,CoinGecko 上的 AI 类代币下跌了 9%,表现出比 CoinDesk 20 指数更为惨淡的局面。后者作为一个较广泛的加密货币指数,跌幅为 5%。

加密投资者,像传统金融领域的投资者一样,可能正在消化 DeepSeek 这一新兴 AI 模型对行业带来的影响。

根据 DeepSeek 在 Hugging Face——一个 AI 行业论坛上发布的数据,其模型在性能上超越了 OpenAI,而这一切仅仅是在 600 万美元预算和 OpenAI 所使用的显卡(GPU)数量的极小部分下完成的。OpenAI 最近刚刚完成了一个价值 66 亿美元的融资轮,估值超过 1570 亿美元。

对于那些长期看好 GPU 市场的投资者来说,最令人担忧的是,DeepSeek 的效率高到可以在手机上运行的程度。


GPU 暴跌影响最大的一些 AI 代币


自然而然,表现最差的 AI 代币往往是那些与 GPU 关联最深的代币。小型市值的 Nodes.AI,这是一家提供 GPU 接入服务的公司,根据 CoinGecko 的数据,其代币下跌了接近 20%。相比之下,Aethir(尽管其市值远高于 Nodes.AI)同样提供类似的 GPU 服务,但跌幅仅为 6%,略微高于 CoinDesk 20 指数的跌幅。


来自加密游戏的教训


尽管 DeepSeek 对 OpenAI、英伟达及其他转向 AI 的科技巨头来说是一个巨大的压力,但它对加密项目的启示更加迫切——这对那些曾经见证过加密行业进入游戏领域的老玩家来说,或许并不陌生。

尽管加密 AI 项目有着丰富的资本储备,但它们却未能创造出像 DeepSeek 那样具有革命性或吸引力的产品。

根据 CoinGecko 的数据,加密游戏行业(GameFi)的市场总值为 190 亿美元。如果该行业内最大的几个项目,如 Sandbox、GALA 或 Decentraland,能跻身全球前 30 大游戏公司,它们将与负责著名游戏系列的传统游戏公司并列。

然而,尽管这些项目的市值庞大,它们却未能获得与传统游戏公司同等的成功。


代币


根据 DappRadar 的数据,去年区块链游戏获得的投资是自 2020 年以来最低的,仅有 18 亿美元流入区块链游戏和元宇宙项目,同比下降了 38%。

尽管区块链游戏的日活跃钱包数去年飙升了 421%,该行业在整体加密市场中的占比仍徘徊在 26% 至 29% 之间,DeFi 则稳居领先地位。即便如此,这一比例仍低于 Steam 上的游戏。

此外,Steam 上一些较老且不太受欢迎的游戏,尽管其背后的公司市值远低于 GameFi 巨头,它们的玩家群体反而更大。多年来,许多加密游戏未能建立起可持续的用户基础。

因此,目前可以说,加密行业在满足金融以外的应用场景需求方面仍面临挑战。

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