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区块律动Published on 2018-09-24Last updated on 2024-09-18

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The Crypto Scene Is Dead, Perpetual Swaps Are Eternal

The crypto industry is undergoing a fundamental shift. The era defined by minting novel, native digital assets (altcoins) is fading. These assets, lacking real-world cash flows or clear value, are losing relevance as attention and capital flow elsewhere. Two powerful external forces are reshaping the space. First, traditional assets like U.S. stocks, bonds, gold, and oil are being tokenized and traded on-chain. Second, the explosive growth of AI, with its tangible products, has overshadowed crypto's once-dominant "future narrative." This marks a critical pivot: crypto is transitioning from being a "factory for new assets" to becoming a "global conduit for existing assets." Its validated utility is not complex financial reinvention but efficient global settlement, transfer, and trading—the original promise of blockchain. Stablecoins like USDT and USDC exemplify this, offering faster dollar movement rather than replacing it. Consequently, native ecosystems like Ethereum face profound challenges. While still crucial infrastructure, ETH struggles to capture value as users interact with Layer 2s or trade traditional assets without needing to hold it. DeFi's grand narrative of rebuilding finance has narrowed to core needs like cheap transfers and deep liquidity. The true breakout innovation is the perpetual contract (Perp). It brilliantly bypasses the complexities of direct asset ownership (custody, compliance, dividends) by creating pure price exposure. Users can speculate on the price movement of *any* asset—NVIDIA, gold, oil—24/7, globally, and with leverage. This "price casino" model, while risky and ethically fraught, delivers unmatched liquidity and accessibility. Projects like Hyperliquid succeeded not by inventing new mechanics but by perfecting the timing and execution of this model. Key drivers included making on-chain Perps feel like centralized exchanges, post-FTX trust migration towards transparency, and rising demand to trade macro assets and equities round-the-clock. In conclusion, the crypto world's most enduring successes are the dollar (via stablecoins), Bitcoin, and trading. Its new frontier is not creating alternative assets but providing a seamless, perpetual trading layer—a new API—for the world's existing financial system. The age of native altcoins is over; the age of perpetual synthetic exposure has begun.

Odaily星球日报4m ago

The Crypto Scene Is Dead, Perpetual Swaps Are Eternal

Odaily星球日报4m ago

After Marvell's 32% Surge, the Chinese Chip Family Behind It Emerges

The stock price of Marvell Technology surged 32.5% on June 2nd, driven by NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang highlighting its custom ASICs and optical interconnects as core to AI data center architecture. This event brought attention to the Chinese semiconductor family behind Marvell: the Dai siblings. The story centers on three siblings, all UC Berkeley graduates, whose three-decade entrepreneurial journey aligns with major semiconductor industry shifts. In 1995, youngest sister Dai Wei Li co-founded Marvell with her husband Sehat Sutardja and his brother, focusing on storage controllers. Eldest brother Dai Wei Min founded EDA company Ultima, later sold to Cadence, and later founded VeriSilicon (芯原) in China, becoming a leading semiconductor IP provider. Second brother Dai Wei Jin co-founded EDA firm Silicon Perspective (sold to Cadence) and GPU IP company Vivante, later acquired by VeriSilicon. The combined "Dai-Sutardja" family network extends beyond Marvell. Their ventures and investments form a comprehensive ecosystem for the post-Moore's Law, chiplet era. Key holdings include: Dream Big Semiconductor (AI SuperNICs, acquired by Arm), Alphawave (high-speed SerDes IP, acquired by Qualcomm), and Silicon Box (a chiplet advanced packaging foundry). VeriSilicon itself thrives on the AI ASIC and IP boom in China. Collectively, the family's AI infrastructure-related portfolio is estimated at over $22 billion. Their strategy represents a distinct path: building critical components for open standards and key manufacturing capacity in the chiplet era, rather than pursuing standalone AI chip dominance. While this path may not create the next NVIDIA, it has enabled repeated successful exits and sustained influence within the global semiconductor industry.

marsbit1h ago

After Marvell's 32% Surge, the Chinese Chip Family Behind It Emerges

marsbit1h ago

Microsoft is Afraid of Being Marginalized by AI Giants

Microsoft, once the defining force of the PC era, now faces a familiar challenge in the AI age: the risk of being relegated to a profitable but invisible infrastructure provider. This anxiety was laid bare at Build 2026, where CEO Satya Nadella unveiled a major strategic pivot. The catalyst was a quiet April agreement that dissolved Microsoft's exclusive licensing and cloud-hosting deal with OpenAI, its once-vital partner. This erased Microsoft's key AI moat. With OpenAI and Anthropic defining AI applications and gaining enterprise traction—even within Microsoft's own ranks—Nadella had to answer: without exclusivity, what is Microsoft's role? The answer was a suite of seven in-house AI models, a developer-focused AI workstation (Surface RTX Spark Dev Box), and, most crucially, the Agent 365 platform for enterprise AI governance. The models, notably targeting Anthropic's strengths in coding and enterprise, signal a defensive move. However, the broader strategy is to make the models themselves less decisive. Financially, Microsoft's AI revenue is strong, driven largely by Azure running others' models. Yet its user-facing products like Copilot show weak penetration and engagement. Microsoft earns infrastructure money but lacks direct user mindshare. Nadella's core fear is being "hollowed out." As OpenAI and Anthropic prepare for IPOs and gain financial independence, they may build their own infrastructure, threatening Azure's lucrative AI revenue stream. Microsoft's window is to entrench itself deeper: not as the model creator, but as the indispensable platform for securely deploying, managing, and governing all AI models within the enterprise through Agent 365. Build 2026 revealed Microsoft's bet: in the AI era, the ultimate power lies not in any single model, but in the enterprise "operating system" that controls them. Nadella is determined to ensure Microsoft is the driver of this new era, not just a passenger.

marsbit1h ago

Microsoft is Afraid of Being Marginalized by AI Giants

marsbit1h ago

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