Michael Saylor Says Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Is Over, But This Is A Good Thing For Price

bitcoinist發佈於 2026-04-08更新於 2026-04-08

文章摘要

Michael Saylor, founder of MicroStrategy, declares Bitcoin's traditional four-year halving cycle is over, viewing it as a positive development for its price. He argues Bitcoin has achieved global acceptance as a form of digital capital, and its price will now be driven by institutional capital flows rather than cyclical patterns. Saylor believes future growth will be fueled by traditional bank credit and digital lending, which could lead to more stable appreciation. He warns the main risk is harmful changes to the Bitcoin protocol. In response, critic Peter Schiff disputes the consensus on Bitcoin's status, agreeing that capital flows dictate price but warning that outflows will drive it significantly lower, highlighting his continued skepticism of Bitcoin's long-term value.

Michael Saylor, the founder and executive chairman of Strategy, has declared that Bitcoin’s (BTC) traditional four-year halving cycle is over, viewing this shift as an ultimately positive step for the cryptocurrency’s price. He argued that BTC has now achieved global acceptance, and this transition marks a more mature phase that could support stronger, more consistent price appreciation for the flagship cryptocurrency.

Why Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Close Could Boost Price

In an X post dated April 4, Saylor announced that “Bitcoin has won,” suggesting that the cryptocurrency has officially secured its dominant position in the global financial system. He explained that the world now widely accepts BTC as a form of digital capital, reflecting the cryptocurrency’s deep integration as a means of payment and investment for everyday users.

The Strategy founder further argued that Bitcoin’s four-year market cycle has ended, and that price movements are now guided by the inflows and outflows of capital from institutions and investors. This shift seems to be gradually moving BTC away from the sharp bull-and-bear market patterns tied to past halving cycles.

Saylor also added that Bitcoin’s growth in the coming years will largely depend on traditional bank credit and emerging digital lending channels. These funding sources are expected to play a bigger role in shaping how quickly and how far Bitcoin’s value could expand in the future. Moreover, the adoption of established financial instruments could help stabilize BTC’s price trajectory, which is often influenced by speculation and volatility.

Concluding his post, Saylor warned that the greatest risks come from having poor ideas that lead to unnecessary or damaging changes to the Bitcoin protocol. He cautioned that such misguided updates could harm the network if allowed to take root. Essentially, the Strategy founder is urging developers and users to protect the protocol from ill-advised alterations to preserve continued growth and success.

BTC Critic Fires Back At Saylor’s Remarks

Responding directly to Saylor’s post, global economist and Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff pushed back against the remarks. He argued that any claimed consensus about BTC’s status as digital capital exists only in Saylor’s mind. However, Schiff did agree that capital flows will ultimately determine Bitcoin’s price direction.

The critic warned that when capital eventually flows out of BTC, the price will be driven significantly lower. His comments reflect a prolonged skepticism over Bitcoin’s long-term outlook and its status as “digital gold” or a store of value.

While Saylor remains a strong advocate for BTC, consistently accumulating the cryptocurrency through Strategy, Schiff continues to criticize the asset, often comparing it to gold. In one of his latest posts, the economist noted that Bitcoin recently climbed above $70,000 but was immediately hit with a wave of selling pressure, leading to a major pullback. He emphasized that, at present, BTC’s upside potential appears limited while its downside risk remains significant—an outlook he believes is the direct opposite of gold.

BTC trading at $68,963 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

相關問答

QAccording to Michael Saylor, what has replaced Bitcoin's traditional four-year halving cycle as the main driver of its price?

AAccording to Michael Saylor, Bitcoin's price movements are now guided by the inflows and outflows of capital from institutions and investors, replacing the traditional four-year halving cycle.

QWhat does Michael Saylor believe Bitcoin has achieved, which marks a more mature phase for the cryptocurrency?

AMichael Saylor believes Bitcoin has achieved global acceptance and is now widely accepted as a form of digital capital, marking a more mature phase.

QWho responded critically to Michael Saylor's remarks and what was their main point of agreement?

AGlobal economist and Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff responded critically. He agreed that capital flows will ultimately determine Bitcoin's price direction.

QWhat does Michael Saylor warn is the greatest risk to Bitcoin's continued growth and success?

AMichael Saylor warns that the greatest risk comes from poor ideas that lead to unnecessary or damaging changes to the Bitcoin protocol.

QHow does Peter Schiff's outlook on Bitcoin's risk and potential compare to that of gold?

APeter Schiff believes that at present, Bitcoin's upside potential appears limited while its downside risk remains significant, which is the direct opposite of his outlook for gold.

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