Solana Fails To Hold $30 Support, How Cheap Will Solana’s Price Be?

newsbtc发布于2022-10-14更新于2022-10-14

文章摘要

SOL price struggles as $30 support failed to hold, with many buyers sweating on their open SOL position. SOL price breaks below 50 and 200-day Exponential Moving Average; the price...

SOL price struggles as $30 support failed to hold, with many buyers sweating on their open SOL position.
SOL price breaks below 50 and 200-day Exponential Moving Average; the price continues its range around the $30 mark.
The price of SOL could restest $24-$16 if the price maintains a bearish structure.

The price of Solana (SOL) has struggled recently to reclaim its bullish strength against tether (USDT) but was unable to as the price hit a new fresh rock. The crypto market faced a new drawback as Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped from a region of $19,000 to $18,100 as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) suggested an increase in inflation affecting the price of BTC negatively with Solana (SOL) not left out of the equation as price lost its key support. (Data from Binance)
State Of The Market
After exhibiting relief bounces and the crypto market cap appearing poised to rally to a high with the hopes of altcoins joining the party, this was cut short as many altcoins experienced a price decline, with many losing key support and more at risk of falling as the price of Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) continues to rise.
Solana (SOL) Price Analysis On The Weekly Chart.
The first week of October saw many altcoins showing significant strength as the rally, with others producing double-digit gains combined with the fact that BTC.D was down at the time. As a result, there was little Bitcoin effect during the price retracement.
The price of SOL in recent weeks has protected the region of $30 as the price rallied away from this region to avoid breaking this zone. SOL’s price held this support zone to avert the possibility of turning this strong support into resistance. After BTC saw its price rejected to a low of $18,200, the price of SOL lost this support but quickly bounced from this region to reclaim its support at $30.
Weekly resistance for the price of SOL – $34.
Weekly support for the price of SOL – $30.
Price Analysis Of SOL On The Daily (1D) Chart

Daily SOL Price Chart | Source: SOLUSDT On Tradingview.com The daily timeframe for SOL price faced rejection at $34 as the price could not break above and has struggled to flip this region into support. The price continued to move below $34 before the price was met with a rejection to a region of $28 as the price bounced off this region to reclaim $30. If the price of SOL loses this region of support, we would most likely see the price drop to a low of $24-$20
The price of SOL trades at $30 as the price bounced off after a drop to $28. SOL’s price trades below the 50 and 200 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) as the price needs to flip 50 EMA to resume a short-term bullish trend.
Daily resistance for the price of SOL – $34.

你可能也喜欢

损失超750万美元：针对MEV Bot的蜜罐攻击分析与被盗资金追踪

6月21日，以太坊知名MEV机器人Jaredfromsubway.eth遭遇精心设计的蜜罐攻击，损失超750万美元。攻击者部署了一套复杂的合约组合，包括协调器、触发器、假代币及伪造交易对。其核心手段是通过构造虚假套利路径，在小额交易中正常消耗授权以降低怀疑，而在大额交易中保留机器人对真实代币（如USDC、USDT、WETH）的授权。随后，攻击者一次性调用所有保留的授权，将资产转移至自己地址。攻击得手后，约287万USDC、204万USDT及1474枚ETH被盗。攻击者将大部分资产兑换为ETH并转移至四个地址，其中1000枚ETH已流入Tornado Cash。此次事件揭示了一种针对MEV业务逻辑的高级攻击模式：不直接利用漏洞，而是诱骗机器人在看似正常的套利中留下关键授权。安全团队建议，机器人在面对陌生合约或自定义封装器时应极度谨慎，并需强制检查交易后的授权余额变化。

marsbit28分钟前

marsbit28分钟前

渠道红利走到尽头，DeFi 协议靠什么抵御巨头收割？

文章探讨了在渠道红利逐渐消失的背景下，DeFi协议如何应对大型科技公司的竞争与整合压力。作者以Coinbase、Stripe和Kraken为例，分析了这些巨头通过自建或收购底层基础设施（如公链、稳定币发行平台、衍生品交易牌照）来控制利润分配，从而对依赖其流量的开源协议形成“价值收割”。文中重点分析了Coinbase与其借贷协议Morpho的共生与博弈关系：Coinbase利用Base链赚取排序费，而其部分核心借贷产品又构建在Morpho之上，形成相互牵制。类似地，Stripe收购Bridge以掌控稳定币收益，Kraken收购NinjaTrader以获取关键牌照。文章指出，开源协议的生存关键在于“多链部署”和“深度嵌入”。像Uniswap和Morpho这样跨多条区块链部署的协议，即使在某条链上被巨头扶持的竞品挤压，也能依靠其他链的业务存活。同时，当协议的技术和安全体系变得至关重要、替换成本极高时（如Morpho之于Coinbase的借贷产品），便能形成对巨头的制衡。最终，行业格局取决于巨头纵向整合的速度与开源协议横向扩张速度之间的博弈。虽然存在巨头垄断的风险，但那些提前完成多链布局、并深度嵌入企业核心系统的协议，仍有望在巨头生态中保持不可或缺的地位。

Foresight News46分钟前

Foresight News46分钟前

Uniswap v4 Hook解析：架构设计、常见漏洞与防护实践

Uniswap v4 引入的 Hook 机制允许开发者在流动性池的关键生命周期事件中嵌入自定义逻辑，显著提升了灵活性，但同时也带来了新的安全挑战。本文解析了其核心架构：通过单例 PoolManager 合约集中管理所有池子状态，采用瞬时记账（flash accounting）确保交易结束时账目平衡，并通过 Hook 地址的低位比特编码其回调权限。文章重点指出常见漏洞与防护实践： 1. Hook 的回调函数（如 beforeSwap）缺乏默认的访问控制，开发者需显式添加 onlyPoolManager 等修饰符以防未授权调用。 2. Hook 与池子的绑定不受协议限制，需在 beforeInitialize 中实现白名单或单池绑定逻辑。 3. Async Hook（自定义曲线）完全替代了 AMM 的 swap 逻辑，其安全性完全依赖 Hook 自身实现，需按独立金融合约标准进行审计。 4. Delta 记账机制仅保证账目最终平衡（NonzeroDeltaCount 归零），但不验证业务逻辑的正确性，Hook 可能通过操纵 delta 进行攻击。 5. 权限位必须与函数实现严格匹配，且地址通过 CREATE2 预先计算，升级时无法新增回调类型。最后强调，每个 Hook 构成独立的信任域，其安全审计需覆盖完整的交互链路，项目方和审计方均需升级方法论以应对更复杂的风险。

marsbit53分钟前

marsbit53分钟前

芯片、开源模型与50万亿，蔡崇信再度复盘阿里

阿里巴巴董事长蔡崇信在VivaTech大会上系统阐述了公司的AI战略。他认为，全球GDP中至少有50万亿美元来自人类智能与生产力，这正是AI市场的总规模，因此阿里正全力投入AI。公司布局了芯片、云基础设施、模型（如开源模型Qwen）及应用四个层级，但不涉及能源层。这种全栈策略旨在应对未来价值沉淀的不确定性，确保无论价值最终落在哪一层，阿里都能参与其中。蔡崇信否认当前AI基础设施投资存在泡沫，指出美国头部云厂商明年资本支出将超8000亿美元，而中国在该领域的投资仍需加强。阿里凭借电商业务每年约250亿美元的自由现金流，能够持续支持AI投入。关于开源，蔡崇信认为这是实现技术独立和数据隐私的重要路径。他提到，当前开源运动主要由中国公司推动，而美国主要模型已闭源。开源允许企业将模型部署在自有环境中，保障数据安全，避免过度依赖单一技术来源。此外，阿里正与宝马、西门子等制造企业合作，利用AI改进设计、测试和质量控制等环节。蔡崇信展望，AI智能体将极大提升生产力，将人类从工作中解放出来，有更多时间享受生活与娱乐。

marsbit1小时前

marsbit1小时前

台积电和AI相关韩股造富的这代东亚普通人

全球人工智能热潮正推动东亚科技股飙升，台积电、三星、SK海力士等芯片巨头成为关键“卖铲人”，带动韩国、台湾和日本股市表现远超全球其他市场。这场热潮深刻影响了当地普通人的生活。在韩国，24岁的程序员Na Se-bin投入毕生积蓄炒股，身边超80%的年轻人积极入市，甚至中学生也在家长同意下开设交易账户。股市盈利让许多人开始挥霍，购买奢侈品、升级汽车。35岁小学教师Choi Sung-ho的投资组合收益翻近五倍，计划购买豪车。在台湾，台积电是股市和社会的核心，其工程师享有高薪和崇高社会地位，成为择偶优势。37岁的保险代理人叶伦豪靠投资芯片股收益翻四倍并购置房产。台积电的周边产品在二手市场也受热捧。在日本，AI热潮甚至惠及味之素、TOTO等传统企业，因其产品被用于芯片制造。软银和存储芯片公司Kioxia相继登上市值榜首。尽管市场波动剧烈，但亚洲芯片巨头因提供AI硬件而持续受益。投资者热情高涨，大量资金涌入，改变了消费习惯与社会心态，形成了一场普通人的财富狂欢。不过，也有像日本学生Ryoki Nao这样的年轻人选择观望，担心错过时机。

marsbit1小时前