Key Takeaways
Why is Ethereum’s price stuck?
Because current buying is being matched by selling, keeping ETH flat even as reserves drop.
Could Ethereum see a short squeeze soon?
With most downside liquidity absorbed and liquidation targets stacked above, a small price move could trigger a sharp short squeeze.
Ethereum [ETH] is up to something big. Over the past few days, sell pressure quietly eased as Exchange Reserves declined while investors moved ETH off trading platforms.
Source: CryptoQuant
With downside liquidity already absorbed, all that’s missing is a spark. And if demand kicks in, even a small catalyst could be enough to send ETH to the moon!
Shorts are running out of room
According to CryptoQuant data, most of the sell pressure has already been absorbed, leaving far fewer liquidation targets below the current price.
What’s interesting is that the bulk of liquidation clusters sat above ETH’s level – a setup that tilts the odds toward an upside squeeze.
Source: CryptoQuant
In simple terms, if ETH makes even a modest move higher, it could force shorts to close positions quickly, triggering a chain reaction of liquidations. That’s how sharp, sudden rallies begin.
Exchange Reserves are falling, but price refuses to budge
ETH steadily flowed out of spot exchanges, which usually shows that investors are buying and moving their coins into self-custody or staking. That’s a bullish sign of trust.
But here’s the twist. Despite these big outflows, the price hasn’t budged much. Why?
Because while buyers are active, sellers are still matching that demand, keeping ETH stuck in place. This pattern often plays out before major rallies.
Once fresh demand kicks in and tips the balance, lower reserves can amplify the upside move. Right now, the groundwork for that rally is being laid.
Momentum is building
Ethereum’s chart showed price holding just above the $4,000 mark after a drop. The RSI was stuck near 38, and the OBV trend has cooled, so there’s weaker volume support.
Source: TradingView
But here’s the catch. Price is sitting right on the 200-day EMA, a level that often acts like a spring for big moves.
If demand sparks here, ETH could rebound sharply as shorts get caught off guard. For now, it’s a wait, but the setup looks fragile.
One push could be enough to flip the momentum very fast.
