Bitcoin Holds Strong Above Bull Market Support Band – Analyst Warns Caution After 900+ Days Up

bitcoinist发布于2025-06-09更新于2025-06-10

文章摘要

Bitcoin is holding strong above the $105,000 level after a week of volatility and uncertainty that saw the price briefly...

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Bitcoin is holding strong above the $105,000 level after a week of volatility and uncertainty that saw the price briefly dip to $100,000. Now up 6% from last week’s low, BTC appears poised to make another attempt at breaking through the key $110,000–$112,000 resistance zone — a level that has capped upside momentum over the past month. With a bullish structure intact and sentiment slowly recovering, traders are watching closely for signs of a breakout.

Top analyst Daan recently shared a technical update highlighting Bitcoin’s strength since reclaiming its bull market support band. According to Daan, BTC “has not looked back” since that reclaim, and the high timeframe trend remains remarkably clean. In fact, this has been one of the easiest Bitcoin cycles to hold long-term spot positions, with no corrections deeper than ~30% throughout the rally.

This structural consistency reflects growing confidence among long-term holders, who continue to support the price even amid macroeconomic uncertainty. As Bitcoin consolidates just below resistance, a decisive breakout above $112,000 could trigger the next leg higher, potentially pushing BTC into new all-time highs. For now, bulls are firmly in control, and the trend remains bullish unless support levels give way.

Bitcoin Builds Momentum As It Approaches All-Time Highs

Bitcoin is preparing for what could be a major expansion phase as it inches closer to reclaiming all-time highs. Currently just 4% below its $112,000 peak, BTC has rebounded sharply from the late-May retracement and is now consolidating above key support levels. After surging 50% from the April lows, Bitcoin is showing renewed strength, and the market appears to be positioning for a decisive move that could set the tone for the months ahead.

While recent volatility and macro uncertainty shook confidence, Bitcoin’s structure has remained remarkably resilient. According to Daan, BTC hasn’t looked back since breaking above its bull market support band — a trend-defining zone that historically acts as a launchpad during major bull cycles. This reclaim was a crucial signal, and so far, the high timeframe trend has remained clean and orderly.

Notably, Daan emphasizes that this has been one of the easiest Bitcoin cycles to hold for long-term spot investors. Throughout the uptrend, there hasn’t been a single correction exceeding ~30%, a rare show of stability in a historically volatile asset. With the uptrend now stretching beyond 900 days, Daan notes that it’s time to stay alert. Extended trends often breed complacency, and while the setup is still bullish, the market is reaching a zone where caution becomes increasingly necessary.

Bitcoin Bull Market Support Band | Source: Daan on X
Bitcoin Bull Market Support Band | Source: Daan on X

Holding above the bull market support band is key. If that level continues to hold, Bitcoin could be gearing up for a breakout that pushes price into price discovery once again. But if support is lost, the risk of a broader trend shift increases. For now, BTC remains in a strong position, and the next move could define the next phase of the cycle.

BTC Breaks Out Toward Resistance With Strong Momentum

Bitcoin is trading at $107,490 on the 4-hour chart, up 1.76% on the day following a sharp breakout from consolidation. After holding support at $103,600 and forming a clear ascending triangle pattern, BTC surged above all major moving averages — including the 34 EMA ($105,354), 50 SMA ($105,026), 100 SMA ($106,247), and 200 SMA ($105,255) — with strong bullish volume behind the move.

BTC pushing into higher levels | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC pushing into higher levels | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

This breakout confirms short-term strength and sets the stage for a test of the $109,300 resistance level, which has capped price action multiple times since late May. A clean 4H close above that zone would open the door for a full retest of the all-time high at $112,000.

The recent structure shows rising lows and strong accumulation around key moving averages, signaling renewed buyer interest. Importantly, the move is backed by increasing volume, which adds conviction to the breakout and reduces the chance of a fakeout.

If BTC holds above $106,000, the trend favors continuation. However, any rejection at $109,300 could send the price back toward the $105,000–$106,000 support zone. For now, momentum is with the bulls, and all eyes are on whether BTC can reclaim $109,300 to confirm trend continuation.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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