Peter Brandt says Bitcoin bottom is in, but prepare for a 'chopfest'

Cointelegraph发布于2023-10-25更新于2023-10-26

文章摘要

Bitcoin (BTC) may reach new all-time highs by the end of next year, but crypto investors should brace themselves for a “chopfest” in the meantime, according to veteran trader and analyst Peter Brandt. 

Bitcoin (BTC) may reach new all-time highs by the end of next year, but crypto investors should brace themselves for a “chopfest” in the meantime, according to veteran trader and analyst Peter Brandt. 
In an Oct. 26 post on X (formerly Twitter), Brandt told his 660,000 followers that Bitcoin had likely already bottomed in Nov. 2022 and that the cryptocurrency is on track to notch new highs by the third quarter of 2024.
Anyone who declares they know the future path of any market is a fool. Markets will ALWAYS surprise.

Yet, with this disclaimer, I believe:
1. The $BTC bottom is in
2. New ATHs not coming until Q3 2024
3. Chop fest in the meanwhile

I've used this blueprint for approx 2 years pic.twitter.com/hVt0zbTOsm
— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) October 25, 2023
Still, Brandt erred slightly on the side of caution with a disclaimer, saying that the future is never certain and that markets will “always” surprise.
When an X user asked Brandt for his thoughts on Chainlink (LINK), he didn’t mince words with his response:
“I stick with BTC and don’t get distracted by pretenders.”
Brandt — who has been a proprietary trader since 1975 — explained that he’d been using the aforementioned blueprint for nearly two years.
He added in a later post that his favorite chart for Bitcoin price movement is the weekly Renko graph, which — in his view — alleviates many “fake moves” and had only delivered five miscues in the past five years.
Bitcoin chart I most trust $BTC is the weekly Renko graph. Very few fake out moves - by my count, only 5 miscues in the past five years. The most recent signal was a buy at 22,000. I allocate a portion of my Bitcoin investing to this chart
What would be your ONE "go-to" chart? pic.twitter.com/u0sxoSHgT5
— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) October 25, 2023
After months of largely sideways price action, Bitcoin recently experienced significant upwards price momentum. Many have tipped Bitcoin’s outsized performance in recent months due to participants watching closely as spot Bitcoin exchange traded funds (ETFs) inch closer to potential approval.
Related: BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin ETF mysteriously disappears from — then reappears on — DTCC site
On Oct. 23, Bitcoin staged its largest single day rally in over a year, briefly surging over the $35,000 mark as traders frenzied over reports that Blackrock’s iShares Bitcoin ETF — IBTC — had been listed on the DTCC website.
While a spot Bitcoin ETF approval is in no way guaranteed, leading Bloomberg ETF analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas say that an approval grows more likely, predicting a 90% chance of an approval by Jan. 10, 2024.
I've gotten a lot of questions regarding my current view on Spot #Bitcoin ETFs over the last couple weeks. This is the first section of the note I put out yesterday with @EricBalchunas.

TLDR: Our view hasn't changed much https://t.co/dRAm5IsdQf pic.twitter.com/Htsi3n2XxV
— James Seyffart (@JSeyff) October 13, 2023
Meanwhile, a senior executive from global consulting firm Ernst & Young, Paul Brody says there is massive institutional interest for Bitcoin sitting on the sidelines, awaiting a spot ETF approval as a trigger to buy in.
Magazine: How to protect your crypto in a volatile market — Bitcoin OGs and experts weigh in

热门币种推荐

你可能也喜欢

拖更三年,北大校友翁荔最新长文刷屏

前OpenAI副总裁翁荔(Lilian Weng)发表了一篇关于AI扩展定律(Scaling Laws)的深度分析文章。文章指出,这条指导了AI行业数百亿美元投入的核心定律,远比人们想象的更为脆弱。 文章回顾了Scaling Laws的基本思想,即模型性能随规模扩大而可预测地提升。然而,OpenAI与DeepMind在关键问题上得出了相反结论:给定算力,资源应更多分配给模型还是数据?OpenAI的Kaplan团队认为模型增长应更快,而DeepMind的Chinchilla团队则认为应等比增长。后来研究发现,这一分歧源于参数统计口径的差异和实验规模不足,导致Kaplan的结论仅适用于小规模场景。 更关键的是,被行业广泛采纳的Chinchilla最优配比公式本身也存在方法论瑕疵。2024年有团队复现发现,其损失函数因取均值而非求和,导致优化器提前停止,输出并非最优解。此外,用于外推的关键参数精度不足,放大了误差。 文章进一步指出,经典Scaling Laws的根本前提——高质量数据无限供应——正在崩塌。数据重复训练不可避免,新研究引入了惩罚项来修正公式,并发现大模型对数据重复更敏感。这解释了行业为何转向强化学习、测试时计算和合成数据等新路径。 翁荔的博客以其清晰深入的技术解析著称,这篇文章历时三年完成。她于2025年联合创立了新公司Thinking Machines Lab。文章强调,下一代AI的进步不仅依赖算力规模,更取决于对这些基础定律细节更精确的理解与运用。

marsbit1小时前

拖更三年,北大校友翁荔最新长文刷屏

marsbit1小时前

交易

现货
合约

热门文章

加密市场宏观研报:《GENIUS Act》法案取得重大进展,BTC突破历史新高,后市全新展望

2025年5月22日,比特币价格正式突破11万美元大关,创下历史新高。在政策面、宏观经济、资金面与投资者结构共同作用下,一场结构性牛市浪潮正在展开。而此轮上涨背后的核心驱动,是美国《GENIUS稳定币法案》的实质性进展以及多项利好的叠加。本文将从政策端突破、宏观环境转向、链上与ETF资金结构、交易行为演化,以及重点受益赛道五大维度,全面解析此轮BTC再创新高的深层逻辑,并前瞻下半年市场的潜在趋势。

1.7k人学过发布于 2025.05.22更新于 2025.05.22

加密市场宏观研报:《GENIUS Act》法案取得重大进展,BTC突破历史新高,后市全新展望

相关讨论

欢迎来到HTX社区。在这里,您可以了解最新的平台发展动态并获得专业的市场意见。以下是用户对BTC(BTC)币价的意见。

活动图片