# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Risk Management

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Risk Management", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Raoul Pal: I've Seen Every Panic, They Are Never the End

Raoul Pal reflects on the brutal emotional toll of market crashes, drawing from his 38 years of experience in trading and investing, including his time in crypto since 2013. He recounts buying Bitcoin at $200, watching it drop 75%, then rise 10x, only to fall 87% in the 2014 bear market. Throughout multiple cycles—including the 2017 bull run with severe drawdowns and the COVID crash—he emphasizes that panic and severe sell-offs, while painful, have consistently been followed by recoveries and new highs. Key lessons include: HODLing often outperforms timing the market; adding during downturns compounds returns; and managing emotional and financial risk is essential. He stresses the importance of personal conviction (DYOR—Do Your Own Research), avoiding leverage, and sizing positions to minimize future regret. Pal sees the current environment as similar to mid-2021—a panic within a bull market—and is buying digital art and increasing crypto exposure accordingly. He concludes that volatility is the price paid for long-term compounding returns.

marsbit02/06 03:24

Raoul Pal: I've Seen Every Panic, They Are Never the End

marsbit02/06 03:24

Hyperliquid's Monthly Trading Volume of $225 Billion: How Will HIP-4 Ignite the Prediction Market?

Hyperliquid processed over $225 billion in monthly trading volume in January 2026, while the entire prediction market sector handled around $23 billion. The introduction of HIP-4 aims to integrate outcome contracts—binary event-based derivatives—into the same margin framework as perpetual futures, enabling shared collateral and unified risk management. This integration allows traders to manage event exposure alongside perpetual positions within a single portfolio, improving capital efficiency and enabling sophisticated strategies like hedging and volatility trading. As a result, prediction markets could see significant volume growth: conservative estimates project $28 billion in monthly trading, with medium and strong adoption scenarios reaching $33 billion and over $40 billion, respectively. By merging event-driven contracts with core derivatives infrastructure, HIP-4 transforms prediction markets from isolated betting platforms into integral components of broader crypto trading strategies, potentially unlocking billions in new activity.

marsbit02/05 08:28

Hyperliquid's Monthly Trading Volume of $225 Billion: How Will HIP-4 Ignite the Prediction Market?

marsbit02/05 08:28

OKX CEO Criticizes Binance Over October 10 Market Crash – Details

OKX CEO Star Xu has publicly blamed Binance for the October 10 crypto market crash, which wiped out tens of billions of dollars. Xu claims the crash was caused by Binance’s aggressive marketing campaign offering high yields on USDe—a tokenized hedge fund product—while allowing it to be used as collateral like stablecoins. This led to a leverage loop where users repeatedly borrowed and converted assets, creating unsustainable yields. When volatility spiked, USDe depegged, triggering mass liquidations and causing tokens like WETH and BNSOL to briefly trade near zero. Xu called for better risk controls and transparency. Binance’s former CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ) rejected the accusation, attributing the crash to macroeconomic news and denying that Binance’s actions or technical issues were responsible. Haseeb of Dragonfly also disputed Xu’s claims, noting that the depegging occurred after Bitcoin had already bottomed.

bitcoinist02/01 13:02

OKX CEO Criticizes Binance Over October 10 Market Crash – Details

bitcoinist02/01 13:02

Silicon Valley's New Darling Clawdbot: When Local AI Agents Learn to 'Go On-Chain', What Happens?

A new open-source project called Clawdbot (now renamed Moltbot) has gained attention in Silicon Valley. It enables an AI agent to run locally on a user’s computer or server, allowing it to browse the web, click buttons, send messages, and even execute transactions automatically. Unlike cloud-based models like ChatGPT, Clawdbot is self-hosted, open-source, and operates across multiple platforms such as Telegram, WhatsApp, Discord, and Slack. It features persistent memory and can perform tasks via browser automation, command-line operations, and scripts—making it a persistent digital assistant. In the context of Web3, Clawdbot could significantly lower barriers to participation by automating complex and repetitive on-chain operations. Potential use cases include 24/7 monitoring of liquidation thresholds, automated yield reinvestment, cross-chain transactions, and strategy execution via natural language commands. However, the integration of such agents with Web3 also introduces serious risks. Recent incidents include fake token launches under Clawdbot’s name and security vulnerabilities from misconfigured servers. To mitigate risks, users are advised to grant minimal wallet permissions—preferably read-only—use dedicated small-cap wallets with strict limits, and avoid unofficial token promotions. Self-hosting does not guarantee security; improper configuration may expose sensitive data and execution privileges. The agent should serve as an assistant, not a custodian. Any permission beyond the user’s comfort zone requires careful consideration. *This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. The market carries risks; invest with caution.*

marsbit01/31 02:37

Silicon Valley's New Darling Clawdbot: When Local AI Agents Learn to 'Go On-Chain', What Happens?

marsbit01/31 02:37

Trader's Practical Guide: Avoiding 'Catching Falling Knives' - A Bottom-Fishing Methodology Integrating Fundamentals, Technicals, and Sentiment

This guide outlines a systematic framework for buying stocks at their bottom, integrating fundamental, technical, and sentiment analysis to avoid premature buying ("catching a falling knife"). The process begins by identifying the catalyst for a stock's decline and assessing whether it's a temporary issue or a fundamental break in the investment thesis. A thorough fundamental review using the "4M" framework (Business Model, Moat, Management, Margin of Safety) and conservative DCF valuation is essential. Technically, patience is key; wait for signs of seller exhaustion. Strategies include buying on the right side of a V-shaped reversal, after a 5-day EMA crosses above the 20-day EMA, near long-term support levels, or after a base forms at least 5% above 52-week lows. Riskier "waterfall decline" entries require careful scaling-in. Sentiment analysis acts as a contrarian indicator. Extreme pessimism, such as drastically lowered price targets or widespread capitulation from retail investors, can signal a potential bottom. Combining these elements creates a disciplined approach to identify high-probability entry points with a margin of safety.

marsbit01/23 08:50

Trader's Practical Guide: Avoiding 'Catching Falling Knives' - A Bottom-Fishing Methodology Integrating Fundamentals, Technicals, and Sentiment

marsbit01/23 08:50

BlackRock Powers Bitcoin Investment For US Insurance Company, Here’s How

BlackRock is enabling Bitcoin investment for US insurers by integrating Bitcoin-linked returns into fixed index annuities through a partnership with Delaware Life. Instead of direct BTC ownership, exposure is achieved via the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) within BlackRock’s US Equity Balanced Risk 12% Index. This volatility-controlled framework limits downside risk while allowing policyholders to benefit from potential gains tied to Bitcoin and equity performance. The structure meets strict insurance risk requirements and regulatory standards, marking a significant step in Bitcoin’s adoption within conservative, long-term savings products.

bitcoinist01/22 15:03

BlackRock Powers Bitcoin Investment For US Insurance Company, Here’s How

bitcoinist01/22 15:03

The Rise and Future of Perp DEX: A Structural Revolution in On-Chain Derivatives

The rise of Perpetual DEX (Perp DEX) marks a structural shift in crypto, as derivatives trading migrates from centralized exchanges (CEXs) to on-chain platforms. Enabled by Layer 2 scaling, improved oracles, and growing user sophistication, Perp DEXs like Hyperliquid, dYdX, and Aevo are redefining derivatives through transparent, non-custodial, and programmable protocols. Unlike CEXs, Perp DEXs operate with open risk management, clear liquidation logic, and distributed revenue sharing, making them more than just decentralized copies—they are foundational risk infrastructure. Key mechanisms have evolved from virtual AMMs to hybrid order book models, prioritizing capital efficiency and low latency. Performance metrics now dictate success: high volume-to-TVL ratios, sustainable fee income, and professional user retention separate leading protocols. Hyperliquid, for example, has achieved dominance with its dedicated L1 and on-chain order book, capturing significant market share and revenue. The next phase will focus on higher performance, specialized appchains, and integrated products (e.g., options and perps under unified margin). As CeFi and DeFi converge via ETPs and structured products, Perp DEXs are poised to become core infrastructure in the on-chain financial system, provided they maintain robustness during volatility and enhance risk controls.

marsbit01/21 07:46

The Rise and Future of Perp DEX: A Structural Revolution in On-Chain Derivatives

marsbit01/21 07:46

Dialogue with Axis: How a Group of Quantitative Traders is Reshaping 'Yield-Bearing Dollars' with Institutional Strategies?

Axis, founded by a team of quantitative traders including Chris (an early QCP Capital employee and co-founder of the $400M+ AUM fund Alphanonce with 35%+ annual returns), is building a protocol to generate sustainable, transparent yield on-chain through institutional-grade arbitrage strategies. The core product is USDx, a dollar-pegged synthetic asset that users can stake to earn yield. Unlike many DeFi protocols that rely on unsustainable token incentives or directional market bets, Axis’s returns are generated from real, verifiable cross-market arbitrage opportunities. The team’s extensive background in traditional finance, quant trading, and DeFi (with experience from firms like BlackRock, Tether, Ondo, and Maple) informs their focus on capital efficiency, rigorous risk management, and institutional security practices. Axis recently raised a $5M private round led by Galaxy Ventures, with participation from OKX Ventures and FalconX. The protocol is built on Plasma, chosen for its deep USDT liquidity and mature DeFi infrastructure, and is currently in a private testing phase ahead of public launch. Key innovations include a dynamic “arbitrage engine” that allocates capital across multiple strategies (not just basis trading) to capture opportunities in various market conditions. The team emphasizes transparency, with plans for on-chain, third-party-verified proof of reserves and delta-neutrality to build trust. Long-term, Axis aims to evolve from a yield generator into critical “liquidity infrastructure” for the on-chain economy, with plans to expand into yield-bearing assets backed by Bitcoin and gold.

marsbit01/20 03:03

Dialogue with Axis: How a Group of Quantitative Traders is Reshaping 'Yield-Bearing Dollars' with Institutional Strategies?

marsbit01/20 03:03

The Real Secret of Trading: Treat the Market Like a Video Game, Not a Battlefield

Summary: After five years of trading and earning nearly a million dollars, the author shares a fundamental mindset shift that transformed their success: treat trading like a video game, not a battlefield. Most traders fail because they approach the market with a "do more" mentality, constantly seeking action and validation through daily profits or losses. This leads to overtrading, emotional decisions, and self-sabotage. The key is detachment—separating your identity from your trades, forgiving past mistakes, and focusing on process over outcomes. Success comes from patience, discipline, and waiting for high-probability opportunities rather than forcing trades. By embracing abundance over scarcity, maintaining a trading log, and cultivating strong habits, traders can align with the market's rhythm. Ultimately, trading is about quality over quantity, and profits are a byproduct of consistent execution, not desperate effort.

marsbit01/19 10:58

The Real Secret of Trading: Treat the Market Like a Video Game, Not a Battlefield

marsbit01/19 10:58

Institutions Besiege the Crypto World: Deconstructing Three Fatal Traps, A Core Guide for Retail Investors to Avoid Pitfalls

Amidst the recent crypto market hype—such as the London Stock Exchange adopting blockchain settlement, prediction markets hitting $700M in daily volume, and Vietnam’s high USDT payment success rates—many retail investors are eager to jump in. However, this article warns of three major traps set by institutions to exploit散户 (retail investors). First, the LSE’s move is not an endorsement of crypto but a strategic power grab to control on-chain asset pricing and settlement rules, sidelining retail participants. The advice: avoid short-term speculation on "institutional narrative coins" and focus on long-term spot holdings. Second, prediction markets are dominated by professional Wall Street teams using quant models, insider information, and arbitrage strategies. Retail traders, relying on limited information, are at a severe disadvantage. The guidance: only use disposable funds for such high-risk activities. Third, while USDT adoption in Vietnam appears promising with 97% payment success, it serves mainly as a hedge against currency volatility rather than mainstream payment. Challenges like trust issues, slow confirmations, and limited usability hinder broader adoption. The core advice for散户 is to avoid chasing hype, not overweight high-risk sectors, and stick to long-term positions in major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH. Separate entertainment funds from investment capital, and stay rational to survive institutional dominance.

marsbit01/19 05:39

Institutions Besiege the Crypto World: Deconstructing Three Fatal Traps, A Core Guide for Retail Investors to Avoid Pitfalls

marsbit01/19 05:39

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