# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Risk Assets

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Risk Assets", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

How $15B Fed injection could trigger crypto’s next macro rally

The Federal Reserve's $15 billion Treasury buyback, its largest in history, has sparked speculation about its potential to trigger a crypto macro rally. While quantitative easing typically drives capital into risk assets like cryptocurrency over the long term, its effects are not immediate, as evidenced by a 13.14% drop in the total crypto market cap in February. However, key signals suggest improving liquidity conditions: oil prices have declined by 16%, indicating fading geopolitical risk premiums, and tokenized U.S. Treasuries on-chain have reached $10 billion, showing capital is already moving into crypto-adjacent risk assets. This injection is part of a broader trend of the Fed expanding its balance sheet, suggesting it is not a one-off event but rather an early sign of easing macro stress that could support long-term capital inflows into cryptocurrency.

ambcrypto03/11 08:02

How $15B Fed injection could trigger crypto’s next macro rally

ambcrypto03/11 08:02

Are Bitcoin And Tech Stocks Really Linked? NYDIG Says Not So Fast

Traders observing Bitcoin's parallel movement with tech stocks may misinterpret the correlation. NYDIG's research indicates only 25% of Bitcoin's price action relates to equities, while 75% stems from unrelated factors. Both assets react to shared macro pressures and liquidity conditions, not structural links. Bitcoin's correlation with indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq has risen, but this reflects broader risk appetite rather than a direct tie to tech stocks. Bitcoin remains distinct due to network activity, adoption trends, and policy developments, sustaining its role as a portfolio diversifier. Despite elevated correlations, it is not a software stock.

bitcoinist03/09 13:03

Are Bitcoin And Tech Stocks Really Linked? NYDIG Says Not So Fast

bitcoinist03/09 13:03

Has Bitcoin formed a bull trap? Uncertainty fuels fresh BTC losses

Bitcoin faces significant selling pressure amid a deteriorating macro environment. The recent rally to $74k is viewed as a potential bull trap, fueled by short liquidations rather than genuine demand. Key support levels are now critical: holding above $65k is essential for bullish structure, but a drop toward $62.9k appears increasingly likely. Negative factors include large stablecoin outflows, rising oil prices due to geopolitical tensions, and weak risk-asset sentiment. These conditions have reduced liquidity and dampened investor appetite for speculative assets like Bitcoin. The overall price structure remains bearish, with a sustained recovery looking unlikely in the near term.

ambcrypto03/09 13:02

Has Bitcoin formed a bull trap? Uncertainty fuels fresh BTC losses

ambcrypto03/09 13:02

Bitcoin Market At Uncertain Phase As Stagflation Fears In The US Rises — Details

Bitcoin's near-term trajectory faces uncertainty as rising US stagflation fears create a complex market environment. According to XWIN Research Japan, recent data shows a 4% unemployment rate increase alongside heightened inflation risks from surging oil prices due to geopolitical tensions. Historically, stagflation's early phases negatively impact risk assets like Bitcoin, as seen in 2022's high inflation period. However, if stagflation triggers financial instability (similar to the 2023 banking crisis), Bitcoin could attract capital inflows due to its perceived safe-haven attributes and fixed supply mechanism through halving events. Currently trading around $68,225, Bitcoin has declined over 4% daily, with mid-term movements heavily dependent on how US economic conditions evolve.

bitcoinist03/07 21:32

Bitcoin Market At Uncertain Phase As Stagflation Fears In The US Rises — Details

bitcoinist03/07 21:32

RENDER surges 12% – Examining 2 possible reasons behind the rise

Render (RNDR) surged 12% in 24 hours, largely driven by broader dollar weakness following lower-than-expected CPI data, which boosted risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Two key factors supported the rally: a significant spike in whale orders, indicating strong conviction and potential accumulation rather than distribution, and a notable increase in both spot and futures trading volume, reflecting heightened market participation and momentum. However, the token faces resistance near prior distribution zones. For the rally to sustain, bulls must absorb selling pressure, with a key liquidity cluster around $1.680 potentially triggering a breakout if whale interest and trading activity remain elevated.

ambcrypto02/15 06:01

RENDER surges 12% – Examining 2 possible reasons behind the rise

ambcrypto02/15 06:01

Fed’s March rate cut could push the U.S. dollar down 10% – Is crypto at risk?

The U.S. dollar (DXY) has been declining, falling 9.4% in 2025 and another 1.4% in early 2026, returning to 2022 levels—a year marked by a 65% crypto market crash. This year, crypto has already dropped 24%, reflecting investor caution tied to the dollar's performance. Expectations of a March Fed rate cut have risen, with probability increasing to 21.2%, potentially driving the DXY down another 10%. While a weaker dollar typically benefits risk assets like crypto, record U.S. debt payments and China's Treasury sell-offs are creating liquidity stress. These factors may offset positive effects of rate cuts, posing headwinds for crypto's H2 rally despite potential dollar weakness.

ambcrypto02/12 00:02

Fed’s March rate cut could push the U.S. dollar down 10% – Is crypto at risk?

ambcrypto02/12 00:02

Why Are Gold, U.S. Stocks, and Bitcoin All Falling?

Amid seemingly strong U.S. economic data, a broad-based sell-off hit global assets—from U.S. stocks and gold to commodities and cryptocurrencies—triggering market-wide panic. While surface-level factors like Middle East tensions and Trump’s comments on a weaker dollar contributed, the core issue lies deeper. The real driver appears to be a shift in market narrative and liquidity stress. The MAG7 tech stocks, which led the rally since May 2023, are facing skepticism over their high capital expenditures and stretched valuations. Meanwhile, banking system liquidity remains tight, with the spread between SOFR and IORB indicating strain, reducing the Fed’s flexibility for quantitative tightening. This has amplified a macro liquidity crunch, reminiscent of the March 2020 “312” crash, where investors dumped risk assets for cash. Unlike the May 2021 “519” crash—which was crypto-specific—this downturn is driven by systemic risk aversion and deleveraging. The AI investment theme is losing steam, and long-term bond yields are signaling concerns over fiscal sustainability. Cryptocurrencies, as high-risk assets, are among the first to be sold off. The current environment may present a recalibration opportunity, but survival depends on maintaining liquidity amid the volatility.

marsbit02/05 16:34

Why Are Gold, U.S. Stocks, and Bitcoin All Falling?

marsbit02/05 16:34

Macro Research Report on the Crypto Market: Under the Warsh Effect, a Tightening Cycle Approaches—How Will Crypto Assets Be Priced?

The crypto market faces a paradigm shift following the nomination of Kevin Warsh—a known monetary policy hawk—as the next Fed Chair. Termed the "Warsh Effect," this event triggered sharp declines across major cryptocurrencies and massive outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, signaling a structural repricing of crypto assets. The core shift moves from a narrative where crypto served as an inflation hedge to one where it is increasingly treated as a high-beta risk asset, highly sensitive to interest rates and liquidity conditions. Under a tightening regime led by Warsh, crypto valuations will be driven by three key factors: liquidity conditions (40% weight), real interest rates (35%), and risk appetite (25%). Historical analysis shows that during past tightening cycles, crypto exhibited delayed but severe corrections, increased correlation with tech equities, and internal divergence—where assets with real cash flows and utility outperform speculative tokens. In this new paradigm, Bitcoin is now more influenced by macro liquidity and institutional flows than its original "sovereign-free store of value" narrative. Investors must adjust frameworks: treat crypto as high-risk growth assets, implement dynamic hedging strategies, and focus on tokens with sustainable fundamentals. The era of easy liquidity is over—value will be dictated by real-world utility and macroeconomic discipline.

marsbit02/05 07:49

Macro Research Report on the Crypto Market: Under the Warsh Effect, a Tightening Cycle Approaches—How Will Crypto Assets Be Priced?

marsbit02/05 07:49

Matrixport Research: Bitcoin Falls into Bear Market Territory, Could a Weakening Dollar Become the Next Support?

Bitcoin has entered a bearish phase, trading below its 21-week moving average, amid policy uncertainty from the U.S. midterm elections and its typical four-year cycle pressures. While structural weakness persists, a weakening U.S. dollar and ongoing reflation narrative could provide medium-term support for risk assets, including Bitcoin. The October 10 flash crash exacerbated market fragility, widening arbitrage gaps and reducing liquidity. Notably, realized losses were largely absorbed by speculative retail investors—particularly on platforms like Hyperliquid—rather than institutional players. Macro conditions show tolerance for a weaker dollar, which historically benefits Bitcoin. However, risk appetite is cooling: stablecoin growth has slowed, retail interest remains low, and quantum computing concerns continue to dampen Bitcoin’s safe-haven narrative. Although the dollar’s 14-year bullish trend has broken—a positive long-term signal—Bitcoin’s price action remains weak, with rallies being met with selling. A more bullish outlook requires clearer technical and capital flow confirmations.

Matrixport02/03 07:27

Matrixport Research: Bitcoin Falls into Bear Market Territory, Could a Weakening Dollar Become the Next Support?

Matrixport02/03 07:27

Matrixport Research: Bitcoin Falls into Bear Market Territory, Will a Weakening Dollar Become the Next Support?

Matrixport Research: Bitcoin has entered a bear market territory, trading below its 21-week moving average, a key technical signal. While structural weakness persists, a weakening US dollar could become a potential support factor. The recent sell-off, particularly the flash crash on October 10, 2025, was largely driven by speculative retail traders rather than institutional players. Macro narratives around reflation remain, and a softer dollar historically supports Bitcoin. However, risk appetite is cooling, as stablecoin supply growth has slowed and retail interest remains subdued. Although the long-term dollar downtrend may eventually benefit Bitcoin, the current price structure remains weak, with rallies being met with selling pressure. A more constructive view is emerging, but a definitive bullish stance requires further confirmation from technical and capital flow indicators.

Matrixport02/03 07:21

Matrixport Research: Bitcoin Falls into Bear Market Territory, Will a Weakening Dollar Become the Next Support?