# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Risk Appetite

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Risk Appetite", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

The First Wave of 2026's Market Trend Turns Out to Be Meme Coins: Prelude to Recovery or Bull Trap?

After a challenging Q4 2025, the cryptocurrency market is showing early signs of recovery in 2026, led unexpectedly by meme coins rather than Bitcoin or Ethereum. Meme coin market capitalization has surged by nearly $100 billion since late December, reaching over $47.7 billion, with top performers like PEPE rising 64.81%, SHIB up 18.37%, and DOGE gaining nearly 20%. Trading volume skyrocketed by 300% to $8.7 billion. The rally appears broad-based, spanning multiple tokens across both Ethereum and Solana ecosystems, suggesting a sector-wide rotation of capital rather than isolated speculation. Technical indicators like the TOTAL3 chart (crypto market cap excluding BTC) show a shift from a downtrend to a recovery phase, testing key levels around $848 billion. A breakout could signal further upside for altcoins. Derivatives data supports the move, with open interest and trading volume rising significantly for major meme coins, indicating genuine bullish positioning rather than just short covering. However, high leverage also raises the risk of a sharp pullback if sentiment reverses. Analysts note that meme coins often lead market risk-on rotations, and a sustained rally could benefit Solana, which has strong cultural and economic ties to meme coin activity. The key question remains whether this is the start of a broader altcoin recovery or a short-lived, sentiment-driven bounce. The answer may soon become clear as the market watches for follow-through in other crypto sectors.

Odaily星球日报01/05 05:56

The First Wave of 2026's Market Trend Turns Out to Be Meme Coins: Prelude to Recovery or Bull Trap?

Odaily星球日报01/05 05:56

The First Wave of the 2026 Market Turns Out to Be Meme Coins: Prelude to Recovery or Bull Trap?

The cryptocurrency market showed signs of recovery in early 2026, with meme coins leading the rally instead of Bitcoin or Ethereum. After a sharp decline in Q4 2025, meme coin market cap rebounded from $35 billion in December to over $47.7 billion, with significant gains in DOGE, SHIB, and PEPE. Trading volume surged by 300%, indicating broad participation. The rally is seen as a shift in risk appetite, with investors moving toward high-beta assets amid stagnant major cryptocurrencies. Technical analysis suggests the TOTAL3 index (crypto market cap excluding BTC) is testing key resistance, which could support further altcoin gains if broken. Derivatives data showed increased open interest and leverage, signaling genuine bullish momentum but also raising concerns about potential volatility and liquidation risks. Historically, meme coin rallies often precede broader altcoin growth, with Solana (SOL) potentially benefiting due to its strong cultural and economic ties to meme coin activity. The surge has sparked debate: some view it as a precursor to a broader market recovery, while others caution it may be a short-lived, sentiment-driven bounce. The outcome could set the tone for crypto markets in 2026.

marsbit01/05 04:54

The First Wave of the 2026 Market Turns Out to Be Meme Coins: Prelude to Recovery or Bull Trap?

marsbit01/05 04:54

Global Asset Rotation: Why Does Liquidity Drive the Cryptocurrency Cycle? (Part 1)

This article introduces a new series on global asset allocation and rotation, arguing that liquidity—not new narratives—is the primary driver of cryptocurrency market cycles. While narratives like RWA or X-402 can attract attention, they are triggers, not fundamental drivers. The real force is capital flow: ample liquidity amplifies even weak narratives, while liquidity contraction undermains the most compelling ones. The framework begins by mapping global assets not by traditional labels (stocks, bonds, commodities) but by their roles and dependencies within economic and liquidity cycles. Cryptocurrency is reclassified not as a traditional risk asset (like equities, which have cash flows and valuation models) but as a non-cash-flow alternative asset. Its price action is driven primarily by capital inflows and outflows, making it highly sensitive to liquidity and risk appetite. Five key macro indicators are identified as core drivers: interest rates (especially real rates), inflation metrics (CPI, PCE), economic growth indicators (PMI, GDP), systemic liquidity (central bank balance sheets, money supply), and risk appetite (volatility indices, credit spreads). A causal chain is proposed: inflation influences interest rates, which affect liquidity, which then drives risk preference and ultimately asset prices. The U.S. remains the anchor for global capital flows, and understanding its monetary policy cycle is crucial. During loose monetary conditions, risk assets like crypto thrive; during tightening, defensive assets like cash and bonds outperform. The article concludes that a structured framework focusing on macro drivers and cyclical patterns is essential for understanding asset rotation, avoiding emotional decisions, and identifying when liquidity shifts toward high-risk assets like cryptocurrency.

marsbit12/26 23:39

Global Asset Rotation: Why Does Liquidity Drive the Cryptocurrency Cycle? (Part 1)

marsbit12/26 23:39

Japan’s CPI eases – Could a BOJ rate cut really help Bitcoin?

Japan's recent CPI slowdown, with Tokyo inflation dropping to 2% in December, has raised expectations that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) may maintain or even cut rates to boost liquidity. While such monetary easing is typically seen as bullish for crypto, the article suggests it may not significantly benefit Bitcoin. Despite potential BOJ support, investor risk appetite appears to be shrinking, with capital flowing strongly into traditional safe-haven assets like gold, silver, and platinum instead of digital assets. This trend, coupled with a declining Coinbase Premium Index for Bitcoin, indicates that macro improvements alone may not spark a crypto rally, as the hedge narrative for Bitcoin loses momentum.

ambcrypto12/26 17:05

Japan’s CPI eases – Could a BOJ rate cut really help Bitcoin?

ambcrypto12/26 17:05

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