# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Regulation

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Regulation", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Crypto Prediction in the Gray Zone: Alliance Formation, Regulatory Pressure, and the Battle for the Future

The article "Encrypted Predictions in the Gray Area: Alliances, Regulatory Pressure, and Future Debates" discusses the recent formation of the "Prediction Market Alliance" by Kalshi and Crypto.com, joined by Coinbase, Robinhood, and Underdog. This alliance aims to unify the industry's voice and promote a balance between regulation, liquidity, and trust in the rapidly growing but legally ambiguous encrypted prediction market sector. Unlike traditional gambling, encrypted prediction markets operate on blockchain or crypto-based event-trading mechanisms. Users trade contracts on uncertain outcomes like elections or sports events, with prices reflecting collective market probability assessments. Key differences from traditional betting include market-driven pricing (rather than house-set odds), continuous trading opportunities, and a focus on information discovery rather than entertainment. The market is bifurcated into crypto-native platforms like Polymarket (global, blockchain-based) and regulated entities like Kalshi (U.S.-approved). While these markets are expanding quickly—evidenced by surging trading volumes around events like U.S. elections—they face significant challenges: regulatory uncertainty, liquidity instability (high activity around events but drops afterward), and disputes over outcome resolution standards. The alliance seeks to advocate for responsible and transparent development amid growing consumer interest and evolving regulations. However, major players like Polymarket, DraftKings, and FanDuel have not joined, indicating divergent strategies within the industry. The future of encrypted prediction markets hinges on achieving scalable liquidity and long-term trust within a regulatory-acceptable framework.

cointelegraph_中文12/15 09:34

Crypto Prediction in the Gray Zone: Alliance Formation, Regulatory Pressure, and the Battle for the Future

cointelegraph_中文12/15 09:34

Imbalance in Returns Amid High Correlation: Why is Capital Being 'Squeezed Out' of Altcoins?

Over the past year, a stark divergence has emerged between cryptocurrency and U.S. equity markets. While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have posted significant gains, altcoins have experienced a severe downturn, indicating a structural shift of capital toward higher-quality assets. Major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 rose substantially in 2024 and 2025 with relatively low drawdowns. In contrast, the CoinDesk 80 Index, tracking altcoins outside the top 20 cryptocurrencies, plummeted over 46% in Q1 2025 and was down 38% year-to-date by mid-July. A key driver is the "return imbalance under high correlation." Despite a correlation of 0.9 between major cryptocurrencies (CoinDesk 5 Index) and altcoins (CoinDesk 80), their returns diverged drastically. The former gained 12-13%, while the latter fell nearly 40%. The risk-adjusted return gap is even wider. Altcoin indices showed volatility similar to or higher than equities but delivered deeply negative returns and negative Sharpe ratios. Over five years, a small-cap crypto index returned -8%, while a large-cap index surged 380%. Trading data shows capital is not exiting crypto but flowing up the quality curve. Volume is concentrating in the top 10 altcoins and "institutional-grade" assets like Solana and XRP with regulatory clarity. Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs are attracting sustained institutional inflows. Consequently, diversification into altcoins has lost its appeal. Their high correlation with major cryptos negates diversification benefits while adding risk. The market's logic has shifted: capital is now focused on regulated, liquid assets, squeezing out lower-quality altcoins.

marsbit12/15 09:08

Imbalance in Returns Amid High Correlation: Why is Capital Being 'Squeezed Out' of Altcoins?

marsbit12/15 09:08

Crypto Titans Gather in Abu Dhabi, Hailing UAE as 'Crypto Industry's New Wall Street'

Crypto industry leaders gathered in Abu Dhabi seeking investment to revive the sluggish market. Key figures like MicroStrategy’s Michael Saylor and Binance’s Changpeng Zhao attended events ranging from conferences to exclusive parties, aiming to secure funding from deep-pocketed UAE investors. The UAE’s growing interest in crypto is evident: Binance received full regulatory approval to operate in Abu Dhabi, while sovereign wealth fund Mubadala significantly increased its Bitcoin holdings. With the U.S. market facing regulatory uncertainty and Bitcoin losing momentum, industry players are looking to the UAE as a new financial hub. Abu Dhabi is actively positioning itself as a global crypto center, offering incentives like early-stage funding and free office space to attract firms. However, securing Emirati capital requires long-term relationship building and local business commitment, not quick deals. The region is increasingly seen as "the new Wall Street for digital finance," though success depends on sustained local engagement.

深潮12/15 08:13

Crypto Titans Gather in Abu Dhabi, Hailing UAE as 'Crypto Industry's New Wall Street'

深潮12/15 08:13

Crypto Market Weekly Recap (12.08~12.14): Rate Cuts Support, Earnings Suppress, BTC Continues Narrow Fluctuations

Summary of Crypto Market Review (Dec 08–Dec 14): Bitcoin experienced narrow-range volatility, with its price floor supported by the Fed’s 25 bps rate cut and short-term liquidity improvements, while upward momentum was capped by weaker-than-expected earnings from AI tech stocks like Oracle and Broadcom. Both BTC and ETH attempted to break their mid-term bearish trendlines but ultimately retreated. BTC closed at $88,171, down 2.47% for the week. Macro factors included a slightly dovish Fed stance emphasizing data dependency, though internal dissent and a higher long-term neutral rate outlook limited optimism. AI stock underperformance weighed on high-beta assets, shifting some capital toward consumer and cyclical equities. Liquidity improved but remained tight. Crypto-specific developments saw institutional accumulation, with Strategy adding over $900M in BTC and positive ETF/ETH ETF inflows exceeding $500M. However, long-term holder selling continued, with over 157k BTC sold. Regulatory progress included CFTC’s digital asset collateral pilot and bipartisan support for crypto structural legislation. The market remains in a consolidation phase, with direction dependent on upcoming U.S. CPI, jobs data, and the Bank of Japan’s rate decision. The EMC BTC Cycle Metrics indicator currently signals a bear market phase.

marsbit12/15 08:10

Crypto Market Weekly Recap (12.08~12.14): Rate Cuts Support, Earnings Suppress, BTC Continues Narrow Fluctuations

marsbit12/15 08:10

Pakistan, from 'Iron Brother' to 'On-Chain Iron'?

Pakistan is strategically embracing cryptocurrency and blockchain technology as a key part of its economic transformation. In December 2025, the Pakistan Virtual Asset Regulatory Authority (PVARA) granted No Objection Certificates (NOCs) to two major global crypto exchanges, signaling a significant regulatory shift. With over 40 million digital asset users and an estimated annual trading volume exceeding $300 billion, Pakistan ranks third globally in crypto adoption. The country’s crypto growth has been largely grassroots-driven, fueled by high smartphone penetration (over 70%), a young population, and significant overseas remittances—over $30 billion annually—which can be processed faster and cheaper via cryptocurrencies like USDT. Pakistan’s geographic location also positions it as a potential hub for digital asset flows in South and Central Asia. Under the new regulatory framework, Pakistan is exploring a $2 billion national asset tokenization initiative, aiming to digitize sovereign bonds, treasury bills, and commodities like oil and gas to enhance transparency and attract foreign investment. This initiative aligns with broader efforts to formalize and monetize the country’s growing crypto economy while mitigating risks like fraud and money laundering. The move reflects a strategic pivot from informal adoption to state-sanctioned experimentation, positioning Pakistan as an emerging player in the global digital economy and a case study for other developing nations facing similar economic challenges.

深潮12/15 08:07

Pakistan, from 'Iron Brother' to 'On-Chain Iron'?

深潮12/15 08:07

If You Think Crypto Has Become 'Boring,' You Understand the Endgame

The article argues that the recent acceleration in crypto is not driven by a bull market but by regulatory clarity, particularly for stablecoins. This shift allows projects to focus on building mainstream products rather than reinventing money. The author highlights that while Bitcoin solved the double-spend problem, it left identity verification unresolved—a critical gap for global adoption. The current state involves "stablecoin sandwiches" that bridge traditional payment systems with blockchain, but this reintroduces intermediaries due to compliance needs. The future lies in integrating identity solutions like Worldcoin's Proof of Personhood, which distinguishes humans from bots and enables scalable, compliant payments. Worldcoin’s recent product demo showcased a wallet linking crypto to traditional finance via Visa and virtual bank accounts, emphasizing that users want practical solutions, not new tokens. Additionally, "mini apps" could disrupt app store monopolies by avoiding fees, while privacy-focused messaging apps like those built on XMTP offer truly ephemeral communication. Ultimately, crypto is becoming "boring" by focusing on utility—bridging decentralized tech with regulated, user-friendly services—just as AI makes cryptographic verification of truth essential.

深潮12/15 06:53

If You Think Crypto Has Become 'Boring,' You Understand the Endgame

深潮12/15 06:53

"Asia's First Stock" HashKey Goes Public: A Decade of Dedication, Edge Emerging

"Asia's first crypto stock" HashKey has listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking a milestone after a decade of strategic development. As of September 2025, the platform has facilitated HKD 1.3 trillion in cumulative spot trading volume, commanding over 75% market share among Hong Kong’s 11 licensed virtual asset trading platforms. HashKey’s success stems from its long-term compliance-first strategy, aligning closely with Hong Kong’s evolving regulatory landscape. While many platforms operated in regulatory grey areas, HashKey focused on building robust infrastructure, obtaining licenses, and adhering to strict anti-money laundering (AML), know-your-customer (KYC), and asset segregation requirements. The company capitalized on Hong Kong’s introduction of the Virtual Asset Service Provider (VASP) licensing regime in 2022, becoming one of the first fully regulated exchanges. The compliance-heavy model requires significant investment in technology, auditing, and risk management, resulting in higher operational costs and a longer path to profitability. However, it has positioned HashKey as a trusted gateway for institutional investors, offering services including staking, asset management, and real-world asset (RWA) tokenization. HashKey’s IPO symbolizes a broader industry transition from speculative trading to institutional participation and regulated financial infrastructure. It represents the rise of compliance as a core competitive advantage in the virtual asset sector and underscores Hong Kong’s strategic role in shaping Asia’s digital finance future.

深潮12/15 06:36

"Asia's First Stock" HashKey Goes Public: A Decade of Dedication, Edge Emerging

深潮12/15 06:36

AI Intervenes in Public Opinion Formation, Prediction Markets Face a Stress Test

The article discusses the growing risk of AI-manipulated public opinion and its potential to distort prediction markets, particularly in political contexts like elections. It presents a hypothetical 2028 US presidential race scenario where suspicious trading activity causes a candidate's market odds to surge without clear justification, leading to accusations of manipulation and foreign interference. While historical evidence shows that manipulating liquid prediction markets is difficult and costly due to arbitrage, the author argues that the convergence of prediction markets, social media, and 24/7 news coverage amplifies the political impact of even failed manipulation attempts. Such events can erode trust and fuel conspiracy theories, regardless of their actual effect on election outcomes. The article acknowledges that prediction markets remain valuable in an AI-saturated information environment where traditional polls are increasingly vulnerable to AI-generated responses. However, it calls for improved governance: news outlets should prioritize reporting on liquid markets, platforms must enhance monitoring for manipulative trading, and regulators should enforce anti-manipulation rules and transparency requirements. If responsibly managed, prediction markets can complement traditional tools and support a healthier democratic ecosystem.

比推12/15 06:07

AI Intervenes in Public Opinion Formation, Prediction Markets Face a Stress Test

比推12/15 06:07

Weekly Outlook: Macro 'Data Deluge' Week: Delayed CPI and the Bank of Japan's 'Rate Hike Pursuit'

This week marks a critical period for global markets as a flood of delayed macroeconomic data and major central bank decisions converge, breaking months of uncertainty. The key events include the US Labor Department's release of two months of non-farm payroll data (October and November) on Tuesday, which is expected to show contradictory signals—a decline in October jobs followed by a rebound in November. This data may reveal structural weaknesses in the labor market, potentially triggering "recession trading" and risk-off sentiment. On Thursday, the delayed US November CPI report will be released. A higher-than-expected reading could signal premature Fed rate cuts and strengthen the US dollar, negatively impacting risk assets like Bitcoin. Conversely, softer inflation would support the case for further rate cuts. The Bank of Japan's meeting on Friday is another major event, with a 98% market probability priced in for a 25-basis-point rate hike. This divergence from global monetary policy could disrupt yen carry trade, potentially causing leveraged capital to exit crypto markets and testing Bitcoin's support near $88,000. Amid the macro turmoil, crypto institutions are pushing forward strategically. Coinbase plans to launch prediction markets and tokenized stocks on Wednesday, aiming to integrate traditional equity liquidity into crypto. Also on Wednesday, HashKey Group is listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, seeking to raise up to HK$1.67 billion and boost confidence in Asian Web3 markets. Additional factors include US regulatory discussions and delays in South Korea’s stablecoin regulations, which may dampen retail investor participation. In summary, macro events will test market stability, while institutional developments could define crypto’s next growth phase. Traders are advised to monitor the DXY and USD/JPY closely and adopt a defensive stance ahead of Friday’s BoJ decision.

marsbit12/15 03:18

Weekly Outlook: Macro 'Data Deluge' Week: Delayed CPI and the Bank of Japan's 'Rate Hike Pursuit'

marsbit12/15 03:18

Bear Market Huddle: Embracing Deep-Pocketed Backers! Crypto Titans Gather in Abu Dhabi, Hailing UAE as 'Crypto's New Wall Street'

Cryptocurrency industry leaders gathered in Abu Dhabi seeking capital infusion to revive the struggling market. Key figures including MicroStrategy’s Michael Saylor and Binance’s Changpeng Zhao attended events like the Bitcoin Middle East Conference and exclusive gatherings, aiming to engage with representatives of UAE sovereign wealth funds, which manage hundreds of billions of dollars. The UAE’s growing interest is evident: Binance recently received full regulatory approval to operate in Abu Dhabi, while Mubadala’s investment arm significantly increased its Bitcoin holdings. The country is systematically positioning itself as a global crypto hub, offering incentives like early-stage funding and free office space to attract firms. Despite the opportunities, securing Emirati investment requires long-term relationship building and local business commitments, not quick transactions. The shift toward the Gulf region comes as U.S. regulatory uncertainty and market headwinds push crypto players to seek alternative funding sources and supportive jurisdictions.

marsbit12/15 02:57

Bear Market Huddle: Embracing Deep-Pocketed Backers! Crypto Titans Gather in Abu Dhabi, Hailing UAE as 'Crypto's New Wall Street'