# Сопутствующие статьи по теме MVRV

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "MVRV", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Dogecoin – Why history suggests holders can expect 2 more years of pain

Dogecoin (DOGE) is currently trading at a key technical level and a rare historical discount, with a large portion of holders underwater. The "number of days spent at profit" metric reached an all-time high of 1100 days, indicating significant long-term investor losses. This suggests a large overhead supply and a potential prolonged correction phase. Historical data shows that long-term investors consistently bought DOGE during periods like mid-2021 and mid-to-late 2024, contributing to current unrealized losses, especially as prices fell from $0.35 to $0.092 over the past year. Based on MVRV pricing bands, DOGE may require up to two more years of downtrend before reclaiming the realized price support level of $0.140, mirroring previous cycle behavior.

ambcrypto02/25 07:06

Dogecoin – Why history suggests holders can expect 2 more years of pain

ambcrypto02/25 07:06

$2T lost in 140 days: Why this crypto market crash looks different

The crypto market has experienced a severe crash, losing $2 trillion in value over 140 days, with Bitcoin falling nearly 50% and Ethereum down 62% from their peaks. Altcoins like Solana dropped even more sharply, with some smaller tokens losing up to 90% of their value. Unlike previous cycles, this downturn appears more severe and prolonged, driven by a combination of factors including miner capitulation, weak post-halving demand, and significant forced liquidations exceeding $600 million in 24 hours. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and U.S. tariff policies have pushed investors toward safer assets like the U.S. dollar and gold. Key on-chain metrics such as negative MVRV ratios for Bitcoin and Ethereum indicate widespread losses, but historical patterns of oversold rebounds may not hold this time. The market remains under pressure, with no clear signs of immediate recovery.

ambcrypto02/24 23:02

$2T lost in 140 days: Why this crypto market crash looks different

ambcrypto02/24 23:02

Why is Cardano’s share rising in Grayscale’s fund? Explained!

While retail investors panic over Cardano's 22% price drop, Grayscale Smart Contract Fund has increased ADA's allocation to 20.34%, reinforcing its position as the fund's third-largest asset. This repeated institutional accumulation contrasts with short-term bearish sentiment, indicating long-term confidence. Key metrics suggest a potential market bottom, with falling MVRV Ratio and Open Interest signaling weak holders have exited. Meanwhile, Cardano undergoes major technical upgrades and prepares to launch the privacy-focused Midnight chain. Institutions appear to bet on ADA's infrastructure development despite current price weakness, anticipating a possible recovery.

ambcrypto02/23 02:01

Why is Cardano’s share rising in Grayscale’s fund? Explained!

ambcrypto02/23 02:01

Is LINK capitulation still ahead? Investors should watch THIS bearish signal

Chainlink (LINK) has been trading in a long-term symmetrical triangle pattern, with its price defending the $8 support level. Despite a bearish higher-timeframe trend, a lower-timeframe bullish flag pattern suggests a potential short-term breakout. Key metrics show a significant rise in the Holder Accumulation Ratio to 74.8%, indicating strong buying conviction among long-term holders. However, short-term holders are facing substantial losses, with a -24.29% 90-day MVRV ratio, leading to aggressive selling from this cohort. While longer-term holders are accumulating or holding, the absence of a final capitulation event suggests that one more bearish wave for LINK prices is still possible before a potential bottom.

ambcrypto02/22 07:02

Is LINK capitulation still ahead? Investors should watch THIS bearish signal

ambcrypto02/22 07:02

Bitcoin – ‘Rainbow zones,’ five-month losing streaks, and what next for BTC’s price

Bitcoin is trading near $69,900, entering the green-blue accumulation zone on its logarithmic growth curve after five consecutive negative monthly closes. This decline has coincided with broad altcoin weakness, driving liquidity defensively into BTC. Long-term holders and large wallets are absorbing supply, steadily withdrawing coins from exchanges and treating sub-$70,000 levels as discounted. Historically, such prolonged bearish streaks (seen in 2011 and 2018) were followed by significant rebounds. The current drawdown of 46-47% from the 2025 peak is milder than previous bear markets. Key metrics like the MVRV Z-Score indicate undervaluation, while exchange outflows and declining derivatives leverage suggest institutional accumulation and reduced selling pressure. Spot demand continues to provide structural support within the $60,000–$80,000 range, positioning the market near late-bear exhaustion rather than a breakdown.

ambcrypto02/20 12:02

Bitcoin – ‘Rainbow zones,’ five-month losing streaks, and what next for BTC’s price

ambcrypto02/20 12:02

Bitcoin: Why THESE signals point to $60K as BTC’s cycle low

Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a significant decline, trading at $66,988 with a 1.75% daily drop and a 46% decrease from its all-time high. Despite the bearish trend, key metrics suggest a potential cycle bottom. The short-term Sharpe Ratio fell to -38, a level historically seen at major cycle lows in 2015, 2019, and 2022, indicating seller exhaustion. Additionally, Bitcoin’s Stock-to-Flow Ratio reached a new high of 261, signaling increased scarcity and reduced selling pressure. The MVRV Z-Score dropped to 0.445, reflecting extreme bearish sentiment and a wealth transfer from weak to strong hands. While the RSI remains low at 32 and the downtrend persists, these metrics hint at a possible market recovery, with targets towards $90k if support holds.

ambcrypto02/20 01:31

Bitcoin: Why THESE signals point to $60K as BTC’s cycle low

ambcrypto02/20 01:31

Not Your Fault for Not Understanding the Market: Traditional Crypto Indicators Are Failing

The article "When Old Maps No Longer Apply: 8 Failed Classic Crypto Indicators and Their Structural Causes" examines why traditional metrics used to predict cryptocurrency market behavior have become unreliable. Key indicators like the four-year cycle theory (halving events), Pi Cycle Top, MVRV Z-Score, Rainbow Chart, Altcoin Season Index, Fear and Greed Index, NVT Ratio, and Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model have all underperformed or failed entirely in the 2024-2025 market cycle. The author attributes this collective failure to deep structural shifts in the crypto market: - **Institutionalization**: The influx of institutional capital via ETFs and corporate treasuries has created steady demand, smoothing out the volatile, retail-driven price swings these indicators relied on. - **Reduced Volatility**: Lower volatility means indicators depending on extreme price movements (e.g., Pi Cycle Top, Rainbow Chart) no longer trigger. - **Shift in Asset Class**: Bitcoin is increasingly influenced by macro factors (e.g., Fed policy, global liquidity) rather than on-chain events like halvings. - **Data Relevance**: On-chain data (e.g., for NVT, MVRV) is less representative due to Layer 2 solutions, internal exchange settlements, and ETF custody models. - **Scalability Issues**: As Bitcoin's market cap grew, fixed thresholds (e.g., MVRV Z-Score >7) became mathematically harder to hit. The conclusion is that these indicators were built on limited historical data and assumptions that no longer hold. Investors are advised to understand the limitations of these tools and adapt to a new market reality driven by institutional dynamics and macroeconomics.

比推02/19 06:50

Not Your Fault for Not Understanding the Market: Traditional Crypto Indicators Are Failing

比推02/19 06:50

Arthur Hayes, Tom Lee buy Ethereum’s dip as retail panic: What’s going on?

Amid Ethereum's 37% decline to around $2,013, institutional investors are buying the dip while retail panics. Arthur Hayes deposited 1,000 ETH ($1.99M) into Bybit, and Tom Lee’s Bitmine acquired 45,759 ETH ($90.83M), despite sitting on an $8.03B unrealized loss. Analysts note Ethereum is in a "market coldness" phase with low sentiment, as shown by MVRV and other metrics near zero. Recent buyers are at a loss, and short-term trader activity is flat. Some, like Borovik, predict a long-term recovery to $10,000 by 2027, but current price action shows weak buying interest and sideways movement. The $2,000 level remains a critical psychological and technical support.

ambcrypto02/18 23:02

Arthur Hayes, Tom Lee buy Ethereum’s dip as retail panic: What’s going on?

ambcrypto02/18 23:02

Bitcoin: Why ‘old guns’ ignore the $68K stall as STHs grow anxious

Bitcoin is currently holding near $68,200, but a divergence in investor behavior is shaping market dynamics. Short-term holders (STHs) are showing signs of anxiety, with their net buying activity slowing down compared to earlier spikes. This reduction in STH demand is contributing to sideways or choppy price movement, as this group often drives strong upward momentum. In contrast, long-term holders (LTHs) remain calm and continue to hold their positions, preventing deeper price declines. Data indicates that the MVRV Z-Score Accumulation Signal is near a buying zone, suggesting experienced investors are accumulating during this period of uncertainty. The price is trading above a key support level around $64K but faces resistance near $71K. For a significant breakout to occur, STHs need to return with stronger buying interest. Until then, the market is likely to remain range-bound, with LTHs providing stability and STHs holding the key to the next major price move.

ambcrypto02/18 20:05

Bitcoin: Why ‘old guns’ ignore the $68K stall as STHs grow anxious

ambcrypto02/18 20:05

Bitcoin price faces threat of dropping to $65k – Here’s why!

Bitcoin faces potential downside pressure with a risk of dropping to $65k due to increased selling activity from large holders and short-term investors. On-chain data shows a rising whale inflow ratio to Binance, indicating heightened selling pressure from major players. Meanwhile, metrics like the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) and MVRV Ratio signal persistent profit-taking and oversold conditions. These factors suggest any price bounce may be aggressively sold off in the short term. Despite this volatility, institutional long-term outlook remains bullish, with some analysts projecting prices as high as $266k by 2026.

ambcrypto02/17 21:02

Bitcoin price faces threat of dropping to $65k – Here’s why!