# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Investment

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Investment", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Prediction Market ETFs: A Foray into the Mainstream or Playing with Fire?

Several major ETF issuers, including Bitwise Asset Management, GraniteShares, and Roundhill Investments, have recently filed applications with the U.S. SEC to launch prediction market ETFs. These ETFs are designed to track the outcomes of U.S. political events, such as the 2028 presidential election and the 2026 midterms, allowing investors to trade election probabilities through traditional brokerage accounts like Robinhood or Fidelity. Prediction markets aggregate crowd-sourced forecasts using real-money contracts, where prices reflect the market’s consensus probability of an event occurring. Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have demonstrated strong predictive accuracy in events like the 2024 U.S. election, often outperforming traditional polls due to their incentive-based structure. The proposed ETFs would track the price movements of these prediction market contracts, with share values fluctuating between $0 and $1. If the predicted event occurs, the corresponding “Yes” ETF would settle near $1; otherwise, it would approach $0. Unlike Bitcoin ETFs, which track asset prices, these are binary outcome products, more akin to options or insurance. If approved, these ETFs could bring prediction markets into mainstream finance, offering new tools for hedging and macro risk management. However, concerns remain about potential market manipulation, public perception influence, and regulatory approval, as the SEC may view them as gambling-like instruments. The move represents a significant test of how “probability as an asset” is accepted in traditional markets.

marsbit02/22 12:46

Prediction Market ETFs: A Foray into the Mainstream or Playing with Fire?

marsbit02/22 12:46

Prediction Market ETFs: A Foray into the Mainstream or Playing with Fire?

A new wave of ETF applications has been submitted to the SEC by asset managers including Bitwise, GraniteShares, and Roundhill Investments. These ETFs aim to track the outcomes of U.S. political elections—such as the 2028 presidential race and 2026 midterm control of Congress—by packaging prediction market contracts into tradable securities. This would allow mainstream investors to use traditional brokerage accounts to bet on electoral results, similar to platforms like Polymarket or Kalshi, but within the regulated financial system. Prediction markets aggregate crowd-sourced probabilities through financial incentives, often demonstrating stronger predictive accuracy than traditional polls, as seen during the 2024 U.S. election. The proposed ETFs would reflect binary event probabilities, with share prices fluctuating between $0 and $1. If the predicted outcome occurs, the ETF value approaches $1; otherwise, it nears zero. Most funds would liquidate after the event settles. This move could significantly broaden participation and liquidity, potentially making prediction markets a tool for hedging policy risks or macro strategies. However, it also raises regulatory and ethical concerns, including potential market influence on public perception and the risk of manipulation. The SEC’s approval remains uncertain, as it may view these products as blurring the line between investing and gambling. The outcome of these applications could signal a major shift in how probabilistic events are traded and perceived in mainstream finance.

Odaily星球日报02/22 12:43

Prediction Market ETFs: A Foray into the Mainstream or Playing with Fire?

Odaily星球日报02/22 12:43

Storm Over Bitcoin Trades: Metaplanet CEO Denies Hiding Details

Metaplanet CEO Simon Gerovich has denied allegations that the company failed to properly disclose its Bitcoin trading activities, following criticism on social media. Gerovich stated that all major Bitcoin purchases and options trades were made public in real time, with transactions visible on the company’s live dashboard and external trackers. The firm reported significant net losses due to mark-to-market accounting on its Bitcoin holdings, despite generating substantial operating revenue from options. Additionally, Gerovich confirmed the use of a confidential credit line, a common practice in finance, though critics raised concerns over transparency regarding loan terms and counterparty details. The company’s strategy includes using options to accumulate Bitcoin at lower prices and generate income, though this approach carries risks during market volatility.

bitcoinist02/21 19:02

Storm Over Bitcoin Trades: Metaplanet CEO Denies Hiding Details

bitcoinist02/21 19:02

Bitcoin’s Fair Value Faces 20% Quantum Discount—And It’s Only Rising: Research

New research from Capriole Investments indicates Bitcoin's fair value is currently discounted by 20% due to the threat of Quantum Computing, a risk that could increase without a network upgrade. Quantum computers could potentially break into wallets with exposed public keys, compromising Bitcoin's core value propositions and risking up to 30% of its supply. Estimates suggest a 60% probability of a quantum breach ("Q-Day") by 2030. With an upgrade expected to take about two years, the discount could rise to 40% by 2027 and 60% by 2028 if no action is taken. Bitcoin is currently trading around $67,700.

bitcoinist02/21 17:29

Bitcoin’s Fair Value Faces 20% Quantum Discount—And It’s Only Rising: Research

bitcoinist02/21 17:29

Blockchain Partner: Crypto Assets Are Undergoing a Great Value Reassessment

The cryptocurrency industry is experiencing a paradox: while achieving unprecedented success in adoption and infrastructure, market sentiment remains deeply pessimistic due to a significant decoupling between utility and token prices. Key successes include record stablecoin transaction volumes ($33 trillion in 2025), widespread adoption of crypto-native applications like Polymarket and Phantom, and major traditional financial institutions implementing blockchain strategies. However, token prices have stagnated or declined, revealing a structural shift in value capture: economic value is increasingly accumulating at the application and distribution layers (e.g., wallets, exchanges, and companies like Coinbase and Tether) rather than at the infrastructure layer (L1s, L2s, protocols). This revaluation challenges long-held investment theses that assumed token holders would benefit directly from protocol-scale adoption. The article argues that controlling user relationships and distribution channels now dominates value capture, commoditizing underlying infrastructure. While tokens may evolve to better align with application-layer economics, the current market demands clearer, direct links between usage, revenue, and token value.

比推02/21 16:10

Blockchain Partner: Crypto Assets Are Undergoing a Great Value Reassessment

比推02/21 16:10

Ozak AI ROI Projections Stretch From 180× to Over 850× by 2027, While Most Large-Cap Coins Struggle to Break 10×

The article highlights the significant ROI potential of the early-stage AI token Ozak AI, projecting growth from 180x to over 850x by 2027, while contrasting it with large-cap cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, which struggle to achieve 10x returns. Currently in its 7th presale phase priced at $0.014, Ozak AI has already raised over $6.14 million and gained 1300% since its initial launch. Its value proposition is built on advanced AI technology that merges AI and blockchain for predictive analytics, featuring models like Temporal Fusion Transformer and a Multi-Agent AI system. A recent partnership with Openledger further strengthens its ecosystem by enhancing data quality and on-chain AI tools. The ROI calculations illustrate that a $1,000 investment at the current price could yield up to $850,000 if the token reaches $11.90 by 2027. Analysts attribute this potential to its low market cap, strong presale momentum, and technological foundation.

TheNewsCrypto02/21 15:28

Ozak AI ROI Projections Stretch From 180× to Over 850× by 2027, While Most Large-Cap Coins Struggle to Break 10×

TheNewsCrypto02/21 15:28

Weekly Token Unlocks: 14 Projects to Unlock $110 Million Worth of Tokens

Weekly Token Unlock Report: $110M Worth of Tokens Unlocked Across 14 Projects This week, 14 projects are set to unlock tokens valued at approximately $110 million. Key highlights: - **Grass**: Unlocking 57.29 million tokens (~$11 million). A Solana-based project combining AI and DePIN, it serves as a decentralized data layer for AI model training. - **EigenLayer**: Unlocking 36.82 million tokens (~$7.26 million). An Ethereum protocol introducing restaking, allowing staked ETH to secure other applications. - **SoSoValue**: Unlocking 13.32 million tokens (~$4.99 million). An AI-powered investment research platform merging CeFi efficiency with DeFi transparency. These unlocks are part of each project's predefined emission schedule, potentially influencing market supply and token prices.

marsbit02/21 14:55

Weekly Token Unlocks: 14 Projects to Unlock $110 Million Worth of Tokens

marsbit02/21 14:55

Bitcoin ETFs See $88M Inflows, Ending Three-Day Outflow Streak

Bitcoin ETFs recorded $88.04 million in net inflows on February 20, ending a three-day outflow streak that totaled $403.90 million. BlackRock's IBIT led with $64.46 million, followed by Fidelity's FBTC with $23.59 million. All other major Bitcoin ETFs, including Grayscale's GBTC, showed no flows. Bitcoin traded below $70,000 with minimal movement after hitting a session low of $66,452. Total net assets stood at $85.31 billion, while cumulative net inflows reached $54.01 billion. The prior three days saw significant outflows, with the largest single-day withdrawal of $165.76 million on February 19. Weekly outflows for the period ending February 20 were $315.86 million, part of a four-week outflow trend totaling around $2.48 billion.

TheNewsCrypto02/21 11:09

Bitcoin ETFs See $88M Inflows, Ending Three-Day Outflow Streak

TheNewsCrypto02/21 11:09

Blockchain Capital Partner: Crypto Assets Are Undergoing a Great Repricing

Despite achieving unprecedented success with record-breaking metrics—$33 trillion in stablecoin transaction volume, 3.2 billion retail transactions, and widespread adoption by major financial institutions and tech companies—the crypto industry is experiencing deep pessimism due to declining token prices. This divergence between fundamental success and market performance reflects a structural reassessment of where value accumulates. The core issue is a decoupling between product utility and token value. While infrastructure tokens (L1s, L2s, bridges, protocols) were expected to capture value, economic benefits are increasingly flowing to application-layer entities controlling user relationships and distribution—such as Phantom, Polymarket, Tether, and centralized exchanges like Coinbase. These players leverage routing power to commoditize underlying infrastructure, pushing value upward in the stack. This shift challenges long-held investment theses that assumed token holders would benefit directly from protocol-scale adoption. The market now demands explicit links between usage, revenue, and token value. While infrastructure remains relevant, tokens are evolving toward models that integrate application-layer economics or represent tokenized equity with cash-flow rights. The industry is transitioning from speculation and validation to a focus on sustainable value capture, where success requires not just building useful products but ensuring economic rewards align with contributions.

marsbit02/21 07:25

Blockchain Capital Partner: Crypto Assets Are Undergoing a Great Repricing

marsbit02/21 07:25

The Second Curve of a Global Top Internet Celebrity: MrBeast's Fintech Gambit

MrBeast, the world's top YouTuber with 467 million subscribers, is aggressively expanding into fintech. Despite his massive content success, his media business reportedly operates at a loss due to extremely high production costs. His profitable ventures, like the Feastables chocolate brand, now serve as cash cows. In a major move, Beast Industries acquired Step, a financial app for teens and Gen Z focused on building credit and savings, aligning with MrBeast's young audience. This follows a $200 million investment from Bitmine and a broad "MRBEAST FINANCIAL" trademark filing covering banking, crypto, and investment services. Key executive Jeff Housenbold is driving operational discipline and profitability. However, the expansion raises concerns about targeting minors with financial products and potential regulatory clashes with MrBeast's high-energy, gamified content style, especially given past controversies around crypto promotions. The strategy leverages his unparalleled reach but risks trust if not managed with extreme care.

marsbit02/21 05:59

The Second Curve of a Global Top Internet Celebrity: MrBeast's Fintech Gambit

marsbit02/21 05:59

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