# Сопутствующие статьи по теме ETFs

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "ETFs", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Ondo and Binance Join Forces to Broaden Tokenized Stock Investment Channels for Hundreds of Millions of Binance Users

Ondo Finance has partnered with Binance to list its tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs on the exchange, providing access to hundreds of millions of Binance users globally. Ten tokenized assets—including Apple (AAPLon), Google (GOOGLon), Tesla (TSLAon), NVIDIA (NVDAon), and Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQon)—are now available on Binance Alpha. Since its launch in September 2025, Ondo Global Markets has reached over $550 million in total value locked (TVL) and facilitated more than $11 billion in cumulative trading volume. The tokens provide economic exposure to traditional equities but are not available to U.S. users. They are regulated as securities in certain jurisdictions and come with associated risks, including market volatility and potential loss of investment.

marsbit02/24 14:37

Ondo and Binance Join Forces to Broaden Tokenized Stock Investment Channels for Hundreds of Millions of Binance Users

marsbit02/24 14:37

Prediction Market ETFs: A Foray into the Mainstream or Playing with Fire?

Several major ETF issuers, including Bitwise Asset Management, GraniteShares, and Roundhill Investments, have recently filed applications with the U.S. SEC to launch prediction market ETFs. These ETFs are designed to track the outcomes of U.S. political events, such as the 2028 presidential election and the 2026 midterms, allowing investors to trade election probabilities through traditional brokerage accounts like Robinhood or Fidelity. Prediction markets aggregate crowd-sourced forecasts using real-money contracts, where prices reflect the market’s consensus probability of an event occurring. Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have demonstrated strong predictive accuracy in events like the 2024 U.S. election, often outperforming traditional polls due to their incentive-based structure. The proposed ETFs would track the price movements of these prediction market contracts, with share values fluctuating between $0 and $1. If the predicted event occurs, the corresponding “Yes” ETF would settle near $1; otherwise, it would approach $0. Unlike Bitcoin ETFs, which track asset prices, these are binary outcome products, more akin to options or insurance. If approved, these ETFs could bring prediction markets into mainstream finance, offering new tools for hedging and macro risk management. However, concerns remain about potential market manipulation, public perception influence, and regulatory approval, as the SEC may view them as gambling-like instruments. The move represents a significant test of how “probability as an asset” is accepted in traditional markets.

marsbit02/22 12:46

Prediction Market ETFs: A Foray into the Mainstream or Playing with Fire?

marsbit02/22 12:46

Prediction Market ETFs: A Foray into the Mainstream or Playing with Fire?

A new wave of ETF applications has been submitted to the SEC by asset managers including Bitwise, GraniteShares, and Roundhill Investments. These ETFs aim to track the outcomes of U.S. political elections—such as the 2028 presidential race and 2026 midterm control of Congress—by packaging prediction market contracts into tradable securities. This would allow mainstream investors to use traditional brokerage accounts to bet on electoral results, similar to platforms like Polymarket or Kalshi, but within the regulated financial system. Prediction markets aggregate crowd-sourced probabilities through financial incentives, often demonstrating stronger predictive accuracy than traditional polls, as seen during the 2024 U.S. election. The proposed ETFs would reflect binary event probabilities, with share prices fluctuating between $0 and $1. If the predicted outcome occurs, the ETF value approaches $1; otherwise, it nears zero. Most funds would liquidate after the event settles. This move could significantly broaden participation and liquidity, potentially making prediction markets a tool for hedging policy risks or macro strategies. However, it also raises regulatory and ethical concerns, including potential market influence on public perception and the risk of manipulation. The SEC’s approval remains uncertain, as it may view these products as blurring the line between investing and gambling. The outcome of these applications could signal a major shift in how probabilistic events are traded and perceived in mainstream finance.

Odaily星球日报02/22 12:43

Prediction Market ETFs: A Foray into the Mainstream or Playing with Fire?

Odaily星球日报02/22 12:43

Blockworks: Strategy 2026 Bitcoin Accumulation Logic Has Changed

Strategic Shift in MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Accumulation Strategy by 2026 MicroStrategy, holding nearly 680,000 BTC, is undergoing a significant shift in its financing model for Bitcoin acquisitions. Unlike the low-to-zero interest convertible bonds used in 2024-2025, the company is now turning to higher-cost preferred shares and dilutive common stock offerings (ATM issuances). This change is driven by the narrowing premium of its stock price relative to its Bitcoin NAV (mNAV), making previous low-cost financing less effective. While MicroStrategy resumed purchases in early 2026, buying 1,283 BTC, its deployment of capital has become more intermittent. The new financing structure increases costs and risks diluting the Bitcoin-per-share ratio, constraining the firm's ability to sustain large, consistent buying pressure. Consequently, its influence on Bitcoin's price is expected to diminish, making ETF flows and broader crypto market sentiment more dominant price drivers. MicroStrategy remains a key market indicator, but its buying activity will be less impactful and more sporadic.

marsbit02/22 08:01

Blockworks: Strategy 2026 Bitcoin Accumulation Logic Has Changed

marsbit02/22 08:01

‘Higher for longer’: Can Bitcoin survive Fed’s latest $18.5B liquidity injection?

The crypto market turned cautious on February 19th, with Bitcoin trading 46% below its October peak. Traders no longer expected a Fed rate cut in March, while the Fed injected $18.5 billion in liquidity—one of the largest since 2020. This created tension between policy restraint and expanding liquidity. Meanwhile, prediction markets showed a 90% chance of the CLARITY Act being signed, potentially boosting institutional confidence. Quantum computing fears resurfaced, raising concerns over lost or dormant BTC (18% of supply), though Michael Saylor argued such risks strengthen Bitcoin by reducing available supply. Institutional accumulation since 2020 nearly matches estimated dormant coins, while exchange balances continued to decline. Bitcoin was defending key support near $57K.

ambcrypto02/19 21:01

‘Higher for longer’: Can Bitcoin survive Fed’s latest $18.5B liquidity injection?

ambcrypto02/19 21:01

When "Old Maps" No Longer Apply: A Review of 8 Failed Classic Crypto Metrics and the Structural Reasons Behind Them

Title: When "Old Maps" No Longer Apply: 8 Failed Classic Crypto Indicators and Their Structural Causes The crypto market in early 2026 is marked by confusion as traditional on-chain and technical indicators have collectively failed. This analysis examines eight key metrics that have lost predictive power and explores the underlying structural market shifts causing their obsolescence. The core findings reveal that institutionalization has fundamentally altered market microstructure. Bitcoin ETF inflows created sustained demand, breaking the pure halving-driven narrative. The 2024 halving's supply reduction became negligible against Bitcoin's multi-trillion dollar market cap. This institutional participation smoothed volatility from over 100% to ~50%, preventing the extreme moves needed to trigger indicators like the Pi Cycle Top (relying on 111-day/350-day MA crossover) and Rainbow Chart (based on logarithmic growth curves). The MVRV Z-Score failed as institutional buying raised the realized value floor, compressing its historical range. The "altcoin season" never materialized because ETF flows went exclusively to Bitcoin, not rotating to altcoins, while AI and precious metals diverted capital from crypto overall. The Fear & Greed Index became unreliable as institutional flows decoupled from retail sentiment. The NVT ratio malfunctioned as on-chain volume no longer represented real economic activity. Finally, PlanB's S2F model failed spectacularly (predicting $500K vs. $120K actual) by ignoring demand-side variables and the impossibility of exponential growth at Bitcoin's current scale. Ultimately, these indicators failed because they relied on outdated assumptions: extreme volatility, retail-driven markets, and pure on-chain data analysis. The market has transitioned from a digital commodity to a macro asset influenced by Federal Reserve policy and global liquidity rather than just halving cycles. Investors must understand these structural changes rather than seeking new universal indicators.

marsbit02/19 03:50

When "Old Maps" No Longer Apply: A Review of 8 Failed Classic Crypto Metrics and the Structural Reasons Behind Them

marsbit02/19 03:50

Crypto Treasuries May Begin Selling In 2026 As ETFs Increase Pressure: Report

Crypto prices have declined significantly from their previous highs, and a new report warns that digital asset treasuries (DATs) may be forced to start selling their holdings by 2026. These companies, which hold large amounts of cryptocurrency on their balance sheets, are facing steep paper losses due to falling token prices. If the bear market persists, they may need to liquidate assets to meet debt obligations or margin calls. Additionally, the growing popularity of cryptocurrency ETFs is increasing competitive pressure on DATs. Both offer crypto exposure, but ETFs are seen as less risky than treasury companies, which often use debt financing. Refinancing risks and potential margin calls could force DATs to sell into a declining market, creating a negative feedback loop that drives prices even lower. Analysts caution that if the current slump continues, forced sales from DATs could amplify market weakness and have ripple effects across the entire crypto ecosystem in 2026.

bitcoinist02/17 00:02

Crypto Treasuries May Begin Selling In 2026 As ETFs Increase Pressure: Report

bitcoinist02/17 00:02

Bitcoin: Whales step back, retail pushes on – Is BTC setting a bull trap?

Bitcoin's price shows sustained weakness, recently dropping to $72,945 amid increased selling pressure. A notable divergence has emerged between whale and retail trader behavior: whales are reducing long exposure and opening short positions, while retail traders maintain optimism and hold their ground. Derivatives data indicates longs still have marginal control with a slightly positive funding rate, but bearish pressure is growing. Short volume is dominating perpetual markets, and spot market indicators like the Coinbase Premium Index show weakening U.S. institutional demand. Additionally, a significant decline in spot trading volume and a $10 billion contraction in stablecoin market cap reflect reduced market liquidity and investor caution. Without a recovery in spot demand, Bitcoin may struggle to achieve sustained upward momentum, raising the possibility of a bull trap.

ambcrypto02/04 14:05

Bitcoin: Whales step back, retail pushes on – Is BTC setting a bull trap?

ambcrypto02/04 14:05

Bitcoin: From $124,700 to $78,000 – BTC’s rise, fall, and reality check

Bitcoin's price has fallen to $78,441 in early 2026, erasing nearly all gains from its 2025 rally that peaked at a record $124,700 in October. The decline drivers include the hawkish Federal Reserve Chair nomination, geopolitical tensions, capital rotation away from risk assets, large liquidations, fading spot Bitcoin ETF interest, and unmet expectations like a U.S. Bitcoin reserve. This has revived fears around Satoshi Nakamoto’s unmoved coins, though some see it as a market-clearing phase. Technically, indicators like MACD remain bearish, but oversold RSI levels suggest potential support and a short-term bounce. Market sentiment strain persists, yet Bitcoin’s high dominance indicates capital isn’t fleeing to altcoins, leaving the market in a tense waiting phase.

ambcrypto02/02 08:02

Bitcoin: From $124,700 to $78,000 – BTC’s rise, fall, and reality check

ambcrypto02/02 08:02

The Real Culprit Behind the Crypto Crash: The Warsh Effect

The cryptocurrency market crash, termed the "Warsh Effect," was triggered by former President Donald Trump's announcement nominating Kevin Warsh, a known monetary policy hawk, as the next Federal Reserve Chair. This news caused significant sell-offs, with Bitcoin dropping over 13% from ~$90,400 to $78,214, and Ethereum and Solana falling over 18% in a week. Key reasons include expectations of tighter monetary policy under Warsh, leading to reduced liquidity and higher real interest rates, which negatively impact risk-sensitive assets like crypto. This triggered massive outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs (~$1 billion in a day), initiating a cascade of leveraged liquidations. However, Warsh's views on Bitcoin are nuanced; he has called it a valuable policy barometer and acknowledged its role in U.S. competitiveness. His actual influence remains limited as Fed policy is set by the broader FOMC, which is already cautious about rate cuts. The market's reaction blends fear of monetary tightening with uncertainty over his confirmation, which faces Senate hurdles. The outcome of his confirmation hearings will be critical for future crypto market trends.

marsbit02/02 00:09

The Real Culprit Behind the Crypto Crash: The Warsh Effect

marsbit02/02 00:09

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