# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Data

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Data", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

How to Systematically Track High-Winning-Rate Addresses on Polymarket?

How to Systematically Track High-Win-Rate Wallets on Polymarket This article explores methods to identify and track high-performing wallets on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market where all transactions are publicly recorded on-chain. While the platform's data is transparent, the key challenge lies in interpreting this data to find wallets that consistently demonstrate an informational edge. The piece outlines common characteristics of potentially "insider" wallets, which are not necessarily illegal but show patterns of highly informed trading. These include: new addresses making large, concentrated bets; wallets specializing in a single niche topic; sudden, significant increases in position size; and extremely precise timing, repeatedly entering positions hours before major public news breaks. A three-step methodology for systematically identifying these wallets is provided: 1. Analyze Polymarket's leaderboard to filter for addresses with sustained profitability over 30 days, a high win rate (>55%), and significant profits in liquid markets. 2. Drill down into specific event markets to examine the top holders, looking for wallets that consistently hold large positions before the market has fully priced in an outcome. 3. Conduct a detailed analysis of the candidate wallets' on-chain history, focusing on their entry timing (pre-news vs. post-news), position-building strategy (rapid vs. gradual), holding period, and trading focus (specialized vs. generalized). The article concludes with advanced tracking strategies, emphasizing the importance of monitoring exit behavior (e.g., large sell-offs before bad news), performing cluster analysis to find linked addresses, watching for unusual volume in niche markets, and cross-referencing on-chain activity with real-world signals for stronger validation. The ultimate goal is to move beyond simple betting and use public on-chain data to find and learn from the most successful traders.

Odaily星球日报03/02 08:56

How to Systematically Track High-Winning-Rate Addresses on Polymarket?

Odaily星球日报03/02 08:56

Data Modeling: How to Improve the Quality of Interaction on Polymarket?

Polymarket, a leading prediction market platform, is anticipated to have one of the largest airdrops in the sector. This analysis provides a data-driven strategy to optimize user interactions for potential rewards. A critical finding is that public dashboards often double-count trading volume by including both sides of a trade. The true, single-sided figure is likely half of what is displayed, which will be the metric Polymarket uses internally. User distribution data reveals extreme concentration: only 0.51% of addresses profited over $1,000, and a mere 1.74% traded over $50,000. Crucially, 79% of traders have never earned even $1 in liquidity provider (LP) rewards, making LP activity a currently undervalued and highly capital-efficient interaction. Historical airdrop precedents suggest rewards will be based on active behavior—not profitability—to avoid favoring insiders. A multi-dimensional model is predicted, likely featuring: * 40% weight on trade volume (using a square root compression formula to limit whale dominance). * 35% weight on LP rewards. * 15% weight on market diversity (number of distinct markets traded in). * 10% weight on longevity (months active). The analysis advises users to accumulate genuine, on-chain provable volume across diverse markets, hold positions for 1-24 hours, and, most importantly, begin providing liquidity to accumulate LP rewards, which are a strong anti-Sybil signal. A hard cap per address is also expected to prevent excessive concentration of the airdrop.

Odaily星球日报02/22 10:57

Data Modeling: How to Improve the Quality of Interaction on Polymarket?

Odaily星球日报02/22 10:57

RootData Transparency Bounty Activities Report for Rounds 3 and 4

RootData Transparency Bounty Program Reports for Rounds 3 and 4 From January 30 to February 8, 2026, RootData, a Web3 asset data platform, conducted its third and fourth transparency bounty programs. The initiatives focused on due diligence around recently listed projects on major exchanges, covering key financial metrics such as funding structure, team background, token unlocks, and major timelines. The programs reviewed two main categories: Binance-listed projects from the past year and projects listed on major exchanges in 2026. Over 160 users participated, contributing to 190 tag optimizations, 364 token unlock data updates, 235 key calendar entries, and 396 general information improvements. Notably, the overall approval rate was below 30%, reflecting structural challenges in Web3 project transparency. Common issues included incomplete unlock schedules, denial of historical documentation by official sources, complex inflationary token models, and unverified AI-generated content. To date, RootData has hosted four rounds of bounty programs, covering 526 unique projects. Some, like River and Audiera, were repeatedly submitted, showing sustained community interest and gradual transparency improvement. RootData emphasizes that transparency is an ongoing process rather than a one-time goal. The platform remains committed to factual, neutral, and third-party validated data disclosure, avoiding value judgments. It aims to enhance Web3's data infrastructure through community-driven verification and open bounty mechanisms.

marsbit02/12 08:25

RootData Transparency Bounty Activities Report for Rounds 3 and 4

marsbit02/12 08:25

The 15-Minute Win-Lose Game: A Million Transaction Records Unveil the 'Folded World' of Bitcoin Prediction Markets

A data analysis of Bitcoin's 15-minute price prediction markets reveals a stark reality dominated by algorithmic trading bots. Over a three-day period encompassing 291 markets, 1.05 million transactions totaling $17 million were recorded. While 17,254 unique addresses participated, the vast majority were retail users treating it like a "lottery," with an almost even split between winners and losers. The key finding is the market's domination by a tiny minority: just 247 algorithm-driven addresses (3.6% of users) executed over 60% of all trades. These bots generated a collective profit of approximately $284,000, while human traders, overall, lost $154,000. Bots also boasted a significantly higher win rate of 65.5% compared to 51.5% for humans. The analysis further debunked the assumption that pure speed guarantees success. The most profitable bot, which earned $54,531, had a high win rate of 72% but was selective, participating in 61% of markets. In contrast, hyper-frequency bots trading over 50 times per hour often had negative returns due to gas fees and intense competition. For human traders, the data suggests a path to success lies in low-frequency, high-conviction trading, where the win rate can reach 55%. However, humans consistently fail at risk management, often holding onto losing positions too long and exiting winners too early, leading to a poor risk-reward ratio. The market is ultimately a hierarchy: top algorithms harvest inferior bots, which in turn harvest undisciplined human traders.

marsbit02/05 06:38

The 15-Minute Win-Lose Game: A Million Transaction Records Unveil the 'Folded World' of Bitcoin Prediction Markets

marsbit02/05 06:38

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