# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Circle

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Circle", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Circle's Pullback: Still Worth Buying?

Circle: Still Worth Buying After the Pullback? Circle, the issuer of the second-largest stablecoin USDC, is at a critical juncture. Its current valuation of $15-20B primarily reflects its interest income from $770B in USDC reserves. However, data suggests a potential transformation into a fee-based digital dollar infrastructure network. Key evidence for this shift includes: * USDC's on-chain transaction volume grew 247% in FY2025, far outpacing its 72% circulation growth, indicating it's being *used* more, not just held. * Adjusted for on-chain noise, USDC dominates real economic settlement volume (64% per Visa data), despite USDT having 2.4x its market cap. Circle's three-layer revenue structure is evolving: 1. **Interest Income (95% of current revenue):** Tied to USDC circulation and interest rates. Faces headwinds from potential Fed cuts and a revenue-sharing agreement with Coinbase. 2. **Payment & Transaction Fees:** The key to becoming an infrastructure play. The Circle Payments Network (CPN) is scaling rapidly ($5.7B annualized TPV), and non-interest revenue surged to $37M/quarter. 3. **Settlement Platform (Arc):** A long-term bet on becoming an institutional settlement standard, though its value remains unproven. Near-term catalysts include the Coinbase revenue-sharing agreement renewal (Aug 2026) and potential full OCC bank charter approval. A 3-5x return is plausible if USDC circulation grows at 40% CAGR. A 10x return requires multiple successes: CPN scaling, improved Coinbase terms, non-interest revenue exceeding 10% of total, and progress on Arc. Major risks include faster-than-expected interest rate declines, Tether achieving greater legitimacy, and competition from new yield-bearing stablecoins and payment giants like Stripe. The investment thesis hinges on tracking three metrics: USDC circulation growth, its velocity (via Visa data), and the growth of non-interest revenue. The data is leaning toward a successful transformation, but it is not yet guaranteed.

marsbit04/04 01:00

Circle's Pullback: Still Worth Buying?

marsbit04/04 01:00

Tether Signs Big Four Auditor, Circle's Compliance Moat Collapses, Stock Plummets 20%

Tether, the world's largest stablecoin issuer, has announced it has engaged one of the Big Four accounting firms to conduct its first-ever comprehensive independent financial audit. This move is seen as a major step toward transparency for the company, which has long faced scrutiny over its reserve backing. The announcement had an immediate market impact, with shares of its competitor Circle, issuer of USDC, plummeting up to 20%. The audit is positioned as a turning point for Tether, which paid nearly $60 million in fines in 2021 following investigations by the New York Attorney General and the CFTC over misrepresentations about its reserves. While Tether has since published quarterly attestations, this full audit is considered a significant upgrade in legitimacy. This development directly challenges Circle's key advantage of perceived regulatory compliance and transparency. With a market cap of over $184 billion, Tether's newfound transparency could solidify its dominant position and attract more institutional capital. The article also details Tether's broader compliance strategy, including the launch of a fully U.S.-regulated stablecoin, USAT, designed to comply with the GENIUS Act. Furthermore, Tether has enhanced its cooperation with law enforcement, assisting in numerous investigations and freezing billions in assets linked to illicit activity. In conclusion, Tether's audit marks a pivotal moment for the entire stablecoin industry, signaling a shift towards greater institutionalization and transparency that aligns with traditional financial standards.

Odaily星球日报03/25 13:39

Tether Signs Big Four Auditor, Circle's Compliance Moat Collapses, Stock Plummets 20%

Odaily星球日报03/25 13:39

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