# Сопутствующие статьи по теме CFTC

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "CFTC", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

The Biggest Variable in the Post-Encryption Market: Can the CLARITY Act Pass the Senate?

The CLARITY Act (Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025), a key U.S. crypto market structure bill, faces a critical Senate Banking Committee vote on January 15. The bill aims to establish a clear regulatory framework by classifying digital assets into three categories: digital commodities, investment contract assets (securities), and regulated payment stablecoins. It also delineates regulatory jurisdiction between the SEC and CFTC. Recent closed-door meetings between Wall Street representatives (including SIFMA) and crypto industry players have been "constructive," particularly on contentious issues like DeFi regulatory exemptions and yield-bearing stablecoins. However, significant disagreements remain. Wall Street opposes broad DeFi exemptions and wants to restrict yield-paying stablecoins to protect traditional banks, while the crypto industry defends these provisions. Having passed the House with strong support in July, CLARITY's Senate progress has been delayed multiple times due to these disputes. The upcoming committee vote is crucial for the bill to advance to the full Senate. Supporters warn that postponement beyond April could jeopardize its passage due to midterm election politics. The outcome will determine whether the U.S. can resolve long-standing regulatory uncertainties and provide a clearer path for crypto market growth.

Odaily星球日报01/09 09:51

The Biggest Variable in the Post-Encryption Market: Can the CLARITY Act Pass the Senate?

Odaily星球日报01/09 09:51

From a "Preemptive Bet" Trade, Understanding the Hottest Web3 Trend of 2025: Prediction Markets

In early January 2025, a significant transaction on the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket drew widespread attention. An account invested approximately $32,537 over four days betting that Venezuelan President Maduro would leave office by January 31. The bet was placed hours before related geopolitical news became public, eventually yielding over $400,000 in profit as the event's perceived likelihood surged. This incident highlights the growing influence of prediction markets—a rapidly expanding Web3 sector in 2025. Prediction markets use financial incentives to aggregate dispersed information, allowing participants to trade on event outcomes. Prices reflect collective intelligence, often outperforming traditional polls, as seen during the 2024 U.S. election. Key platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have attracted over $3.15 billion in funding, with Polymarket’s valuation reaching $8–9 billion after a strategic investment from ICE. The sector is projected to grow from $900 million in trading volume in 2024 to $40 billion in 2025, with users increasing from 4 million to 15 million. Unlike gambling, prediction markets use transparent, market-driven pricing and serve as data products for decision-making, attracting researchers and institutional players. Their growth is fueled by regulatory clarity from the CFTC, expanded event categories, and improved technology. However, risks remain, including potential insider trading and market manipulation. Participation is prohibited in mainland China. Nonetheless, prediction markets represent a shift in Web3 toward real-world information infrastructure rather than pure asset speculation.

marsbit01/07 06:37

From a "Preemptive Bet" Trade, Understanding the Hottest Web3 Trend of 2025: Prediction Markets

marsbit01/07 06:37

2026 US Crypto Policy: Keep an Eye on These Six Key Milestones

The year 2026 is poised to be a pivotal period for US cryptocurrency policy, marked by six key dates. The policy revolution initiated under President Trump's second term is expected to continue, with major legislative and regulatory actions scheduled throughout the year. In January, the Senate is anticipated to hold hearings on the market structure bill, aiming to resolve the regulatory turf war between the SEC and CFTC. Additionally, SEC Chair Paul Atkins is expected to introduce an "innovation exemption" for new technologies. On May 15, the term of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ends. President Trump is likely to appoint a more dovish successor, whose monetary policy decisions could significantly impact crypto markets and inflation. A new crypto licensing law, the Digital Financial Assets Law, takes effect in California on July 1, potentially setting a precedent for other states. By July 18 deadline, federal and state regulators must issue supplementary rules for the recently passed stablecoin legislation (the Genius Act), covering areas like licensing and anti-money laundering. This process is already facing contention from banks and industry groups. By the end of August, two key developments are expected: the potential passage of crypto tax legislation (the Parity Act) addressing staking and small transactions, and the finalization of CFTC rules on blockchain technology applications in capital markets. The November 3 midterm elections represent the most significant variable. The current pro-industry "golden age" in Washington, facilitated by a Republican-controlled Congress, could end if Democrats regain control of either chamber, drastically reducing the likelihood of future crypto-friendly legislation. The passage of any pending bills too close to this date carries a high risk of stalling.

比推01/02 04:52

2026 US Crypto Policy: Keep an Eye on These Six Key Milestones

比推01/02 04:52

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