# Сопутствующие статьи по теме CFTC

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "CFTC", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

6 Key Dates for US Crypto Policy in 2026

Summary of Key US Crypto Policy Dates in 2026: 2026 is poised to be another significant year for US cryptocurrency policy. Key dates include: - **January**: The Senate is expected to hold hearings on the stalled crypto market structure bill (the "Clarity Act"), aiming to resolve the jurisdictional battle between the SEC and CFTC. Additionally, SEC Chair Paul Atkins is expected to unveil an "innovation exemption" for new technologies. - **May 15**: The term of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ends. President Trump, who has criticized Powell, is likely to appoint a more dovish successor, a move that could impact crypto markets and inflation. - **July 1**: California's Digital Financial Assets Law takes effect, requiring businesses engaging in digital asset activities with state residents to be licensed by the state’s financial regulator. - **July 18**: Regulators face a deadline to publish supplementary rules for the recently passed stablecoin legislation (the "Genius Act"), covering areas like licensing and anti-money laundering. This process is already contentious, with banks and crypto lobbyists clashing over certain provisions. - **August**: Two major developments are anticipated: the potential passage of crypto tax legislation (e.g., the "Parity Act" for de minimis exemptions) and the finalization of CFTC rules on blockchain technology applications in capital markets. - **November 3**: The US midterm elections could drastically alter the crypto policy landscape. The industry's recent successes relied on a Republican-controlled Congress; if Democrats regain control, the passage of pro-industry legislation would become far more difficult. The implementation of new laws and the political climate will be crucial in determining if the US remains a hub for crypto innovation.

marsbit01/02 04:25

6 Key Dates for US Crypto Policy in 2026

marsbit01/02 04:25

Why Did It Take Prediction Markets Nearly 40 Years to Explode?

This article explores the explosive growth of prediction markets in 2025, which saw an estimated 400% increase in trading volume, reaching $40 billion, and a user base growing to 15 million. It examines why, despite existing since the 1980s (e.g., Iowa Electronic Markets), prediction markets only recently surged in popularity. Key factors for the 2025 boom include major regulatory progress. The CFTC approved platforms like Polymarket as designated contract markets, allowing them to operate legally in the US. This compliance enabled wider distribution, integration into major apps like Robinhood, and attracted institutional investment, with both Polymarket and Kalshi securing over $1 billion in new funding. Regulatory clarity also allowed for a diversification of event types, including sports and crypto, which now dominate trading volume. The article contrasts prediction markets with traditional gambling, noting the US government distinguishes them based on their "positive externalities." Unlike sportsbooks that set odds, prediction markets facilitate peer-to-peer betting, aggregating collective knowledge to improve information efficiency and decision-making, which regulators view as socially beneficial despite gambling-like elements. A provocative section discusses insider trading. Some argue that insiders using non-public information on anonymous, decentralized platforms like Polymarket can enhance market accuracy and serve as a form of information discovery. However, this may harm retail trader trust and long-term liquidity. In conclusion, the convergence of regulatory approval, product improvement, and AI-driven tools created a perfect environment for prediction markets to thrive in 2025, though questions about fairness, competition, and global adoption remain open.

marsbit12/31 03:49

Why Did It Take Prediction Markets Nearly 40 Years to Explode?

marsbit12/31 03:49

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