# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Automation

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Automation", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

86% Return? How to Use a Bot to 'Earn Passively' on Polymarket

This article details the development and backtesting of an automated trading bot for the "BTC 15-minute UP/DOWN" market on Polymarket. The author identified market inefficiencies and automated a manual strategy to exploit them. The bot operates in two modes. In manual mode, users can directly place orders. In auto mode, it runs a two-leg cycle: First, it observes the market for a set time after a round begins. If either the "UP" or "DOWN" side drops by a specified percentage (e.g., 15%) within seconds, it triggers "Leg 1" and buys the crashed side. It then waits for "Leg 2," a hedging trade on the opposite side, which is only executed if the sum of the Leg 1 entry price and the opposite ask price meets a target threshold (e.g., ≤ 0.95). Due to a lack of historical market data from Polymarket's API, the author created a custom backtesting system by recording 6 GB of live price snapshots over four days. A conservative backtest with parameters of a 15% crash threshold and a 0.95 sum target showed an 86% ROI, turning $1,000 into $1,869. An aggressive parameter set resulted in a -50% loss, highlighting the critical role of parameter selection. The author acknowledges significant limitations of the backtesting, including its short data period, failure to model order book depth, partial fills, variable network latency, and the market impact of the bot's own orders. Future improvements include rewriting the bot in Rust for performance, running a dedicated node, and deploying on a low-latency VPS.

marsbit12/30 04:07

86% Return? How to Use a Bot to 'Earn Passively' on Polymarket

marsbit12/30 04:07

Steam, Steel, and Infinite Intelligence

The article "Steam, Steel, and Infinite Mind" by Ivan Zhao, CEO of Notion, explores how AI is poised to become the defining technological material of our era, much like steel shaped the Gilded Age and semiconductors enabled the digital age. The author argues that while AI currently mimics past forms—like early films resembling stage plays or AI chatbots resembling search engines—it holds transformative potential. At the individual level, AI can elevate knowledge workers from "bicycles" to "cars," as seen with programmers who now use AI assistants to become dramatically more efficient. However, two key challenges remain: fragmented context across tools and the lack of verifiability in non-programming knowledge work. At the organizational level, AI acts like "steel" for companies, enabling them to scale without the inefficiencies of human communication as a bottleneck. It also parallels the steam engine, which initially replaced water wheels but later allowed entirely new factory designs. Most companies are still in the "water wheel stage," using AI within old workflows rather than reimagining operations around continuous, asynchronous intelligence. On an economic scale, AI could enable a shift from human-scale "Florence-like" organizations to AI-augmented "megacities" of knowledge work—larger, faster, and more complex, but also more powerful. The conclusion urges looking beyond the rearview mirror to imagine and build this new frontier of infinite intelligence.

marsbit12/29 04:56

Steam, Steel, and Infinite Intelligence

marsbit12/29 04:56

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