Цена Ethereum не избежала резкого спада, который охватил весь криптовалютный рынок на выходных. Давление продаж усилилось к понедельнику, опустив вторую по величине криптовалюту до уровня около $2150 на минимумах.
Тем не менее, некоторые аналитики уверены, что долгосрочная структура Ethereum по-прежнему указывает на значительно более высокие цены.
Цена Ethereum создает давление для долгосрочного прорыва
Согласно анализу, которым поделился рыночный комментатор Bitcoinsensus в социальной сети X (ранее Twitter), цена Ethereum двигалась в боковом направлении на недельном графике в рамках паттерна сжатия, формирующегося примерно четыре года.
Эта продолжительная консолидация, по мнению аналитика, создает давление для крупного прорыва, как только диапазон будет пройден. Основываясь на этом долгосрочном паттерне, Bitcoinsensus предполагает, что ETH в конечном итоге может достичь уровней около $7000 за монету.
От текущей цены около $2337 (на момент написания) такое движение означало бы рост примерно на 200%. Однако в анализе также содержится предостережение.
Несмотря на бычий долгосрочный прогноз, цена Ethereum может расти не по прямой линии. Аналитик предупредил, что цена может сначала вернуться к нижней границе канала сжатия, которая на недельном графике находится около $1700.
Если этот сценарий реализуется и психологически важный уровень поддержки в $2000 не удержится, цена Ethereum может столкнуться с дополнительным снижением примерно на 27%, прежде чем найдет более сильный спрос.
Такое падение еще больше увеличит разрыв между текущими ценами и историческим максимумом Ethereum в $4946, установленным в прошлом году. В настоящее время ETH остается примерно на 53% ниже этого пика.
Следующая фаза роста
Помик графических паттернов, другие аналитики указывают на фундаментальные факторы, которые могут поддержать цену Ethereum в долгосрочной перспективе. 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