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Luke Gromen: Why I Sold Most of My Bitcoin by the End of 2025

Luke Gromen, a long-term Bitcoin and gold bull, sold the majority of his Bitcoin holdings in late November 2025. He clarifies that this was not a full exit but a strategic reduction based on a shift in his macro outlook. Gromen remains a long-term Bitcoin supporter but now sees it behaving like a high-beta tech stock during deflationary periods—not as a neutral reserve asset as he once expected. He argues that in a highly leveraged global system, Bitcoin acts as the "equity layer" of the capital structure, making it highly vulnerable during liquidity tightening. A key reason for his caution is the rise of AI and robotics, which he believes are driving an exponential, technology-driven deflation. This deflation is structurally different—it’s efficiency-led, fast-spreading, and damaging to employment. In such an environment, he argues, anything short of "nuclear-level money printing" effectively acts as monetary tightening, and risk assets like Bitcoin suffer first. He also emphasizes a broader macro shift: the world is moving from a "finance-first" era to one where "realpolitik" returns—geopolitics, industrial capacity, and supply chain security are becoming hard constraints. This new world is less stable, less friendly to financial assets, and more volatile. Despite reducing Bitcoin exposure, Gromen remains bullish on silver due to strong industrial demand and inelastic supply. He expects that a future crisis will eventually force massive monetary intervention, but until then, he prefers to step back, preserve capital, and re-enter when the macro landscape becomes clearer.

marsbit12/27 16:23

Luke Gromen: Why I Sold Most of My Bitcoin by the End of 2025

marsbit12/27 16:23

VC Investment Trends Shift: Public Chains and AI Cool Down; Prediction and Payment Take the Lead

Venture capital investment in the crypto sector is shifting significantly, moving away from previously dominant areas like Layer 1 and Layer 2 blockchains and AI projects. According to recent data, out of 73 projects that raised over $10 million in the past three months, almost none were new public chains. Similarly, AI × Web3 sector saw only two major raises, totaling $22.8 million. Instead, prediction markets and payment systems are now attracting substantial capital. Prediction platforms Polymarket and Kalshi alone secured over $3.15 billion, driven by Polymarket’s accurate election forecasts and growing user engagement. The payment and banking sector raised nearly $1.3 billion, with companies like Ripple Labs and Rapyd leading large rounds. Stablecoin transaction volumes now rival Visa, highlighting the sector’s expansion. Real World Assets (RWA) are also gaining traction, with over $850 million raised—led by Figure’s $787.5 million IPO. Tokenized assets on-chain now exceed $36 billion. Additionally, user-friendly infrastructure projects, such as simplified wallets and onboarding tools, are receiving significant investment to attract mainstream adoption. While DeFi remains active with around $740 million in funding, it no longer dominates VC attention. The trend indicates a clear pivot toward applications with real-world use cases and revenue potential over pure infrastructure.

Odaily星球日报12/27 13:41

VC Investment Trends Shift: Public Chains and AI Cool Down; Prediction and Payment Take the Lead

Odaily星球日报12/27 13:41

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