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Will Warsh Compromise with Trump? A Look at the 70-Year Power Struggle Between the President and the Fed

Will the Fed's new chair, Kevin Warsh, yield to pressure from President Trump? A White House-administered oath ceremony for Warsh breaks recent precedent, spotlighting a seven-decade power struggle between the presidency and the Federal Reserve. Historically, each Fed chair has balanced political pressure with policy independence. Warsh's situation, however, is uniquely complex, inheriting a divided Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) with some members opposing even hints of rate cuts, while Trump expects easing. The report from Caitong Securities reviews this history: from William Martin establishing independence, to Arthur Burns compromising under Nixon, Paul Volcker building institutional credibility, Alan Greenspan navigating political waters, and Jerome Powell facing severe pressure from Trump, ultimately hardening the Fed's defensive stance. Warsh, a former Fed governor known for questioning quantitative easing, is not a traditional dove. His recent statements emphasize a nuanced view of Fed independence, skepticism of forward guidance, serious concern over inflation (contradicting Trump's "fake inflation" claims), and the potential for AI-driven productivity gains to allow rate cuts. The analysis concludes Warsh's policy will likely feature a clear direction but cautious pace. Rate cuts are probable but constrained by persistent inflation above target; if Trump pressures heavily, Warsh may delay cuts to defend Fed independence. Balance sheet reduction is seen as necessary but will be gradual to avoid premature conflict. Ultimately, Warsh's path will depend more on macroeconomic trends—inflation, growth, oil prices—than on his personal stance or the immediate political relationship.

marsbit05/22 01:57

Will Warsh Compromise with Trump? A Look at the 70-Year Power Struggle Between the President and the Fed

marsbit05/22 01:57

Musk's 'One-Man Dynasty' Set to Ring the Bell on June 12th

SpaceX Files for IPO, Targets Up to $2 Trillion Valuation SpaceX has officially filed for an initial public offering (IPO) with the U.S. SEC, planning to list on Nasdaq under the ticker "SPCX" on June 12. The company aims to raise $70-$80 billion, targeting a historic valuation between $1.75 and $2 trillion. Despite going public, founder Elon Musk will retain approximately 85% of the voting power through a dual-class share structure, maintaining absolute control. The S-1 filing reveals a company with sharply contrasting financial segments. In 2025, SpaceX reported $18.67 billion in revenue but a net loss of $4.94 billion. The loss was primarily driven by its AI unit, xAI, which burned $6.4 billion. In contrast, the Starlink satellite internet business was highly profitable, generating $11.4 billion in revenue and $4.4 billion in operating profit with an impressive 63% EBITDA margin. Starlink's user base grew to 10.3 million by Q1 2026, though average revenue per user has been declining. A key driver of the sky-high valuation is the recent $1.25 trillion merger with xAI, which added an AI narrative to the core aerospace business. SpaceX plans futuristic ventures like orbital AI data centers and space mining, though these are not yet revenue-generating. The company's capital expenditures are massive, exceeding $20.7 billion in 2025, with AI spending surpassing that of space operations. The IPO, led by Goldman Sachs, has drawn both enthusiasm and skepticism from Wall Street. While some hail it as a generational investment opportunity, others question the steep valuation multiples and the sustainability of funding xAI's significant losses with Starlink's profits. The listing represents a major test of market faith in Musk's long-term vision and his unique model of centralized control.

marsbit05/22 01:56

Musk's 'One-Man Dynasty' Set to Ring the Bell on June 12th

marsbit05/22 01:56

SpaceX and OpenAI Are Rushing to Go Public. Is Wall Street Ready?

SpaceX and OpenAI Rush to IPO: Is Wall Street Ready? SpaceX and OpenAI, led by former partners turned rivals Elon Musk and Sam Altman, are on a collision course to go public, igniting a potential Wall Street showdown. SpaceX filed for an IPO targeting a staggering $1.75-$2 trillion valuation. Its financials are starkly divided: while the Starlink (Connectivity) segment is profitable, these earnings are being consumed by massive losses in its core Aerospace business (rocket/Starship development) and the newly integrated AI business, formerly xAI. The entire IPO narrative hinges on investors betting that Starlink can fund Musk's long-term vision of orbital AI data centers, lunar infrastructure, and Mars colonization. OpenAI, following its legal victory over Musk, is reportedly preparing a secret IPO filing with a target to list by September. Its move is framed as a necessary "lifeline." Despite high revenue, OpenAI is burning cash at an alarming rate. Facing intense competition from rivals like Anthropic (which is nearing profitability) and pressure to sustain enormous compute costs, the IPO is seen as a critical step to secure public market funding for survival. Both companies present investors with a high-stakes gamble on future value versus present-day financial realities. SpaceX's valuation is a bet on unproven, capital-intensive space-based infrastructure. OpenAI's hinges on AI becoming a foundational platform, despite current monetization challenges and heavy losses. Their IPOs test whether Wall Street will pay a historic premium for these grand, long-term narratives or demand more conventional proof of near-term profitability, potentially setting the stage for a significant market reckoning.

marsbit05/22 01:40

SpaceX and OpenAI Are Rushing to Go Public. Is Wall Street Ready?

marsbit05/22 01:40

AI Server Power Supply Undergoes Major Transformation, ADI Bets Big with a $1.5 Billion Investment

**Title: AI Server Power Supply Undergoes Major Shift as ADI Makes $1.5 Billion Bet** **Summary:** Analog Devices Inc. (ADI) has announced a definitive agreement to acquire Empower Semiconductor in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $1.5 billion. This move highlights the critical and growing importance of advanced power delivery technologies in the era of data-intensive AI computing. The acquisition targets Empower's key technologies that address fundamental power challenges in high-performance AI data centers: **Integrated Voltage Regulators (IVR)**, which integrate dozens of discrete components into a single IC for high density and nanosecond transient response; **ECAP Silicon Capacitors (SiCaps)**, offering ultra-low ESL/ESR for high-frequency filtering; **Vertical Power Delivery (VPD)** architecture, which reduces transmission distance and losses; and the overarching **FinFast** technology platform. ADI's strategy aims to fill the "last millimeter" gap in power delivery from the board level to directly beneath the processor die. The deal follows ADI's recent product launches and strategy focused on AI data center power, including µModule solutions, SiC switches, and 800V high-voltage DC systems. The article details the industry-wide trend towards higher integration and VPD to manage soaring GPU/accelerator power demands, now reaching kilowatt levels per card. It examines the three evolutionary stages of AI power: traditional lateral power delivery, VPD, and ultimately substrate-integrated voltage regulators (SIVR). Competitors like Infineon, MPS, Vicor, and TDK are also advancing VPD solutions, while companies like Murata, Samsung Electro-Mechanics, and Rohm are leading in silicon capacitor development. In conclusion, as AI server power consumption escalates dramatically, technologies like IVR, SiCaps, and VPD are becoming essential for efficient power delivery within constrained spaces. ADI's significant investment signals an urgent industry need for innovation in this domain.

marsbit05/22 00:38

AI Server Power Supply Undergoes Major Transformation, ADI Bets Big with a $1.5 Billion Investment

marsbit05/22 00:38

IOSG Founder: Please Tell Vitalik the Truth, May the OGs Who Enjoyed the Industry's Dividends Illuminate the Young

**Summary: An Urgent Call for Leadership and Renewal in Web3** In a candid and urgent article, the founder of IOSG Ventures voices deep concerns about the current state and future of the Web3 ecosystem, framing it as a critical turning point. The author's recent experience at a global tech conference highlighted a concerning trend: many former crypto professionals are now rebranding as founders in AI, biotech, and robotics, representing a "great self-rescue" but also a potential exodus. Key problems identified include a broken feedback loop within the ecosystem, a mass departure of developers to AI, and a severe lack of positive societal recognition for Web3, making it difficult for practitioners to take pride in their work. The author expresses worry that Ethereum, despite its foundational role, missed crucial windows for building mainstream applications by over-focusing on technical narratives like ZK and L2 during the last bull market. A significant concern is that **Vitalik Buterin might be living in an information bubble**, shielded from the community's real struggles by those with vested interests, hindering necessary reforms. The piece draws a stark contrast between U.S. and Chinese "OGs" (industry veterans). While many American OGs continue to reinvest their wealth and efforts into building the ecosystem, the author observes that a significant portion of Chinese OGs have cashed out or pivoted to other sectors like AI, leaving the Asian Web3 ecosystem with a severe funding crisis and weakened "blood-making" capacity. The central appeal is a call to action. The author urges **OGs who have benefited from the industry's growth to "light the way" for the next generation** through mentorship, grants, and direct support—not just large investments, but practical help like referrals, mailing list access, or small grants. Buterin is asked to re-engage with the grassroots, break out of his information bubble, and lead the community through this challenging bear market, which is described as the best time to build the next foundational product. For current builders and founders, the advice is to find their "why," build alliances for mutual support, continue learning (including about AI), and maintain personal well-being without letting token prices define self-worth. The author concludes that the industry's survival depends not on any single leader, but on every remaining believer becoming a "lighthouse" to guide others, ensuring the ecosystem has a future worth building for.

链捕手05/22 00:24

IOSG Founder: Please Tell Vitalik the Truth, May the OGs Who Enjoyed the Industry's Dividends Illuminate the Young

链捕手05/22 00:24

Putting Markets On-Chain: Canton Network Quietly Becoming the New Backbone for Institutional Finance

Canton Network: A New Institutional Financial Infrastructure Emerges Visa's rapid three-day approval as a super-validator on Canton Network in March 2026 marks a significant institutional endorsement. Unlike public blockchains like Ethereum, which prioritize transparency, Canton is designed for regulated financial institutions. Its core innovation is built-in data visibility control, where transaction details are only visible to direct participants. This enables institutions like Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and DTCC to conduct private, secure business on-chain without exposing sensitive strategies or positions. Canton, developed by Wall Street-focused Digital Asset, emphasizes slow, methodical development to meet stringent institutional requirements. Current on-chain activity, exceeding $9 trillion monthly, involves real balance-sheet operations like tokenized repos, treasury settlements, and collateral movement—not retail speculation. Key applications include JPMorgan's deposit token (JPM Coin), DTCC's U.S. Treasury tokenization, and Visa-enabled atomic settlement, aiming to synchronize asset delivery and payment instantly. The network's CC token is a utility asset, with value tied to real financial activity volume. It features no pre-mine or VC allocations, aligning with institutional preferences for transparency. Canton's 3–5 year vision is to become an "invisible" foundational layer for global finance—facilitating real-time cross-border capital flows, institutional stablecoin settlement, and native on-chain operations for major asset classes. While regulatory harmonization and legacy system integration remain challenges, Canton represents a pragmatic shift towards embedding markets themselves into blockchain infrastructure.

Odaily星球日报05/21 17:50

Putting Markets On-Chain: Canton Network Quietly Becoming the New Backbone for Institutional Finance

Odaily星球日报05/21 17:50

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