2026-04-23 Четверг

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From 'Hardcore' to 'Weak': Who is the Real Hardliner When Bitcoin Falls?

An article titled "From 'Solid' to 'Weak': Who is the Real Hardliner When Bitcoin Falls?" analyzes the behavior of prominent crypto figures and institutions during a sharp Bitcoin price decline in February 2026, when BTC dropped from its $120,000 high to briefly under $60,000. The piece rates key players based on their public statements and on-chain actions during the crash. Michael Saylor and his company MicroStrategy are hailed as the "true hardliner" for their "suicidal" buying spree, purchasing billions of dollars worth of BTC at prices between $87,974 and $91,519, despite now holding at a loss. Their rating: "Solid (walking the talk, the one true god)." Binance is praised for its "top-tier" action of converting $1 billion of its SAFU fund into Bitcoin. Veteran trader Peter Brandt is also rated "top-tier" as an "honest bear" for consistently warning of a 50% correction since the market peak and sticking to his technical analysis. Author Robert Kiyosaki is rated "theoretical" for his constant anti-fiat rhetoric but slow action, waiting for extreme prices to buy. Model-based analysts PlanB and Benjamin Cowen are heavily criticized and rated "NPC (for entertainment only)" for their failed predictions and major shifts in narrative. Former "pump king" Arthur Hayes is rated the worst ("Weak") for going silent on Bitcoin after his lofty price predictions, instead discussing macroeconomics without stating his position. The conclusion states that only two types of people are worth following: "madmen" like Saylor who buy relentlessly with public proof, and disciplined traders like Brandt. All other predictions and analyses are deemed mere noise. The final question posed to readers is whom they trust: the influencers who changed their tune or the verifiable on-chain buyers.

marsbit02/06 09:34

From 'Hardcore' to 'Weak': Who is the Real Hardliner When Bitcoin Falls?

marsbit02/06 09:34

Please Be Kind to Jack Yi

This article details the investment journey of Jack Yi (Yi Lihua), founder of Trend Research and Liquid Capital, a prominent figure in the Asian crypto space. In early 2025, Yi successfully bought ETH at lows around $1,800, leveraged his position, and sold near $4,700, realizing significant profits and solidifying his reputation. However, after the market downturn in October 2025, he re-entered, accumulating over 650,000 ETH with an average cost of $3,180, heavily leveraged. A sharp price drop in February 2026 pushed his position to the brink of liquidation, forcing him to sell 200,000 ETH to avoid a total loss. Despite this, he incurred a massive $763 million loss, erasing his previous gains and part of his principal. Yi admitted to misjudging the market's bottom and the risks of overconfidence post-success. He remains a vocal, transparent long-term bull on crypto, advocating for ETH reaching $10,000+ and BTC surpassing $200,000. The piece argues that despite the setback, the market needs more transparent, research-driven investors like him to attract serious capital and counter the industry's casino-like reputation.

marsbit02/06 09:26

Please Be Kind to Jack Yi

marsbit02/06 09:26

Cryptocurrencies Without Compound Interest Can't Outperform Stocks?

Cryptocurrency tokens, unlike stocks, lack a compounding growth engine due to their economic and legal design. Stocks represent ownership in companies that reinvest profits to grow intrinsic value, enabling exponential wealth creation over time. In contrast, most tokens distribute all fees to stakers without retaining or reinvesting earnings, resulting in zero compounding. This structural flaw stems from deliberate legal strategies to avoid securities classification, which stripped tokens of cash flow rights, governance over core entities, and profit retention mechanisms. Tokens function more like volatile fixed-income instruments with yields tied to network usage, not reinvestment-driven growth. While some appreciate through speculation and timing, they lack the fundamental compounding mechanics of equities. The market is shifting toward crypto-enabled stocks (e.g., Robinhood, Stripe) that leverage blockchain to reduce costs and reinvest savings for compounding gains. Solutions like DAOs attempting capital allocation or token burns mimic corporate actions but lack flexibility. Regulatory clarity could eventually allow tokens to operate like equities, but until then, tokens will underperform compounding assets. The author remains bullish on blockchain technology but cautious on tokens, favoring stocks that use crypto infrastructure to accelerate compounding.

marsbit02/06 09:26

Cryptocurrencies Without Compound Interest Can't Outperform Stocks?

marsbit02/06 09:26

Chances of US Fed Rate Cut Surface Ahead of Critical Data Roll Out, Crypto Prices Refuse to React

The possibility of a US Federal Reserve rate cut is being discussed ahead of key employment and inflation data releases. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 22.7% chance of a 25 bps rate cut in March 2026, up from 9.4% previously. Despite this, cryptocurrency prices have not reacted positively and continue to decline. Bitcoin has fallen to around $65,235, down 8.21% in 24 hours, while the total crypto market cap dropped 7.75% to $2.23 trillion. Market uncertainty is fueled by a 205% increase in January layoffs and comments from incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, who supports shrinking the Fed’s balance sheet—a move that could negatively impact crypto. Investors are advised to exercise caution due to high volatility.

TheNewsCrypto02/06 09:20

Chances of US Fed Rate Cut Surface Ahead of Critical Data Roll Out, Crypto Prices Refuse to React

TheNewsCrypto02/06 09:20

Up to 753% Gains! “HTX Select” January Listings Recap: Capturing Alpha Against the Trend as Multi-Sector Assets Outperform the Market

In January 2026, amid macroeconomic uncertainty and declining market liquidity, HTX identified high-performing assets across multiple sectors through its selective listing strategy. Despite the bearish trend, several tokens delivered significant gains. Memecoins like PEPE (82.1%), BONK (78.1%), and BROCCOLI (188.6%) performed strongly, with Chinese-language memecoins "Binance Life" and "我踏马来了" rising 172.7% and 441.7%, respectively. AI and cross-chain narratives also thrived, with VIRTUAL (AI agents) up 90.3% and RIVER (cross-chain stablecoin system) surging 422.4%. Privacy and DeFi assets stood out, particularly DUSK (753.3%), ZKP (103.7%), and GWEI (157.9%). HTX’s strategy focused on tracking market sentiment, capital flows, and emerging narratives to capture alpha during the downturn.

TheNewsCrypto02/06 09:20

Up to 753% Gains! “HTX Select” January Listings Recap: Capturing Alpha Against the Trend as Multi-Sector Assets Outperform the Market

TheNewsCrypto02/06 09:20

Matrixport Research: Bitcoin Breaches Key Support, Rebound May Be Just a 'Breather' Rather Than a Reversal

Matrixport Research: Bitcoin Breaches Key Support, Rebound More Likely a "Pause" Than a Reversal Following a sharp decline, Bitcoin's price has fallen into a key target range. While the macro environment has improved marginally with stronger US growth indicators and a weaker dollar, Bitcoin has failed to show a clear, sustainable reversal signal. The price action remains caught between macro improvements and insufficient technical repair. A critical technical change is the breach and loss of a major trend level that previously distinguished between a rebound and a structural downtrend. This former support has now turned into resistance. Without a compelling new narrative or clear catalyst, the recent price recovery is more likely a technical rebound within a downtrend rather than a genuine trend reversal. Technically, Bitcoin continues to trade below its 21-week moving average. A sustained break above this level is needed to confirm a trend reversal. Historically, when both medium and long-term support structures are broken, the market tends to enter a prolonged weak phase. Furthermore, the funding structure presents constraints. Despite the sharp price drop, ETF holdings have not decreased significantly. Since their launch, investors have bought approximately $54.3 billion worth of Bitcoin via ETFs at an average cost of $90,000. This has resulted in tens of billions in unrealized losses. This large volume of underwater positions is more likely to create selling pressure on any rebound rather than provide support. In conclusion, despite marginal macro improvements, the weak technical structure, crowded positioning, and declining participation suggest macro positives are unlikely to translate into sustained upward momentum in the short term. The current rebound is more likely a pause within a top formation, with selling pressure potentially overwhelming new buying interest. A strict risk management approach is advised.

Matrixport02/06 09:17

Matrixport Research: Bitcoin Breaches Key Support, Rebound May Be Just a 'Breather' Rather Than a Reversal

Matrixport02/06 09:17

XRP Retests $1.29 Support: Is $2 Still in Play or Will LiquidChain Capture the Momentum?

XRP is currently retesting a key support level at $1.29, a critical point that will determine whether it can resume its upward trajectory toward $2.00 or face a deeper decline. The recent pullback is seen as a healthy consolidation after a strong rally, driven by profit-taking and broader market volatility. Technical indicators suggest that holding above $1.25 could pave the way for a run to $1.96 and beyond, while a drop below $1.10 may lead to a fall toward $0.85. Regulatory developments, including potential SEC leadership changes and ETF approvals, remain central to XRP's bullish narrative. Meanwhile, LiquidChain ($LIQUID) is emerging as a high-risk, high-reward alternative, positioning itself as a cross-chain liquidity solution integrating Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. Having raised over $529K in its presale, it aims to address fragmentation in DeFi through specialized Layer-3 infrastructure. While XRP's focus remains tied to regulatory clarity and institutional adoption, LiquidChain offers a speculative bet on the future of interoperable decentralized finance.

bitcoinist02/06 09:05

XRP Retests $1.29 Support: Is $2 Still in Play or Will LiquidChain Capture the Momentum?

bitcoinist02/06 09:05

Has Bitcoin bottomed? Why $60K may not be BTC’s floor

The article questions whether Bitcoin has reached its bottom after a 4% intraday bounce from the $60K level. While technical indicators like an oversold RSI suggest a potential local bottom, on-chain metrics and market sentiment remain unconvinced. Over 9.3 million BTC are held at a loss—the highest since January 2023—and the price has fallen below the mining electrical cost of $77K, increasing capitulation risks. Historical patterns suggest Bitcoin could still drop to $38K, a 70% decline from its $126K ATH. Macro supply-demand imbalances and a lack of strong institutional demand indicate that the $60K support may not hold, with a move toward $50K possible.

ambcrypto02/06 09:02

Has Bitcoin bottomed? Why $60K may not be BTC’s floor

ambcrypto02/06 09:02

Bitcoin Teeters on Edge: Will $60K Hold or Is a V-Shape Recovery Imminent? $HYPER Keeps Pumping

Bitcoin is currently testing the critical $60,000 support level, a key psychological and technical threshold. A successful defense of this level could lead to a rebound toward $72,000, while a breakdown might trigger a decline to $52,000. Market sentiment is cautious due to reduced spot ETF inflows and macroeconomic uncertainty regarding Federal Reserve policy. Despite short-term selling pressure from speculators, long-term holders are not distributing coins, suggesting underlying strength. Amid Bitcoin’s consolidation, attention is shifting toward emerging infrastructure projects like Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), a Bitcoin Layer 2 solution integrating Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) for high-speed smart contracts. Having raised over $31 million in its presale, Bitcoin Hyper aims to enhance Bitcoin’s scalability and utility, attracting significant investor interest. However, it carries risks typical of early-stage tokens, including regulatory and execution uncertainties. The broader market awaits Bitcoin’s next move, which could determine short-term directional momentum.

bitcoinist02/06 08:56

Bitcoin Teeters on Edge: Will $60K Hold or Is a V-Shape Recovery Imminent? $HYPER Keeps Pumping

bitcoinist02/06 08:56

ZRO down 10% after retail sells hard, but are more losses next?

ZRO, the native token of LayerZero, has declined by 10% amid a significant altcoin market downturn. Technical analysis indicates a bearish structure, with the price failing to sustain a breakout above a key Fibonacci level and eyeing a further drop toward the 50% retracement mark at $1.45. On-chain data reveals intense selling pressure, with a high volume of small retail sell orders on DEXs like Uniswap. Additionally, network activity has sharply declined, with transaction counts and amounts falling over 70% in three weeks. Analysts suggest the broader bearish trend may persist, potentially extending losses through the year.

ambcrypto02/06 08:52

ZRO down 10% after retail sells hard, but are more losses next?

ambcrypto02/06 08:52

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