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Jane Street's Three Sins: Insider Trading, Index Manipulation, and the Bitcoin 'Morning Massacre'

Jane Street, a highly profitable quantitative trading firm, faces serious allegations across multiple continents. In the U.S., Terraform Labs’ bankruptcy trustee has sued Jane Street, accusing it of insider trading related to the May 2022 collapse of Terra Luna. The suit claims Jane Street withdrew $85 million from a liquidity pool just minutes after Terraform secretly removed $150 million, allegedly using non-public information from a former intern. The action allegedly helped trigger a $40 billion crash. Simultaneously, in India, the Securities and Exchange Board (SEBI) has accused Jane Street of manipulating the Bank Nifty index through a “pump-and-dump” scheme over 18 expiration dates, resulting in alleged illegal profits of ~$580 million. Jane Street has been barred from Indian markets and is appealing. Additionally, Bitcoin traders had observed a pattern of sharp sell-offs at 10 AM ET—dubbed the "10 AM Crashes"—coinciding with U.S. market open, which many attributed to Jane Street’s trading activity. Notably, Jane Street is an authorized participant of BlackRock’s IBIT Bitcoin ETF, holding significant shares. After the Terra lawsuit was filed, the predictable sell-offs stopped, and Bitcoin saw a notable price rebound. The broader implication is the risk of market manipulation by privileged intermediaries within ETF structures—a problem Bitcoin was designed to overcome. If Jane Street halts its alleged manipulative strategies due to legal pressure, a major selling pressure on Bitcoin may be removed.

marsbit02/26 03:56

Jane Street's Three Sins: Insider Trading, Index Manipulation, and the Bitcoin 'Morning Massacre'

marsbit02/26 03:56

From Terra's Collapse to the "10 AM Strike": How Did Jane Street Play the Markets Across Two Continents?

The article details serious allegations against Jane Street Group, a major quantitative trading firm, for market manipulation across different continents. It is accused of using insider information to profit from the Terra Luna collapse in May 2022, allegedly triggering its $40 billion crash. Separately, Indian regulators charged Jane Street with a "pump and dump" scheme in derivatives markets, resulting in massive fines and a trading ban. The piece also connects Jane Street to a pattern in Bitcoin trading called the "10 AM hit," where consistent sell pressure occurred at U.S. market open, suppressing BTC prices for months. This pattern abruptly stopped after the Terra lawsuit became public, coinciding with a Bitcoin price surge. As an authorized participant for BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF (IBIT), Jane Street held significant influence over BTC flows. The article suggests their trading activity—selling BTC while increasing exposure to Bitcoin-proxy stocks—may have manipulated markets. The case highlights structural vulnerabilities in ETF systems that privilege certain players, echoing past manipulation in traditional markets like gold. Bitcoin’s recent rebound may signal reduced manipulative pressure, underscoring the need for trustless systems.

Odaily星球日报02/26 03:44

From Terra's Collapse to the "10 AM Strike": How Did Jane Street Play the Markets Across Two Continents?

Odaily星球日报02/26 03:44

Stock Price Surges Over 35%! Circle's Earnings Report Exceeds Expectations: USDC Circulation Soars 72%

Circle (CRCL) reported strong Q4 and full-year 2025 financial results, with total revenue and reserve income reaching $770 million in Q4, up 77% year-over-year, exceeding expectations. This drove a 35% surge in its stock price. Key highlights include a 72% YoY increase in USDC circulation to $75.3 billion and a 247% rise in on-chain transaction volume to $11.9 trillion in Q4. Reserve income remained the core revenue driver at $733 million, while non-interest income reached $37 million. For the full year, total revenue grew 64% to $2.7 billion. Although the company reported a net loss of $70 million due to a one-time $424 million stock-based compensation expense from its IPO, adjusted EBITDA doubled to $582 million, indicating profitable core operations. Strategic developments include the stable testnet performance of its Arc blockchain, expansion of the Circle Payments Network with 55 financial institutions onboarded, and a key partnership with Polymarket to use native USDC. Regulatory progress includes conditional approval for a national trust bank. Looking ahead, Circle targets a 40% compound annual growth rate for USDC circulation. CEO Jeremy Allaire emphasized AI-driven payment demand, with 99% of agent-based payments currently using USDC. Despite challenges like declining yields and new competitors like USAT, Circle continues to execute its strategy as a growing internet financial infrastructure provider.

marsbit02/26 03:17

Stock Price Surges Over 35%! Circle's Earnings Report Exceeds Expectations: USDC Circulation Soars 72%

marsbit02/26 03:17

Bitcoin: Long-term holders are cautious as profit-taking pressure builds

Bitcoin's market shows no decisive signs of bottoming, with indicators pointing to potential further downside. Historically, market bottoms form when Bitcoin’s price falls below the long-term holder (LTH) cost basis—currently around $38,900—yet the price remains ~67% above this level, suggesting significant bearish catalysts would be needed for a retest. Meanwhile, the Binary CDD indicator signals increased activity among LTHs, hinting at profit-taking, though it remains moderate. Recent selling pressure has been dominated by short-term holders, while LTHs show relative restraint. Without strong negative catalysts, Bitcoin may continue trading above the LTH cost basis.

ambcrypto02/26 03:02

Bitcoin: Long-term holders are cautious as profit-taking pressure builds

ambcrypto02/26 03:02

Why Is the Crypto Market Surging Today? Breakout Momentum Builds Ahead of U.S. Data

The cryptocurrency market is surging, rebounding from recent volatility as traders anticipate key U.S. economic data. The total market cap climbed toward $2.3 trillion, signaling potential bearish exhaustion. Bitcoin reclaimed $65,000, while Ethereum held near $1,900, and altcoins like LEO saw double-digit gains. Leveraged short liquidations accelerated the upward move. The rally is largely driven by expectations that weaker U.S. jobless claims data could lead to Federal Reserve rate cuts, improving liquidity for risk assets. Despite the recovery, the market remains at a critical juncture. A breakout above $2.3 trillion in market cap or Bitcoin surpassing $67,000–$70,000 resistance could confirm bullish momentum, while failure to hold support may renew downside risks.

bitcoinist02/26 03:01

Why Is the Crypto Market Surging Today? Breakout Momentum Builds Ahead of U.S. Data

bitcoinist02/26 03:01

Will SYRUP reclaim $0.24 as syrupUSDC volume doubles to $4.98B?

Maple Finance's native token SYRUP surged over 15% in 24 hours, driven primarily by the explosive growth of its stablecoin syrupUSDC. The transfer volume of syrupUSDC doubled to $4.98 billion in one month, while SYRUP's own trading volume declined by 33%. Active loans grew to $2.4 billion, with syrupUSDC accounting for 70% of that growth. The number of stablecoin holders increased by 4.8% to 6.9K, and daily active senders rose 17%. This activity boosted monthly fees and revenue by over 55%. Technically, SYRUP was testing a key resistance level at $0.24. A breakout could target $0.28-$0.30, while failure would invalidate the bullish outlook.

ambcrypto02/26 02:33

Will SYRUP reclaim $0.24 as syrupUSDC volume doubles to $4.98B?

ambcrypto02/26 02:33

Here’s how Cardano whales may be shaping ADA’s price action

The altcoin market is consolidating, potentially setting up for a breakout. Cardano (ADA) is showing bullish signs with an 8.66% rally and a recovering ADA/BTC ratio. Its price is holding above a historical support level at $0.20, suggesting a possible bottom formation that could mirror its 2020 rally. Notably, whale wallets holding 100k to 100 million ADA have accumulated over 819 million coins in six months, creating a supply shock. Despite this accumulation, ADA's price momentum has remained muted, closing Q1 down 60%. A key technical setup is forming as ADA approaches a short liquidity zone near $0.27. With bullish technicals and whale activity, a squeeze could push the price toward the $0.30 resistance. Conversely, if the breakout fails, it may indicate whales are manipulating the market by trapping short sellers and profiting from the resulting volatility, creating a cyclical pattern.

ambcrypto02/26 02:02

Here’s how Cardano whales may be shaping ADA’s price action

ambcrypto02/26 02:02

Cardano’s Price Remains Under Downside Pressure, But Here’s What Investors Are Up To

Cardano's price continues to face downward pressure, recently retesting the $0.25 level amid broader market weakness. However, on-chain data reveals a contrasting trend: large investors (whales and sharks) have been accumulating ADA significantly over the past six months. These holders, with wallets containing between 100,000 and 100 million ADA, have collectively acquired over 819 million ADA (worth ~$214 million), adding 1.6% to the total supply despite the 71% decline from its $0.90 peak. This sustained accumulation suggests growing long-term conviction. Analysts note ADA is in a multi-year correction phase, and such prolonged compression has historically preceded major price expansions, indicating a potential structural shift may be underway.

bitcoinist02/26 02:02

Cardano’s Price Remains Under Downside Pressure, But Here’s What Investors Are Up To

bitcoinist02/26 02:02

NVIDIA Q4 Revenue Surges 73%, Q1 Guidance 'Explosive' Hits New High, Jensen Huang Raises 500 Billion Revenue Forecast

NVIDIA reported record-breaking Q4 FY2026 results, with revenue surging 73% year-over-year to $68.13 billion, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. Non-GAAP EPS grew over 80%, and gross margin reached a new high of 75.2%. The Data Center segment was the primary growth driver, with revenue up 75% to $62.31 billion, fueled by strong demand for AI computing and a 263% surge in Networking revenue. Gaming and Professional Visualization also saw robust growth. For Q1 FY2027, NVIDIA provided strong guidance, forecasting revenue of approximately $78 billion (up nearly 77% YoY), again surpassing consensus estimates. The company noted this outlook excludes Data Center compute revenue from China. CEO Jensen Huang raised the company's chip revenue target, stating they will exceed the previously stated $500 billion goal for orders through 2026, driven by next-generation Rubin chips and sustained AI demand. However, the stock experienced volatility post-earnings as investors weighed concerns over AI economic overheating and a change in non-GAAP accounting to include stock-based compensation.

marsbit02/26 01:16

NVIDIA Q4 Revenue Surges 73%, Q1 Guidance 'Explosive' Hits New High, Jensen Huang Raises 500 Billion Revenue Forecast

marsbit02/26 01:16

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