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Weekly Editor's Picks (0404-0410)

Weekly Editor's Picks (0404-0410) provides in-depth analysis on key trends often missed in fast-moving news cycles. Key themes include: - **Macro & Geopolitics**: Analysis of Trump's threat-based economic strategy suggests a pattern of pressure and negotiation impacting markets. The energy crisis is deepening, with oil potentially reaching $120–150 due to structural shifts, not temporary disruption. The situation in the Hormuz Strait is a complex blend of military action and commercial diplomacy. - **Investing & Markets**: Q2 is expected to be volatile, with alpha opportunities in AI infrastructure, resources, and aerospace. Gold may hit new highs, potentially reaching $6000. A warning is issued about seemingly profitable but high-risk arbitrage strategies in crypto oil perpetuals. - **Crypto & DeFi**: Bear market strategies profiting from spreads and fees are highlighted. Analysis suggests the crypto market cap could fall another 30%. The platform Hyperliquid is noted for growing weekend crude trading but faces hurdles with institutional adoption. - **Other Highlights**: Meme coin trading is described as a highly competitive, youth-dominated game. Anthropic is reported to have developed a powerful AI model (Mythos) but is delaying its release over security concerns. The column also covers airdrop guides and recent controversies in prediction markets. The weekly hotlist supplements with key news: a US-Iran ceasefire and its market impact, potential Bitcoin oil fees, stablecoin developments in Hong Kong, and updates from institutions like Bitwise, Polymarket, and SpaceX.

marsbit04/11 03:48

Weekly Editor's Picks (0404-0410)

marsbit04/11 03:48

Bernstein Analysts Allay Bitcoin Fears, Why Quantum Is Not As Big A Threat As You Think

Bernstein analysts address rising concerns about quantum computing's threat to Bitcoin, arguing it is a manageable long-term upgrade rather than an existential risk. While Google researchers recently found that breaking Bitcoin's elliptic curve cryptography may require as few as 500,000 qubits—far fewer than previous estimates—Bernstein emphasizes the industry has a three- to five-year window to adapt. They note the vulnerability primarily affects older wallets with exposed or reused public keys, not Bitcoin's SHA-256 mining process. The report aligns with Google's own 2029 migration timeline, suggesting sufficient time to transition to quantum-resistant cryptography.

bitcoinist04/11 03:03

Bernstein Analysts Allay Bitcoin Fears, Why Quantum Is Not As Big A Threat As You Think

bitcoinist04/11 03:03

Avalanche transactions hit a 2026 high of 3.5 mln: Can AVAX reach $10 again?

Avalanche's on-chain activity has surged significantly, with daily transactions reaching a yearly high of 3.5 million. This growth is attributed to three key factors: the launch of Grayscale's AVAX staking ETF (GAVA) on Nasdaq, regulatory clarity from the SEC and CFTC classifying AVAX as a digital commodity, and Broadridge bringing proxy voting on-chain. Active addresses have also risen substantially, from 100K to a new floor of 500K-700K, while non-Sybil users increased from 5k to 49k, indicating growth driven by real users rather than bots. Despite this surge in network usage and increased demand from large entities (with whales establishing a demand wall around $8.9-$9.3), AVAX remains in a bearish trend. It has been in a downtrend for the past two weeks, trading below its key moving averages. For a trend reversal, demand needs to drive AVAX above $10; otherwise, it may continue trading sideways in the $8.4-$9.7 range.

ambcrypto04/11 03:03

Avalanche transactions hit a 2026 high of 3.5 mln: Can AVAX reach $10 again?

ambcrypto04/11 03:03

Sam Altman Speaks Out After Molotov Cocktail Thrown at His Home: I Love My Family, and I Believe AI Belongs to Everyone

In the aftermath of a molotov cocktail attack on his home, Sam Altman shares a rare family photo, hoping to deter further violence. He reflects on the power of words and narratives, acknowledging the heightened anxiety surrounding AI. Altman outlines his core beliefs: AI is humanity's most powerful tool for empowerment and must be democratized; its development, while carrying legitimate risks, requires a broad societal response and new policies for a safe economic transition. He admits to personal and professional mistakes at OpenAI, including mishandling conflicts, but takes pride in upholding the mission against pressures like Elon Musk's demand for unilateral control. He attributes the "Shakespearean drama" in the AI industry to a "ring of power" dynamic—the dangerous allure of controlling AGI. The only solution, he argues, is to widely share the technology, ensuring democratic systems, not a few labs, retain control and that the democratic process remains more powerful than any company. He calls for de-escalating rhetoric to avoid further real-world harm.

marsbit04/11 02:50

Sam Altman Speaks Out After Molotov Cocktail Thrown at His Home: I Love My Family, and I Believe AI Belongs to Everyone

marsbit04/11 02:50

Bitcoin Supply In Profit Drops Sharply, Echoing Previous Bear Market Levels, Downtrend To Continue?

Bitcoin's price has failed to recover significantly since its all-time high, reinforcing bearish sentiment. The supply of BTC in profit has sharply declined to around 59%, nearing levels last seen during the previous bear market. This indicates that nearly half of all Bitcoin is held at a loss, well below the historical average of 75%. Analysts suggest that if the profit supply drops to 50%, it could signal a market bottom, though current conditions point to a potential accumulation phase rather than mass selling. Additionally, the MVRV Z-Score has not yet entered the bottoming zone, suggesting the bear market may continue for another six months, with another major price drop likely.

bitcoinist04/11 02:03

Bitcoin Supply In Profit Drops Sharply, Echoing Previous Bear Market Levels, Downtrend To Continue?

bitcoinist04/11 02:03

SIREN price prediction – After 300% rally, is a 150% price hike up next?

SIREN experienced a significant rally, surging by 17% in 24 hours and nearly 300% over the past week. After breaking past the $0.76 resistance in late March, it briefly exceeded $4 before retracing. The recent drop below the $0.225 swing low shifted the market structure bearishly. However, strong buying interest on April 4, marked by the highest daily volume since February, helped prevent further decline. Key indicators like OBV, Stochastic RSI, and MACD show recovering momentum. Despite the bullish recovery, the market structure may have shifted, and traders are advised to take profits at key resistance levels—$0.762 and $1.88—especially given potential Bitcoin sell-off risks.

ambcrypto04/11 02:02

SIREN price prediction – After 300% rally, is a 150% price hike up next?

ambcrypto04/11 02:02

9:01 Kr | 7 Third-Party Platforms Involved in Train Ticket Sales Summoned for Talks; 4.5 Seconds for 5 Million, Zhang Xue's Live Auction of Championship Replica Racing Car Sells 'At Light Speed'; Amazon Denies Rumors of Laying Off 14,000 Employees in May

Chinese authorities have summoned seven third-party train ticket booking platforms, including Ctrip and Meituan, for disruptive practices against the official 12306 system. In a live stream auction, Zhangxue Motorcycle sold a championship replica race car for 5 million yuan in 45 seconds, with proceeds to be donated. Amazon denied rumors of planning to lay off 14,000 employees in May. Key developments include a national AI education action plan, Hong Kong's strict e-cigarette ban effective April 30, and a $352 million fine for accounting firm Zhongxingcai Guanghua. Samsung is reportedly restructuring its China operations, while Tesla denied producing a new compact SUV. OpenAI faces executive departures in its data center strategy, and Huawei previewed upcoming AI glasses. Financial results showed TSMC's Q1 revenue grew 35% YoY, while Porsche's China sales dropped 21%. Anthropic secured AI computing power from CoreWeave, and MiniMax launched a new music generation model. Several Chinese tech companies, including Shengshu Tech and Opensource China, completed significant funding rounds. Nio unveiled its ES9 premium SUV with starting price of 528,000 yuan, and XPeng partnered with Fuyao on AI dimming glass technology.

marsbit04/11 01:08

9:01 Kr | 7 Third-Party Platforms Involved in Train Ticket Sales Summoned for Talks; 4.5 Seconds for 5 Million, Zhang Xue's Live Auction of Championship Replica Racing Car Sells 'At Light Speed'; Amazon Denies Rumors of Laying Off 14,000 Employees in May

marsbit04/11 01:08

Morpho surges by 10% – Is a breakout above $2.1 on the way?

Morpho (MORPHO) has surged by 10% in the past 24 hours, accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume, which nearly doubled to around $58 million. This bullish momentum is supported by a 16% rise in Open Interest, indicating fresh capital entering the market and growing investor confidence. The token is currently testing a key supply zone between $1.9 and $2.1, a level that has historically led to bearish rejections. A successful breakout above $2.1 could signal further upward movement, while a rejection may result in consolidation. Despite the positive indicators, the supply zone remains a critical resistance point for Morpho's price action.

ambcrypto04/11 01:03

Morpho surges by 10% – Is a breakout above $2.1 on the way?

ambcrypto04/11 01:03

What Kind of VCs Can Get Money from Fund of Funds? We Have the Answer After Reviewing 2000

Moses Capital, a fund of funds focused on early-stage VCs, reviewed over 2,000 funds over two years and invested in 46, a 2.3% selection rate. The market is larger than perceived, with many new funds remaining invisible to most LPs. They identified four GP archetypes: founder-turned-investor, spin-out from established VC firms, community-native managers, and quiet technical experts. The top reasons for rejecting 97% of funds included team inexperience (30%), poor portfolio construction (25%), weak track record (20%), strategy misalignment (15%), and fundraising challenges (10%). The highest-quality deal flow source emerged unexpectedly from blind founder reference calls during due diligence, where consistently praised investors became top targets. Building a reputation through prepared, respectful engagement led to strong GP referrals and trust within the VC ecosystem.

marsbit04/11 00:56

What Kind of VCs Can Get Money from Fund of Funds? We Have the Answer After Reviewing 2000

marsbit04/11 00:56

Edge AI Daily Morning Report (April 11)

Edge AI Daily Brief (April 11, 2026) Tesla FSD receives commercial approval in the Netherlands, marking its first major EU entry. Anthropic’s powerful new AI model Mythos, rumored to have 10 trillion parameters, draws regulatory scrutiny from U.S. Treasury and the Fed over potential cybersecurity risks. Microsoft advances AI memory capabilities through MSA, enabling models to process 100M words. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman faces a physical attack, highlighting rising security threats against AI leaders. Meta loses Section 230 protection in a court ruling that holds it liable for addictive design on Instagram. ChatGPT may fall under strict EU DSA regulation due to high user numbers. Amazon plans mid-2026 commercial launch for its Leo satellite internet, offering 6–8x faster speeds. OpenAI’s “Stargate” data center lead departs amid strategy shifts. NVIDIA invests $2 billion in Lumentum to secure optical interconnect supply for AI data centers. India joins the U.S.-led Pax Silica alliance, reshaping global semiconductor supply chains. Siemens and NVIDIA cut AI chip verification time from months to days. Anthropic introduces Claude Managed Agents, speeding up enterprise AI deployment. NVIDIA reports strong FY2026 results with $215.9B revenue and 75.2% gross margin, maintaining dominance in AI accelerators.

marsbit04/11 00:54

Edge AI Daily Morning Report (April 11)

marsbit04/11 00:54

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