2026-04-19 Воскресенье

Новостной центр - Страница 175

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4 Classic Bottom-Fishing Indicators All Failed, 3 New Indicators Point to the Bottom-Fishing Opportunity?

The article analyzes the shifting effectiveness of traditional Bitcoin bottom-buying indicators and proposes new metrics to identify potential market bottoms. Four classic indicators are discussed: - **MVRV Z-Score** (currently ~1.31) is distorted by institutional holdings, making historical "extreme negative" values unlikely. - **Ahr999 Index** has remained below 0.45 for nearly 50 days, but its long-term predictive power has diminished due to macro factors. - **SOPR Metrics** show STH-SOPR consistently below 1 (bearish), while LTH-SOPR remains between 0.75–1, indicating no full capitulation. - **Mayer Multiple** (price/200-day MA) has also stayed below 0.8 for 50 days but lacks consistent predictive strength. Three alternative indicators are suggested: 1. **CVDD (Cumulative Value Days Destroyed)**: Models a historical "iron bottom" near $45,000. 2. **NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss)**: Currently at 0.2; negative values often signal market bottoms. 3. **Stablecoin Exchange Netflow**: Sustained inflows of USDT/USDC to exchanges typically precede rebounds by 2–4 weeks, but current outflows suggest no immediate bottom. The conclusion emphasizes that indicators are reference tools, not guarantees, and cautions that widespread public euphoria (e.g., mainstream adoption talks) may signal a sell opportunity rather than a buy.

Odaily星球日报03/19 13:22

4 Classic Bottom-Fishing Indicators All Failed, 3 New Indicators Point to the Bottom-Fishing Opportunity?

Odaily星球日报03/19 13:22

Why Did Five Giants Jump In Within a Week to Open Bank Accounts for AI?

The article discusses a significant trend where five major companies—Stripe, Paradigm, Visa, Mastercard, and Coinbase—collectively launched initiatives within a week to enable AI systems to autonomously conduct financial transactions. Stripe and Paradigm introduced Tempo, a $5 billion blockchain project focused on machine-to-machine payments via its Machine Payments Protocol (MPP). Visa launched a command-line tool for AI agents to make credit card payments, while Coinbase upgraded its x402 protocol to support broader token payments. Mastercard acquired stablecoin firm BVNK for $1.8 billion to facilitate crypto-based transactions. World, co-founded by Sam Altman, released an identity verification toolkit for AI agents. The push stems from the growing capability of AI agents to perform complex tasks independently, creating a need for payment infrastructure that doesn’t require human intervention at every step. Traditional payment giants see an opportunity to leverage their existing networks, while crypto companies argue that blockchain-based systems offer a more seamless solution for non-human entities. Despite the high valuations and investments, current transaction volumes remain low (e.g., x402 recorded ~$65k in 24 hours). The situation parallels past infrastructure booms, where early investment outpaced immediate demand. The race to dominate AI payments is underway, but widespread adoption may take time.

比推03/19 13:15

Why Did Five Giants Jump In Within a Week to Open Bank Accounts for AI?

比推03/19 13:15

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