Weekly Editor's Picks (1220-1226)

marsbitPublished on 2025-12-27Last updated on 2025-12-27

Abstract

Weekly Editor's Picks (Dec 20-26) by Odaily Planet Daily features curated insights from the past week. Key topics include: - **Investing & Startups**: Bitcoin underperformed gold and U.S. stocks in 2025, attributed to liquidity flows into AI-driven assets and reduced volatility via ETFs. The U.S. may use crypto to manage its $37 trillion debt. The market is shifting from retail to institutional dominance, with only 15% of new tokens gaining value post-launch. Advice for 2026: lower fundraising targets, focus on product, and embrace realism. - **Stablecoins & Payments**: Top 1,000 wallets control 84% of stablecoin transaction volume, highlighting centralization risks. - **Prediction Markets**: Kalshi’s report shows crowd consensus outperforms Wall Street in complex forecasts like CPI. - **Bitcoin & Ethereum**: Bitcoin’s 2025 development focused on quantum threat defense, layered functionality, and decentralized infrastructure. ETHGas introduced futures and pre-confirmations for block space, enhancing cost certainty. - **CeFi & DeFi**: Coinbase and Robinhood are evolving into super-apps, integrating stocks, crypto, futures, and prediction markets. Fixed-rate lending remains niche in DeFi due to user behavior misalignment. Aave captures more value than protocols built on it, sparking governance debates. - **Also Covered**: Polymarket’s migration from Polygon, meme coin performance, and weekly highlights including U.S. crypto integration progress, regulatory updates, and se...

"Weekly Editor's Picks" is a functional column by Odaily Planet Daily. While Planet Daily covers a vast amount of real-time information weekly, it also publishes many high-quality in-depth analyses. However, these might get lost in the information flow and hot news, passing you by.

Therefore, our editorial team will select some quality articles worth spending time to read and collect from the content published in the past 7 days every Saturday. From perspectives like data analysis, industry judgment, and opinion sharing, we aim to bring new inspiration to you in the crypto world.

Now, let's read together:

Investment & Entrepreneurship

2025 Asset Review: Why Did Bitcoin Significantly Underperform Gold and US Stocks?

When the growth curve of silicon-based intelligence is steeper than the scarcity curve of "digital reserves," the global excess liquidity will first flow to productive assets with non-linear growth potential, rather than purely digital assets.

Gold hedges against system collapse, while Bitcoin is currently viewed more by the market as an overflow of system liquidity. US stocks are in a parabolic acceleration phase driven by AI. ETFs are weakening Bitcoin's volatility.

Why is the US Embracing Crypto? The Answer Might Lie in the $37 Trillion Massive Debt

Stablecoins handle distribution, Bitcoin handles absorption; the US is using crypto assets to dilute debt pressure.

2025: The Darkest Year for the Crypto Market, Also the Dawn of the Institutional Era

Crypto market's paradigm shift from retail speculation to institutional allocation, core data shows institutional holdings at 24%, retail exit at 66% — handover completed, new rules arrive.

Long-term practitioners and investors don't predict short-term prices; they identify structural trends.

MSTR: Buy the Dip or Wait? Three Key Questions About Strategy You Must Understand

Strategy's "cash flow crisis" can likely be delayed until the second half of 2027.

MSCI is conducting public consultation and will announce the final decision by January 15 next year (also the final moment to offload MSTR stock).

Over 80% of New Tokens Peak at TGE, The Root Cause and Cure for Web3's False Prosperity Here

Only 15% of tokens have seen their FDV increase compared to TGE. The median token FDV has fallen 71% since issuance (median market cap down 67%).

High funding amounts, active communities, exchange listings—these criteria generally used to screen project quality—have little impact on token performance.

To survive in 2026, projects better: set funding targets between $300K - $5M; set listing price between $0.01 to $0.05; prioritize product; be able to explain in one sentence why the token exists; ignore vanity metrics; embrace industry realism; if unable to scale independently, find an acquirer.

Also recommended:

Five Major Institutions Outline the 2026 Crypto Blueprint: Are Crypto "Super Apps" Coming? Is the "Four-Year Cycle" Ending?

New Theory on Crypto Four-Year Cycle: I Asked Seven Senior Practitioners What Stage We're In Now

2025 Investment Survey: Nearly 60% Profitable Overall, Over 60% Are Seasoned Veterans

Pantera Capital: 12 Predictions for the 2026 Crypto Market

Crypto World's Brutal Coming-of-Age: 2024-2025 Crypto Index Review

redphone 2026 Prophecy: Silicon Era Dawns, Crypto Becomes "Last Free Port"

Stablecoins

85% of Trading Volume Controlled by a Thousand Wallets: The Hidden Centralized Landscape of Stablecoin Payments

The top 1000 wallets contribute about 84% of the trading volume, showing highly concentrated characteristics.

Prediction Markets

Kalshi's First Research Report Released: How Collective Wisdom Crushes Wall Street Think Tanks in Predicting CPI

The more complex the prediction environment, the higher the win rate of collective consensus.

Airdrop Opportunities & Interaction Guides

Hot Sectors, New Interaction Opportunities: Three Prediction Markets Favored by YZi Labs

Brevis Token Launch Imminent: 32.2% Community Incentives, Airdrop Registration Coming Soon

Popular Interaction Collection | PiP World Testnet Token Trading; ETHGas Earn Points (Dec 26)

Meme

2025 Meme Coin "From Boom to Bust" Ranking

Bitcoin

2025 Bitcoin Protocol Layer Comprehensive Review

In 2025, Bitcoin's technical evolution shows three core characteristics: defense pre-positioning (against quantum threats), functional layering, and infrastructure decentralization.

Ethereum & Scaling

ETHGas and the Birth of Block Space Pricing

ETHGas redefines Ethereum block space from transaction fees fluctuating with demand to a pricable resource. Through block space futures and pre-confirmation mechanisms, it allows large-scale users to lock in cost and time certainty in advance.

By introducing block space futures and pre-confirmations backed by validators, ETHGas brings a structure similar to traditional financial markets to Ethereum, enabling applications and institutions to plan, hedge, and operate in a more certain environment.

ETHGas sends an important signal about Ethereum's evolution direction: Ethereum is moving from a pure technical protocol to a settlement layer centered on economic management, where time and block space begin to have explicit value.

Also recommended "Ethereum's 'Second-Level' Evolution: From Fast Confirmations to Settlement Compression, How Does Interop Eliminate Waiting Time?".

Multi-Ecosystem

The Economic Calculus Behind Polymarket's Exodus from Polygon

Polymarket plans to migrate from Polygon and launch an Ethereum Layer2 network called POLY. Polymarket's choice to leave Polygon isn't entirely surprising. One is the hot application layer representative, the other is a declining old base layer; there's already a mismatch in market heat and value expectations between them. Building its own Layer2 network can help Polymarket tailor the underlying features according to its platform needs, allowing for more flexible adaptation to future upgrades and iterations.

Besides contributing economically to Polygon (about 1/4), Polymarket also revitalizes stablecoins and adds behavioral value to retained users.

Polymarket TGE is approaching, making now the optimal time to migrate.

CeFi & DeFi

Crypto Super App Revolution: When Coinbase and Others Break Financial Boundaries

Last week, Coinbase launched a new product touted as the "Future of Finance." One app enables five major functions: 5x24 stock trading, centralized exchange and on-chain crypto trading, futures and perpetual contract trading, prediction markets, all equipped with an AI financial analyst. All functions are operable via mobile, and users' single account balance can be instantly switched between different asset classes.

This is not mere feature stacking; it breaks the artificially drawn boundaries between financial asset classes due to regulation and technical limitations. The core driver behind this change is: funds scattered across different apps are essentially idle funds. Platforms that consolidate liquidity are more efficient. As for the asset discovery challenge, it leverages social trading (built-in dynamic news feed).

Coinbase and Robinhood are gradually becoming new types of banks.

Why Do DeFi Users Reject Fixed Rates?

TradFi has credit markets, DeFi relies on money markets.

Lenders need a premium to lock funds, but borrowers are unwilling to pay this fee. This is why fixed-rate markets continually evolve into one-sided markets. Floating-rate markets win because they align with participants' actual behavior. They are money markets for liquid funds, not credit markets for long-term assets.

DeFi protocols design credit products using money market assumptions, then deploy them into a liquidity-oriented ecosystem; the mismatch between user assumptions and actual capital behavior keeps fixed-rate borrowing a niche market.

From Aave to Ether.fi: Who Captures the Most Value in the On-Chain Credit System?

On Aave and SparkLend, the interest fees vaults pay to lending protocols actually exceed the revenue the vaults themselves generate. This fact directly challenges the mainstream narrative of "distribution is king." Aave not only earns more than the various vaults built on top of it, but even more than the asset issuers used for lending, such as Lido and Ether.fi.

Viewed alone, lending seems like a low-margin business; but placed within the complete credit stack, it is the layer with the strongest value capture capability relative to all other participants—vaults, issuers, distribution channels.

Second-Biggest Holder Cuts Losses and Liquidates, Can AAVE Still Be Bought Amid Deep Divisions?

Fee flow controversy sparks heated debate: who does the Aave brand truly belong to? If you believe Aave Labs will remain highly aligned with Aave DAO's long-term interests, and the current friction is more of a communication and process misstep, then the emotionally driven price pullback might be a good entry window; but if you think this controversy exposes not an occasional problem, but a structural矛盾 (contradiction) of long-unclear rights between team and protocol, lacking institutional constraints, then this storm might just be the beginning.

As DeFi matures, protocol revenue becomes substantial, and brands and frontends begin to hold commercial value, some inherent structural contradictions between protocol and product, team and community, will surface.

Also recommended: "From Option Derivatives to Prediction Markets, A Quick Look at Coinbase's 2025 Crypto Acquisition Landscape".

Weekly Hotspot Recap

In the past week, US Treasury Secretary pushed for "Main Street and Wall Street merger," integrating cryptocurrency into the mainstream financial system;

Additionally, regarding policy and macro markets: Shenyang police cracked an illegal foreign exchange case, involved personnel sold BTC and USDT to Mexican drug cartels; Victory Securities: Bans virtual asset account buy operations from mainland China IP addresses; Caixin: Issuance and use of U Cards within China carries special legal risks; White House and US Department of Energy jointly launch "Project Genesis," CoreWeave, NVIDIA, OpenAI, xAI, etc., selected as first batch of companies; US ends previous administration's investigation into China chip trade, will not impose additional tariffs on Chinese chips for next 18 months; Wall Street's 15 major investment bank outlooks summarized by AI as "precarious," JPMorgan warns of AI bubble risk;

Regarding views and voices: Etherealize co-founder: Crypto industry must make substantial progress before Trump leaves office; Pantera partner outlook for 2026: Tokenized gold, stablecoin payments, etc., may reshape crypto industry structure; Michael Saylor: Supports free use of Bitcoin network but opposes modifying the underlying protocol; Polymarket determines Trump's claimed Trump Gold Card sales are "fake"; VanEck: Recent Bitcoin miner capitulation may signal bottom nearing; CryptoQuant CEO comments on Tom Lee's personal view contradicting his fund's: Possibly because Tom Lee is in sell-side research, has to be bullish; Arthur Hayes: Altseason always exists, investors misjudge because they don't hold the rising assets; Hurun Report: High-net-worth individuals' willingness to increase digital currency investments heats up, 25% intend to increase allocation in the next year; Vitalik prediction: Bug-free code might appear within the next 15 years;

Regarding institutions, large companies, and top projects: JPMorgan's 2026 US stock core recommendation list: Crypto industry completely absent, and only Google remains from AI Magnificent Seven; [Micro]Strategy increases cash reserves and pauses Bitcoin purchases; Ethereum plans two hard forks in 2026, L1 Gas limit may increase to 200 million; Kalshi: Launches Kalshi Research and provides internal data to researchers;

Data-wise: Spot gold, silver hit new highs; Bitcoin miner revenue down 11% since mid-October, facing capitulation risk; Ethereum has become the global dollar liquidity settlement layer, processing approximately $90-100 billion in stablecoin transfers daily; Ethena stablecoin USDe market cap has nearly halved since the "10/11 crash";

Security-wise: Trust Wallet extension compromised; A 23-year-old man impersonated Coinbase staff to scam users out of $16 million in cryptocurrency; Quantum computing won't cause cryptocurrency collapse in 2026 but beware of "harvest now, decrypt later" risk...... Well, another rollercoaster week.

Attached is the portal to the "Weekly Editor's Picks" series.

See you in 2026~

Related Questions

QAccording to the article, what is the main reason Bitcoin has significantly underperformed compared to gold and U.S. stocks in 2025?

AGlobal excess liquidity is flowing towards productive assets with non-linear growth potential (like AI-driven stocks) rather than purely digital assets. Bitcoin is seen as an overflow of system liquidity, while gold hedges against systemic collapse. Additionally, which hold a significant portion of Bitcoin, are reducing its price volatility.

QWhat key structural shift in the crypto market is highlighted for the period 2024-2025?

AThe market is undergoing a paradigm shift from retail speculation to institutional allocation. Core data shows institutional holdings at 24% and retail participation down by 66%, indicating a turnover is complete and new rules are in place.

QWhat major product did Coinbase launch that is described as breaking the boundaries of financial asset classes?

ACoinbase launched a new product described as the 'future of finance.' It is a single application that integrates five functions: 5x24 stock trading, centralized and on-chain crypto trading, futures and perpetual contracts trading, prediction markets, and an AI financial analyst, all operable from a mobile device with a single account.

QWhat is the primary reason cited for the DeFi fixed-rate lending market remaining a niche compared to floating rates?

AThere is a fundamental mismatch between user assumptions and actual capital behavior. Lenders demand a premium to lock in funds, but borrowers are unwilling to pay that fee. Floating rate markets align better with the liquidity-driven behavior of participants in the DeFi ecosystem.

QWhat are the three core characteristics of Bitcoin's technical evolution in 2025 as mentioned in the article?

AThe three core characteristics are: defense pre-positioning (against quantum threats), functional layering, and infrastructure decentralization.

Related Reads

Is the Sharp Decline Over? Let the Data Speak

**Has the Sharp Decline Ended? Let Data Speak** Bitcoin's recent significant drop has placed short sellers in a precarious position. Three concurrent pressures—sustained outflows from ETFs, miners offloading coins to exchanges, and short-term holders capitulating—pushed the price near $63k. The asset fell 13% this week and 21% this month, roughly halving from its all-time high. A critical data point is the extremely crowded short positioning, with a short-to-long ratio reaching 8:1, representing nearly $100 billion in short interest overhead. This creates conditions for a potential short squeeze if selling pressure merely pauses, similar to the event in November 2022 which triggered a 24% rally. The selling pressures are real: spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen a record $5.4 billion outflow over 20 days. Short-term holders moved 53k loss-held BTC to exchanges in a day, and miners sent 24k BTC to Binance, a six-month high. Capital is also rotating towards AI and tech stocks like SpaceX, with $400 billion invested in AI infrastructure recently. However, on-chain data shows accumulation by long-term holders, who added 200k BTC in a month, and institutions/miners have absorbed 1.24 million BTC since 2023. This indicates strong buying beneath the surface. Key levels to watch are the $67k-$70k zone (2021 high & 2024 breakout point). A swift recovery above it suggests a leverage washout; failure could test $60k-$55k. The direction also hinges on ETF flow reversal. Currently, the S&P 500 hits new highs driven by AI, while Bitcoin and DeFi (TVL down from $173b to $73.9b) lag. The most probable path is a grinding basing process between $60k-$58k with continued ETF outflows. A less likely but explosive scenario involves a sudden flow reversal, a surge above $70k triggering a short squeeze, and a rally back above $76k. The immediate trigger depends on when the relentless selling pauses. A final cautionary note questions Bitcoin's correlation: if the high-flying U.S. stock market corrects, will Bitcoin once again miss the rally but not the decline?

foresightnews_api8m ago

Is the Sharp Decline Over? Let the Data Speak

foresightnews_api8m ago

Single-Day Plunge of 30%, Arthur Hayes Suddenly Liquidates: Why Did ZEC Get Exploded by Security Issues?

On June 5th, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox disclosed a critical soundness vulnerability in the project's latest Orchard privacy pool. This flaw, found in the elliptic curve multiplication constraints, could allow an attacker to create unlimited counterfeit ZEC within the shielded pool, with transactions appearing valid. The vulnerability was discovered in late May by security researcher Taylor Hornby, who utilized Anthropic's new Opus 4.8 AI model for a targeted audit. The Zcash ecosystem had already performed an emergency network upgrade to patch the issue. However, the detailed disclosure triggered severe market panic, causing ZEC's price to plummet over 30% in a single day. Notably, prominent investor Arthur Hayes announced he had sold his entire ZEC position following the news. The incident starkly challenges the "technological trust" narrative central to privacy coins. Despite years of top-tier cryptographic audits, the bug persisted until uncovered with advanced AI-assisted research. This highlights the growing gap between theoretical perfection and practical implementation in privacy technology. The event serves as a industry-wide warning: in an AI-driven security landscape, the assumption that "undiscovered equals safe" is obsolete. It underscores the urgent need for continuous, proactive security practices combining AI audits, formal verification, and rapid response mechanisms.

foresightnews_api1h ago

Single-Day Plunge of 30%, Arthur Hayes Suddenly Liquidates: Why Did ZEC Get Exploded by Security Issues?

foresightnews_api1h ago

Breaking the Curse of DeFi Cascading Liquidations, Vitalik Proposes a New Solution

**Vitalik Buterin Proposes New DeFi Design to Eliminate Forced Liquidations** Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has published a proposal for a new decentralized finance (DeFi) architecture aimed at removing the automatic liquidation mechanisms prevalent in current lending protocols. The core idea involves creating synthetic assets using options as building blocks, fundamentally avoiding the抵押借贷结构 that triggers forced sell-offs. The proposal responds to a recurring flaw in DeFi: during sharp market downturns, mass自动清算 of under-collateralized positions can exacerbate price declines, creating systemic selling pressure and market instability, as evidenced by recent crypto market volatility. Buterin's model would split an asset like 1 ETH into two option-like derivatives, P and N, pegged to a price index with a set strike price and expiration. At expiry, an oracle determines the settlement price to allocate the underlying ETH between P and N holders. This design eliminates the "cliff" of instant liquidation. Instead, a position's value would gradually drift from its target peg if not actively rebalanced by the user, transferring the rebalancing decision from the protocol to the user or automated tools. A key advantage is the reduced reliance on high-frequency, real-time oracle price feeds, which are vulnerable to manipulation and errors in current systems. The delayed settlement in the options model allows for more robust, fault-tolerant oracle designs. However, significant challenges remain for practical adoption. High transaction costs (slippage) from frequent rebalancing on automated market makers (AMMs) could erode user funds. The model may not be suitable for stablecoins requiring a strict 1:1 dollar peg, as it inherently allows for value drift. Success would depend on developing new liquidity provisioning models and deep markets for these synthetic assets. The proposal represents a fundamental rethinking of DeFi risk management, challenging the industry to explore alternatives to被动集中平仓 rather than merely optimizing existing liquidation processes. It remains a theoretical framework awaiting implementation and testing by development teams.

foresightnews_api1h ago

Breaking the Curse of DeFi Cascading Liquidations, Vitalik Proposes a New Solution

foresightnews_api1h ago

Bitcoin's Decline Marks the Transformation of Crypto

Title: The Decline of Bitcoin Marks the Transformation of Crypto While Bitcoin's price recently fell below $70,000, down approximately 45% from its peak, the broader crypto industry is not following it into decline. Instead, crypto is maturing and evolving beyond its dependence on Bitcoin's price movements. Two of Bitcoin's core functions are being usurped. First, AI has captured its role as the primary speculative asset. AI, with its tangible revenue, explosive demand, and massive capital inflows ($700-830 billion in 2024), is siphoning off the speculative "hot money" that once drove Bitcoin. It also contributes to a sustained high-interest-rate environment, further tightening liquidity for assets like Bitcoin. Second, dollar-pegged stablecoins like USDC and USDT have replaced Bitcoin as the crypto market's foundational currency and primary on/off-ramp. Most trading pairs and on-chain transactions are now settled in stablecoins, severing the historical link where all capital inflows had to pass through Bitcoin first. This decoupling allows projects to thrive based on their own fundamentals rather than Bitcoin's price. Examples include Hyperliquid, an on-chain derivatives exchange with annual revenues of $8-13 billion, and prediction market platform Polymarket, valued at $200 billion with $3.65 billion in annual fees. These projects are evaluated on traditional metrics like revenue and user growth. New opportunities are emerging, particularly around privacy. Privacy coins like Zcash (ZEC) are seeing surging demand, while infrastructure like NEAR enables private, cross-chain asset transfers without requiring users to hold a specific token—privacy becomes a universal service layer. In this new paradigm, stablecoins are the universal cash, various project tokens represent equity, and privacy-enabled cross-chain coordination layers (like NEAR) act as the critical infrastructure connecting a fragmented, multi-chain ecosystem. Bitcoin is now just one asset among many. The era where the entire crypto market moved in lockstep with Bitcoin is over. The industry's health should now be judged by project fundamentals—real revenue, active users, and tokenomics that capture value—and the development of the underlying infrastructure enabling a mature, dollar-denominated crypto economy.

foresightnews_api1h ago

Bitcoin's Decline Marks the Transformation of Crypto

foresightnews_api1h ago

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