# Supply Related Articles

Bouncing Into Supply

Bitcoin has entered a new year testing a critical supply zone between $93k–$110k, where Long-Term Holder (LTH) supply from mid-2025 has repeatedly capped upward moves. While LTH distribution has slowed, the aggressive selling of late 2025 has eased. The market’s ability to hold above the Short-Term Holder cost basis of $98.3k is key for confidence. Spot and institutional flows are stabilizing, with ETFs turning net positive, but futures-driven price action lacks strong volume, relying on short squeezes. Options markets show low implied volatility with a bias for downside protection, indicating deferred risk rather than resolved uncertainty. Overall, the structure is improving, yet the rally needs sustained spot demand to transition into a durable bull trend.

insights.glassnode01/14 19:14

Bitcoin On-Chain Alert: 2021 Cycle Coins Just Moved

On-chain data reveals two significant Bitcoin transactions involving coins dormant for 3 to 5 years, corresponding to tokens acquired between 2021 and 2023. The first transaction moved 539 BTC, and the second 1,566 BTC. Such movements of long-held coins can indicate smart money rotation or early investors exiting. Meanwhile, CryptoQuant's 2025 exchange review highlights Binance's dominance, holding 72% of stablecoin reserves ($47.6B in USDT and USDC) among top exchanges and accounting for 41% of spot trading volume. Bitcoin's price remains around $92,200, showing sideways movement after a recent surge in early 2026.

bitcoinist01/14 07:01

Ethereum stuck between staking strength and derivatives risk – What’s next?

Ethereum is caught in a market tug-of-war, with significant staking activity tightening supply while rising exchange reserves and derivatives risk create fragility. BitMine staked an additional $340 million in ETH, pushing total staked Ethereum toward a potential all-time high of 37.8 million. However, nearly $2.95 billion in short clusters remain at risk if ETH moves another 11%, and Binance's perpetual contracts show 70% long positioning. Analysts note that Open Interest is rebounding, indicating increased trader activity and potential for sharp moves. Despite staking strength, the buildup of long exposure without sufficient demand leaves ETH vulnerable to a bull trap rather than a clean breakout above $3k.

ambcrypto01/13 22:02

Bitcoin: Strategy’s long game signals deepening institutional confidence in BTC

ambcrypto01/13 04:02

Bitcoin Demand Remains Weak: Setting The Stage For Long-Term Accumulation

Bitcoin is attempting to stabilize above $90,000 amid renewed macro uncertainty following comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. On-chain data indicates weak underlying demand, with the "apparent demand" metric remaining negative at approximately -106,000 BTC. This suggests more dormant supply is entering the market than new demand is absorbing, signaling net selling pressure. However, the weakness reflects cautious and defensive behavior rather than panic or capitulation. Historically, such periods of low demand can create long-term accumulation opportunities, though current conditions favor disciplined, patient strategies over short-term speculation. The market awaits clearer signals from macro conditions or on-chain metrics before committing fresh capital.

bitcoinist01/13 04:01

Ethereum: 2 factors strengthening ETH’s potential bullish breakout

Ethereum’s weekly trading volume has decreased during the past two months as prices consolidated around $3k.

Ambcrypto01/12 21:02

Shiba Inu: Whale transactions jump 111%, but SHIB can’t escape THIS

Shiba Inu (SHIB) experienced a 111% surge in whale transactions, yet the price remains range-bound between $0.0000083 and $0.0000089. Exchange reserves initially declined from 88 trillion to 81 trillion SHIB, signaling accumulation, but later rose to 82 trillion, indicating renewed selling pressure. Despite whale activity, low volume and neutral RSI suggest continued consolidation. A breakout would require sustained supply reduction, stronger demand, or broader market recovery. Downside risk remains if inflows persist or support at $0.0000083 breaks.

ambcrypto01/12 19:02

A Game with No Winners: How to Break the Deadlock in the Altcoin Market?

The altcoin market is currently trapped in a "four-lose dilemma" due to flawed token distribution models. The prevalent low initial circulation strategy, designed to artificially maintain high fully diluted valuations (FDV), has backfired. It creates a scenario where centralized exchanges, token holders, project teams, and venture capitalists all ultimately suffer. Exchanges face community backlash from poor token performance, holders experience price collapse as supply unlocks, projects damage the industry's fundraising capacity, and VCs see their long-term investment channels deteriorate. Market responses, such as the 100% initial circulation of meme coins and the community-centric MetaDAO model, have failed to provide sustainable solutions, often creating new problems like extreme volatility or alienating talented founders. A potential path forward requires rebalancing interests: exchanges should shift from arbitrary lockups to KPI-based unlocks; holders should demand transparency and control over major decisions without micromanaging; projects must only issue tokens with clear utility and product-market fit; and VCs should stop forcing token launches on every project. The next 12 months will be challenging as the market absorbs the last wave of excess supply from the 2021-2022 funding boom. However, this digestion period, coupled with more selective token launches and evolving standards, could lead to a healthier market. The long-term viability of the altcoin model depends on avoiding a "lemon market" where only failing projects issue tokens, while successful ones opt for traditional equity. Despite current hardships, tokens retain unique advantages for driving growth and building loyal communities when implemented correctly.

marsbit01/12 03:38

Bitmine ramps up staking with 86,400 ETH: What comes next for Ethereum?

Bitmine significantly increased its Ethereum staking by adding 86,400 ETH ($266.3M), bringing its total staked holdings to over 1 million ETH. This large-scale staking reduces liquid supply, supporting ETH’s price stability near $3,090 despite rising leverage pressure. Ethereum broke out of its bearish descending channel, showing early bullish momentum with RSI above 50. However, it faces resistance near $3,307. Funding rates surged 66%, indicating aggressive long positioning, creating a leverage-price divergence that could lead to increased volatility. Short liquidations exceeded longs, suggesting growing pressure on bears. Liquidity clusters around $3,050–$3,200 are currently containing price action. Overall, Ethereum is building a base that favors an upward breakout if key resistance levels are broken.

ambcrypto01/12 00:03

Aave whales scoop 8% of supply amid sell-off – A move to $210 possible IF…

Amid a governance crisis that caused a 20% price drop to $143, Aave's largest holders (whales) seized the opportunity to accumulate, increasing their holdings to control 80% of the total supply. The top 100 addresses now hold 12.92 million AAVE, adding approximately 8% of the supply during the sell-off. Whale wallets with over $1 million surged by 66%, indicating strong demand from large investors while retail exited. Concurrently, selling pressure on exchanges declined from a peak of 1.43 million tokens to 1.31 million. For a price recovery to occur, bulls must reclaim the $174 resistance level. Success could lead to a 30% rally toward $210, but losing the $160 support would invalidate the bullish outlook and potentially push the price back to $140.

ambcrypto01/11 06:05