# Strategy Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Strategy", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

AI as the Boss: Nearly Bankrupts 10 Companies...

A recent study from Princeton University tested 14 AI models, including large language models (LLMs) and a rule-based algorithm, in a simulation where they acted as CEOs of a virtual SaaS startup over 500 days. The goal was to grow an initial $1 million capital. The results were stark: only four "CEOs" ended with a profit. The top performer was Claude Fable 5, multiplying the capital 47-fold to $47.15 million. Claude Opus 4.8 and GPT-5.5 followed. Notably, the fourth profitable entity was a simple, pre-programmed rule-based algorithm, which outperformed many advanced LLMs with $15.76 million in profit. Five other models, including several major LLMs, went bankrupt before the simulation ended. Key takeaways from the research highlight that successful AI CEOs demonstrated a tendency for exploration and adaptation over caution. They excelled in discovering hidden information, predicting future cash flow, adapting quickly to changes (like competitor moves), and engaging in strategic "if-then" planning. The study also found that equipping LLMs with programming-agent frameworks, optimized for coding tasks, actually harmed their performance in this CEO role, suggesting a need for domain-specific adaptations. The article concludes by contrasting AI's current operational proficiency within defined frameworks with the type of visionary, intuitive decision-making—exemplified by figures like Steve Jobs—that truly drives transformative business strategy. This critical "matrix-drawing" capability, it argues, remains uniquely human.

marsbit06/29 09:08

AI as the Boss: Nearly Bankrupts 10 Companies...

marsbit06/29 09:08

Bitcoin and gold decline together – ‘Haven’t seen before,’ says strategist

Market strategist Charlie Bilello notes that 2026 has been a historically unique year, with both Bitcoin and gold declining significantly—Bitcoin down 31% and gold down 6%—making them the worst-performing major asset classes. This simultaneous drop, not observed in any previous calendar year, suggests investors are reducing exposure to both traditional and alternative stores of value. The trend is attributed to a mix of factors including sustained high interest rates, geopolitical conflicts, and increased crypto hacks. Bitcoin's price fell 43% over the past year to around $60,237, while gold saw a 33% increase to about $4,072. The correlation between the two assets, which was low or negative for much of the period, turned strongly positive by June 2026 as gold also began to decline. Historically, Bitcoin and gold have often moved inversely during market stress, but 2026 shows a break from that pattern, with both assets under significant pressure.

ambcrypto06/29 08:02

Bitcoin and gold decline together – ‘Haven’t seen before,’ says strategist

ambcrypto06/29 08:02

Bitcoin's Five-Wave Adjustment Nears End, Opportunities Emerge in HYPE Support Zone | Invited Analysis

**Bitcoin's Five-Wave Adjustment Nears End, HYPE Support Zone Presents Opportunity | Guest Analysis** This week, Bitcoin (BTC) is in the final stage of a five-wave corrective structure. The formation of 'Endpoint 44' is key: a level above $58,110 suggests a high probability of a technical rebound, leading likely to wide-range consolidation. A break below $58,110 without bullish divergence warrants caution for further downside. Mid-term bearish positions are maintained at 20%, with 30% of capital reserved for short-term scalping opportunities based on predefined support/resistance levels and three scenario-based plans (A/B/C). Simultaneously, HYPE has entered the 55-56 segment of its own five-wave correction from its $76.94 high. If 'Endpoint 56' forms above the prior low (Endpoint 54), creating a double-bottom pattern, a rebound is significantly likely. A light long position (under 30% allocation) can be considered upon stabilization in the support zone. Last week's BTC short-term strategy, guided by proprietary quantitative models, successfully executed two short trades (1x leverage), yielding a total return of approximately 6.21%. The market move validated the prior weekly forecast of a retest towards the $59,100 support. **Core Trading Views Summary:** * **BTC:** Focus on the formation of 'Endpoint 44'. A scenario above $58,110 allows for tentative longs. Key resistances: $60,900-$62,300, ~$65,500, $67,300-$69,500. Key supports: ~$58,100, ~$55,000. * **HYPE:** Monitor the final position of 'Endpoint 56'. Key resistances: ~$65.5, ~$71.5. Key supports: ~$58.5, $52-$54 zone. Strategy favors buying on dips upon stabilization in support areas with confirmed model signals, with strict position control. **Risk Disclaimer:** Financial markets are volatile. All analysis, models, and strategies herein are based on personal technical analysis for journaling purposes only, not investment advice. Trade at your own risk.

Odaily星球日报06/29 06:57

Bitcoin's Five-Wave Adjustment Nears End, Opportunities Emerge in HYPE Support Zone | Invited Analysis

Odaily星球日报06/29 06:57

‘Sale of…’ – Inside Grayscale’s plan to erase Strategy’s $14B unrealized loss

Grayscale's Head of Research, Zach Pandl, suggests that MicroStrategy (Strategy) could sell at least $3 billion worth of its Bitcoin holdings to cover its near-term cash obligations. This move, while reducing its BTC reserves, is presented as a way to restore market confidence by improving liquidity and reducing refinancing risk, as opposed to raising dividends on its preferred shares. This discussion arises amid significant challenges for the company: its stock (MSTR) has fallen sharply, it holds an approximately $14 billion unrealized loss on its massive Bitcoin treasury (847,363 BTC valued at $50.9 billion), and a key valuation metric—the MicroStrategy Price-to-BTC Reserve Ratio—has declined, indicating waning investor confidence in its Bitcoin-focused strategy.

ambcrypto06/29 00:01

‘Sale of…’ – Inside Grayscale’s plan to erase Strategy’s $14B unrealized loss

ambcrypto06/29 00:01

Sharplink adds $62.4M in Ethereum despite ETH’s weak demand – Here’s why

Sharplink, the second-largest Ethereum treasury company, purchased an additional 29,196 ETH for $46.7 million on June 27. Over the past three days, its Ethereum holdings increased by 39,196 ETH, worth $62.4 million. This marks Sharplink's second major purchase after an eight-month pause, bringing its total ETH holdings to 868,699, including staked tokens. Concurrently, Sharplink's stock price rose 5.48% to $4.81. In comparison, the largest Ethereum holder, Bitmine, acquired 52,203 ETH for $92 million on June 22 and plans steady growth through 2026. These institutional accumulations occur against a backdrop of weak Ethereum market demand. ETH's price recently hit $1,568.75, its lowest since April 2025, with on-chain data indicating diminished aggressive buying momentum and signs of buyer exhaustion compared to the previous year.

ambcrypto06/28 10:02

Sharplink adds $62.4M in Ethereum despite ETH’s weak demand – Here’s why

ambcrypto06/28 10:02

Strategy’s Bitcoin gamble turns sour: $14B loss raises fears of a deeper BTC fall

Bitcoin faces increasing bearish pressure, with potential for its first three consecutive negative quarters since 2022 following a 22% Q1 drop and a 12.2% Q2 decline. A negative Q3 would signal a shift toward a structural downtrend. Concerns center on Strategy's digital asset treasury (STRC), which has fallen nearly 25% this cycle. Strategy holds an estimated $14 billion in unrealized Bitcoin losses, raising doubts about its ability to sustain STRC's 11.5% dividend yield ($1.2B annually) and continue future Bitcoin purchases. This situation heightens the risk of deeper market capitulation, potentially pushing BTC lower.

ambcrypto06/27 02:02

Strategy’s Bitcoin gamble turns sour: $14B loss raises fears of a deeper BTC fall

ambcrypto06/27 02:02

Arthur Hayes Sells NEAR, Worldcoin And Zcash In Rotation To Energy Stocks

Arthur Hayes adopts a more defensive crypto portfolio stance, citing distorted liquidity conditions due to AI-related debt absorption. He has exited altcoin positions in NEAR, Worldcoin, Zcash, and Hyperliquid, arguing that tighter liquidity near-term is less supportive for speculative, higher-beta assets. However, Hayes maintains his core structural bullishness on Bitcoin and Ether, viewing them as long-term monetary and smart-contract hedges, respectively. He is rotating some capital into Treasuries and energy stocks. His framework emphasizes that crypto remains highly sensitive to macro liquidity flows, credit conditions, and capital allocation trends outside the industry, suggesting traders exercise caution on crowded altcoin trades while awaiting broader liquidity improvement.

bitcoinist06/26 12:01

Arthur Hayes Sells NEAR, Worldcoin And Zcash In Rotation To Energy Stocks

bitcoinist06/26 12:01

Who's Paying for the $64 Billion Paper Feast?

"The Illusion of Wealth: Who Bears the Burden of the $64 Billion Paper Bonanza?" Bitcoin recently broke below the critical $60,000 support level, triggering significant selling by major holders. While the price drop itself is concerning, a deeper issue lies with publicly traded companies that have bet their entire balance sheets on Bitcoin, creating a precarious financial link between their stock prices and crypto valuations. Leading the pack is Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), holding 847,000 BTC at an average cost of ~$75,600, now facing over 20% unrealized losses. Its stock trades at a deep discount to its Bitcoin holdings. Other companies like Japan's Metaplanet (nearly 40% unrealized loss) and Solmate (which fully pivoted to Solana and saw its stock collapse 98%) illustrate the risks of this model without underlying business operations. A key misconception is that these firms face immediate, forced liquidation. Their debt structures provide a buffer. However, the core "financial flywheel" is stalling. Strategy's CEO has even hinted at potentially selling Bitcoin to cover obligations—a reversal of his long-standing "never sell" doctrine. New accounting rules (ASU 2023-08) exacerbate the problem, requiring quarterly mark-to-market adjustments. Bull markets create paper profits, attracting capital. In bear markets, they generate massive paper losses, potentially triggering index exclusions and forced selling by passive funds. The true crisis point is not the current price, but a looming debt reckoning. If Bitcoin fails to recover above key cost bases within 12-24 months, convertible note redemption windows opening in Fall 2027 could force companies to sell massive Bitcoin holdings for cash, potentially triggering a severe liquidity crisis. The model hasn't eliminated risk; it has merely transformed instant, price-triggered liquidation into a slow-burning, time-triggered debt crisis.

marsbit06/26 07:02

Who's Paying for the $64 Billion Paper Feast?

marsbit06/26 07:02

Who is Paying for the $64 Billion Paper Profit Party?

Bitcoin fell below the crucial $60k support, hitting lows not seen since October 2024. The real concern isn't the price drop, but the corporate Bitcoin holders whose financial models are faltering. Companies like MicroStrategy (Strategy), with 847k BTC at an average cost of ~$75.6k, now face significant unrealized losses. Their stock prices trade at a steep discount to their Bitcoin holdings' net asset value. Others like Japan's Metaplanet and Solmate (formerly Brera Holdings) face even deeper losses. While immediate, price-triggered liquidations are unlikely due to unsecured debt structures, the core financial "flywheel" is stalling. The new ASU 2023-08 accounting rule, which books Bitcoin's quarterly price swings directly into profits/losses, amplified gains in the bull market but now creates massive paper losses, potentially triggering index fund exclusions and forced selling. MicroStrategy’s CEO even hinted at possibly selling Bitcoin to pay dividends, contradicting his "never sell" stance. The true liquidity test is scheduled for Fall 2027, when convertible bond holders may demand cash repayment. If Bitcoin stays below key cost bases, these companies could be forced to sell hundreds of thousands of Bitcoin into the market, creating a severe liquidity crisis. The risk has shifted from instant margin calls to a slow-burning countdown to a debt reckoning.

链捕手06/26 06:52

Who is Paying for the $64 Billion Paper Profit Party?

链捕手06/26 06:52

Bitcoin Hits 20-Month Low as Largest Bull Suffers $15 Billion Paper Loss

Bitcoin Hits 20-Month Low as Major Bull Loses $15 Billion On June 25th, Bitcoin fell below $60,000, hitting a low of $58,030—its lowest level since October 2024. The sell-off triggered over $1 billion in leveraged liquidations in 24 hours, with longs accounting for $788 million. This marks a more than 53% decline from the October 2025 all-time high of $126,198. A critical factor in the downturn is the weakening position of MicroStrategy, the largest corporate Bitcoin holder. With 847,363 BTC at an average cost of $75,651, the company now faces over $14.6 billion in unrealized losses. Its core financing flywheel—raising capital to buy Bitcoin—is stalling. Its variable-rate preferred shares (STRC), a key fundraising tool, have fallen 25% below their $100 target. This raises doubts about its ability to continue providing steady institutional demand for Bitcoin. Simultaneously, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs are experiencing significant outflows, with a single-day net outflow of $469 million on June 24th. This represents the most severe sustained capital flight since their launch. The macroeconomic backdrop remains restrictive, with persistent inflation delaying expected Fed rate cuts. Analysts note a shift in capital allocation, with institutional funds moving away from crypto towards AI infrastructure stocks. Immediate pressure comes from approximately $10 billion worth of Bitcoin options expiring on June 26th, which could increase market volatility. The combined effect of these factors—eroding core demand pillars, macro headwinds, and capital rotation—has decisively broken the $60,000 support level.

Foresight News06/26 03:11

Bitcoin Hits 20-Month Low as Largest Bull Suffers $15 Billion Paper Loss

Foresight News06/26 03:11

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