# Risk Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Risk", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Machi Big Brother's Leverage Game: Where Does the 'Never-Ending' Money Come From?

Machi Big Brother (Jeffrey Huang), a well-known crypto investor, suffered a series of 10 liquidations on Hyperliquid, causing his account balance to plummet from $1.3 million to just over $53,000. This is part of a pattern of extreme leveraged trading—using 15x to 25x leverage—that has previously led to a $54.5 million swing from profit to loss. Despite these massive losses, he repeatedly replenishes his margin, raising the question: where does the money come from? His capital structure has three main sources: 1. **Traditional tech exit**: He co-founded 17LIVE (formerly 17 Media), and a 2020 share buyback provided substantial liquid fiat capital. 2. **Early crypto projects**: Though controversial and often unsuccessful (e.g., Mithril and Cream Finance), these ventures generated significant early crypto-native capital. 3. **NFT liquidity mining**: He strategically monetized high-value NFTs (like Bored Apes) through large-scale sales, airdrop farming (e.g., Blur rewards), and NFT-backed lending, continuously converting illiquid assets into ETH or stablecoins. His ability to absorb millions in losses suggests a deep, diversified reserve, estimated at over $100 million in unallocated liquid capital. He further refreshes this reserve by launching new token projects, like MACHI on Blast. For ordinary investors, this case is a stark warning: extreme leverage is highly risky, and surviving such volatility requires immense capital depth most do not have. Transparency on-chain exposes these risks, but the mechanical efficiency of platforms like Hyperliquid can amplify losses. The key lesson: survival outweighs the pursuit of rapid riches.

深潮12/16 14:53

Machi Big Brother's Leverage Game: Where Does the 'Never-Ending' Money Come From?

深潮12/16 14:53

Will Bitcoin Return to $10,000? The Harsh Hypothesis from a Bloomberg Strategist Amid a Deflationary Cycle

Bitcoin faces mounting pressure, breaking below $90,000 and testing lows around $86,000, with most major cryptocurrencies also declining. Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone presents a bearish outlook, suggesting Bitcoin could fall to $10,000 by 2026. He attributes this potential decline to a macro shift from inflation to deflation, where risk assets like Bitcoin may undergo significant repricing. McGlone emphasizes that Bitcoin is highly correlated with risk appetite and speculative cycles. He points to three key factors: mean reversion after extreme wealth creation, the Bitcoin/Gold ratio (which has already declined from over 30x to around 21x), and systemic oversupply of speculative crypto assets competing for limited risk capital. Not all analysts agree. Standard Chartered has revised its Bitcoin forecast downward but still expects prices around $100,000 in 2025. Glassnode notes current market stress resembles early 2022 conditions, while 10x Research warns that Bitcoin may be in the early stages of a bear market. The broader macro environment remains critical. Upcoming central bank decisions and economic data from the U.S., Europe, and Japan may determine whether deflationary pressures intensify, influencing risk assets globally. The Fed's recent rate cut and internal dissent highlight deepening policy uncertainty, making macro trends a decisive factor for Bitcoin's trajectory.

marsbit12/16 14:04

Will Bitcoin Return to $10,000? The Harsh Hypothesis from a Bloomberg Strategist Amid a Deflationary Cycle

marsbit12/16 14:04

Hyperliquid to Launch Portfolio Margin: A Game-Changer or a Double-Edged Sword?

Hyperliquid, a leading Perp DEX, is introducing portfolio margin on its testnet, a significant upgrade aimed at professional and institutional traders. This system unifies users' spot and perpetual accounts, calculating margin requirements based on net risk exposure rather than summing individual positions. It rewards hedging strategies by freeing up capital, potentially improving efficiency by over 30%, as seen in traditional finance. This move signals Hyperliquid's strategic shift towards courting capital-efficient institutional players, offering benefits like a unified account for seamless trading, automatic yield on idle assets, and a theoretical 3.35x increase in leverage. It aims to support complex strategies like delta-neutral trading and arbitrage, potentially improving liquidity and tightening spreads. However, the system amplifies risks inherent in DeFi's lender-of-last-resort absence. Higher efficiency means losses and liquidations can accelerate more quickly. In extreme market conditions, correlated crashes could cause hedges to fail simultaneously, rapidly expanding risk exposure. Furthermore, the liquidation of a large, leveraged unified account could trigger a multi-asset fire sale, potentially creating a cascading liquidation spiral across connected markets and even impacting integrated lending protocols within Hyperliquid's HyperEVM ecosystem. This innovation is a high-stakes gamble on attracting institutions and a severe test for DeFi's resilience.

marsbit12/16 13:20

Hyperliquid to Launch Portfolio Margin: A Game-Changer or a Double-Edged Sword?

marsbit12/16 13:20

Fighting Repeatedly, Losing Repeatedly, Where Does Machi's 'Endless Supply of Money' Come From?

Last night, the crypto market witnessed another dramatic liquidation event. Prominent investor Jeffrey Huang (known as "Machi Big Brother") saw his long positions on Hyperliquid get liquidated 10 times in rapid succession. His account balance plummeted from $1.3 million to just over $53,000—wiping out more than $1.25 million. This is not his first major loss. In October 2024, a $79 million ETH long position was liquidated, resulting in a net loss of over $10 million and a $54.5 million profit reversal. Despite these massive losses, Huang repeatedly replenishes his margin, often within days, and continues high-leverage trading, frequently using 15x to 25x leverage. The article explores the source of his seemingly endless capital. It identifies three main layers: 1) Traditional tech exit liquidity from the sale of his shares in 17LIVE; 2) Capital from early, controversial crypto projects like Mithril (MITH) and Cream Finance (CREAM); and 3) A sophisticated NFT liquidity engine where he strategically sells high-value NFTs (like Bored Apes), farms airdrops (e.g., Blur), and uses NFT-backed lending to generate constant streams of ETH and stablecoins. His ability to absorb millions in losses suggests a deep, diversified liquidity reserve, estimated at over $100 million. He further refreshes this capital by launching new token projects, like MACHI on Blast. For ordinary investor, his story is a stark warning about the extreme risks of high-leverage trading and the importance of survival over the pursuit of rapid riches.

marsbit12/16 11:10

Fighting Repeatedly, Losing Repeatedly, Where Does Machi's 'Endless Supply of Money' Come From?

marsbit12/16 11:10

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