# Profit Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Profit", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Apple and the Power Rebalancing with 'The Microns': Dissecting the Profit Ledger Behind the iPhone

The article analyzes the shifting profit dynamics and power balance between Apple and memory suppliers like Micron within the iPhone supply chain. It highlights a social media post criticizing Apple for raising iPhone prices while blaming memory chip cost increases, despite historically paying suppliers like Micron very little. An estimated iPhone 18 cost breakdown is referenced. Historically, memory was a minor cost component. In 2017's iPhone X, memory accounted for only about 1.6-2.3% of the price, with Apple capturing nearly 50% net profit. Over time, memory's share of the Bill-of-Materials (BOM) cost has grown significantly, reaching an estimated 12-15% for the iPhone 17 series. The core driver of this change is soaring demand for memory from the AI industry, particularly for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) and AI servers, which is diverting production capacity and squeezing supply for consumer electronics. Memory manufacturers, after enduring periods of low profits, now hold greater pricing power. This is reflected in their recent strong financials, like Micron's 84.6% gross margin. Apple CEO Tim Cook initially described the memory price pressure as unprecedented in his 40-year career, later calling it a "once-in-a-century flood," before Apple announced price hikes across several product lines, causing a significant stock drop. Elon Musk echoed Cook's sentiment about the dramatic cost surge. The article concludes that the era of memory suppliers being at the mercy of Apple's pricing power has temporarily reversed, thanks to AI-driven demand. It notes Apple is reportedly seeking to diversify its supply chain, including exploring chips from China's CXMT.

Odaily星球日报06/28 06:03

Apple and the Power Rebalancing with 'The Microns': Dissecting the Profit Ledger Behind the iPhone

Odaily星球日报06/28 06:03

Standard Chartered Bank’s 50-Fold Fantasy: Predicting AAVE to Reach $3,500

Standard Chartered Bank has issued an optimistic research report predicting that the AAVE token could surge 50-fold to $3,500 by 2030. This forecast is based on the projection that the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi will grow 37x to approximately $2.7 trillion, driven by stablecoin expansion and the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA). The bank's model links Aave's potential valuation directly to its protocol revenue, which is primarily driven by net interest margins. The report highlights Aave's current dominant position, noting it captures over 80% of the net earnings ("protocol retained earnings") in the lending sector while holding only about half of its TVL. It also points to the recent launch of the Aave V4 architecture and a healthy revenue stream of $142 million in 2025 as positive fundamentals. Grayscale's separate analysis, applying traditional valuation metrics like DCF, concluded AAVE is currently undervalued. However, the article notes significant challenges. Aave's peer-to-pool lending model suffers from inherent capital inefficiency, with an estimated $52 million annual "deadweight loss" due to idle funds needed for liquidity buffers. This structural flaw was exposed during the April KelpDAO exploit, which locked a WETH pool at 100% utilization for days. Emerging protocols like Morpho, with more efficient point-to-point models, are cited as growing competitive threats. In summary, while institutional forecasts paint a macro picture of massive growth fueled by RWA adoption, Aave's path forward hinges on addressing its core structural limitations and competitive pressures within the evolving DeFi lending landscape.

链捕手06/25 11:41

Standard Chartered Bank’s 50-Fold Fantasy: Predicting AAVE to Reach $3,500

链捕手06/25 11:41

Don't Care if You Know Football or Not, Buying the Draw Is the Best Strategy for This World Cup?

The article analyzes the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage and argues that betting on a draw has been a surprisingly profitable strategy. Based on data from the prediction market Polymarket, a strategy of betting $1000 on a draw for each of the first 40 matches would have yielded a return of over 100%, despite only 13 matches ending in a draw. The core of the strategy is not the frequency of wins, but the high payout when low-probability draws occur, such as Spain's 0-0 draw with Cape Verde, where pre-match odds for a draw were only 5.5%. The article identifies common draw scores, like 1-1, which provide stability, and high-value 0-0 stalemates, where favorites fail to break down resilient defenses. It highlights Group G as an example, where 3 of the first 4 matches ended in draws, illustrating that draws are a tactical part of group stage calculus as teams often prioritize not losing. In conclusion, while strong teams remain favorites on the pitch, the article claims that for traders, betting on draws has so far produced the most significant profits.

Odaily星球日报06/22 03:34

Don't Care if You Know Football or Not, Buying the Draw Is the Best Strategy for This World Cup?

Odaily星球日报06/22 03:34

World Cup Kicks Off, Spotlight on 'Big Wins' and 'Major Losses' in Prediction Markets

"The World Cup has begun, showcasing dramatic gains and losses in prediction markets. With the 2026 FIFA World Cup expected to generate up to $10 billion in consumer betting volume, platforms like Polymarket have seen explosive activity. The article highlights several high-profile traders. One user (@mintblade) achieved a 100% win rate across four bets, earning $9.24 million in a single day, including a $7.34 million profit from correctly predicting Iran would not win against New Zealand. Another new wallet (@Fishalive) turned a $4.22 million bet on Spain not winning against Cape Verde into $13.28 million, a 1000%+ return after a shocking draw. Other successful traders include @LEEEROYJENKINS with $5.2 million in profits and @endlessFate, who turned early losses into over $7.85 million in weekly gains. However, significant losses also occurred. User @betoor619 lost nearly $1 million after a heavily favored Spain failed to defeat Cape Verde. Another user, @weatherman12, lost over $1.81 million betting against Argentina, which won 3-0 with a Lionel Messi hat-trick. The report serves as a reminder of the high volatility and risk in sports prediction markets, where unexpected outcomes are common."

Odaily星球日报06/18 05:12

World Cup Kicks Off, Spotlight on 'Big Wins' and 'Major Losses' in Prediction Markets

Odaily星球日报06/18 05:12

In the Name of Charity, For the Benefit of the Family: How the Trump Family Turns Philanthropy into Profit?

Charity for Profit: How the Trump Family Turned Philanthropy into Personal Gain Amid a recent controversy over misleading claims about his cryptocurrency company American Bitcoin, Eric Trump invoked his children's cancer charity as evidence of his good intentions. While his Curetivity foundation (formerly the Eric Trump Foundation) has donated over $25 million to St. Jude Children's Research Hospital, an investigation reveals a pattern of self-dealing and opaque practices that benefited the Trump family business. Internal documents show that from 2011 to 2016, over $500,000 from the charity was funneled back to Trump-owned properties for event costs, transactions often omitted from tax filings. This created clear conflicts of interest, with figures like former club manager and current White House aide Dan Scavino involved on both sides. Public claims of "one of the lowest expense ratios" were contradicted by records showing significant spending on entertainment, auctions, and transportation. Facing scrutiny in 2017, Eric Trump distanced himself from the board and rebranded the foundation. After a state investigation shifted focus to compliance rather than enforcement, he returned as the public face. Fundraising events, now less transparent, continue at Trump venues. Estimates suggest these events have directed over $1 million to the Trump Organization over two decades. The same playbook of optimistic claims and obscured financial realities is now evident in Eric Trump's role at American Bitcoin. He promoted it as a highly profitable venture with low mining costs, but reports indicate most Bitcoin was purchased with funds from constant stock issuance, not mined, with actual costs far higher than claimed. While the company's stock has crashed nearly 90% from its peak, Eric Trump's personal stake remains valuable. The recurring pattern involves aggressive public defense, legal maneuvering to bury records, making minimal changes to satisfy regulators, and eventually repackaging the venture to regain trust, often successfully.

marsbit06/17 09:54

In the Name of Charity, For the Benefit of the Family: How the Trump Family Turns Philanthropy into Profit?

marsbit06/17 09:54

Charity in Name, Family Gain in Reality: How the Trump Family Turns Philanthropy into Profit?

Summary: The article examines how the Trump family, particularly Eric Trump, has allegedly leveraged charitable and business ventures for financial gain. It details the operations of Eric's children's cancer charity (now Curetivity), which, despite donating over $25 million to St. Jude, reportedly funneled at least $500,000 back to Trump-owned properties for event costs between 2011-2016. These transactions, often undisclosed, involved clear conflicts of interest with Trump Organization employees on the board. Following media scrutiny and a state investigation, the charity reformed but continued holding costly fundraisers at Trump venues. The piece draws parallels to Eric's role at cryptocurrency company American Bitcoin (ABTC), where he promoted unrealistic mining cost savings. Investigative reporting revealed most Bitcoin was acquired through share dilution, with actual costs far higher than claimed, contributing to a ~90% stock price drop and significant investor losses, while insiders like Eric retained substantial wealth. The pattern identified involves using misleading rhetoric, opaque accounting, and legal strategies to navigate controversies, often deflecting criticism as political attacks before resuming operations with minimal substantive change.

链捕手06/17 09:46

Charity in Name, Family Gain in Reality: How the Trump Family Turns Philanthropy into Profit?

链捕手06/17 09:46

DAT Failure? Listed Companies Betting on HYPE Floating Profit of $12.5 Billion

Several public companies that adopted a "HYPE Treasury" strategy—holding significant reserves of the HYPE token from the Hyperliquid ecosystem—have achieved substantial paper gains, collectively exceeding $1.25 billion. This contrasts with the reported struggles of MicroStrategy's flagship BTC treasury strategy. The article profiles three such HYPE-focused treasury companies: 1. **Hyperliquid Strategies Inc. (PURR):** The largest holder, with approximately 22.3 million HYPE tokens valued at ~$1.636 billion, resulting in an unrealized gain of ~$1.22 billion. It has fully transitioned from a biotech firm to a dedicated crypto treasury, adding staking and validator operations to enhance returns. 2. **Hyperion DeFi (HYPD):** Holds around 2 million HYPE tokens (~$147 million value) with a gain of ~$49.4 million. It is deeply integrated into the Hyperliquid ecosystem, running a major validator node and building DeFi products for additional yield. 3. **Lion Group Holding (LGHL):** A smaller holder with ~194,000 HYPE tokens (~$14.14 million value), maintaining a long-term commitment to the token. The success of these HYPE treasuries is attributed not only to the token's significant price appreciation but also to active on-chain participation through staking, validation, and ecosystem integrations, creating a compounding "flywheel" effect. The article posits that while MicroStrategy's BTC strategy faces challenges, HYPE treasuries may offer a more sustainable model through deeper protocol engagement, with potential for further growth if HYPE's price rises as predicted by some analysts.

marsbit06/01 09:25

DAT Failure? Listed Companies Betting on HYPE Floating Profit of $12.5 Billion

marsbit06/01 09:25

Trillion-Dollar Euphoria for Memory Sellers, Halved Profits for Memory Buyers

Title: The Trillion-Dollar Memory Seller's Carnival vs. The Buyer's Halved Profits On May 26, a stark contrast unfolded. While memory chipmaker Micron's market cap surged past $1 trillion, smartphone maker Xiaomi reported plummeting profits. Xiaomi's Q1 2026 profits fell 43% year-on-year. Executive Lu Weibing cited memory prices quadrupling from last year, adding roughly $210 to a phone's cost. To survive, Xiaomi is cutting entry-level models, sacrificing volume. Micron's stock, however, skyrocketed over 19% in a day, capping an 8x gain in a year. Major banks like UBS and JPMorgan issued bullish reports, raising price targets drastically. Their core thesis: Long-Term Agreements (LTAs) with AI cloud giants (Microsoft, Google, etc.) are eliminating the memory industry's notorious boom-bust cycle. By locking in fixed-price, multi-year contracts for AI-grade memory (HBM, server DDR5), these deals promise stable, utility-like earnings, justifying a higher valuation (20-30x P/E vs. the historical 8-15x). The article reveals a three-tiered memory market in 2026: 1) **AI Storage (HBM/DDR5/Enterprise SSD)**: Extreme shortage, soaring prices, LTAs. This is Micron's story. 2) **Mobile/Embedded Memory**: Also facing sharp price hikes as AI production crowds out capacity, severely pressuring phone makers like Xiaomi. 3) **PC Retail**: Some spot prices are falling due to channel inventory liquidation, creating a divergence from contract markets. The author questions if LTAs truly end the cycle. It hinges on sustained, hyper-growth AI demand. Micron's current profits are at a cycle peak, driven mostly by price hikes, not volume. If AI capital expenditure growth slows, the massive industry capacity expansion (e.g., Micron's $250B+ CapEx plan) could lead to a glut. Historically, using peak-cycle earnings for valuation is a classic trap. While the AI-driven structural shift might be real, the unanimous Wall Street euphoria warrants caution, echoing past bubbles like Cisco's in 2000. The memory seller's trillion-dollar狂欢 (carnival) continues, but the cycle's shadow remains.

链捕手05/27 11:48

Trillion-Dollar Euphoria for Memory Sellers, Halved Profits for Memory Buyers

链捕手05/27 11:48

Ethereum OG Sitting On 630,000% Gain Wakes Up After 10 Years

On-chain data reveals a long-dormant Ethereum wallet from 2015, containing 2,000 ETH, has been reactivated after 10.8 years. Classified as a "pre-mine address," it belonged to an early participant from Ethereum's 2014 presale. The wallet's initial $620 investment, untouched for over a decade, is now worth over $4.2 million—a gain of nearly 630,000%. The activity began with a small test transfer of 1 ETH, followed by a near-complete movement of the remaining 1,997.9 ETH. While the funds have not been sent to a centralized exchange, the sudden activity suggests the owner may have recently regained access to lost or forgotten keys.

bitcoinist05/27 10:02

Ethereum OG Sitting On 630,000% Gain Wakes Up After 10 Years

bitcoinist05/27 10:02

Bitcoin’s Current Volatility Pushes Supply Held In Profit Below Historic Bull Thresholds

Bitcoin's current price decline below $77,000 has pushed the percentage of BTC supply held in profit down to approximately 61%. This level is notably below the typical 75%+ seen during historic bull markets, signaling a shift in market dynamics and weakening investor confidence. Analyst Darkfost notes that while this is not the extreme loss dominance of a bear market, the reduction in profitable supply creates a negative environment and reflects ongoing volatility. The key resistance level remains at $80,000, which aligns with the Short-Term Holders' Cost Basis and has consistently rejected price advances since late last year, increasing pressure on short-term investors and the potential for selling activity.

bitcoinist05/26 01:01

Bitcoin’s Current Volatility Pushes Supply Held In Profit Below Historic Bull Thresholds