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Bitcoin Bottom In? This Key Metric Signals BTC May Have Reached Its Floor

A key metric suggests Bitcoin may have reached a local price bottom. Market expert Crypto Tice highlights that the Bitcoin Total Supply in Profit indicator is flashing signals historically associated with the end of selling pressure and structural capitulation. This indicates supply is being absorbed by stronger hands, weak holders have been flushed out, and long-term investors are not selling. Tice describes this as a "once-in-a-cycle entry point," noting that when supply flips from loss-heavy to profit-ready, markets often see explosive upward moves. Meanwhile, data shows negative funding rates, indicating defensive sentiment among futures traders, but a rising Coinbase Premium Gap suggests increased buying from U.S. investors.

bitcoinistAyer 00:03

Bitcoin Bottom In? This Key Metric Signals BTC May Have Reached Its Floor

bitcoinistAyer 00:03

Here’s How Much Saylor’s Strategy Makes Every Time Bitcoin Goes Up By $1,000

Michael Saylor's company, MicroStrategy (now Strategy), continues its aggressive Bitcoin accumulation, holding 720,737 BTC. A recent analysis highlights that for every $1,000 increase in Bitcoin's price, the company's holdings gain approximately $720 million in value. Conversely, the same amount is lost for every $1,000 drop. Despite a recent purchase of 3,015 BTC at $67,700, the company's average purchase price is $75,985 per BTC. With Bitcoin trading below $74,000, the company's total investment of $54.77 billion is currently at a 4% loss, valued at around $52.49 billion. The company's stock has also declined 14.77% year-to-date.

bitcoinistHace 2 días 17:02

Here’s How Much Saylor’s Strategy Makes Every Time Bitcoin Goes Up By $1,000

bitcoinistHace 2 días 17:02

Riot mines 5,686 BTC and earns $647mln in 2025 – Yet its stock barely moved

Riot Platforms reported record $647.4 million revenue in 2025, a 72% increase from 2024, driven by mining 5,686 BTC. Despite Bitcoin's price surge to $87,498, Riot’s stock remained stagnant, reflecting investor concerns over rising mining costs. The average cost to mine one BTC jumped to $49,645 in 2025, up from $32,216, due to increased network competition. While Riot maintains strong liquidity with $1.6 billion in BTC holdings and $309.8 million cash, the broader mining industry faces profitability pressures from halving events, geopolitical risks, and economic uncertainty.

ambcrypto03/04 19:02

Riot mines 5,686 BTC and earns $647mln in 2025 – Yet its stock barely moved

ambcrypto03/04 19:02

Bitcoin’s shrinking supply meets rising profits – But where is the demand?

Bitcoin's price remains range-bound between $68,000 and $70,000 amid low volatility. On-chain data shows declining active supply and reduced transaction activity, indicating investor caution. Spot exchange netflows reveal weak demand, with only $238 million in net buys over 72 hours, mostly from whales. Despite a growing number of addresses in profit, selling pressure is contained as holders prefer to retain assets. A breakout above $70,000 is possible if this trend holds, but sustained upward movement requires stronger spot market demand.

ambcrypto03/03 14:02

Bitcoin’s shrinking supply meets rising profits – But where is the demand?

ambcrypto03/03 14:02

How Can War News Turn into Millions in Profits a Step Ahead?

The article "How War News Turns into Millions in Profits" explores the rise of prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi as digital arenas for wagering on geopolitical events, using the hypothetical U.S.-Israel airstrike on Iran on February 28, resulting in the death of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, as a case study. These platforms saw surging trading volumes, with Polymarket’s market on "Will Khamenei be ousted by February 28?" reaching $95.93 million in daily volume. While Polymarket operates with anonymity and a profit-based fee model, Kalshi faced controversy for refusing to fully pay out on contracts tied to deaths, citing ethical concerns. The piece also highlights suspicions of insider trading, with some wallets making highly timed, profitable bets ahead of the strike. The trend raises questions about morality, market manipulation, and the need for stricter regulation as prediction markets blur the lines between real-world conflict and digital profit-seeking.

比推03/02 13:20

How Can War News Turn into Millions in Profits a Step Ahead?

比推03/02 13:20

How to Systematically Track High-Winning-Rate Addresses on Polymarket?

How to Systematically Track High-Win-Rate Wallets on Polymarket This article explores methods to identify and track high-performing wallets on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market where all transactions are publicly recorded on-chain. While the platform's data is transparent, the key challenge lies in interpreting this data to find wallets that consistently demonstrate an informational edge. The piece outlines common characteristics of potentially "insider" wallets, which are not necessarily illegal but show patterns of highly informed trading. These include: new addresses making large, concentrated bets; wallets specializing in a single niche topic; sudden, significant increases in position size; and extremely precise timing, repeatedly entering positions hours before major public news breaks. A three-step methodology for systematically identifying these wallets is provided: 1. Analyze Polymarket's leaderboard to filter for addresses with sustained profitability over 30 days, a high win rate (>55%), and significant profits in liquid markets. 2. Drill down into specific event markets to examine the top holders, looking for wallets that consistently hold large positions before the market has fully priced in an outcome. 3. Conduct a detailed analysis of the candidate wallets' on-chain history, focusing on their entry timing (pre-news vs. post-news), position-building strategy (rapid vs. gradual), holding period, and trading focus (specialized vs. generalized). The article concludes with advanced tracking strategies, emphasizing the importance of monitoring exit behavior (e.g., large sell-offs before bad news), performing cluster analysis to find linked addresses, watching for unusual volume in niche markets, and cross-referencing on-chain activity with real-world signals for stronger validation. The ultimate goal is to move beyond simple betting and use public on-chain data to find and learn from the most successful traders.

Odaily星球日报03/02 08:56

How to Systematically Track High-Winning-Rate Addresses on Polymarket?

Odaily星球日报03/02 08:56

Hold Bitcoin Mid-Term Short Positions, HYPE Successfully Rides the Wave for Profits | Guest Analysis

Summary: In this market analysis, Cody, a特邀分析师 for Odaily, reviews the past week's performance and outlines strategies. Bitcoin (BTC) continued its weak consolidation, aligning with the anticipated C-2 wave rebound. A short-term bearish trade (1x leverage) was executed, yielding a 2.12% profit. The medium-term bearish position, initiated at $89,000 (1x leverage), remains open. With BTC closing around $65,770, this position shows an unrealized gain of approximately 26.10%, having reached a maximum floating profit of around 32.58%. The overall technical structure suggests the medium-term downtrend persists, with any rebounds viewed as technical corrections within a larger bearish framework. Key resistance levels are identified at $68,500-$70,000 and $72,300-$74,500, with supports at $65,000, $60,000-$62,500, and $57,400. The strategy advises maintaining a core bearish bias ("sell the rallies"). Conversely, HYPE presented a strong bullish opportunity. Analysis indicates a completed Wave-I rise (from $20.46 to $38.41) followed by a Wave-II correction (to $25.60). The current movement is interpreted as the start of a potent Wave-III drive. A successful short-term long trade (1x leverage) captured an 11.14% gain. Key technical evidence for HYPE's strength includes a break of a long-term descending trendline, robust momentum off the Wave-II low, and quant model signals (momentum and price spread) indicating bottoming and bullish convergence. The primary target for Wave-III is above the Wave-I peak of $38.41. The recommended strategy for the coming week is to hold the 60% medium-term BTC short position (reducing to 40% if price breaks above $74,500) and use 30% capital for short-term, stop-loss-protected "spread" trades based on support/resistance levels, favoring shorting BTC on rallies. Strict dynamic stop-loss management is emphasized for all positions.

marsbit03/02 08:19

Hold Bitcoin Mid-Term Short Positions, HYPE Successfully Rides the Wave for Profits | Guest Analysis

marsbit03/02 08:19

Hold Bitcoin Mid-Term Short Positions, HYPE Successfully Rides the Wave for Profits | Guest Analysis

Bitcoin Mid-Term Short Hold Maintained, HYPE Successfully Captures Profits | Guest Analysis In this market analysis, analyst Cody reviews the past week's cryptocurrency performance. For Bitcoin, the overall weak bearish trend continued. A previously established mid-term short position (1x leverage) opened at $89,000 remains held, currently showing an unrealized profit of approximately 26.10% as the price fell to around $65,770. A separate short-term short trade was executed, yielding a 2.12% gain. The primary view is that Bitcoin is undergoing a C-2 wave rebound within a larger corrective structure. The price is expected to continue oscillating within a range, with key resistance between $68,500-$72,300 and crucial support near $60,000-$62,500. The core trading strategy remains "selling on rallies." Significant focus is placed on HYPE, which is analyzed using Elliott Wave Theory. The analysis posits that HYPE completed its Wave I rise and Wave II correction and is now in the early stages of a potent Wave III advance. A recent short-term long trade (1x leverage) on HYPE capitalized on this move, generating an 11.14% profit. The wave count and breakout from key descending trendline are cited as evidence for this bullish outlook. The weekly strategy involves holding a 60% mid-term Bitcoin short position. For short-term trades, 30% of capital is allocated to scalp "price differences" based on support/resistance levels and proprietary quantitative models (Momentum and Price-Spread), following a strict principle of "going with the trend and selling high." Detailed A/B plans are provided for entering additional short positions on bounces toward $70,000-$72,300 (Plan A) or $74,500 (Plan B), complete with precise entry, stop-loss, and a dynamic trailing stop protocol to lock in profits. A strong disclaimer cautions that all analysis is for personal use and not investment advice.

Odaily星球日报03/02 08:17

Hold Bitcoin Mid-Term Short Positions, HYPE Successfully Rides the Wave for Profits | Guest Analysis

Odaily星球日报03/02 08:17

Polymarket Bets Spark Insider Trading Concerns

A blockchain investigator, ZachXBT, released a report on February 26 alleging that employees of Axiom used insider information to profit from trades on Polymarket. Prior to the report's publication, Polymarket had created a prediction market allowing users to bet on which firm would be named, attracting $40 million in volume. Analysis from Lookonchain and Polysights identified multiple wallets that placed large, profitable bets on Axiom before the information was public, netting over $1 million in total profits. One wallet, predictorxyz, saw a 7x return. ZachXBT acknowledged that contacting Axiom beforehand made a leak "mostly inevitable." Axiom expressed shock and disappointment and is investigating, but did not confirm if employees traded on the insider knowledge. The platform's lack of identity checks makes tracing bets difficult.

TheNewsCrypto02/27 11:12

Polymarket Bets Spark Insider Trading Concerns

TheNewsCrypto02/27 11:12

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