# Profit Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Profit", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Bitcoin OG whale awakens after 7 years, moves $188M BTC: Is a sell-off coming?

A long-dormant Bitcoin whale, inactive since October 2018, moved 2,931 BTC (worth approximately $188 million) to a new wallet. This movement, occurring while Bitcoin traded near $63,000, sparked speculation of a potential sell-off, as the holdings had increased nearly tenfold in value. Analysis of the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) indicates the broader market is not in a phase of aggressive profit-taking, with the metric hovering near 1. Concurrently, on-chain data reveals strong accumulation by retail and smaller investors (wallets holding 0.1 to 100 BTC) between April and July 2026, with some larger institutional cohorts also increasing holdings. Despite a recent dip and rising oil prices—a historical headwind for crypto—Bitcoin demonstrated resilience by maintaining support above $60,000 and posting gains in late June. The article suggests the market may be growing less reactive to macroeconomic fears. The whale's transfer alone does not confirm an imminent sale.

ambcrypto6h ago

Bitcoin OG whale awakens after 7 years, moves $188M BTC: Is a sell-off coming?

ambcrypto6h ago

The Strongest Whale in the World Cup Prediction Market? Trades 380 Times a Day, Rakes in $10.32 Million

A user nicknamed "swisstony" has emerged as a dominant "whale" on the prediction market platform Polymarket, reportedly earning $10.32 million in just one month, with total historical profits reaching $18.62 million. The account, active since July 2025, has gained significant attention, amassing over 922,000 profile views. Analysis reveals an exceptionally high-frequency, algorithmic trading strategy. The account has executed 139,617 predictions, averaging roughly 380 trades per day, suggesting API-driven automation. Its overall win rate is a modest 52.9%, but through massive scale and position management, it amplifies a positive expected value (EV). The core strategy appears dual-tracked. First, it places large bets (often $400k-$1M) *against* (betting "NO") heavily favored teams like Germany or England when their implied market probability is perceived as too high, yielding substantial returns when these teams lose. Second, it allocates small amounts ($thousands) to extreme long-shot outcomes with very low implied probabilities (0.2%-1.2%). While most of these "lottery" bets fail, the occasional huge payoff (sometimes over 100x return) significantly boosts overall profits. The account's bio, "trash panda," aptly describes this approach of profitably sifting through market inefficiencies and tiny price discrepancies.

marsbit13h ago

The Strongest Whale in the World Cup Prediction Market? Trades 380 Times a Day, Rakes in $10.32 Million

marsbit13h ago

USELESS indicators stay bullish—but profit-taking risks are rising

The memecoin sector significantly outperformed Bitcoin over the past week, with its market capitalization rising 11.5%. Useless (USELESS) was a notable performer, rallying 26% in a week and 14.47% in 24 hours, though its $99.85 million market cap is relatively small. Technical indicators like A/D, OBV, and MFI at 73 suggest bullish momentum and underlying demand. However, the price action retains a long-term bearish bias, as the current rise to $0.101 remains below the critical 78.6% retracement level at $0.109. A breakout above the $0.131 swing high is needed to shift the long-term structure to bullish. The recent surge swept liquidity at $0.095, triggering short liquidations that pushed the price past $0.1. Despite the bullish indicators, the analysis advises traders to consider taking profits on the bounce or even positioning for a short, with invalidation above the $0.131 daily swing high. The $0.109-$0.131 zone is identified as crucial overhead resistance for a potential trend reversal.

ambcrypto07/07 03:32

USELESS indicators stay bullish—but profit-taking risks are rising

ambcrypto07/07 03:32

Vibe Coding Accidentally Burns $550,000 Worth of Tokens, Then Turns Mockery into $700 Million Profit

An employee at the American fintech company Slash, encouraged by his company to experiment with AI "vibe coding," created a simple pixel-style FPS browser game called "Brainrot Shooter." He initially shocked the online community by posting a fake screenshot showing an exorbitant $81,267 (550,000 RMB) AI token bill for developing the game. The story quickly went viral, with many expecting him to be fired for the massive "expense incident." However, the narrative took a dramatic turn. The game attracted significant attention, garnering thousands of players and hundreds of hours of playtime within 48 hours, and even drew interest from brands for advertising partnerships. Slash reframed the project as a successful "strategic initiative." The employee later announced that the viral game had indirectly brought in approximately $100 million in new Assets Under Management (AUM) for Slash's platform—a claimed 1200x return. Finally, the employee revealed the truth: the original $81k bill was fabricated using browser developer tools; the actual development cost was less than $200. The entire episode, from the fake bill to the viral success and massive business impact, was an elaborate and highly effective marketing stunt.

marsbit07/06 04:25

Vibe Coding Accidentally Burns $550,000 Worth of Tokens, Then Turns Mockery into $700 Million Profit

marsbit07/06 04:25

Who is the Most Profitable Man in the Crypto World? Trump Rakes in Over $1.427 Billion in 2025

Who is the most profitable man in crypto? President Trump's 2025 financial disclosure, filed with the Office of Government Ethics, reveals crypto-related earnings exceeding $1.427 billion, starkly contrasting the broader market downturn. The bulk of this wealth stems not from passive investment but from his entities' roles as issuers and licensors. CIC Digital LLC, his memecoin operation, generated approximately $636 million in 2025, primarily from "Celebration Coins" royalty fees. DT Marks Defi LLC, a stakeholder in World Liberty Financial, earned about $594 million from asset sales and token distribution proceeds. Other entities held significant Bitcoin, Ethereum, and various altcoin wallets, along with substantial income from stablecoin ventures and his wife's NFT sales. This "issuer model" shields him from market downturns. While his namesake memecoin plummeted from ~$74 to ~$1.68, leaving many retail investors at a loss, his royalty income remained unaffected. The disclosure emerges as the U.S. Senate debates the CLARITY Act, which includes contentious ethics provisions aimed at preventing officials from profiting from the crypto sector they regulate. Critics argue Trump's earnings exemplify a critical conflict of interest, fueling demands for stricter rules to separate regulatory power from personal financial gain in the industry.

Foresight News07/01 02:41

Who is the Most Profitable Man in the Crypto World? Trump Rakes in Over $1.427 Billion in 2025

Foresight News07/01 02:41

Apple and the Power Rebalancing with 'The Microns': Dissecting the Profit Ledger Behind the iPhone

The article analyzes the shifting profit dynamics and power balance between Apple and memory suppliers like Micron within the iPhone supply chain. It highlights a social media post criticizing Apple for raising iPhone prices while blaming memory chip cost increases, despite historically paying suppliers like Micron very little. An estimated iPhone 18 cost breakdown is referenced. Historically, memory was a minor cost component. In 2017's iPhone X, memory accounted for only about 1.6-2.3% of the price, with Apple capturing nearly 50% net profit. Over time, memory's share of the Bill-of-Materials (BOM) cost has grown significantly, reaching an estimated 12-15% for the iPhone 17 series. The core driver of this change is soaring demand for memory from the AI industry, particularly for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) and AI servers, which is diverting production capacity and squeezing supply for consumer electronics. Memory manufacturers, after enduring periods of low profits, now hold greater pricing power. This is reflected in their recent strong financials, like Micron's 84.6% gross margin. Apple CEO Tim Cook initially described the memory price pressure as unprecedented in his 40-year career, later calling it a "once-in-a-century flood," before Apple announced price hikes across several product lines, causing a significant stock drop. Elon Musk echoed Cook's sentiment about the dramatic cost surge. The article concludes that the era of memory suppliers being at the mercy of Apple's pricing power has temporarily reversed, thanks to AI-driven demand. It notes Apple is reportedly seeking to diversify its supply chain, including exploring chips from China's CXMT.

Odaily星球日报06/28 06:03

Apple and the Power Rebalancing with 'The Microns': Dissecting the Profit Ledger Behind the iPhone

Odaily星球日报06/28 06:03

Standard Chartered Bank’s 50-Fold Fantasy: Predicting AAVE to Reach $3,500

Standard Chartered Bank has issued an optimistic research report predicting that the AAVE token could surge 50-fold to $3,500 by 2030. This forecast is based on the projection that the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi will grow 37x to approximately $2.7 trillion, driven by stablecoin expansion and the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA). The bank's model links Aave's potential valuation directly to its protocol revenue, which is primarily driven by net interest margins. The report highlights Aave's current dominant position, noting it captures over 80% of the net earnings ("protocol retained earnings") in the lending sector while holding only about half of its TVL. It also points to the recent launch of the Aave V4 architecture and a healthy revenue stream of $142 million in 2025 as positive fundamentals. Grayscale's separate analysis, applying traditional valuation metrics like DCF, concluded AAVE is currently undervalued. However, the article notes significant challenges. Aave's peer-to-pool lending model suffers from inherent capital inefficiency, with an estimated $52 million annual "deadweight loss" due to idle funds needed for liquidity buffers. This structural flaw was exposed during the April KelpDAO exploit, which locked a WETH pool at 100% utilization for days. Emerging protocols like Morpho, with more efficient point-to-point models, are cited as growing competitive threats. In summary, while institutional forecasts paint a macro picture of massive growth fueled by RWA adoption, Aave's path forward hinges on addressing its core structural limitations and competitive pressures within the evolving DeFi lending landscape.

链捕手06/25 11:41

Standard Chartered Bank’s 50-Fold Fantasy: Predicting AAVE to Reach $3,500

链捕手06/25 11:41

Don't Care if You Know Football or Not, Buying the Draw Is the Best Strategy for This World Cup?

The article analyzes the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage and argues that betting on a draw has been a surprisingly profitable strategy. Based on data from the prediction market Polymarket, a strategy of betting $1000 on a draw for each of the first 40 matches would have yielded a return of over 100%, despite only 13 matches ending in a draw. The core of the strategy is not the frequency of wins, but the high payout when low-probability draws occur, such as Spain's 0-0 draw with Cape Verde, where pre-match odds for a draw were only 5.5%. The article identifies common draw scores, like 1-1, which provide stability, and high-value 0-0 stalemates, where favorites fail to break down resilient defenses. It highlights Group G as an example, where 3 of the first 4 matches ended in draws, illustrating that draws are a tactical part of group stage calculus as teams often prioritize not losing. In conclusion, while strong teams remain favorites on the pitch, the article claims that for traders, betting on draws has so far produced the most significant profits.

Odaily星球日报06/22 03:34

Don't Care if You Know Football or Not, Buying the Draw Is the Best Strategy for This World Cup?

Odaily星球日报06/22 03:34

World Cup Kicks Off, Spotlight on 'Big Wins' and 'Major Losses' in Prediction Markets

"The World Cup has begun, showcasing dramatic gains and losses in prediction markets. With the 2026 FIFA World Cup expected to generate up to $10 billion in consumer betting volume, platforms like Polymarket have seen explosive activity. The article highlights several high-profile traders. One user (@mintblade) achieved a 100% win rate across four bets, earning $9.24 million in a single day, including a $7.34 million profit from correctly predicting Iran would not win against New Zealand. Another new wallet (@Fishalive) turned a $4.22 million bet on Spain not winning against Cape Verde into $13.28 million, a 1000%+ return after a shocking draw. Other successful traders include @LEEEROYJENKINS with $5.2 million in profits and @endlessFate, who turned early losses into over $7.85 million in weekly gains. However, significant losses also occurred. User @betoor619 lost nearly $1 million after a heavily favored Spain failed to defeat Cape Verde. Another user, @weatherman12, lost over $1.81 million betting against Argentina, which won 3-0 with a Lionel Messi hat-trick. The report serves as a reminder of the high volatility and risk in sports prediction markets, where unexpected outcomes are common."

Odaily星球日报06/18 05:12

World Cup Kicks Off, Spotlight on 'Big Wins' and 'Major Losses' in Prediction Markets

Odaily星球日报06/18 05:12

In the Name of Charity, For the Benefit of the Family: How the Trump Family Turns Philanthropy into Profit?

Charity for Profit: How the Trump Family Turned Philanthropy into Personal Gain Amid a recent controversy over misleading claims about his cryptocurrency company American Bitcoin, Eric Trump invoked his children's cancer charity as evidence of his good intentions. While his Curetivity foundation (formerly the Eric Trump Foundation) has donated over $25 million to St. Jude Children's Research Hospital, an investigation reveals a pattern of self-dealing and opaque practices that benefited the Trump family business. Internal documents show that from 2011 to 2016, over $500,000 from the charity was funneled back to Trump-owned properties for event costs, transactions often omitted from tax filings. This created clear conflicts of interest, with figures like former club manager and current White House aide Dan Scavino involved on both sides. Public claims of "one of the lowest expense ratios" were contradicted by records showing significant spending on entertainment, auctions, and transportation. Facing scrutiny in 2017, Eric Trump distanced himself from the board and rebranded the foundation. After a state investigation shifted focus to compliance rather than enforcement, he returned as the public face. Fundraising events, now less transparent, continue at Trump venues. Estimates suggest these events have directed over $1 million to the Trump Organization over two decades. The same playbook of optimistic claims and obscured financial realities is now evident in Eric Trump's role at American Bitcoin. He promoted it as a highly profitable venture with low mining costs, but reports indicate most Bitcoin was purchased with funds from constant stock issuance, not mined, with actual costs far higher than claimed. While the company's stock has crashed nearly 90% from its peak, Eric Trump's personal stake remains valuable. The recurring pattern involves aggressive public defense, legal maneuvering to bury records, making minimal changes to satisfy regulators, and eventually repackaging the venture to regain trust, often successfully.

marsbit06/17 09:54

In the Name of Charity, For the Benefit of the Family: How the Trump Family Turns Philanthropy into Profit?