# Halving Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Halving", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Has Satoshi Returned? Over 600 Bitcoin Over 16 Years Old Suddenly Moved

More than 600 bitcoins worth approximately $48 million, which had been dormant on addresses for over 16 years, were recently moved, sparking speculation about a potential connection to Bitcoin's mysterious creator, Satoshi Nakamoto. According to on-chain platform Whale Alert, 12 addresses containing 600 BTC—all mining rewards from March 2010—became active on September 5th. The platform stated its investigation found no links between these blocks and Nakamoto, reducing panic. The coins were mined when the block reward was 50 BTC, before four subsequent halvings. The movement attracted attention partly because it dates to the period when Nakamoto was still actively involved in Bitcoin's development. Whale Alert noted one transaction occurred several blocks earlier, likely a test. Lookonchain also reported similar activity involving 350 BTC from seven other inactive addresses. From a data analysis perspective, this event fits a broader trend: a significant volume of long-inactive bitcoins, valued at $104 billion, has changed hands in 2024-2025, a phenomenon some call the "great distribution." A technical note: some 2010-era coins are stored in outdated pay-to-public-key (P2PK) formats, making the public key visible and theoretically vulnerable to future quantum computing attacks, raising questions about how many of these ancient coins will be moved before such technology emerges.

cryptonews.ru1h ago

Has Satoshi Returned? Over 600 Bitcoin Over 16 Years Old Suddenly Moved

cryptonews.ru1h ago

An Important Signal of Change in Bitcoin: Renowned Analyst Willy Woo Shares a New Scenario, Pointing to Prospects for the Next 6-8 Years!

After a recent pullback to $77,000, prominent blockchain analyst Willy Woo suggests Bitcoin's traditional four-year market cycle, driven by halving events, may be changing. Woo argues that as the annual new supply of Bitcoin relative to its total supply shrinks (potentially from ~0.8% to ~0.4%), the price impact of post-halving supply shocks will diminish. Consequently, future Bitcoin cycles could shift from the four-year halving schedule to longer 6-8 year cycles, aligning more with short-term debt cycles seen in traditional finance. The analyst's core thesis is that with waning supply-side influence, Bitcoin's price may become increasingly sensitive to macroeconomic factors like liquidity conditions, interest rates, and credit cycles, playing a larger role in future market movements than the halving mechanism itself.

cryptonews.ru09/03 13:21

An Important Signal of Change in Bitcoin: Renowned Analyst Willy Woo Shares a New Scenario, Pointing to Prospects for the Next 6-8 Years!

cryptonews.ru09/03 13:21

In August, Bitcoin Miners Earned $1 Billion, but the Aftereffects of the Halving Continue to Be Felt

In August, Bitcoin miners earned $1.001 billion in block rewards, with transaction fees adding $7.1 million, bringing total revenue to $1.008 billion. Despite network hash rate holding above 900 EH/s, the daily hashprice remains around $38.86 per PH/s. Miners currently hold 1.92 million BTC, with on-chain data showing limited selling pressure despite some spikes in outflows to external addresses. While conditions have improved from earlier this summer, revenues and hashprice remain significantly depressed following the 2024 halving. Achieving a favorable hashprice of $75-$100 per PH/s would require a substantial Bitcoin price increase. Estimates suggest a price of approximately $198,950 per BTC would be needed to reach $100/PH/s—a 157% surge. As the industry prepares for the next halving in 2028, major mining firms are diversifying into AI and high-performance computing infrastructure for more stable revenue. To survive future halvings, miners must focus on operational efficiency, including securing cheaper power, deploying advanced hardware, and maintaining resilient operations. The key test will be building sustainability ahead of the 2028 event.

cryptonews.ru09/03 05:21

In August, Bitcoin Miners Earned $1 Billion, but the Aftereffects of the Halving Continue to Be Felt

cryptonews.ru09/03 05:21

Bitcoin Price Surge in August. A Temporary Spike or the Start of a New Cycle

"Bitcoin Price Surge in August: Temporary Spike or Start of a New Cycle?" The cryptocurrency market is ending August with a recovery attempt following a prolonged downtrend that began in October 2025. Bitcoin has seen confident growth recently, aided by macroeconomic and market factors. However, analysts agree it's too early to call a trend reversal, with bearish risks remaining and sideways price movement expected in the coming months within a wide range. Bitcoin's current dynamics fit the classic four-year cycles historically marked by alternating bull and bear trends. These cycles are linked to Bitcoin's halving events. Based on this pattern, the recent lows might indicate a local bottom and an attempt to break the October 2025 downtrend. Many key players statistically predict the cycle's bottom for autumn 2026. Analysts highlight persistent pressure from external macroeconomic factors, including high interest rates and the US Federal Reserve's firm stance, alongside geopolitical uncertainty. However, if recent positive inflation trends continue, the likelihood of Fed policy easing could increase, benefiting BTC and other risky assets. De-escalation in Iran-related tensions could also provide the Fed more room to soften its policy. Another pressure factor is competition from other asset classes, notably semiconductors and AI development. Mining companies are reportedly selling accumulated coin reserves and shifting towards providing computing power for AI, a more profitable and predictable business. This trend is mirrored by institutional investors who have seen higher returns and volatility in traditional assets, contributing to outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs and reduced trading interest in crypto. Nonetheless, Bitcoin ETFs have attracted over $3.5 billion since early August, signaling a recovery in institutional demand. From a technical perspective, analysts do not expect explosive growth. Strong resistance is seen around $86,000, with a potential correction toward an accumulation zone near $74,000. If this support holds, a path could open toward $96,000 and then $100,000. A broader forecast suggests Bitcoin may enter a wide sideways range between $60,000 and $85,000 until Fed rhetoric softens or interest in semiconductors and AI sectors subsides.

cryptonews.ru08/28 13:16

Bitcoin Price Surge in August. A Temporary Spike or the Start of a New Cycle

cryptonews.ru08/28 13:16

Zcash Hashrate Skyrockets: $870 ZEC Price Awakens ASIC Industry Giants

Zcash's network hash rate has surged significantly, with recent monitoring services reporting 27 to 29 GSol/s, one of the highest levels ever recorded. This increase is driven by ZEC's price rising to around $870, making mining profitable and incentivizing operators to activate idle equipment and deploy new hardware. The Zcash network uses the memory-intensive Equihash algorithm and aims for a 75-second block time, producing roughly 1,152 blocks daily. Miners currently earn 80% of the 1.5625 ZEC block subsidy, plus transaction fees. Network hash rate is estimated differently across tracking services due to varying calculation methods based on network difficulty and actual block times, leading to reported discrepancies. Specialized ASIC miners like Bitmain's Antminer Z15 Pro (840 kSol/s) dominate the landscape. With a network hash rate of ~25 GSol/s, this represents an industrial-scale operation of roughly 30,000 such machines. High ZEC prices justify this deployment, but each new ASIC increases mining difficulty, spreading rewards among more competitors. While Z15 Pro models are officially sold out, pushing buyers to secondary markets, current daily profitability for older Z15 and Z15 Pro models is estimated at $17.06 and $34.69 respectively. The sustainability of this profitability depends on ZEC's price holding as difficulty adjusts, with miners also watching for future protocol changes like NU7 and the 2028 halving.

cryptonews.ru08/25 20:51

Zcash Hashrate Skyrockets: $870 ZEC Price Awakens ASIC Industry Giants

cryptonews.ru08/25 20:51

Bitcoin Could Reach a Turning Point This Week as a Solid Bottom Forms

Bitcoin may be approaching a pivotal moment this week as a sustainable bottom forms, according to Grayscale. The asset manager noted that Bitcoin's rapid recovery from its latest bear market low, including a rally to around $79,500, could signal a turning point. Their analysis compared the current cycle's decline—roughly 50% from its peak—to historical drops of 70-80%, suggesting a potentially shallower correction. Grayscale's chart tracking Bitcoin's performance across cycles shows the current pullback is less severe than previous ones. This aligns with a VanEck report indicating that multiple "capitulation" signals were active, often associated with late-stage corrections and a transition into accumulation. Factors such as institutional ETF adoption, a broader holder base, and the absence of major leveraged lender blowups may be contributing to a more resilient market structure. Supporting the recovery, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen significant net inflows, totaling approximately $1.92 billion over five consecutive sessions. While this indicates underlying demand beyond short-covering, risks remain from macroeconomic factors like rising interest rates or profit-taking. Grayscale concluded that while a Q4 2026 downturn is still possible, this week's rally suggests a more durable bottom may be forming.

cryptonews.ru08/23 18:24

Bitcoin Could Reach a Turning Point This Week as a Solid Bottom Forms

cryptonews.ru08/23 18:24

SkyBridge Capital Founder Anthony Scaramucci Points to 2028 Halving as Moment When Bitcoin Surpasses $100,000 Mark! Here Are the Details

Anthony Scaramucci, founder of SkyBridge Capital, predicts Bitcoin will experience a strong recovery and surpass $100,000 before the next halving event expected in 2028. In an interview, he expressed optimism about Bitcoin's long-term prospects, emphasizing that the halving mechanism—which reduces the supply of new bitcoins—creates upward price pressure over time. The next halving is anticipated around April 2028, reducing the block reward from 3.125 BTC to 1.5625 BTC, significantly curtailing new supply. Scaramucci suggests that if this supply reduction coincides with sustained institutional interest, Bitcoin could return to six-figure price levels. Analysts note that past halving cycles have been followed by long-term bullish trends. However, experts caution that Bitcoin's price also depends on broader factors like global economic conditions, interest rate policies, regulatory changes, and investor demand. Despite these variables, Scaramucci remains confident in Bitcoin's long-term growth potential.

cryptonews.ru08/19 13:22

SkyBridge Capital Founder Anthony Scaramucci Points to 2028 Halving as Moment When Bitcoin Surpasses $100,000 Mark! Here Are the Details

cryptonews.ru08/19 13:22

Anthony Scaramucci Declares Bitcoin's 55% Drop a Reason for Optimism

Anthony Scaramucci, founder of SkyBridge, expressed optimism despite Bitcoin's 55% price drop, noting the decline is significantly smaller than in previous bear markets. He suggested this limited drawdown indicates resilient underlying demand, which could support the next bull cycle. Scaramucci pointed out that Bitcoin's price has remained relatively stable since the US-Iran conflict began in February. He attributed weak momentum to capital shifting from cryptocurrencies into AI services and mining companies investing in AI infrastructure. He also highlighted structural market changes, such as the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, which have broadened access for traditional investors. Financial firms continue creating digital asset-based products, expanding Bitcoin's buyer base compared to past cycles. Scaramucci believes the upcoming Bitcoin halving, which will reduce the rate of new coin issuance, could intensify supply scarcity and potentially help Bitcoin surpass $100,000. However, he anticipates a consolidation period before the market recovers. Previously, he compared Bitcoin's global adoption to an S-curve, predicting a sharp acceleration after a slow initial phase.

cryptonews.ru08/19 09:26

Anthony Scaramucci Declares Bitcoin's 55% Drop a Reason for Optimism

cryptonews.ru08/19 09:26

'The Idea of Catching the Absolute Bottom Is Wrong': Experts on a New Phase of Bitcoin Capitulation

Analysts from CryptoQuant advise investors against trying to pinpoint the exact bottom of Bitcoin's price. Their data shows the percentage of the Bitcoin supply in profit has fallen to 51.4%, a level historically associated with capitulation phases followed by accumulation. This means approximately 48.6% of circulating coins are held at an unrealized loss. The metric, based on UTXO analysis comparing a coin's last moved price to its current market value, last neared this level in early 2023 when Bitcoin traded between $16,000 and $20,000. CryptoQuant states that the idea of catching the "absolute bottom" is flawed. The decline in the average cost basis during a bear market reflects coins transferring from weak hands to stronger, long-term holders. While some investors realize losses, others may use the decline for gradual accumulation. The accumulation window may last longer than many expect, even as fear drives some participants away. Historically, a supply in profit below 55% has been linked to re-accumulation periods. Separately, Swan Bitcoin CEO Cory Klippsten offered a forecast, suggesting Bitcoin could form a bottom in October 2026, followed by a recovery towards approximately $130,000 ahead of the 2028 halving. This aligns with the historical pattern of local lows forming about 12 months after bull market peaks; Bitcoin hit its all-time high above $126,000 in early October 2025. However, Klippsten cautioned against over-relying on past cycles due to limited historical data.

cryptonews.ru08/17 13:14

'The Idea of Catching the Absolute Bottom Is Wrong': Experts on a New Phase of Bitcoin Capitulation

cryptonews.ru08/17 13:14

Peter Todd's Remarks on Emissions Spark Debate Over Bitcoin Inflation

Peter Todd's recent speech on "Tail Emissions and Demurrage" has reignited the intense debate around Bitcoin's 21 million supply cap. He argues that after block subsidies end around 2140, a fee-only model could create security risks by enabling powerful miners to perform chain reorganizations. His proposed solution is a small, fixed "tail emission" of new coins per block or a demurrage fee on dormant coins to provide predictable miner income. The backlash was swift and severe across social media. Critics denounced the proposals as "inflation by another name" and a violation of Bitcoin's foundational social contract of absolute scarcity. They argue that tinkering with the fixed monetary policy undermines Bitcoin's core value proposition versus fiat currencies. Alternatives like relying on Layer-2 solutions and a robust fee market were emphasized as the correct path forward. While a few figures like Starkware's Eli Ben-Sasson have expressed sympathy for limited permanent emission to offset lost coins, Todd acknowledges a hard-fork implementing his idea is highly unlikely in the near future. The consensus remains that any change to the 21 million limit faces insurmountable opposition from the ecosystem of node operators, miners, and holders. The debate underscores that Bitcoin's security budget challenge will ultimately be tested by future halvings and the organic development of its transaction fee economy.

cryptonews.ru08/16 20:46

Peter Todd's Remarks on Emissions Spark Debate Over Bitcoin Inflation