# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Cost Basis

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Cost Basis", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

How is the 'Bottom Structure' of a Bear Market Formed, and Where Are We Now?

This article analyzes the formation of Bitcoin's bear market "bottom structure" by examining the relationship between cost basis and price action, particularly the behavior of short-term holders (STH). Historically, the cost basis of coins held for 1-3 months (1-3m_RP) has acted as a key resistance level during bear market rallies. This group's supply is often less committed; many entered the market expecting quick gains but were trapped. When the price rebounds to their break-even point, they tend to sell, creating resistance. Data shows that as of mid-April, the 1-3m_RP is approximately $75,400, a level Bitcoin is currently testing for the second time this cycle. The first test in mid-January failed, leading to a pullback. The author suggests a high probability of a similar outcome this time, as historical cycles show the second test rarely results in an immediate reversal. An alternative, less likely scenario is a break above this level, only to face stronger resistance at the broader STH-RP (average cost basis for all short-term holders) near $81,000, where a much larger supply of 2.31 million BTC resides. This could lead to price consolidation around the 1-3m_RP. A definitive bottom structure is confirmed only when the 1-3m_RP trend reverses from down to up, signaling a transition from a bear to a bull market. This process takes time, requiring patience to observe whether breakouts are genuine.

marsbit14 ч. назад

How is the 'Bottom Structure' of a Bear Market Formed, and Where Are We Now?

marsbit14 ч. назад

Analyzing how Bitcoin’s short-term holders and $64K-level can unlock market bulls

Bitcoin's price is struggling amid bearish sentiment, but key shifts among short-term holders (STHs) could signal a potential bullish turn. STHs, who purchased BTC in the last month at an average cost basis of $85,450, are currently at a 19% unrealized loss. Historically, a 25% or greater loss often marks a market bottom, suggesting Bitcoin may need to decline another 6% to around $64,000 to trigger a rebound. At this level, STH selling typically subsides, reducing supply pressure. Meanwhile, approximately 300,000 BTC (worth ~$27 billion) have recently moved from STHs to long-term holders (LTHs), who are less likely to sell during downturns, thereby supporting price stability. Additionally, exchange reserves have slightly declined from 2.46 million to 2.45 million BTC, indicating a tightening supply. A sustained reduction in reserves could further limit downside risk and lay the foundation for a potential rally.

ambcrypto04/08 06:02

Analyzing how Bitcoin’s short-term holders and $64K-level can unlock market bulls

ambcrypto04/08 06:02

Coinbase report: Crypto users want to pay taxes, but complexity remains

A Coinbase and CoinTracker report reveals that while the majority of cryptocurrency users intend to comply with tax rules, widespread confusion and complexity hinder compliance. Key findings show 74% of users know crypto is taxable and 65% have reported it previously, but only 49% correctly identify taxable events. New IRS Form 1099-DA, set for 2027, aims to standardize reporting but does not resolve the critical challenge of cost basis calculation. With users averaging 2.5 platforms and 83% using self-custody wallets, tracking original purchase prices remains difficult. Only 35% have adjusted cost basis. As a result, many users are turning to AI, with 47% open to using it for calculations and 30% for the entire tax process, though traditional methods like tax software (78%) and accountants (52%) remain dominant.

ambcrypto03/30 16:10

Coinbase report: Crypto users want to pay taxes, but complexity remains

ambcrypto03/30 16:10

Bitcoin 53% Down From Cycle Peak – Key Levels To Clear For Full Recovery

Bitcoin remains in a six-month bear market, currently trading around $66,000—down 53% from its all-time high of $126,000. Analyst Burak Kesmeci notes that while this correction falls within the expected 40%-70% range, downside risk persists based on historical drawdowns. Key resistance levels include new whales' cost basis at $82,800 and the short-term holder realized price at $86,900, creating significant overhead selling pressure. Support lies near $58,900 for Binance users and $55,900 for miner whales, with the macro floor at $54,300. A sustained break above $86,900 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal.

bitcoinist03/28 13:10

Bitcoin 53% Down From Cycle Peak – Key Levels To Clear For Full Recovery

bitcoinist03/28 13:10

Bitcoin ETFs stabilize as BTC consolidates, but investors remain underwater

Bitcoin ETFs are showing signs of stabilization after a period of significant outflows, with cumulative flows recovering by nearly $3 billion since late February. However, net flows remain down by over $6 billion from their October 2025 peak, indicating that selling pressure has eased but not fully reversed. The average cost basis for ETF holders is approximately $82,000, while Bitcoin is trading around $65,900, leaving many investors underwater with estimated aggregate losses exceeding $14 billion. Bitcoin continues to consolidate within a $65,000–$72,000 range, with weak momentum and an RSI near 40, reflecting a lack of strong directional movement and a cautious market sentiment.

ambcrypto03/27 18:02

Bitcoin ETFs stabilize as BTC consolidates, but investors remain underwater

ambcrypto03/27 18:02

Bitcoin Price Bottom Could Be Around $40,000, On-Chain Data Shows

Based on on-chain data analysis by Ali Martinez, the Bitcoin price bottom in the current bear market could be around $40,000. This projection hinges on the cost basis of long-term holders (LTH), investors who have held their coins for over 155 days. Historically, this level acts as a strong support during downturns, as these investors are less likely to sell and often increase their buying when the price approaches their average acquisition cost, which is currently approximately $40,363. If selling pressure does not overwhelm this renewed buying activity, this cost basis could mark the market bottom. Currently, Bitcoin is trading near $68,330, down over 45% from its all-time high.

bitcoinist02/22 17:02

Bitcoin Price Bottom Could Be Around $40,000, On-Chain Data Shows

bitcoinist02/22 17:02

Ethereum Price Slips Below Whale Cost Basis — More Pain For Bulls?

Ethereum's price experienced a significant downturn in early February, falling over 30% and briefly dropping below $1,850. A critical development occurred as the price slipped below the realized price (average on-chain acquisition cost) of all investor cohorts, including large holders (whales) with over 100k ETH, whose cost basis is approximately $2,074. Historically, this whale cost level has acted as strong resistance in downtrends and reliable support in uptrends. A break below it suggests two potential outcomes: a sharp rebound if reclaimed as support (as seen in 2020 and 2022), or further capitulation toward multi-year lows (as in 2018-2019). Key resistance for any recovery is seen between $2,534–$2,675 (the realized price of smaller holders). If the $2,074 level is not reclaimed within 30-45 days, ETH could decline further to $1,800 or even $1,300–$1,600. At the time of writing, ETH is trading at $2,030, up over 7% in 24 hours.

bitcoinist02/08 11:34

Ethereum Price Slips Below Whale Cost Basis — More Pain For Bulls?

bitcoinist02/08 11:34

Strategy’s $76K Cost Basis Emerges As A Key Market Stress Line

The key to understanding Bitcoin's current market phase lies in analyzing structural factors rather than short-term price direction. A CryptoQuant report highlights that MicroStrategy's average Bitcoin acquisition price of approximately $76,000 has emerged as a critical structural level for the broader market. This level is significant due to the sheer volume of Bitcoin accumulated at this price point, financed through capital markets via equity issuance and convertible debt. This links Bitcoin's market structure to broader liquidity conditions. The sustainability of this structural demand depends on favorable funding conditions. If Bitcoin's price weakens toward this zone amid tightening liquidity, MicroStrategy's ability to sustain accumulation could be reduced, removing a key source of demand. On-chain data supports a cautious outlook: the Realized Cap has struggled to expand, indicating rotation among existing holders rather than new inflows. The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) frequently remains below 1, showing short-term holders are realizing losses. Despite this, accumulation continues, with MicroStrategy holding 713,502 BTC at an average cost of $76,052. The market is likely to remain in broad consolidation until spot volume, ETF inflows, and Realized Cap reaccelerate. The $76,000 level is not a guaranteed floor, but a crucial structural test for the market.

bitcoinist02/04 04:09

Strategy’s $76K Cost Basis Emerges As A Key Market Stress Line

bitcoinist02/04 04:09

Strategy’s Bitcoin Cost Basis In Focus As Price Hovers Around $76K

Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline over the weekend, dropping to around $76,000 and testing the average cost basis of MicroStrategy’s substantial holdings of over 712,000 BTC. The price briefly fell below the company’s $76,000 per Bitcoin acquisition level, threatening to push its position into unrealized losses. Despite the volatility, MicroStrategy’s executive chairman Michael Saylor affirmed the company’s long-term commitment to its Bitcoin strategy. Meanwhile, CryptoQuant’s head of research, Julio Moreno, cautioned that current market conditions are not a typical bull market correction and that the bear phase may persist, making it difficult to identify a bottom. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading near $78,070, down more than 6% in 24 hours.

bitcoinist02/01 21:03

Strategy’s Bitcoin Cost Basis In Focus As Price Hovers Around $76K

bitcoinist02/01 21:03

Ethereum inside major Cost Basis cluster as market weighs next move

According to Glassnode's onchain data, Ethereum is trading within a major cost basis cluster between $2,900 and $3,100, a key breakeven zone for a large share of holders. This dense concentration indicates heightened market sensitivity, where small price moves can significantly influence holder behavior. A secondary accumulation zone exists between $3,300 and $3,500, while support thins below $2,700. Currently trading around $2,930–$2,950, ETH remains below its key moving averages and within a broad sideways range. The market shows muted momentum, with moderated volume, suggesting price discovery is occurring through absorption rather than trend expansion. Onchain positioning indicates participants are still negotiating value without a clear directional catalyst.

ambcrypto01/27 18:40

Ethereum inside major Cost Basis cluster as market weighs next move