# Bull Market Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Bull Market", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

How Far is the Current U.S. Stock Bull Market from Historical Bubble Peaks?

Title: How Far Is the Current U.S. Stock Bull Market from Historical Bubble Peaks? Summary: According to Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. equity strategist, current market exuberance ranks at the 86th historical percentile. While approaching, this level remains notably below the extremes seen at the peaks of the 2000 dot-com bubble (100th percentile) and the 2021 bull market (95th percentile). The recent 15% surge in the S&P 500 over two months represents one of the strongest volatility-adjusted rallies in over 50 years, primarily fueled by AI-related enthusiasm and backed by significant upward revisions to earnings estimates, providing a more fundamental basis than past momentum-driven peaks. Key risk signals—speculative frenzy, deteriorating growth, heavy equity issuance, and Federal Reserve tightening—are all closer to their historical triggers than a few months ago but are not yet fully activated. For instance, IPO activity is recovering, and market breadth remains narrow, though not at dot-com bubble extremes. The strategist cautions that while the current cycle may not replicate past peaks exactly and a downturn does not require extreme euphoria, risks are accumulating. The overall assessment is that the bull market still has room to run, but the window of opportunity is gradually narrowing.

marsbitYesterday 07:08

Bitcoin Bull Turn Hinges On US Debt Wall, Real Vision Says

Real Vision crypto analyst Jamie Coutts says Bitcoin's long-term technical setup is approaching attractive, accumulation-zone levels, suggesting a potential cycle bottom in Q2/Q3. However, he cautions that a major macroeconomic obstacle could delay a sustained bullish reversal: a looming US Treasury refinancing wall. In 2027, $3.67 trillion of government debt matures and must be refinanced at significantly higher interest rates. Coutts argues current market liquidity is insufficient to absorb this issuance smoothly, especially as capital continues rotating out of crypto and into AI-related equities and commodities since late 2025. This liquidity constraint, combined with a potential contraction of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, poses a risk to all risk assets, including Bitcoin. While Bitcoin may be the first to detect a future shift toward increased Fed liquidity, Coutts believes such a shift may only come after stress emerges in the Treasury market. Therefore, despite a positive technical structure, Bitcoin's next durable bull phase may hinge on navigating this significant macro refinancing challenge.

bitcoinistYesterday 02:01

Bitcoin Bull Turn Hinges On US Debt Wall, Real Vision Says

bitcoinistYesterday 02:01

Different Choices After the Plunge: Institutions Buy the Dip, Traders Shift to US Stocks

Title: Diverging Strategies After the Crash: Institutions Buying the Dip, Traders Shifting to US Stocks Following a sharp decline where Bitcoin briefly fell below $60,000 on June 6th, market sentiment remains "extreme fear" despite a partial recovery. This has led to varied responses from major market participants. Several institutional figures and analysts present a cautiously optimistic long-term view for Bitcoin. Glassnode's co-founder identifies $46k-$54k as a probable key bottom range based on historical on-chain models, while a Standard Chartered executive suggests the bottom is nearly formed. Strive's CEO points to Bitcoin touching its 200-week moving average as a historically reliable buy signal. Analysts highlight metrics like MVRV ratio and the "Power Law" model indicating Bitcoin is in an extremely undervalued zone. Conversely, some traders are exiting the crypto space. One trader cited a more attractive risk/reward profile and deeper research opportunities in US stocks, particularly with AI-related equities outperforming and capital rotating away from crypto. This shift is partly attributed to perceived ongoing risks, including those related to Strategy's Bitcoin sales. Market prediction data suggests a high probability (72%) of Bitcoin falling below $55,000, but lower odds for a deeper crash below $35k-$40k. The overall picture is one of division: institutions and long-term analysts see a accumulating opportunity, while some active traders are seeking alpha elsewhere amidst the volatility and shifting capital flows.

marsbit2 days ago 05:14

Different Choices After the Plunge: Institutions Buy the Dip, Traders Shift to US Stocks

marsbit2 days ago 05:14

Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH Could Double While Cardano (ADA) and This Newcomer Token Near 500% Rally

As the cryptocurrency market anticipates a potential bull cycle, investor focus is shifting toward projects with high return potential. Ethereum (ETH), currently at approximately $2,014, is highlighted for its long-term value, with predictions suggesting a possible 2x increase to over $4,000. Cardano (ADA), trading around $0.2329, remains a choice for its research-driven development and scalability focus, though some seek higher upside elsewhere. Significant attention is drawn to Little Pepe (LILPEPE), a new Layer 2 Ethereum-compatible token priced at $0.0022 in its presale stage, which has raised over $28.19 million. The project aims to build a dedicated blockchain for meme communities, offering lower costs and faster transactions. Backers speculate a potential 500% gain, driven by strong presale demand, planned ecosystem features like staking and a launchpad, and active community engagement through giveaways. While Ethereum and Cardano are viewed as foundational investments, LILPEPE represents a newer, high-growth opportunity for investors targeting the meme coin sector.

TheNewsCrypto06/06 09:00

Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH Could Double While Cardano (ADA) and This Newcomer Token Near 500% Rally

TheNewsCrypto06/06 09:00

Earning 1000 Trillion in Half a Year, 'Pocketing' 20 Million per Capita: This Round of Wealth Creation in the Korean Stock Market is Unprecedented in Scale

The South Korean stock market is experiencing an unprecedented wealth surge in 2026, with household equity and fund asset values soaring by over 1,000 trillion KRW (~$730bn) year-to-date. This translates to an average per capita wealth increase of roughly 20 million KRW, fueled by a historic 109% rally in the KOSPI index. The boom is driven by three converging forces: an AI-driven semiconductor supercycle boosting giants like Samsung and SK Hynix; the government's "Value-Up" market reforms addressing long-standing corporate governance issues; and aggressive real estate regulations that have locked capital within financial markets, preventing profits from flowing back into property. This has triggered a wealth effect, boosting high-end consumption significantly. However, the gains are highly concentrated. The two semiconductor behemoths account for over half the index's value, but retail investors own relatively low stakes in them, systematically missing the biggest rallies. Wealth and consumption benefits are skewed towards luxury goods and imported cars, bypassing mainstream retail. Further risks stem from excessive leverage, with high trading volume in leveraged ETFs, and a market sentiment heavily reliant on the AI sector's fortunes and speculative rumors. While this cycle marks a potential shift from real estate to equities as a primary wealth generator for Koreans, its sustainability, amid structural imbalances and leverage, remains a critical test.

marsbit06/05 06:53

Earning 1000 Trillion in Half a Year, 'Pocketing' 20 Million per Capita: This Round of Wealth Creation in the Korean Stock Market is Unprecedented in Scale

marsbit06/05 06:53

A Confession from a US Stock KOL: The AI Bull Market Isn't Over, But Risks Are Looming

A self-proclaimed AI bull and US stock influencer reflects on the market. While firmly believing AI is a transformative revolution creating exponential token demand versus linear semiconductor supply, the author warns of rising risks. The current "low-PE bubble" appears resilient, fueled by strong company fundamentals and abundant post-regulatory liquidity, making it hard to oppose. However, the bull market's core premise—that hyperscalers' massive capital expenditures will be justified by soaring AI model revenues—is fragile. Key vulnerabilities are identified: the supply chain is strained and fragmented, losing the pricing control once held by giants like TSMC. More critically, leading AI models (like Anthropic's Opus) are showing signs of "cognitive decline" due to compute shortages, potentially undermining the revenue growth story. If investor faith in the model monetization cycle wavers, it could trigger a broad re-evaluation of semiconductor stocks as cyclical rather than growth assets. The author concludes that one can participate in the ongoing party but must stay vigilant, ready to exit when the music—the foundational narrative of AI revenue growth—stops.

marsbit06/04 08:17

A Confession from a US Stock KOL: The AI Bull Market Isn't Over, But Risks Are Looming

marsbit06/04 08:17

HYPE Spot ETF Continuously Accumulates 1% in 14 Days: Is the $75 New High Just the Starting Point?

Hyperliquid (HYPE) has surged to a new all-time high of $75 amid strong institutional and ETF-driven buying pressure. The article highlights several key bullish factors. First, the HYPE spot ETFs from 21Shares and Bitwise have seen 14 consecutive days of net inflows, totaling over $136 million and absorbing nearly 1% of HYPE's market cap—a faster initial pace than BTC or ETH ETFs. This ETF demand provides a solid price floor. Second, the protocol's own Assistance Fund (AF) mechanism, which uses 99% of fees to buy back and burn HYPE, has already removed over $1.1 billion worth of tokens, creating a dual support system alongside ETF inflows. This combined buying power is expected to counter potential selling pressure from upcoming team token unlocks. Institutionally, venture firm a16z is now considered one of the largest external holders of HYPE, with multiple addresses accumulating millions of tokens. Galaxy Digital is also actively buying. Analysts and firms like Bitwise and Grayscale are framing HYPE not as a mere meme coin but as a "second-generation" crypto with real value capture and infrastructure potential. Furthermore, Hyperliquid Strategies (PURR), a publicly traded company holding a large HYPE treasury, is set to join the Russell 3000 Index, potentially unlocking further passive investment flows. The ongoing feud between prominent backers like Arthur Hayes (pro-HYPE) and Kyle Samani (pro-SOL) underscores the intense market debate, with Hayes famously betting HYPE will outperform all top-ten crypto assets this year.

Odaily星球日报06/03 13:22

HYPE Spot ETF Continuously Accumulates 1% in 14 Days: Is the $75 New High Just the Starting Point?

Odaily星球日报06/03 13:22

Crypto Founder Predicts This Altcoin Sweetheart Will Overtake Solana, But How Far Will It Go?

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes predicts that the altcoin Hyperliquid (HYPE) will surpass Solana in market capitalization before the current market cycle ends. He reiterated his price target of $150 for HYPE, expecting it to be reached by the second half of the year. At the time of his prediction, HYPE was trading below $70 with a $15 billion market cap. It has since rallied to a new all-time high above $73, achieving an $18 billion market cap and becoming the 9th largest cryptocurrency, overtaking Dogecoin. Hayes' forecast implies HYPE's market cap could exceed $48 billion, pushing its price above $100. He attributes the potential growth to the Hyperliquid DEX gaining traction, with up to 99% of fees used to buy and burn HYPE tokens. In a separate challenge, Hayes wagered $100,000 for charity that HYPE will outperform any other top crypto by market cap from now until year-end. Currently, HYPE is the best-performing top 10 crypto year-to-date, up 188%.

bitcoinist06/01 21:01

Crypto Founder Predicts This Altcoin Sweetheart Will Overtake Solana, But How Far Will It Go?

bitcoinist06/01 21:01

The Midlife Crisis of Crypto GPs: No PMF, No Next Check from LPs

The article "The Midlife Crisis of Crypto GPs: No PMF, No Next LP Check" analyzes the shifting crypto fundraising landscape. It argues the era of selling grand visions to LPs is over; GPs must now offer products with clear Product-Market Fit (PMF). The author categorizes crypto fundraising products into three types: Primary (VC funds), Liquid (trading strategies), and CeFi/DeFi Native Yield. This summary focuses on the Primary market. Key points include: * **Market Shift:** LPs are impatient, demand immediate returns, and are skeptical of future promises. The "easy money" narrative has faded. * **GP Value Erosion:** LP learning curves have shortened (aided by AI), reducing the value of a GP's basic "crypto knowledge." Superior judgment is now rare. * **Weakened LP Motivations:** Traditional reasons for LPs to invest in crypto VC funds (capturing industry beta, gaining access, leveraging GP judgment) have weakened due to new products like ETFs and increased LP sophistication. * **Surviving in Primary:** The primary market will likely persist for: 1) large funds in endowment mandates treating it as a lottery ticket, 2) family offices/HNWIs using proprietary capital, 3) a few funds with proven recent outperformance, and 4) funds with strong ecosystem "deal-making" capabilities. * **Conclusion:** For most GPs, rebuilding trust requires starting over in a niche, demonstrating alpha-generating ability, or providing concrete value/services to LPs.

marsbit06/01 14:24

The Midlife Crisis of Crypto GPs: No PMF, No Next Check from LPs

marsbit06/01 14:24

Crypto GPs' Midlife Crisis: No PMF, No LP's Next Check

The article "The Midlife Crisis of Crypto GPs: No PMF, No LP's Next Check" analyzes the shifting crypto fundraising landscape. It argues that the era of LPs funding vague "vision" is over; GPs must now offer products with clear Product-Market Fit (PMF) to secure capital. The market has matured. LPs, disillusioned by the last cycle's failures and wary of long lock-up periods, now demand tangible, near-term returns rather than speculative narratives. The proliferation of accessible crypto ETFs and other liquid products has reduced the need for VC blind pools as an entry point. The author categorizes crypto fundraising products into three types: Primary (VC funds, with blind pools or clear pipelines), Liquid (alpha/beta, directional/market-neutral strategies), and CeFi/DeFi Native Yield (crypto-specific mechanisms like staking, farming). Focusing on the Primary market, the piece details why traditional LP rationales for investing in crypto VCs have weakened: easier beta access via ETFs, diminished "access" and "judgement" premiums as LPs build internal teams, and a widespread lack of proven superior returns from GPs. Ultimately, only specific players are likely to remain at the primary VC table: large funds with access to patient endowment capital, family offices/HNWIs investing proprietary capital, the few funds with demonstrable excess returns from the last cycle, and those with clear "deal-making" or ecosystem resource advantages. For others, the path forward is to rebuild trust by proving alpha-generation capability in a niche or providing concrete, valuable services.

链捕手06/01 14:00

Crypto GPs' Midlife Crisis: No PMF, No LP's Next Check